TrendyVest · a standing record
The Whisper Register
Every rumor The Whisper has printed, from first sighting to the document that settled it: who said it first, who repeated it, what the market did about it, and how many days the rest of the market took to notice.
Content as of is the supplied source’s cutoff. The editorial record date changes only for documented editorial updates, not this page’s deployment. Statuses and trails below are the desk’s reported assessments, not independent verification that a rumour is true. First-seen labels are reproduced as supplied; imprecise labels have not been converted into timestamps.
Open / unsettled combines 3 open and 18 corroborated entries. Median lag is unavailable from the supplied dated evidence; it is not zero.
Source-reported tally, retained for comparison26 tracked · 21 open / unsettled · 4 confirmed · 0 denied · 1 expired · 0.5 median lag (days). These are supplied figures, not a new calculation or a verification guarantee.
Source and date notes
The initial import notes remain in place. Later notes describe documented updates, which retain their own evidence links and dates.
- This is the owner-supplied register as of 25 September 2026, not a fresh verification of the claims or market observations. Publication does not independently establish that a rumor is true.
- The supplied 24 September run note ends mid-sentence after “with the lags on 5, 6 and 9”. It is preserved as supplied; the missing remainder has not been reconstructed.
- The source names outlets, documents and domains but supplies no direct citation URLs. Citation lists are therefore empty. No article, filing or document URL has been inferred from a name or an accession number.
- The open tally includes both open and corroborated entries. The open status filter is narrower: it selects only entries whose status is open.
- The supplied tally reports a median lag of 0 days. A first-sighting-to-mainstream-headline median cannot be derived reliably: entry 7 has an undated first sighting and its zero measures document-to-wire time instead. The derived median is therefore unavailable; the reported figure is retained separately.
- Trail order and date labels are preserved as supplied, including the 24 September check before the 23 September check in entry 1. No missing observation time, date or year has been inferred.
- These import notes describe the original September 25 owner-supplied package. Later dated editorial updates and selected direct source links have been added; the original statement that its citation lists were empty is historical, not a description of the current register. Unlinked historical desk checks remain attributed to the supplied artifact rather than independently verified by hosting.
- 16 October 2026 update: entries 17–26 and the supplied observations through The Whisper No. 23 are added in append-only editorial revisions. Source-history dates describe the desk’s historical work; they are not backdated public publication dates. Existing hosted corrections, first-sighting labels, source trails and links are retained. The direct links added here identify evidence and do not turn attributed rumors or one-feed tape into verified facts.
- Hosted evidence-status qualifications: entry 3 remains open because a later report about possible CPU adjustments does not establish the original GPU/AI/chipset claim; entry 12 retains its prior open-status correction. New entry 24 is held open because the source acknowledges that its two apparent reporting chains may share one origin. These qualifications supersede conflicting status descriptions in the imported source-history paragraphs without erasing those paragraphs.
- Entry 14 is confirmed only as to TSMC evaluating Texas, not a final investment decision, Dallas, six fabs or an amount above the Arizona commitment. Entry 21 is confirmed only as to Samsung’s preliminary operating-profit guidance exceeding the stated threshold, not final or audited results. Their direct primary-source links and limitations are recorded in their trails.
- The source-reported median is 0.5 days, calculated by the source over its four confirmed entries. It is retained as a reported figure, not substituted for the unavailable derived median; entry 7’s undated first sighting and differing lag basis remain unresolved. Final source-reported status totals match the hosted 26 entries: 21 unsettled, 4 confirmed, 0 denied, 1 expired.
- Entry 20’s source expiry count is 197 sessions inclusive from 29 December 2025 through 9 October 2026. Its verified elapsed-session input is 196 excluding the first session, with full US equity-market holidays and weekends excluded. Expiry is a historical status, not a finding that the claim is false.
Retaining a reported status does not independently verify its claim. A source link, when supplied, is evidence to inspect rather than a verification guarantee.
Supplied correction history
When the desk gets a trail wrong — a sighting misdated, a tier misjudged, a status moved too early — the correction is recorded here, dated, and the entry is amended below with the change marked.
18 September. A note on a published number rather than a correction to one. The tally band's open tile counts every rumor that has not been settled by a document, which includes those at corroborated; it has read that way since this register was built and it is left reading that way.
19 September. Two issues were published for Friday. The desk's scheduled run posted No. 2 on Friday afternoon, adding entries 3 and 4. A second issue, reported on Friday afternoon while that run was still working and published on Saturday, is numbered No. 3 and adds entries 5, 6 and 7. Neither issue restates the other and no entry has been renumbered. With seven rumors tracked and one confirmed, open is six and the median lag of resolved rumors is zero.
21 September — entry 3 amended. The Whisper, No. 2, reported that no mainstream American outlet had carried the AMD price-increase claim as of 12:44 p.m. on Friday 18 September, and left entry 3's lag running. It had. The 5:22 a.m. Friday relay that No. 2 logged as a Stocktwits item was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages, under the headline "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," and Yahoo Finance is one of the outlets this desk uses to mark the end of a lag. The desk read the item and misfiled its publisher. That line is re-tiered and marked as the first mainstream US headline below, and entry 3's lag is corrected from running to one trading day. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 4.
21 September — entry 3's first sighting re-stamped. The Whisper, No. 2, stamped Wccftech's piece at 12:26 p.m. Eastern on 17 September. That is the UTC time carried in the page's metadata. The article's own byline reads "Sarfraz Khan · Sep 17, 2026 at 08:26am EDT," and the correct stamp is 8:26 a.m. Eastern, sixty-four minutes before that session's open. The trail below is amended. The lag is unaffected at one trading day, but No. 2's argument that AMD's advance "began in the premarket, hours before the report existed" rested on the wrong time and is withdrawn: AMD opened that morning at 533.60 against 512.50, a gap of 4.12 percent on two feeds. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish, and it no longer claims the move came first.
21 September — entries 4 and 7 corrected: SK hynix is US-listed. Both entries stated that no US-listed security exists for SK hynix, and the 21 September note that first appeared here treated the question as open. It is not. SK hynix Inc. American Depositary Shares have traded on Nasdaq as SKHY since 10 July 2026, on a Form F-1 filed 24 June and amended 30 June and 6 July (CIK 0002120882, file 333-296987); Nasdaq's own security page carries the line, and the older OTC line HXSCL is a separate security whose prices will not reconcile with it. Benzinga's ticker was right and this register was wrong. Both tape lines are amended. No figure published here depended on the error, because no reading was ever sworn in for either entry — which is how it survived three issues.
22 September — entry 2 amended: a company statement this register had missed. Entry 2's trail ran from Bloomberg's 14 September report to two desk checks that found no Form F-1, and recorded no company response. There was one. On 15 September, the day after the report, Kioxia published a "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports" stating that such reports "are not announcements made by the Company" and that "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided." That is a tier-1 document and it sat unlogged through Nos. 2, 3 and 4. It is added to the trail below. It does not move the status: it confirms that a listing preparation exists, which the company itself disclosed in May, and declines to adopt the size, the exchange, the timing or the banks — which is what the claim as printed was about. Recorded at full size in The Whisper, No. 5.
23 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 6, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's last observations are stamped between 1:13 and 1:19 p.m. rather than before the hour. Its figures and its lag counts are stamped to those minutes and are accurate to them. No entry below is amended by this issue; entry 9 is added and entries 1, 3, 5 and 6 have a 23 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5 and 6 advanced by one session each.
24 September — entry 2 corrected: a Form F-6 this register said did not exist, and a second facility besides. Entry 2's desk check of 22 September reported "still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia." The F-1 half holds; the F-6 half does not. A Form F-6EF sits on EDGAR under accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock and naming no exchange. Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, as Depositary, and Kioxia Holdings Corporation appears in it only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. Nor is it the facility that trades: the over-the-counter line KXIAY is a separate unsponsored programme with J.P. Morgan as depositary, announced 9 March 2026, ratio 10:1, CUSIP 49726J108. Two depositary banks have built receipts over Kioxia's shares and the company signed neither, which is why the status does not move: an unsponsored facility is a bank's decision and an F-6 registers receipts, not an offering. The claim tracked here — size, banks, an exchange — still needs an F-1 and an exchange application, and neither exists. The trail below is amended. The desk kept running the EDGAR search that returns SK hynix, the trap it had itself recorded on 22 September, and concluded from it that nothing was there. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 7.
24 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 7, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's observations are stamped between 11:11 a.m. and 1:41 p.m. rather than before the hour, and are accurate to those minutes. Entry 10 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 and 9 have a 24 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6 and 9
25 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 8, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot; its observations are stamped between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. and are accurate to those minutes. The desk’s principal asked mid-run that the sweep be widened beyond the AI supply chain to technology, biotechnology and financials; it was, and nothing outside the usual beat cleared the floor, which is recorded in the issue’s “seen, not printed” counts. Entry 11 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 and 10 have a 25 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6, 9 and 10 advanced by one session each.
28 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 9, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes. No new claim cleared the floor today and no entry is added: the register stays at eleven. Entry 6 is the issue’s feature and its lag is filled at nine trading days, closed by a Yahoo Finance headline published at 11:07 p.m. Eastern on Sunday 27 September — after Friday’s close and before Monday’s open — carrying a 2nm figure a third larger than the one this register has tracked since 14 September. The revision is a sighting and not a document, so the status does not move. Entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 9, 10 and 11 have a 28 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced by one session each. Reproduced here from the already-published 28 September update note.
29 September — The Whisper, No. 10, was built between 11:11 a.m. and 12:40 p.m. Eastern and delivered after its 12:30 slot. Entry 12 was added. The active artifact trails include 29 September desk checks for entries 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10 and 11; the lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced. Its run note also names entry 1, but no 29 September check appears in that active entry, so none has been reconstructed from the HTML comment.
29 September — a second pass, and a withdrawal. After No. 10 was first assembled, the desk’s principal asked whether the sweep had been thorough. It had not. The extended pass added EDGAR’s full-text index, Polymarket, Data Center Dynamics and the biotechnology trade press, and it produced the 22 April Alpha Compute filing now at the head of entry 12’s trail, together with two documented negatives. The issue was rebuilt around it and republished before it went to Substack. Withdrawn in the same pass: the first build’s “seen, not printed” count of twenty-two items in six categories, which was reconstructed rather than tallied and rested on no social sweep. It is replaced by a shorter section the desk can reproduce. Also recorded, because it should have been carried into entry 3’s check: AMD announced a definitive agreement to acquire World Labs in an approximately $8.2 billion all-stock transaction, subject to closing conditions on 28 September, which is a document and not a rumor and therefore does not enter this register. The AMD primary release is linked in entry 3’s 29 September context observation.
30 September — The Whisper, No. 11, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:55 p.m. Eastern and delivered after its 12:30 slot. Entry 13 was added; active trails add 30 September checks to entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11 and 12. The lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced. The Yahoo Finance Canada relay is distinguished from a qualifying mainstream-US headline in entry 13; its US-headline lag remains unclosed under this register’s stated rule. No decoy was logged in the supplied sweep.
30 September — editorial evidence check for entry 12. The supplied active artifact labels the early-stage Nvidia insurance talks corroborated. The linked material establishes an FT report and syndications, but no separate independent report, signed insurance agreement, or qualifying market signal. The hosted status is held open pending that evidence; this is a status-methodology correction, not a denial of the FT report.
2 October 2026 — This editorial revision incorporates the owner-supplied desk checks from The Whisper, Nos. 12 and 13 and adds entries 14–16. It preserves prior public corrections. EDN supplied the Dallas, six-fab and potential Texas spending details while Reuters reported only evaluation of a Texas investment. Toshiba's own release supports the FY2027 capacity target, not Nikkei's investment or market-share figures. Bloomberg described preliminary Alibaba–Solaria talks; the Solaria facility is in Puertollano, but Alibaba's proposed data-center location is not established. Dated source observations are historical desk records, not earlier public register revisions.
5 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 14, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 1:05 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot. Entry 17 is added, the first claim on this register whose subject is a lease of compute rather than a sale of it, and the first whose feature argument rests on a published aggregate that may or may not contain the claim — Oracle’s $664 billion of remaining performance obligations, disclosed on 10 September, fourteen trading days before anybody named a customer in it. The desk prints that it does not assert the $7 billion sits inside that figure, because no document says so. Entries 5, 9, 10 and 11 have a 5 October desk check appended and each lag is advanced by one session. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the remaining entries were covered by the day’s general sweep — the trade press, the Korean and Taiwanese business dailies, EDGAR’s full-text index and the American market outlets — and not by an individual re-check of each trail. Nothing in that sweep touched any of them, and no entry is amended by this issue. One earlier surface was found for entry 11 and is added to its trail: a 6 August item in The Elec quoting GlobalWafers on long-term agreement repricing, seven weeks before the Commercial Times put numbers to it. No decoy was logged today: four stale claims surfaced on search indexes with their own dates intact and none was republished as current, and the disagreement between two feeds on Oracle’s 30 September close, thirty cents, is a difference and not an error inside a page.
6 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 15, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:40 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot. Entry 18 is added, and it is the first claim on this register whose first sighting is more than two months old and whose lag has never closed: no mainstream American outlet has carried it in forty-four sessions. It is also the first entry here whose magnitude is contradicted by the only document on its trail — a trade report said all of 2027’s memory output was sold, and Micron’s chief executive, on the record on 30 September, said more than seventy-five percent of his own. The desk prints both and moves the status to corroborated rather than confirmed, because a document about one maker does not settle a claim about three. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the first sighting is a Chinese-language DigiTimes report this desk could not read in the original and reached only through TweakTown’s account of it, which is said in the trail; and TechPowerUp’s relay is disallowed to the desk’s fetcher, so it was read through the search index and carries no minute. Entries 1, 2, 13 and 17 have a 6 October desk check appended, and the running lags on entries 5, 9, 10 and 11 are advanced by one session each, to fifteen, twelve, nine and nine. No decoy was logged in today’s sweep: the one ambiguity seen, a market-data page listing a figure under “volume” that its own metadata describes as average volume, is a labelling ambiguity on a page no figure rests on.
7 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 16, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 1:20 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot. Entries 19 and 20 are added. Entry 19 is the first claim on this register whose first sighting is the subject company’s own press release — Broadcom announced the platform, the anchor investors and the customer on 9 June, 82 sessions before the anonymous account of it that moved the stock 3.35 percent on 2 October, and the two tellings of the same sixty-billion figure, in August and in October, moved it 0.43 percent and 3.35. Entry 20 is the first whose first sighting is older than nine months and whose lag at 195 sessions is the longest this register has carried. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the August closes behind entry 19’s first move are unsworn and printed as one feed, because Investing.com’s table served only 3 September forward and Yahoo Finance’s history page refused this desk’s reader with a rate limit; Bloomberg’s and CNBC’s own pages are disallowed or returned 403 throughout and were read through the search index and authorised mirrors, so no time exists for the CNBC sighting; entry 20’s two Taiwanese originals could not be read in the original language and were reached only through English accounts of them; and the day’s social sweep was not run, which the issue records as not swept rather than counted at zero. Entries 15 and 18 have sightings appended, and the running lags on entries 5, 9, 10 and 11 are advanced by one session each, to sixteen, thirteen, ten and ten. No decoy was logged: the one ambiguity worth naming, an outlet adding two different forty-two-billions to reach $102 billion, is unresolved rather than wrong, because no document establishes whether the two facilities are the same money.
8 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 17, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 1:05 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot. Entries 21 and 22 are added. Entry 21 is the first claim on this register confirmed by a document in the same issue that first printed it, and the first whose lag closed on a company announcement rather than on a report: no mainstream American outlet carried the claim across the eight sessions it ran in the Korean business press, and the American headline, when it came, carried Samsung’s own guidance. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the Reuters account on US News’s investing pages refused this desk’s reader with a 403 and its headline and date were taken from the search index, so it carries no minute; the only direct Samsung reading the desk holds from the claim’s own window is a nine-session-old delayed page, printed as stale and sworn to nothing, and the 7 October close is published as this desk’s arithmetic rather than as a feed reading; the sources section was built at a length above the product’s stated ceiling and the issue runs to roughly 2,850 words against a range of 1,800 to 2,600; and the day’s social sweep was not run, which the issue records as not swept rather than counted at zero. Entries 1 and 18 have an 8 October desk check appended; the remaining entries were covered by the day’s general sweep and not by an individual re-check of each trail, and nothing in that sweep touched any of them, so the running lags on entries 5, 9, 10 and 11 are left as No. 16 recorded them. No decoy was logged: the one ambiguity seen, a market-data page serving a nine-session-old quote as its live page, carries its own stamp and the word “delayed” and is a difference rather than a figure published as current.
9 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 18, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 1:05 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot. Entry 23 is added. Entry 20 moves to expired, the first expiry this register has recorded — 197 sessions from its first surface on 28 December 2025 with three trade-press surfaces, no company comment, no denial and no tier-one or tier-two event of any kind, against a rule that expires a rumor after thirty trading days without one. Expiry is a status and not a verdict: the entry keeps its trail and TSMC’s third-quarter call on Thursday 15 October is the first scheduled occasion to put the January increase to the company. Entry 19 has a 7 October sighting appended: the Wall Street Journal, citing its own people familiar with the matter, put Broadcom in talks over more than $50 billion for custom AI chips it is developing with OpenAI — a lower figure and a different named customer than Bloomberg’s 2 October account of the same syndication. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the issue runs to roughly 2,780 words against a stated range of 1,800 to 2,600; the day’s social sweep and prediction-market check were not run, which the issue records as not swept rather than counted at zero; ft.com, bloomberg.com and the Wall Street Journal’s own page were not opened by this desk and their substance is taken from the accounts that were read; and a second feed for Broadcom’s 7 and 8 October closes was refused, so no new reading is sworn on entry 19. Entries 5, 18, 19, 20 and 22 have a 9 October desk check appended and entry 5’s lag is advanced two sessions to eighteen; entries 9, 10 and 11 were covered by the day’s general sweep and not by an individual re-check, nothing in that sweep touched them, and their running lags are left as No. 16 recorded them. No decoy was logged, and the desk names what it did not log: Benzinga’s 6 October piece wrote that SpaceX “closed 0.49% lower at $171.92 on Tuesday” when two independent daily tables carry that session as +0.49 percent from a 5 October close of 171.09 — a wrong sign inside one sentence, and a decoy by this desk’s own definition. There was no clock left to edit and republish the Decoy Chronicle before the slot, so it is referred to tonight’s Errata and the chronicle is stated unchanged at 208 entries, 133 documented, rather than counted here on a page that would then disagree with itself.
12 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 19, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:45 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot and runs to roughly 2,720 words against a stated range of 1,800 to 2,600. Entry 24 is added, and it is the first claim on this register whose first sighting fell on a Saturday: it crossed the weekend through four relays and reached a squawk feed at 8:25 a.m. today, so Monday is the first session it has had and the lag has not begun. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the report named as the original, in The Elec, refused this desk’s reader twice and carries no established minute, so the trail’s head is dated only by the relays; the earliest dated surface the desk could read, Global Economic of Seoul, credits Wccftech rather than The Elec, and whether Wccftech read The Elec could not be established, which means the two surfaces this entry rests on may be one report in two coats — the entry is printed as corroborated on the test as written, with that doubt in its trail; and DigiTimes’ and Seeking Alpha’s pages were disallowed to the desk’s reader and are logged as headlines from a search index with no minutes. Entry 3 moves from open to corroborated on a second chain independent of the WeChat channel every earlier English sighting traced to. Entry 20 has a sighting appended and stays expired: a forecast that matches a rumor does not confirm it. Entries 5, 9, 10, 11 and 22 have a 12 October desk check appended and their running lags advanced to 19, 16, 13, 13 and 7. A decoy was logged and is not counted here: a relay published the ASML report as a company announcement at 7:58 a.m., where no release, filing or statement exists. The Decoy Chronicle was read today at 214 entries logged and 139 documented; the entry is referred to tonight’s Errata rather than counted on a page this register would then disagree with, and the 9 October note above, which gives 208 and 133, is behind the chronicle’s own arithmetic.
13 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 20, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:45 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot and runs to roughly 2,865 words against a stated range of 1,800 to 2,600. Entries 25 and 26 are added. Entry 26 is the feature and is the first claim on this register whose origin is a named executive and a company statement rather than a leak — CXMT’s president at a Shanghai event over the weekend — and whose lag is therefore zero by construction: the first sighting a reader can reconstruct and the first mainstream American headline are five hours and four minutes apart across a Sunday night. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the Asia Business Daily page was disallowed to this desk’s reader and is logged from the search index with no minute of its own; SBS’s English market desk was likewise read from the search index and carries no minute, so the Tuesday closes are sworn on two feeds of which one has no stamp; Hankyung’s own page was not opened and entry 25’s first sighting is dated, not timed, from the accounts that credit it; today’s re-checks of the sixteen entries not named in the issue were done by the day’s general sweep and not by an individual re-read of each trail; and the day’s social sweep and prediction-market check were not run, which the issue records as not swept rather than counted at zero. Entries 5, 9, 10, 11, 18, 22 and 24 have a 13 October desk check appended and their running lags advanced to 20, 17, 14, 14, 49, 8 and 2. A decoy was logged and is not counted here: a relay published Tuesday’s Seoul closes as Samsung down 13.39 percent and SK hynix down 12.83, against two feeds carrying 7.39 and 10.09. The Decoy Chronicle was read today at 216 entries logged and 141 documented; the entry is referred to tonight’s Errata rather than counted on a page this register would then disagree with.
14 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 21, was built between 11:02 a.m. and 12:45 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot and runs to roughly 2,990 words against a stated range of 1,800 to 2,600. No entry is added: nothing cleared the floor today that was not already on this register, and the count stays at twenty-six. Entry 24 is the feature, and it is the first claim here whose named settling document arrived on the day the register said it would and did not address the claim: ASML’s third-quarter release, published 07:00 Central European Time (1:00 a.m. Eastern), contains no mention of spare parts, replacement parts, parts price increases or Korea, and the only pricing passage on the 09:00 Eastern call is value-based pricing on systems — conversations “completed” with key customers, the effect “starting partly in 2027” — which names no percentage, no product category, no country and no month. The desk records that passage as a near-miss and not as corroboration, because it is the kind of thing that gets rounded up by the fourth relay. Entry 24’s status is unchanged at corroborated and its tape is sworn for the first time. Entry 26 gains its first company response, from Samsung rather than from CXMT, which is a tier-2 event that does not bear on the claim and does not move the status. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the call is taken from Investing.com’s transcript page, which carries its own note that it was produced with machine assistance and reviewed by an editor, so the quoted passage is logged as a transcript relay and not as the transcript; ASML’s own webcast was not listened to by this desk; The Asia Business Daily and EDaily are logged from the search index with no minutes; today’s re-checks of the entries not named in the issue were done by the general sweep and not by an individual re-read of each trail; and the day’s social sweep and prediction-market check were not run for the second session running, which the issue records as not run rather than counted at zero, and names the repetition. Entries 5, 9, 10, 11, 18, 22 and 24 have a 14 October desk check appended and their running lags advanced to 21, 18, 15, 15, 50, 9 and 3; entry 26’s lag closed at zero on 12 October and does not advance. No decoy was logged today. The Decoy Chronicle was read at 11:04 a.m. at 218 entries logged and 143 documented, and is carried unchanged.
15 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 22, was built between 11:09 a.m. and 12:25 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot and runs to roughly 3,190 words against a stated range of 1,800 to 2,600, which is the fifth issue running above the ceiling and is named here rather than left for a reader to notice. No entry is added: nothing cleared the floor today that was not already on this register, and the count stays at twenty-six. Entry 14 moves from corroborated to confirmed, the fourth confirmation here and the first settled by remarks on an earnings call rather than by a filing, a guidance release or a registration statement. It is also the first entry on this register confirmed in part and printed as such: TSMC’s chief executive put teams in Texas on the record thirteen sessions after the Economic Daily News did, and named neither Dallas, nor six fabs, nor any figure above the $265 billion committed to Arizona — so the status moves on the location and the particulars stay exactly where the trade press left them on 28 September. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the decisive sentence exists for this desk only in two machine-assisted transcripts that render it two different ways — “And Texas is the one” against “Texas is one,” a decision against an item on a list — and the register adopts the weaker reading because the Associated Press’s paraphrase supports it; TSMC’s own webcast was not listened to and its earnings-release PDF was not opened, so every quotation from the call is logged as a transcript relay and not as the transcript; the first sighting remains a Chinese-language report this desk has never read in the original; and today’s re-checks of the entries not named in the issue were done by the general sweep and not by an individual re-read of each trail. The social sweep and the prediction-market check were run today, after two sessions in which they were not: the social layer returned only relays of the Reuters and AP copy and reaction to the earnings print, with no originating claim, and neither prediction-market venue carries a contract on any claim on this register. Entry 20’s named settling occasion arrived and declined to address the claim, which is the second session running that a document this register named has done so, and its status is unchanged at expired. Entry 6 gains a company statement in a unit the claim does not use. Entries 5, 9, 10, 11, 18, 22 and 24 have a 15 October desk check appended and their running lags advanced to 22, 19, 16, 16, 51, 10 and 4. The median lag of resolved rumors moves from zero to 0.5 on lags of nought, nought, one and eight across entries 7, 8, 14 and 21, with entry 20’s blank lag excluded. No decoy was logged today: the two discrepancies found — two transcripts of one call rendering one sentence two ways, and two market-data feeds at two different stated minutes — are differences and not errors inside a page. The Decoy Chronicle was read at 11:11 a.m. at 218 entries logged and 143 documented, and is carried unchanged.
16 October — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 23, was built between 11:13 a.m. and 1:05 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes; the issue was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot and runs to roughly 2,690 words against a stated range of 1,800 to 2,600 — still above the ceiling, for the sixth issue running, but by the smallest margin of the six. No entry is added: nothing new cleared the floor today, and the count stays at twenty-six. Entry 18 is the feature, and it is the first claim on this register whose named settling document arrived, described the instrument in full, and gave no figure for the magnitude the claim is about — Micron’s Form 10-K for fiscal 2026, which sets out take-or-pay customer agreements secured by cash deposits and letters of credit without stating what share of calendar 2027 sits inside them. That is the third session running in which a document this register named declined to address the claim it was named for. Recorded plainly rather than smoothed over: the desk read characters 0 to 121,241 of that filing, the business and risk-factor sections, and did not reach the notes, where the purchase-obligations table sits, so the finding is a limit on this desk’s reading as much as on the document; the EDGAR filing-index page refused the desk’s reader with a provenance error, so the filing date is dated only by the document’s own period and its 2 and 9 October internal dates; Dealsite’s page, the origin of the deferral sighting now on entry 18’s trail, refused the desk’s reader twice including on a cache-busted retry and is dated but not timed; DigiTimes’ page was likewise refused and is logged from the search index with no minute; the first sighting remains a Chinese-language DigiTimes report this desk has never read in the original; and the day’s social sweep and prediction-market check were not run, which is recorded as not run rather than counted at zero. The SK hynix HBM4 back-end deferral is logged as a sighting and not printed as a rumor: every surface traces to Dealsite, a tier-4 outlet, and one tier-4 surface with a market signal is below this register’s floor, which admits a single surface only at tier 3 or better. Entries 5, 9, 10, 11, 18, 22 and 24 have a 16 October desk check appended and their running lags advanced to 23, 20, 17, 17, 52, 11 and 5. No decoy was logged today: the two discrepancies found — a market page whose article text and its own ticker disagree at two different minutes, and two feeds carrying two volumes for one close — are differences and not errors inside a page. The Decoy Chronicle was read at 11:14 a.m. at 218 entries logged and 143 documented, and is carried unchanged.
16 October 2026 — Hosted publication qualification. The dated run notes above are preserved from the owner’s source artifact. This import retains the hosted open-status corrections for entries 3 and 12 and holds entry 24 open because independence is unresolved. Entry 14 confirms only Texas evaluation; entry 21 confirms only preliminary guidance. Those scope limits govern the hosted record even where the source history uses broader status language.
Methodology · supplied desk record
A rumor, for this register, is a claim about a public company or a market that the people in the know are acting on before the news can confirm it. The desk never asserts one. Each entry is a trail: the sightings in order, each with its outlet, its minute and its tier; the market's own testimony beside it; what would settle it, named as a document; and a status that moves only forward. The number that matters is the lag — trading days from the first sighting to the first mainstream US headline — and the move the sworn tape made in between.
The floor for printing: two independent surfaces, or one wire-grade source plus a market signal. Merger, takeover and bankruptcy talk only with a wire, a halt or a filing behind it. Nothing about private individuals. Anonymous posts are counted by category and never named. A rumor that cannot be written inside those rules is not written.
Tier Source
1 · document A filing, an exchange halt or notice, a regulator's release, a company statement or transcript, a court docket, a customs or permit record. Settles the claim, either way.
2 · named A named executive, official or counterparty, on the record.
3 · wire Bloomberg, Reuters, the WSJ, the FT, Nikkei, The Information, citing people familiar with the matter.
4 · trade press DigiTimes, TrendForce, the Korea Economic Daily, SemiAnalysis, The Elec, Data Center Dynamics, a sell-side note as reported. Usually first, usually days early.
5 · anonymous Social posts, forums, unattributed newsletters. Counted, never named, never alone.
Statuses. Open: one surface above the floor, or two below it, watched but not yet printed. Corroborated: two independent surfaces, or one wire plus a market signal; printed. Confirmed or denied: a tier-1 or tier-2 event settled it. Expired: thirty trading days without one. Resolved rumors keep their trail; the register is the record of how each one travelled, not only of how it ended.
Corrections and updates to this record
· Entry 1
Added a verified primary-source link for entry 1's existing May 18 announcement. Only that historical observation's document match was checked; the debt rumor, status, first-sighting label, tape, lag and prior trail were not changed. The original import's missing-link notes remain a description of the supplied package.
Prior record for entry 1
Previous first-seen label15 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTen banks are lending $22 billion, with a $1 billion revolver beside it, to Crux AI, the Blackstone–Alphabet venture, to buy Google TPUs, secured by the chips and the customer contracts, per Bloomberg's people familiar with the matter. 9fin had it a day earlier at $23 billion. No party has confirmed it. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeon Fed day, not attributable. Blackstone 126.70 → 123.45, −2.57%; Alphabet 344.98 → 342.87, −0.61%, September 15 to 16 closes; levels stockanalysis.com, the two percentages also carried by Investing.com's report at 15:44. 22 + 1 = 23; 23 + 5 = 28, against May's "roughly 25." Updated 18 September: Alphabet closed 17 September at 347.33, +1.30%, volume 19,032,520, stockanalysis.com, in a market-wide rally the day after the Fed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a closing release from Blackstone, Crux or a lead bank; a rating on the facility or the refinancing bonds; the bonds' offering document; a named bank saying it is not in the group.
Previous lag label1 trading day from 9fin to Bloomberg; 2 from the unattributed sighting, which the desk does not count as a start.
18 May · tier 1 · Blackstone release
The venture announced: $5 billion of initial equity from Blackstone, 500 MW online in 2027, Google supplying TPUs, software and services. No debt mentioned.
May, per 22 May account · tier 3 · Bloomberg
"Roughly $25 billion with leverage," one person familiar; Blackstone majority owner; Benjamin Treynor Sloss chief executive.
14 Sep 09:05 · tier 5 · unattributed
Counted, not named: a crypto-news site wrote that Blackstone was "reportedly targeting investments in the tens of billions… across multiple gigawatts," citing no one.
15 Sep · tier 4 · 9fin
"Blackstone looks to raise $23bn debt for Google AI joint venture," sources told 9fin. First attributed sighting; no time shown.
16 Sep 15:44 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
First mainstream US headline: $22 billion loan plus $1 billion revolver, ten banks (Goldman, SMBC, Barclays, BNP, Scotiabank named), secured by chips and contracts, possible refinancing in investment-grade bonds. Did not cite 9fin. Time is the stamp on Investing.com's relay.
16 Sep 16:34 · tier 3 · Reuters
Relay citing Bloomberg; seven companies did not respond. A later headline reads "source says," unread by the desk, not counted as independent.
16–17 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Re-checked 18 September. No document appeared. What changed is the language: TipRanks and Gokhshtein published the loan as "secured"; Blockonomi, 17 Sep 12:10 UTC, wrote that Crux "has successfully arranged $22 billion in bank financing" and that the facility "is secured against both the physical TPU hardware and contractual agreements." Nobody has confirmed a dollar of it.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank confirming or denying membership of the group. The aggregator layer has thickened — Finimize, briefs.co, AI Weekly and FourWeekMBA now carry the loan in the past tense — and two Yahoo Finance relays, including a Benzinga piece putting GOOGL and BX "in focus," keep it in front of American readers. Nothing document-grade. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No closing release on Blackstone's press page, whose most recent items are 13, 10 and 9 September and none of them about Crux AI or the facility; no rating, and a KBRA note on AI-compute financing risk that does not evaluate Crux AI; no offering document; no bank on the record either way. A domain-restricted search of sec.gov returns no filing naming Crux AI. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Six sessions after Bloomberg's report — 17, 18, 21, 22, 23 and 24 September — there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind — FourWeekMBA, AI Weekly, Finimize, Dealroom and pulse2 all carry the facility, most of them in the past tense — and one relay again states the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. No closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer thickened again — Finimize, FourWeekMBA, Dealroom, KuCoin and HuggingNews all carry the facility in the past tense — and one relay, Runtimewire, puts the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Seven sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. Status unchanged.
· Entry 2
Added verified primary-source links for entry 2's existing September 15 issuer notice and February 11 depositary filing. This limited document check does not settle the listing rumor or verify the separate March programme. Original observations, status, first-sighting label, tape and lag are retained; the original import notes still describe the supplied package.
Prior record for entry 2
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimKioxia is weighing a US listing of American depositary shares to raise at least $10 billion, possibly next year, with Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, per Bloomberg's people familiar; the deliberations are "preliminary." The plan is the company's, stated in May; the size is single-sourced. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeTokyo readings one feed, unsworn; no US-listed security yet.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a public Form F-1 on EDGAR; an exchange application; a Kioxia release naming the exchange; the November results. Amended 24 September: the Form F-6EF of 11 February is on file, was filed by a depositary rather than by Kioxia, and does not settle it; neither does the unsponsored KXIAY programme.
Previous lag label0 trading days; the first sighting of the size was the mainstream headline.
May · tier 1 · Kioxia
The company said it was preparing to list ADRs to broaden its investor base, per Reuters' account of 14 September.
25 Jun 03:27 · tier 4 · TradingKey
Added 21 September, an earlier surface the desk had missed: Kioxia "intends to issue American Depositary Receipts and list on a U.S. stock exchange by spring 2027," subject to regulatory approval, with exchange, offering size and timeline unsettled. The plan and its approximate date were therefore in print three months before Bloomberg's report; what is single-sourced is the size, not the listing.
14 Sep 08:58 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
At least $10 billion, three banks named, size and lineup subject to change; Kioxia did not reply outside business hours. Reuters relayed it; The Star's copy stamped 08:58 Eastern. The sighting was the headline.
14–15 Sep · tier 4 · SED, Invezz
Seoul Economic Daily and Invezz relayed Bloomberg; Invezz read the Tokyo shares at ¥51,720 on the 14th and ¥51,350 by the 15th, against a June high of ¥112,750.
18 Sep · desk check
Re-checked against EDGAR's full-text index: no Form F-1 for Kioxia. No new sighting since 14 September and no denial. Status unchanged.
15 Sep · tier 1 · Kioxia
Added 22 September, and the highest tier this claim has reached. "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports," on the company's own site: "There have been media reports regarding the listing of the Company's American Depositary Shares on a U.S. stock exchange. These reports are not announcements made by the Company," and "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided," with the note that preparations may be discontinued. Neither confirms nor denies the size, the banks or the timing. The desk had missed this through three issues; see the audit block.
11 Feb · tier 1 · BNY Mellon / EDGAR
Added 24 September, and the document this register said did not exist. Form F-6EF, accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock. No exchange is named in it, and Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, 240 Greenwich Street, as depositary, with Kioxia Holdings Corporation named only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. It predates Bloomberg's report by seven months and says nothing about the size, the banks, the exchange or the timing the claim is about. See the audit block.
9 Mar · tier 1 · depositary bulletin
Added 24 September. The Kioxia line that actually trades over the counter, KXIAY, is a different programme under a different bank: an unsponsored depositary receipt facility with J.P. Morgan as depositary, ten ordinary shares to one receipt, CUSIP 49726J108, listed in BNY Mellon's bulletin of new unsponsored programmes dated 9 March 2026. An unsponsored facility is established by a bank without the issuer's participation, so it is evidence about banks and not about Kioxia's intentions.
21 Sep · desk check
EDGAR re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4: still no Form F-1. The Japan Times and Yahoo Finance relays of the 14 September report remain the American surface. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5: still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia, and no IR item since the 15 September notice. A trap recorded for future searches: the F-1 that surfaces on these search terms is SK hynix Inc., CIK 2120882, filed 24 June, Nasdaq Global Select under SKHY, with BofA Securities, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan as global coordinators — a different issuer with a near-identical bank lineup to the three attributed to Kioxia. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The F-6EF above was found on this check and is filed in its own place in the trail; it is the highest-tier document on this entry after that notice, and it does not touch the claim as printed.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
· Entry 1
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 28 Sep observation for entry 1. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 1
Previous first-seen label15 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTen banks are lending $22 billion, with a $1 billion revolver beside it, to Crux AI, the Blackstone–Alphabet venture, to buy Google TPUs, secured by the chips and the customer contracts, per Bloomberg's people familiar with the matter. 9fin had it a day earlier at $23 billion. No party has confirmed it. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeon Fed day, not attributable. Blackstone 126.70 → 123.45, −2.57%; Alphabet 344.98 → 342.87, −0.61%, September 15 to 16 closes; levels stockanalysis.com, the two percentages also carried by Investing.com's report at 15:44. 22 + 1 = 23; 23 + 5 = 28, against May's "roughly 25." Updated 18 September: Alphabet closed 17 September at 347.33, +1.30%, volume 19,032,520, stockanalysis.com, in a market-wide rally the day after the Fed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a closing release from Blackstone, Crux or a lead bank; a rating on the facility or the refinancing bonds; the bonds' offering document; a named bank saying it is not in the group.
Previous lag label1 trading day from 9fin to Bloomberg; 2 from the unattributed sighting, which the desk does not count as a start.
18 May · tier 1 · Blackstone release
The venture announced: $5 billion of initial equity from Blackstone, 500 MW online in 2027, Google supplying TPUs, software and services. No debt mentioned.
May, per 22 May account · tier 3 · Bloomberg
"Roughly $25 billion with leverage," one person familiar; Blackstone majority owner; Benjamin Treynor Sloss chief executive.
14 Sep 09:05 · tier 5 · unattributed
Counted, not named: a crypto-news site wrote that Blackstone was "reportedly targeting investments in the tens of billions… across multiple gigawatts," citing no one.
15 Sep · tier 4 · 9fin
"Blackstone looks to raise $23bn debt for Google AI joint venture," sources told 9fin. First attributed sighting; no time shown.
16 Sep 15:44 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
First mainstream US headline: $22 billion loan plus $1 billion revolver, ten banks (Goldman, SMBC, Barclays, BNP, Scotiabank named), secured by chips and contracts, possible refinancing in investment-grade bonds. Did not cite 9fin. Time is the stamp on Investing.com's relay.
16 Sep 16:34 · tier 3 · Reuters
Relay citing Bloomberg; seven companies did not respond. A later headline reads "source says," unread by the desk, not counted as independent.
16–17 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Re-checked 18 September. No document appeared. What changed is the language: TipRanks and Gokhshtein published the loan as "secured"; Blockonomi, 17 Sep 12:10 UTC, wrote that Crux "has successfully arranged $22 billion in bank financing" and that the facility "is secured against both the physical TPU hardware and contractual agreements." Nobody has confirmed a dollar of it.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank confirming or denying membership of the group. The aggregator layer has thickened — Finimize, briefs.co, AI Weekly and FourWeekMBA now carry the loan in the past tense — and two Yahoo Finance relays, including a Benzinga piece putting GOOGL and BX "in focus," keep it in front of American readers. Nothing document-grade. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No closing release on Blackstone's press page, whose most recent items are 13, 10 and 9 September and none of them about Crux AI or the facility; no rating, and a KBRA note on AI-compute financing risk that does not evaluate Crux AI; no offering document; no bank on the record either way. A domain-restricted search of sec.gov returns no filing naming Crux AI. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Six sessions after Bloomberg's report — 17, 18, 21, 22, 23 and 24 September — there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind — FourWeekMBA, AI Weekly, Finimize, Dealroom and pulse2 all carry the facility, most of them in the past tense — and one relay again states the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. No closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer thickened again — Finimize, FourWeekMBA, Dealroom, KuCoin and HuggingNews all carry the facility in the past tense — and one relay, Runtimewire, puts the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Seven sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for the existing 18 May Blackstone observation: the linked May 18, 2026 issuer announcement supports the equity commitment, expected capacity and Google's contribution recorded above. It does not confirm the separate loan, revolver, lenders or closing. This is a citation update, not a new first sighting or rumor-status change; the historical observations and supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
· Entry 2
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 28 Sep observation for entry 2. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 2
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimKioxia is weighing a US listing of American depositary shares to raise at least $10 billion, possibly next year, with Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, per Bloomberg's people familiar; the deliberations are "preliminary." The plan is the company's, stated in May; the size is single-sourced. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeTokyo readings one feed, unsworn; no US-listed security yet.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a public Form F-1 on EDGAR; an exchange application; a Kioxia release naming the exchange; the November results. Amended 24 September: the Form F-6EF of 11 February is on file, was filed by a depositary rather than by Kioxia, and does not settle it; neither does the unsponsored KXIAY programme.
Previous lag label0 trading days; the first sighting of the size was the mainstream headline.
May · tier 1 · Kioxia
The company said it was preparing to list ADRs to broaden its investor base, per Reuters' account of 14 September.
25 Jun 03:27 · tier 4 · TradingKey
Added 21 September, an earlier surface the desk had missed: Kioxia "intends to issue American Depositary Receipts and list on a U.S. stock exchange by spring 2027," subject to regulatory approval, with exchange, offering size and timeline unsettled. The plan and its approximate date were therefore in print three months before Bloomberg's report; what is single-sourced is the size, not the listing.
14 Sep 08:58 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
At least $10 billion, three banks named, size and lineup subject to change; Kioxia did not reply outside business hours. Reuters relayed it; The Star's copy stamped 08:58 Eastern. The sighting was the headline.
14–15 Sep · tier 4 · SED, Invezz
Seoul Economic Daily and Invezz relayed Bloomberg; Invezz read the Tokyo shares at ¥51,720 on the 14th and ¥51,350 by the 15th, against a June high of ¥112,750.
18 Sep · desk check
Re-checked against EDGAR's full-text index: no Form F-1 for Kioxia. No new sighting since 14 September and no denial. Status unchanged.
15 Sep · tier 1 · Kioxia
Added 22 September, and the highest tier this claim has reached. "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports," on the company's own site: "There have been media reports regarding the listing of the Company's American Depositary Shares on a U.S. stock exchange. These reports are not announcements made by the Company," and "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided," with the note that preparations may be discontinued. Neither confirms nor denies the size, the banks or the timing. The desk had missed this through three issues; see the audit block.
11 Feb · tier 1 · BNY Mellon / EDGAR
Added 24 September, and the document this register said did not exist. Form F-6EF, accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock. No exchange is named in it, and Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, 240 Greenwich Street, as depositary, with Kioxia Holdings Corporation named only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. It predates Bloomberg's report by seven months and says nothing about the size, the banks, the exchange or the timing the claim is about. See the audit block.
9 Mar · tier 1 · depositary bulletin
Added 24 September. The Kioxia line that actually trades over the counter, KXIAY, is a different programme under a different bank: an unsponsored depositary receipt facility with J.P. Morgan as depositary, ten ordinary shares to one receipt, CUSIP 49726J108, listed in BNY Mellon's bulletin of new unsponsored programmes dated 9 March 2026. An unsponsored facility is established by a bank without the issuer's participation, so it is evidence about banks and not about Kioxia's intentions.
21 Sep · desk check
EDGAR re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4: still no Form F-1. The Japan Times and Yahoo Finance relays of the 14 September report remain the American surface. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5: still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia, and no IR item since the 15 September notice. A trap recorded for future searches: the F-1 that surfaces on these search terms is SK hynix Inc., CIK 2120882, filed 24 June, Nasdaq Global Select under SKHY, with BofA Securities, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan as global coordinators — a different issuer with a near-identical bank lineup to the three attributed to Kioxia. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The F-6EF above was found on this check and is filed in its own place in the trail; it is the highest-tier document on this entry after that notice, and it does not touch the claim as printed.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for two existing observations: Source 1 is Kioxia's September 15, 2026 media-response notice, supporting the recorded preparation and uncertainty. Source 2 is the February 11, 2026 F-6 filing, accession 0001019155-26-000048, supporting the depositary filing observation. Neither establishes the reported offering size, bank lineup, exchange or timing. The separate March depositary programme and remaining trail were not checked in this citation update. Status, historical dates, text and the supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
· Entry 3
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 28 Sep observation for entry 3. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 3
Previous first-seen label17 SEP
Previous source-record statusopen
Previous recorded claimAMD has told its partners that prices on its graphics processors, AI accelerators and chipsets will rise by roughly ten percent in the fourth quarter of 2026, because TSMC has told AMD the same about wafers, per Wccftech citing ChannelGate, a supply-chain channel on WeChat. Neither company has commented. Every English-language sighting traces to that one channel. The Whisper, No. 2.
Previous tape512.50 → 559.82, +47.32, +9.23%, the 16 September close before the first attributed sighting to the 18 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry both figures identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 47.32 ÷ 512.50. Intraday 21 September, one feed and unsworn: 606.68 at 1:24 p.m. on stockanalysis.com, +46.86, +8.37% on the session, range 582.27–615.99, volume 29.5m, which carries the move from the same base to +94.18, +18.38%. The same page put the market capitalisation at $990.39 billion. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28.17m against 28.46m on 17 September, 31.17m against 31.87m on 18 September. Amended 21 September with the corrected stamp: the report ran at 8:26 a.m. on 17 September, sixty-four minutes before the open, and AMD opened at 533.60 — both feeds, sworn — a gap of 4.12% on the prior close, 533.60 ÷ 512.50, closing the session up 6.36%. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish and does not guess; the earlier claim that the advance preceded the report is withdrawn. The advance has also run on through a broad semiconductor rally, so the desk still attributes nothing. Updated 22 September: Monday's close is sworn at 615.52 — stockanalysis.com and stockinvest.us, which wrote that AMD "ended at $615.52," with Yahoo Finance carrying the same as its previous close — which carries the move from the same base to +103.02, +20.10%, this desk's arithmetic, 103.02 ÷ 512.50. Today unsworn, both printed: 618.34 at 12:03 p.m. Eastern on stockanalysis.com, 614.92 at 10:46 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. A caution: Investing.com's AMD historical table was stale at 18 September when checked today, and its quote page showed a 15:39 intraday print of 615.71 that is not a close; it is not used for Monday.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a partner or OEM price list showing fourth-quarter increases in that range; AMD's third-quarter results and call on 3 November, where a ten percent rise reaches the gross-margin line; TSMC's October call on 2027 wafer pricing; an on-the-record statement. Kills it: AMD saying no such notice went to partners, or fourth-quarter price lists arriving unchanged.
Previous lag label1 trading day, corrected 21 September from running. First attributed sighting 17 September 8:26 a.m.; first mainstream US headline 18 September 5:22 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. The first independently authored American market story came on 21 September, two trading days out; the desk counts the earlier one.
21 Jul · tier 3 · Nikkei
The upstream claim, via Tom's Hardware: TSMC to raise advanced-node baseline prices five to ten percent from the start of 2027, with "another 10% to 15% premium on top of the standard increase" for incremental HPC capacity, citing people with knowledge of the matter. Named no customer.
17 Sep · tier 5 · channel
ChannelGate, a WeChat supply-chain account, relayed by a leak account on X. Counted, not named. Origin of the AMD-specific leg.
17 Sep 08:26 · tier 4 · Wccftech
First attributed sighting; stamp corrected 21 September from 12:26 p.m., which was the page metadata's UTC time, to 8:26 a.m. Eastern per the article's own byline. "TSMC has notified its customers about the price hikes, leading to AMD notifying its partners about the same. The price hike is roughly 10% and is planned to be implemented in the fourth quarter of 2026." Cited ChannelGate; did not stand alone; said a ten percent Ryzen increase "should be treated as a 'possibility' rather than a confirmed development." Wccftech gives ChannelGate no descriptor; Club386, the same day, identifies it as the WeChat arm of a Chinese leak site.
17–18 Sep · tier 4 · relays
Counted, not weighted: six English-language sites, among them ThinkComputers, Club386, Notebookcheck, PC Guide, XenoSpectrum and Technetbook. All downstream of the same item or the same channel.
18 Sep 05:22 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline. Amended 21 September: logged in The Whisper, No. 2, as a Stocktwits relay, it was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages as "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," naming both Wccftech and ChannelGate; AMD up 1.4 percent premarket, a third consecutive advance, the three-session gain above twelve percent. The lag closed here.
18 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
Carried in its own news file as AMD "preparing a 10% price hike for GPUs, AI chips, and chipsets in Q4 2026, attributed to rising manufacturing costs at TSMC." Downstream of the same origin; not counted as a second surface.
19 Sep · tier 2 · TSMC via Digital Citizen
The first named-company material in the trail, and the highest tier this claim has reached. A TSMC spokesperson, asked about the report: "Our pricing strategy is strategic, not opportunistic. We will continue to work closely with customers and sell our value to them." Neither a confirmation nor a denial. The same piece set the leak's Q4 2026 timing against TSMC's July guidance of 2027 and allowed that the two "may describe one negotiation at different stages or two separate cost actions."
21 Sep 09:37 · tier 4 · 24/7 Wall St.
First American market story written independently of the technology press, also carried on Yahoo Finance: "AMD Rises 5% as Report Flags 10% Chip Price Increase; NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor Tick Up." AMD 586.66, Nvidia 223.72, TSM 440.92. Calls the claim "unconfirmed," does not name ChannelGate, and adds that "a denial or narrower scope would remove the framing that's lifting AMD stock this morning."
21 Sep · tier 4 · PCWorld
Added 22 September. Quotes the origin channel directly, through a leak account on X: "AMD will increase chip price about 10% in Q4 / It is result from TSMC's price increase." No AMD comment. Not an independent surface; it is the same WeChat account, one relay closer to the source than Wccftech was.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting today, no AMD statement, no denial, and no partner or OEM price list. The claim is forking in the relay layer: one branch has Ryzen spared, the other has Ryzen following, and both cite the same channel. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. TweakTown has joined the relay layer, alongside Digital Trends, XenoSpectrum, ThinkComputers and Startup Fortune, and the Ryzen fork persists across them; every one is downstream of the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Digital Trends, Startup Fortune and Compsmag have joined the relay layer and the Ryzen fork persists across it; every branch still cites the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8, the sixth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Recorded beside this entry today: an unrelated and independently sourced claim, printed as entry 11, that the silicon wafers upstream of TSMC are themselves being repriced for 2027. The desk logs the two as separate claims and does not treat either as evidence for the other. Status unchanged.
· Entry 4
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 28 Sep observation for entry 4. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 4
Previous first-seen label18 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimSolidigm, SK Hynix's US NAND subsidiary, is weighing its first American NAND plant, with upstate New York the leading candidate site, per Reuters' three people familiar with the matter. SK Hynix says it is reviewing options and that nothing is confirmed. The Whisper, No. 2.
Previous tapethe desk swore in no reading for this entry. Corrected 21 September — this line previously said there is no US-listed security. SK hynix trades on Nasdaq as SKHY, American depositary shares, since 10 July 2026; Benzinga's 18 September piece used that ticker and was right. No reading has been sworn in even so, and none is printed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a New York State incentive award or economic-development board document; a site or construction permit; an SK Hynix board resolution; a Solidigm announcement naming the site.
Previous lag label0 trading days; the wire report was itself the first mainstream US headline.
18 Sep 04:41 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Its own item, Taipei 16:41: Solidigm "is considering building its first NAND manufacturing plant in the US, with upstate New York emerging as a leading candidate." Paywalled beyond the lede; no sources shown.
18 Sep 05:08 · tier 3 · Reuters
First mainstream US headline, as carried by the Korea JoongAng Daily at 18:08 Seoul. Three people familiar with the matter; one said no agreement had been reached and key details remain under discussion. Solidigm did not respond outside business hours.
18 Sep 05:08 · tier 2 · SK Hynix
On the record, confirming neither: "subsidiary Solidigm is reviewing various options to strengthen its business competitiveness, but no specific plans have been confirmed."
18 Sep · tier 4 · SED, relays
Added 21 September. Seoul Economic Daily carried it the same day as "SK hynix Weighs First U.S. NAND Plant as AI Demand Surges"; Investing.com and MarketScreener relayed Reuters; Benzinga wrote up the Friday share move directly. All downstream of the Reuters report.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. No New York State incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution, and no change to SK Hynix's on-the-record line. The claim has spread across the market layer, not the document layer. Status unchanged.
18 Sep · tier 2 · Solidigm
Added 22 September. Solidigm itself, on the record in the Reuters syndication the register had only recorded as "did not respond": "No decision regarding any specific course of action has been made." A 20 September follow-up adds that no factory has been approved, no site selected and no construction timetable exists, with Solidigm declining to "comment on market rumors."
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No Empire State Development incentive award and no Green CHIPS document naming Solidigm; no announcement from the governor's office; no site or construction permit; no board resolution. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
· Entry 5
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 28 Sep observation for entry 5 and update lag from the supplied register. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 5
Previous first-seen label15 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimSamsung Electronics has begun running wafers for Tesla's next-generation AI5 processor at its foundry in Taylor, Texas, ahead of a start scheduled for November, per Seoul Economic Daily's semiconductor industry sources. Neither company has said it, and no American wire has reported it. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapeTesla 358.97 → 366.20, +2.01%, 14 to 17 September closes, sworn — 358.97 on stockanalysis.com and Investing.com, 366.20 on stockanalysis.com and Google Finance, whose Friday quote of 362.60 less 3.60 implies it; Investing.com carries 366.69 for the 17th and is printed, not sworn. On the claim's own session, 15 September, Tesla fell 0.67% to 356.58 on 30,168,264 shares against Monday's 32,068,734. Thursday alone was 8.12 points of the 7.23-point move, in a session the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.69% the day after the Fed. Samsung Electronics: −4.05% Monday, −0.2% Tuesday to 248,500 won, "only modestly higher" Wednesday per Invezz; 261,000 won, +3.37%, at Friday's Seoul close, one feed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: Samsung's third-quarter results in late October; Tesla's results and 10-Q; a Samsung release or Taylor site announcement; a Yonhap report carrying a company confirmation. Kills it: a statement from either company that Taylor has not begun AI5 wafers, or a Samsung disclosure putting the start in November as scheduled.
Previous lag label8 trading days and running, at 25 September. No mainstream American headline exists; the count stays open until one does.
28 Jul 2025 · tier 1 · contract
A $16.5 billion multi-year supply agreement, about 22 trillion won, disclosed by Elon Musk after Tesla had asked that the counterparty stay unnamed; Bloomberg reported it.
22 Oct 2025 · tier 2 · Musk, CNBC
Musk on the record: AI5 to be made by Samsung in Texas and TSMC in Arizona. This, and not the start, is what the American press has.
5 Nov 2025 · tier 4 · TrendForce
Musk signals AI5 mass production slipping to 2027, "casting uncertainty over Samsung."
24 Apr · tier 1 · Samsung
Equipment-installation ceremony at the Taylor plant, as referenced by Seoul Economic Daily.
13 Jul · tier 4 · TrendForce / Yonhap
AI5 tape-out complete, production expected on Samsung's 2nm process in Texas; "the disclosure marks the first time Samsung Foundry's production timeline for the Tesla AI5 chip has been revealed in concrete terms." Taylor ramp put in 2027. Korea Times and Electrek the same day.
15 Sep 17:21 · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
First sighting. Samsung "has begun prototype production at its Taylor, Texas, foundry to supply artificial intelligence chips to Tesla"; it "plans to complete mass-production verification by the end of this year and begin full supply next year." Page stamp 17:21, updated 23:35, Seoul time, which puts it near 4:21 a.m. Eastern. The headline said mass production over a body that said prototype.
16 Sep 00:28 · tier 2 · KB Securities via ChosunBiz
Kim Dong-won, named, on Samsung's 2nm gate-all-around yield improving from below 50 percent, carried by Invezz under "Samsung stock is ignoring a $16.5 billion Tesla catalyst." About the plant's capability, not the start.
16 Sep 07:00 KST · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
The same reporting re-headlined "Samsung Starts Trial Production of Tesla AI Chips in Texas," ahead of the originally scheduled November startup.
17 Sep 11:51 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: trial production, 2nm wafer production and yield verification ahead of full-scale operations. Names no source and does not cite Seoul.
16–18 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named as sources: nine sites, among them one whose headline says the node is "silencing yield doubters," a claim in none of the underlying reporting.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no mainstream American headline and no company statement either way; the only movement is in the enthusiast layer, where Not a Tesla App and similar sites now carry the trial start as settled fact. The lag continues to run.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters, Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Yahoo Finance's Tesla AI5 items stop at the tape-out and dual-foundry stories, and the nearest American piece is Electrek's 13 July tape-out report, which is a different claim. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against the same American outlets. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim. The enthusiast layer has widened again — Drive Tesla Canada, Not a Tesla App, The Electric Viking, Basenor and BigGo all carry the trial start as settled fact, all downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes — and Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim. No company statement. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact, all of it downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes. No company statement. The lag runs on, now eight trading days.
· Entry 6
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 27 Sep 14:06 observation for entry 6. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 6
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTSMC's 2nm capacity is expected to rise from 90,000 wafers a month at end-2026 to 110,000 by mid-2027, its 3nm from more than 180,000 to 210,000, and CoWoS packaging from roughly 130,000 a month to 260,000 by end-2028, per TrendForce citing Taiwan's Economic Daily News. TSMC has not published these figures. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapenot separable. The claim concerns capacity two to eight quarters out and no single session's move can be attributed to it.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: TSMC's third-quarter call in October, its capex guidance, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month.
Previous lag label9 trading days and running, at 25 September. No mainstream American headline for the capacity figures; the groundbreaking was reported, the numbers were not.
14 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce / EDN
First sighting. The capacity numbers above, attributed to Economic Daily News; a 22 percent lift at 2nm, 17 percent at 3nm and a doubling of CoWoS on this desk's arithmetic from the published figures.
15 Sep 11:30 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: 3nm, 2nm and CoWoS all tight through the third quarter, Nvidia and Apple dominating advanced process and packaging, and Amazon's Annapurna unit expanding AI chip tape-outs and given more 3nm capacity. Supply-chain sources. Body paywalled.
21 Sep 07:37 · tier 1 · TSMC via Reuters
Added 21 September. Ground was broken on an advanced-packaging industrial park at Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, anchored by TSMC, reported by Reuters under a Taipei dateline of 21 September (some US syndications carry a 20 September date) and carried by Benzinga at 7:37 a.m. Eastern, with operations expected in the fourth quarter of 2029. Document-grade, and evidence about direction rather than about the claim's numbers: 2029 sits a year beyond the end of the claim's window, and no wafer or CoWoS figure in the claim is addressed.
21 Sep 09:59 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Weekly roundup, by its own stamp: semiconductor equipment makers facing lead times of up to forty months on certain Japanese components, and local component deliveries stretching about fifty percent. The physical constraint any such ramp meets. Not a second surface for the capacity figures.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting of the capacity figures and no TSMC statement on them; the company's only reference point remains the July call's 2026 capex guidance of $60–64 billion. The one TSMC item TrendForce carried today is adjacent and does not confirm the numbers. The date to mark: TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei, per the company's own financial calendar. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 23 September items run to DRAM spot prices, LPDDR6 validation, a glass-substrate roundup and a NAND patent ruling, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 24 September items run to Chinese memory capacity, a Meta device launch, a GDDR7 end-of-life report, an optical-transceiver listing and a Qualcomm node statement, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against TrendForce’s current news file, whose 25 September items run to twelve-inch wafer contract pricing and a rare-earths piece, neither of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
· Entry 6
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 27 Sep 23:07 observation for entry 6. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 6
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTSMC's 2nm capacity is expected to rise from 90,000 wafers a month at end-2026 to 110,000 by mid-2027, its 3nm from more than 180,000 to 210,000, and CoWoS packaging from roughly 130,000 a month to 260,000 by end-2028, per TrendForce citing Taiwan's Economic Daily News. TSMC has not published these figures. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapenot separable. The claim concerns capacity two to eight quarters out and no single session's move can be attributed to it.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: TSMC's third-quarter call in October, its capex guidance, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month.
Previous lag label9 trading days and running, at 25 September. No mainstream American headline for the capacity figures; the groundbreaking was reported, the numbers were not.
14 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce / EDN
First sighting. The capacity numbers above, attributed to Economic Daily News; a 22 percent lift at 2nm, 17 percent at 3nm and a doubling of CoWoS on this desk's arithmetic from the published figures.
15 Sep 11:30 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: 3nm, 2nm and CoWoS all tight through the third quarter, Nvidia and Apple dominating advanced process and packaging, and Amazon's Annapurna unit expanding AI chip tape-outs and given more 3nm capacity. Supply-chain sources. Body paywalled.
21 Sep 07:37 · tier 1 · TSMC via Reuters
Added 21 September. Ground was broken on an advanced-packaging industrial park at Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, anchored by TSMC, reported by Reuters under a Taipei dateline of 21 September (some US syndications carry a 20 September date) and carried by Benzinga at 7:37 a.m. Eastern, with operations expected in the fourth quarter of 2029. Document-grade, and evidence about direction rather than about the claim's numbers: 2029 sits a year beyond the end of the claim's window, and no wafer or CoWoS figure in the claim is addressed.
21 Sep 09:59 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Weekly roundup, by its own stamp: semiconductor equipment makers facing lead times of up to forty months on certain Japanese components, and local component deliveries stretching about fifty percent. The physical constraint any such ramp meets. Not a second surface for the capacity figures.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting of the capacity figures and no TSMC statement on them; the company's only reference point remains the July call's 2026 capex guidance of $60–64 billion. The one TSMC item TrendForce carried today is adjacent and does not confirm the numbers. The date to mark: TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei, per the company's own financial calendar. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 23 September items run to DRAM spot prices, LPDDR6 validation, a glass-substrate roundup and a NAND patent ruling, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 24 September items run to Chinese memory capacity, a Meta device launch, a GDDR7 end-of-life report, an optical-transceiver listing and a Qualcomm node statement, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against TrendForce’s current news file, whose 25 September items run to twelve-inch wafer contract pricing and a rare-earths piece, neither of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
27 Sep 14:06 · tier 4 · Economic Daily News
Added 28 September, and the sighting this issue is built on: the origin outlet revising its own number. Page stamp 28 September 02:06 Taipei, byline Yin Hui-chung (尹慧中), read in the original by this desk. 大廠追加訂單 台積電2奈米擴產進度超前 年底月產能上看12萬片 — major customers have added orders, TSMC's 2nm expansion is ahead of schedule, year-end monthly capacity looking at 120,000 wafers. It states that the market had expected about 90,000 to 100,000 at year-end. Five customers named as raising 2nm-family orders by 10 to 20 percent: Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, MediaTek. 3nm put near 180,000 a month in the fourth quarter of 2026 and 200,000 to 210,000 in 2027, which is consistent with the 14 September figures. Sourcing language 業界傳出 and 消息人士透露 — the industry says, sources disclose. No firm named, no person named, no document.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
· Entry 6
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 28 Sep observation for entry 6. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 6
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTSMC's 2nm capacity is expected to rise from 90,000 wafers a month at end-2026 to 110,000 by mid-2027, its 3nm from more than 180,000 to 210,000, and CoWoS packaging from roughly 130,000 a month to 260,000 by end-2028, per TrendForce citing Taiwan's Economic Daily News. TSMC has not published these figures. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapenot separable. The claim concerns capacity two to eight quarters out and no single session's move can be attributed to it.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: TSMC's third-quarter call in October, its capex guidance, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month.
Previous lag label9 trading days and running, at 25 September. No mainstream American headline for the capacity figures; the groundbreaking was reported, the numbers were not.
14 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce / EDN
First sighting. The capacity numbers above, attributed to Economic Daily News; a 22 percent lift at 2nm, 17 percent at 3nm and a doubling of CoWoS on this desk's arithmetic from the published figures.
15 Sep 11:30 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: 3nm, 2nm and CoWoS all tight through the third quarter, Nvidia and Apple dominating advanced process and packaging, and Amazon's Annapurna unit expanding AI chip tape-outs and given more 3nm capacity. Supply-chain sources. Body paywalled.
21 Sep 07:37 · tier 1 · TSMC via Reuters
Added 21 September. Ground was broken on an advanced-packaging industrial park at Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, anchored by TSMC, reported by Reuters under a Taipei dateline of 21 September (some US syndications carry a 20 September date) and carried by Benzinga at 7:37 a.m. Eastern, with operations expected in the fourth quarter of 2029. Document-grade, and evidence about direction rather than about the claim's numbers: 2029 sits a year beyond the end of the claim's window, and no wafer or CoWoS figure in the claim is addressed.
21 Sep 09:59 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Weekly roundup, by its own stamp: semiconductor equipment makers facing lead times of up to forty months on certain Japanese components, and local component deliveries stretching about fifty percent. The physical constraint any such ramp meets. Not a second surface for the capacity figures.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting of the capacity figures and no TSMC statement on them; the company's only reference point remains the July call's 2026 capex guidance of $60–64 billion. The one TSMC item TrendForce carried today is adjacent and does not confirm the numbers. The date to mark: TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei, per the company's own financial calendar. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 23 September items run to DRAM spot prices, LPDDR6 validation, a glass-substrate roundup and a NAND patent ruling, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 24 September items run to Chinese memory capacity, a Meta device launch, a GDDR7 end-of-life report, an optical-transceiver listing and a Qualcomm node statement, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against TrendForce’s current news file, whose 25 September items run to twelve-inch wafer contract pricing and a rare-earths piece, neither of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
27 Sep 14:06 · tier 4 · Economic Daily News
Added 28 September, and the sighting this issue is built on: the origin outlet revising its own number. Page stamp 28 September 02:06 Taipei, byline Yin Hui-chung (尹慧中), read in the original by this desk. 大廠追加訂單 台積電2奈米擴產進度超前 年底月產能上看12萬片 — major customers have added orders, TSMC's 2nm expansion is ahead of schedule, year-end monthly capacity looking at 120,000 wafers. It states that the market had expected about 90,000 to 100,000 at year-end. Five customers named as raising 2nm-family orders by 10 to 20 percent: Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, MediaTek. 3nm put near 180,000 a month in the fourth quarter of 2026 and 200,000 to 210,000 in 2027, which is consistent with the 14 September figures. Sourcing language 業界傳出 and 消息人士透露 — the industry says, sources disclose. No firm named, no person named, no document.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
27 Sep 23:07 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, nine hours after the revision and nine trading days after the first sighting. Investing.com's report carried on Yahoo Finance's technology pages, byline Ayushman Ojha: "TSMC 2nm wafer capacity to exceed earlier estimates, EDN reports." Credits EDN by name; carries the 120,000 against prior forecasts of 90,000 to 100,000 and the 10-to-20-percent order increase; adds TSMC senior vice-president Hou Yung-ching on first-year 2nm output running 45 percent above 3nm's first year in 2023 and capacity compounding about 70 percent a year through 2028 — company remarks about growth rates, not about the 120,000. The lag closes here on the 2nm leg. The CoWoS leg still has no American headline. Tiered 4 by what the source is; the lag is marked by where the claim reached, which is a different field.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
· Entry 6
28 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 9, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes. No new claim cleared the floor today and no entry is added: the register stays at eleven. Entry 6 is the issue’s feature and its lag is filled at nine trading days, closed by a Yahoo Finance headline published at 11:07 p.m. Eastern on Sunday 27 September — after Friday’s close and before Monday’s open — carrying a 2nm figure a third larger than the one this register has tracked since 14 September. The revision is a sighting and not a document, so the status does not move. Entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 9, 10 and 11 have a 28 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced by one session each.
Prior record for entry 6
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTSMC's 2nm capacity is expected to rise from 90,000 wafers a month at end-2026 to 110,000 by mid-2027, its 3nm from more than 180,000 to 210,000, and CoWoS packaging from roughly 130,000 a month to 260,000 by end-2028, per TrendForce citing Taiwan's Economic Daily News. TSMC has not published these figures. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapenot separable. The claim concerns capacity two to eight quarters out and no single session's move can be attributed to it.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: TSMC's third-quarter call in October, its capex guidance, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month.
Previous lag label9 trading days and running, at 25 September. No mainstream American headline for the capacity figures; the groundbreaking was reported, the numbers were not.
14 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce / EDN
First sighting. The capacity numbers above, attributed to Economic Daily News; a 22 percent lift at 2nm, 17 percent at 3nm and a doubling of CoWoS on this desk's arithmetic from the published figures.
15 Sep 11:30 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: 3nm, 2nm and CoWoS all tight through the third quarter, Nvidia and Apple dominating advanced process and packaging, and Amazon's Annapurna unit expanding AI chip tape-outs and given more 3nm capacity. Supply-chain sources. Body paywalled.
21 Sep 07:37 · tier 1 · TSMC via Reuters
Added 21 September. Ground was broken on an advanced-packaging industrial park at Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, anchored by TSMC, reported by Reuters under a Taipei dateline of 21 September (some US syndications carry a 20 September date) and carried by Benzinga at 7:37 a.m. Eastern, with operations expected in the fourth quarter of 2029. Document-grade, and evidence about direction rather than about the claim's numbers: 2029 sits a year beyond the end of the claim's window, and no wafer or CoWoS figure in the claim is addressed.
21 Sep 09:59 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Weekly roundup, by its own stamp: semiconductor equipment makers facing lead times of up to forty months on certain Japanese components, and local component deliveries stretching about fifty percent. The physical constraint any such ramp meets. Not a second surface for the capacity figures.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting of the capacity figures and no TSMC statement on them; the company's only reference point remains the July call's 2026 capex guidance of $60–64 billion. The one TSMC item TrendForce carried today is adjacent and does not confirm the numbers. The date to mark: TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei, per the company's own financial calendar. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 23 September items run to DRAM spot prices, LPDDR6 validation, a glass-substrate roundup and a NAND patent ruling, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 24 September items run to Chinese memory capacity, a Meta device launch, a GDDR7 end-of-life report, an optical-transceiver listing and a Qualcomm node statement, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against TrendForce’s current news file, whose 25 September items run to twelve-inch wafer contract pricing and a rare-earths piece, neither of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
27 Sep 14:06 · tier 4 · Economic Daily News
Added 28 September, and the sighting this issue is built on: the origin outlet revising its own number. Page stamp 28 September 02:06 Taipei, byline Yin Hui-chung (尹慧中), read in the original by this desk. 大廠追加訂單 台積電2奈米擴產進度超前 年底月產能上看12萬片 — major customers have added orders, TSMC's 2nm expansion is ahead of schedule, year-end monthly capacity looking at 120,000 wafers. It states that the market had expected about 90,000 to 100,000 at year-end. Five customers named as raising 2nm-family orders by 10 to 20 percent: Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, MediaTek. 3nm put near 180,000 a month in the fourth quarter of 2026 and 200,000 to 210,000 in 2027, which is consistent with the 14 September figures. Sourcing language 業界傳出 and 消息人士透露 — the industry says, sources disclose. No firm named, no person named, no document.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
27 Sep 23:07 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, nine hours after the revision and nine trading days after the first sighting. Investing.com's report carried on Yahoo Finance's technology pages, byline Ayushman Ojha: "TSMC 2nm wafer capacity to exceed earlier estimates, EDN reports." Credits EDN by name; carries the 120,000 against prior forecasts of 90,000 to 100,000 and the 10-to-20-percent order increase; adds TSMC senior vice-president Hou Yung-ching on first-year 2nm output running 45 percent above 3nm's first year in 2023 and capacity compounding about 70 percent a year through 2028 — company remarks about growth rates, not about the 120,000. The lag closes here on the 2nm leg. The CoWoS leg still has no American headline. Tiered 4 by what the source is; the lag is marked by where the claim reached, which is a different field.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
28 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named: TipRanks, GuruFocus via TradingView, CoinCentral, Blockonomi, KuCoin, Parameter and EconoTimes carried the 120,000 by mid-morning; every one credits EDN and none adds a source. Invezz, 28 September 00:10 Eastern, is the exception worth reading — it reaches TechInsights vice-chair Dan Hutcheson on more than fifteen customers working on N2 and Stifel's Sahej Singh keeping a Buy and a $515 target on a margin argument — and its own headline reads that the stock slipped.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
· Entry 9
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 28 Sep observation for entry 9 and update lag from the supplied register. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 9
Previous first-seen label18 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimThe Munich I Regional Court has found Micron Technology to infringe two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies and granted injunctions covering sales of the infringing 3D NAND products in Germany, per ip fray, with Micron saying it disagrees, has appealed and is challenging the rights' validity, per TechNode citing IT Home. No judgment text is public and no mainstream American outlet has carried it. The Whisper, No. 6.
Previous tape1,015.80 → 1,096.16, +80.36, +7.91%, the 18 September close on the day of the first sighting to the 22 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry 977.50 (17 Sep), 1,015.80 (18 Sep), 1,043.96 (21 Sep) and 1,096.16 (22 Sep) identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 80.36 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, both printed: 1,074.68, −21.48, −1.96%, previous close 1,096.16, range 1,074.30–1,105.50, volume 6,619,617, Yahoo Finance at 10:20 a.m.; 1,067.01, open 1,100.07, high 1,105.50, low 1,069.76, volume 13,313,292, stockanalysis.com at a 1:13 p.m. page stamp. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28,078,850 against 28.17m on 21 September, 28,588,943 against 29.19m on 22 September. Nothing is attributed: Micron reports on 30 September and the memory complex has run for weeks. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 — Yahoo Finance’s quote page states it as the 24 September close, with open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,081.04 and volume 21,938,990 — and stockanalysis.com’s live change today implies the identical previous close of 1,080.51, reconciling within rounding. That carries the move from the 18 September base to +64.73, +6.37%, this desk’s arithmetic, 64.73 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,079.00, open 1,095.83, range 1,074.51–1,108.72, volume 10,532,468, stockanalysis.com at 11:58 a.m. Eastern.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: the Munich I judgment texts, which would fix the product scope; a Munich Higher Regional Court ruling on a stay; Micron's fiscal 2026 annual report and its legal-proceedings note, following the 30 September results; an 8-K if the company judges the effect material sooner; a filing by YMTC of the security German law requires before a first-instance injunction is enforced. Kills it: an appellate stay, or judgment texts showing the enjoined products are not ones Micron sells into Germany.
Previous lag label5 trading days and running, at 25 September. First sighting Friday 18 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — had carried it as of 1:41 p.m. Eastern today.
18 Sep · tier 4 · ip fray
First sighting, and the only account with the record in it: the 7th Civil Chamber, presiding judge Dr. Oliver Schoen; cases 7 O 12615/25 and 7 O 12614/25 decided, three more adjourned, among them 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25; utility models DE 20 2020 006 166 U1, "Staircase structure of a three-dimensional storage device," and DE 20 2021 004 551 U1, "Barrier layers for word line contacts in three-dimensional NAND memory." On what happens next: "Enforcement will likely begin soon unless the appeals court (the Munich Higher Regional Court) stays both injunctions." Stood alone.
18–23 Sep, undated · tier 4 · IAM
"YMTC strikes NAND patent blow against Micron with two German injunctions." Logged as a headline from the search index rather than as a read: iam-media.com returns a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened. Its date is not established.
23 Sep 05:07 · tier 4 · TechNode
09:07 UTC. Second origin rather than a relay: it cites the Chinese outlet IT Home, not ip fray. "Munich Regional Court I has ruled that Micron infringed two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies, and issued injunctions." Carries the company response the first report did not.
23 Sep · tier 2 · Micron via TechNode
The highest tier in the trail besides the ruling itself, and carried at second hand: Micron "said it disagreed with the decision, filed an appeal and was challenging the validity of the relevant rights." No verbatim company statement has been located.
23 Sep · tier 4 · DIGITIMES
"YMTC wins German injunctions against Micron in latest round of NAND patent battle," item a20260923PD226. Headline from the search index; digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk on four attempts and no page was read.
23 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "German Court Reportedly Finds Micron Infringed Two YMTC NAND Patents, Grants Injunctions" — reportedly, five days after a specialist outlet printed the chamber, the judge and the case numbers.
23 Sep 12:12 · tier 5 · aggregator
Counted, not weighted, and quoted because it states the limits most precisely: "The injunctions are first-instance rulings that cover sales of the infringing products in Germany only," and "No report we found says YMTC has started enforcing, that Micron has asked for a stay, or that one has been granted." Also: without the judgment texts nobody outside the case can say whether the enjoined products are consumer SSD components, embedded NAND, or both.
24 Sep · tier 4 · JUVE Patent
Added 24 September. A second origin, not a relay: it does not cite ip fray, and it carries material the first report did not. The patent EP 3 931 868 beside four German utility models — DE 20 2020 006 166.2, DE 20 2021 004 551, DE 20 2018 007 011 and DE 20 2022 003 278 — the pending cases 7 O 12609/25, 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25 alongside the two decided, and presiding judge Oliver Schön of the 7th Civil Chamber. It states that the court found two utility models "valid and infringed and granted YMTC injunctions," that Micron has appealed, and — new to this register — that Micron has brought its own infringement claims at the Munich Regional Court and at the Unified Patent Court on EP 3 706 127, EP 3 574 526 and EP 2 745 295.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
The claim reaches the American technology press, and not the American market press: "China's YMTC wins patent battle against Micron in ongoing 3-year legal war over memory patents — new injunctions could restrict Micron's supply into Germany." Downstream; not counted as an independent surface.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. No judgment text, no stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement. No mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now four trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Electronics Weekly has joined the trail, and a further specialist write-up records Micron’s appeal of both injunctions; both are downstream and neither is counted as an independent surface. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now five trading days.
· Entry 10
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 28 Sep observation for entry 10 and update lag from the supplied register. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 10
Previous first-seen label23 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimMicron has marked its 2-gigabyte GDDR7 chips end of life — the 28Gbps D8FHL part, MT68A512M32DF-28:A, and its 32Gbps sibling — leaving 3-gigabyte modules as its only GDDR7 density and Samsung and SK hynix as the remaining sources of the 2-gigabyte parts used on much of Nvidia's RTX 50 range, per Hardware Busters, The FPS Review, VideoCardz, TechPowerUp and TrendForce, all reading the same page of Micron's own parts catalogue. Micron has published no notice and explained nothing; Nvidia has said nothing. The Whisper, No. 7.
Previous tape1,096.16 → 1,071.88, −24.28, −2.22%, the 22 September close before the first sighting to the 23 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com's daily table and Yahoo Finance's quote page carry 1,071.88 identically, Yahoo carries the change as −2.22 percent, and MarketBeat's 23 September alert headlines "Shares Down 2.2%." Desk arithmetic, inputs shown: 1,096.16 − 1,071.88 = 24.28; 24.28 ÷ 1,096.16 = 2.215 percent. Nothing is attributed. Wednesday's session already has a published explanation and it is not this one: Invezz, 23 September 15:02, gives Wells Fargo cutting its target to $1,400 from $1,525 while keeping Overweight, Citi's Atif Malik raising his to $1,300 from $1,150 on "stronger-than-expected DRAM pricing and continued undersupply across both DRAM and NAND markets," and Michael Burry adding to a short. No published account of the session mentions GDDR7. The 23 September close is carried on a third independent read, Yahoo Finance at 1:39 p.m. today, which returns 1,071.88 as the previous close. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,072.12, +0.24, +0.02%, open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,076.49, volume 14,114,423, Yahoo Finance, "As of 1:39:31 PM EDT. Market Open" — Micron opened twenty-two points below the prior close, traded to 1,044.00 and was bought back to roughly unchanged, and none of that is attributed either. A reading set aside and not logged: an 11:24 a.m. table appeared to carry a 24 September close outside its own printed high and low, but on re-reading at 1:37 p.m. that page was serving data stamped 4:51 a.m. pre-market and a Yahoo read a minute later returned a level near 958 against a previous close near 956 that reconciles with no session sworn in here and did not reproduce. The desk does not log an entry against a page it cannot re-read. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 on the two reads described in entry 9, which carries the move from the 22 September base to −15.63, −1.43%, this desk’s arithmetic, 15.63 ÷ 1,096.16. Nothing is attributed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a distributor's catalogue mirroring the EOL flag with a last-time-buy date; a product change notification to customers, the document this kind of decision normally travels on; board partner or distributor pricing showing 2-gigabyte parts withdrawn; Micron's fiscal fourth-quarter results and call on 30 September — four trading days from today, five from the first sighting — where a deliberate shift of graphics memory toward higher-density AI parts belongs in the commentary on mix. Kills it: Micron saying the parts remain in production, a catalogue reading showing them in Production status, or a 2-gigabyte part appearing on a new board.
Previous lag label2 trading days and running, at 25 September. First sighting Wednesday 23 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — had carried it as of 1:41 p.m. Eastern today; Tom's Hardware is the furthest it has travelled and that is the technology press.
23 Sep · tier 5 · leak account
First sighting, counted and not named: a hardware leak account on X, quoted verbatim by The FPS Review — "the micron gddr7 28gbps 2gb chip d8fhl (MT68A512M32DF-28:A) used on some rtx50 cards, has reached end of life." One sentence, one part number, no explanation, no company. Time not established.
23 Sep 05:05 · tier 4 · Hardware Busters
09:05:00 UTC by its own stamp, byline crmaris. Names both parts, MT68A512M32DF-28:A and MT68A512M32DF-32:A, and cites four things: Micron's GDDR7 part catalogue, the leak account, TweakTown and VideoCardz. Did not stand alone, and printed the sentence that matters most in the trail: "Micron has not published a notice or explained the decision."
23 Sep 08:14 · tier 4 · The FPS Review
12:14:15 UTC, Peter Brosdahl. Cites the leak account via VideoCardz and places the part across the RTX 50 range from the 5060 to the 5090. Explicitly downstream.
23 Sep · tier 4 · VideoCardz, TechPowerUp
"Micron reportedly ends production of 2GB GDDR7 used by GeForce RTX 50" and "Micron's 2 GB GDDR7 Memory Chips Reportedly Reach End of Life." Both logged as headlines from the search index rather than as reads: videocardz.com returned a 402 to this desk and techpowerup.com is disallowed to it by robots. Neither page was opened.
23–24 Sep · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: eTeknix, Wccftech, Kantan, GameGPU, Techtroduce, FPSHub and borecraft, every one a retelling of the same catalogue reading and none an independent surface.
24 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "Micron Reportedly Ends 2GB GDDR7, Narrowing Supply Options for NVIDIA's RTX 50 Series," citing TechPowerUp, Gazlog, the leak account, Tom's Hardware, VideoCardz and the catalogue, and stating the document claim in its cleanest form: "Micron's product catalog now lists its 28 Gbps D8FHL chip (MT68A512M32DF-28) as EOL, with the 32 Gbps version carrying the same designation." Adds the economics: 3GB modules at $60–$70 a chip against roughly $20 for the 2GB parts.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
Added 24 September, and the surface that supplies the reason this sits on the AI beat. Etiido Uko reports both the 28 and 32 Gbps variants discontinued and Micron "shifting its focus toward higher-density 3 GB (24 Gb) GDDR7 chips," which carry "higher profit margins" and go into Nvidia's professional RTX PRO Blackwell parts for AI work; the general case, in its words, is "memory suppliers prioritizing AI-facing technologies over their consumer and retail counterparts." It also carries the counterweight this desk prints rather than the squeeze: Samsung and SK hynix already dominate 2GB GDDR7 and Micron was not competitive there, so the exit creates little shortage risk. No Micron or Nvidia comment.
24 Sep 12:46 · tier 1 · the catalogue, unread
The desk went to the document and could not open it. micron.com's public GDDR7 part catalogue returns no results; its table carries the right columns — part number, density, parts status, depth, width, operating temperature, speed — and "parts status" is the field holding the EOL, Production and Preview values every report is quoting. The catalogue requires a Micron account. The document exists, it is Micron's own, and no reader outside can check the claim against it. The claim is not upgraded on a page this desk cannot read.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. The lag runs on, now two trading days. Status unchanged.
· Entry 11
The Whisper, No. 9 — 28 September 2026: append the supplied 28 Sep observation for entry 11 and update lag from the supplied register. Existing sourcing history and source links are retained; status is unchanged.
Prior record for entry 11
Previous first-seen label23 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimNew 2027 long-term contract prices for twelve-inch semiconductor silicon wafers will rise fifteen to twenty-five percent for epitaxial wafers and more than forty percent for polished, with some second-tier customers above fifty percent, per the Commercial Times of Taipei, citing an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, and there is no document of any kind in the trail. The Whisper, No. 8.
Previous tapeno reading sworn in, and the desk prints why. The claim's subjects are listed in Taipei — GlobalWafers on the Taipei Exchange under 6488, with Taisil and Wafer Works beside it — and this desk has established no US-listed line for any of them. The two feeds it reads for Taipei disagree by roughly a third and both are stale: stockanalysis.com served 1,000.00 TWD, +29.00, +2.99%, previous close 971.00, volume 1,355,000, on a page stamped 23 September 9:20 a.m. Taipei; Investing.com served 1,480.00 TWD, −35.00, −2.31%, volume 10.79m, on a page labelled "Closed as of July 15, 2026." One is ten weeks stale and says so; the other is two days stale and does not. Both are printed, neither is sworn, and no level is published as current. No options print, no volume anomaly and no prediction-market contract was found either. The fifty-two-week range on both pages runs 333 to 1,600.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: GlobalWafers' third-quarter results and investor conference in late October, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month; SUMCO's and Shin-Etsu's late-October results and their guidance language on long-term agreements; any foundry or memory maker booking a materially higher wafer cost line in fourth-quarter guidance, which confirms it from the customer's side. Kills it: a wafer maker saying on the record that 2027 agreements are renewing at single-digit or low-double-digit increases; a customer's guidance showing flat wafer costs into 2027; or the October results season passing with none of the companies raising their own pricing outlook.
Previous lag label2 trading days and running, at 25 September. First sighting Wednesday 23 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — carried the 2027 contract numbers as of 12:15 p.m. Eastern today. The furthest the claim has travelled into American publishing is Wccftech and TrendForce, which are the technology and research trade, not the market press.
26 Jun · tier 4 · CTEE, BigGo
Upstream, and a different claim. The Commercial Times reported wafer prices rising about ten percent across six-, eight- and twelve-inch, the first increase in over three years. A Chinese-language analysis the same day, 12:26 UTC, citing CITIC Securities, SEMI, Bernstein and JW Insights, gave the mechanism: the long-term supply agreements "acted like shackles, making silicon wafer manufacturers the last beneficiaries in the AI industry chain." Ten percent across all sizes in June is not forty percent on polished twelve-inch in 2027.
15–17 Sep · tier 4 · CTEE
The supply side, twice: a 15 September item putting the supply gap at at least ten percent from next year, a 17 September item widening it to twenty-four percent by 2028. Neither carried contract prices.
18 Sep · tier 4 · UBS, as reported
Recorded because it is being conflated with the claim, not because it supports it. Wafer manufacturers "may need price increases of 40% to 50% just to justify building the capacity the AI industry says it needs" — a threshold required to unlock investment, not a forecast of contract prices. Two different forty-percents are now circulating in the same week.
23 Sep 03:00 · tier 4 · Commercial Times
First sighting, page stamp 03:00 Taipei, modified 08:01, byline Li Juan-ping (李娟萍). The sentence, in the original: 十二吋磊晶圓新長約價格估上漢15%~25%,拋光晶圓漲幅則可能達40%以上,部分二線客戶甚至超遒50% — new long-contract prices for twelve-inch epitaxial wafers estimated up fifteen to twenty-five percent, polished wafers possibly above forty, some second-tier customers above fifty. Three forces named: AI logic, memory capacity expansion, and the renegotiation of long-term contracts. Attributed to an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates; no firm and no person named. Stood alone; cites no earlier report.
23 Sep 14:10 · tier 4 · Wccftech
Ramish Zafar, byline stamp "Sep 23, 2026 at 02:10pm EDT," crediting Taiwan's CTEE. Carries the split correctly — "polished wafers are expected to see a higher price jump in the form of a 40% increase compared to 15% to 25% for the standard epitaxial wafers" — and the demand arithmetic beneath it: CoWoS capacity up 70.9 percent next year, GPU and custom AI ASIC demand up 44.9 percent, wafer prices from $92 in 2026 to $122 in 2027 and $166 in 2028, shipments from 11.9 million wafers a quarter to 16.1 million and then 21.7 million. Its headline takes the polished figure as the whole. Explicitly downstream.
25 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
"12-inch Wafer Price Hikes Loom for 2027 as AI Demand Tightens Supply, with LTAs Reportedly Up 15–40%+," citing the Commercial Times, Star Market Daily, Wccftech and BigGo. A synthesis of the origin and its relays that reaches past Wccftech to a second Chinese-language outlet, which is what carries this entry over the floor. The word in its own headline is reportedly, two days on, and that is the correct word.
· Entry 1, Entry 2, Entry 3, Entry 4, Entry 5, Entry 6, Entry 9, Entry 10, Entry 11, Entry 12, Entry 13
The Whisper Nos. 10–11 (29–30 September 2026): reconcile the supplied active register with the hosted record, retaining all earlier entries, corrections and verified citation additions. Add dated observations and entries 12–13 with direct source links. Correct the entry 1 session count; distinguish AMD’s announced but pending World Labs agreement from the AMD pricing rumor; clarify the Alpha Compute term-sheet status and The Bell publication chronology; and leave entry 13’s mainstream-US lag open despite a Canadian relay. No rumor is asserted as confirmed by these editorial changes. Entry 12 is held open because the independent corroboration threshold is not met by relays of one FT report.
Prior record for entry 1
Previous first-seen label15 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTen banks are lending $22 billion, with a $1 billion revolver beside it, to Crux AI, the Blackstone–Alphabet venture, to buy Google TPUs, secured by the chips and the customer contracts, per Bloomberg's people familiar with the matter. 9fin had it a day earlier at $23 billion. No party has confirmed it. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeon Fed day, not attributable. Blackstone 126.70 → 123.45, −2.57%; Alphabet 344.98 → 342.87, −0.61%, September 15 to 16 closes; levels stockanalysis.com, the two percentages also carried by Investing.com's report at 15:44. 22 + 1 = 23; 23 + 5 = 28, against May's "roughly 25." Updated 18 September: Alphabet closed 17 September at 347.33, +1.30%, volume 19,032,520, stockanalysis.com, in a market-wide rally the day after the Fed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a closing release from Blackstone, Crux or a lead bank; a rating on the facility or the refinancing bonds; the bonds' offering document; a named bank saying it is not in the group.
Previous lag label1 trading day from 9fin to Bloomberg; 2 from the unattributed sighting, which the desk does not count as a start.
18 May · tier 1 · Blackstone release
The venture announced: $5 billion of initial equity from Blackstone, 500 MW online in 2027, Google supplying TPUs, software and services. No debt mentioned.
May, per 22 May account · tier 3 · Bloomberg
"Roughly $25 billion with leverage," one person familiar; Blackstone majority owner; Benjamin Treynor Sloss chief executive.
14 Sep 09:05 · tier 5 · unattributed
Counted, not named: a crypto-news site wrote that Blackstone was "reportedly targeting investments in the tens of billions… across multiple gigawatts," citing no one.
15 Sep · tier 4 · 9fin
"Blackstone looks to raise $23bn debt for Google AI joint venture," sources told 9fin. First attributed sighting; no time shown.
16 Sep 15:44 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
First mainstream US headline: $22 billion loan plus $1 billion revolver, ten banks (Goldman, SMBC, Barclays, BNP, Scotiabank named), secured by chips and contracts, possible refinancing in investment-grade bonds. Did not cite 9fin. Time is the stamp on Investing.com's relay.
16 Sep 16:34 · tier 3 · Reuters
Relay citing Bloomberg; seven companies did not respond. A later headline reads "source says," unread by the desk, not counted as independent.
16–17 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Re-checked 18 September. No document appeared. What changed is the language: TipRanks and Gokhshtein published the loan as "secured"; Blockonomi, 17 Sep 12:10 UTC, wrote that Crux "has successfully arranged $22 billion in bank financing" and that the facility "is secured against both the physical TPU hardware and contractual agreements." Nobody has confirmed a dollar of it.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank confirming or denying membership of the group. The aggregator layer has thickened — Finimize, briefs.co, AI Weekly and FourWeekMBA now carry the loan in the past tense — and two Yahoo Finance relays, including a Benzinga piece putting GOOGL and BX "in focus," keep it in front of American readers. Nothing document-grade. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No closing release on Blackstone's press page, whose most recent items are 13, 10 and 9 September and none of them about Crux AI or the facility; no rating, and a KBRA note on AI-compute financing risk that does not evaluate Crux AI; no offering document; no bank on the record either way. A domain-restricted search of sec.gov returns no filing naming Crux AI. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Six sessions after Bloomberg's report — 17, 18, 21, 22, 23 and 24 September — there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind — FourWeekMBA, AI Weekly, Finimize, Dealroom and pulse2 all carry the facility, most of them in the past tense — and one relay again states the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. No closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer thickened again — Finimize, FourWeekMBA, Dealroom, KuCoin and HuggingNews all carry the facility in the past tense — and one relay, Runtimewire, puts the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Seven sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for the existing 18 May Blackstone observation: the linked May 18, 2026 issuer announcement supports the equity commitment, expected capacity and Google's contribution recorded above. It does not confirm the separate loan, revolver, lenders or closing. This is a citation update, not a new first sighting or rumor-status change; the historical observations and supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Eight sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 2
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimKioxia is weighing a US listing of American depositary shares to raise at least $10 billion, possibly next year, with Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, per Bloomberg's people familiar; the deliberations are "preliminary." The plan is the company's, stated in May; the size is single-sourced. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeTokyo readings one feed, unsworn; no US-listed security yet.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a public Form F-1 on EDGAR; an exchange application; a Kioxia release naming the exchange; the November results. Amended 24 September: the Form F-6EF of 11 February is on file, was filed by a depositary rather than by Kioxia, and does not settle it; neither does the unsponsored KXIAY programme.
Previous lag label0 trading days; the first sighting of the size was the mainstream headline.
May · tier 1 · Kioxia
The company said it was preparing to list ADRs to broaden its investor base, per Reuters' account of 14 September.
25 Jun 03:27 · tier 4 · TradingKey
Added 21 September, an earlier surface the desk had missed: Kioxia "intends to issue American Depositary Receipts and list on a U.S. stock exchange by spring 2027," subject to regulatory approval, with exchange, offering size and timeline unsettled. The plan and its approximate date were therefore in print three months before Bloomberg's report; what is single-sourced is the size, not the listing.
14 Sep 08:58 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
At least $10 billion, three banks named, size and lineup subject to change; Kioxia did not reply outside business hours. Reuters relayed it; The Star's copy stamped 08:58 Eastern. The sighting was the headline.
14–15 Sep · tier 4 · SED, Invezz
Seoul Economic Daily and Invezz relayed Bloomberg; Invezz read the Tokyo shares at ¥51,720 on the 14th and ¥51,350 by the 15th, against a June high of ¥112,750.
18 Sep · desk check
Re-checked against EDGAR's full-text index: no Form F-1 for Kioxia. No new sighting since 14 September and no denial. Status unchanged.
15 Sep · tier 1 · Kioxia
Added 22 September, and the highest tier this claim has reached. "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports," on the company's own site: "There have been media reports regarding the listing of the Company's American Depositary Shares on a U.S. stock exchange. These reports are not announcements made by the Company," and "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided," with the note that preparations may be discontinued. Neither confirms nor denies the size, the banks or the timing. The desk had missed this through three issues; see the audit block.
11 Feb · tier 1 · BNY Mellon / EDGAR
Added 24 September, and the document this register said did not exist. Form F-6EF, accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock. No exchange is named in it, and Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, 240 Greenwich Street, as depositary, with Kioxia Holdings Corporation named only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. It predates Bloomberg's report by seven months and says nothing about the size, the banks, the exchange or the timing the claim is about. See the audit block.
9 Mar · tier 1 · depositary bulletin
Added 24 September. The Kioxia line that actually trades over the counter, KXIAY, is a different programme under a different bank: an unsponsored depositary receipt facility with J.P. Morgan as depositary, ten ordinary shares to one receipt, CUSIP 49726J108, listed in BNY Mellon's bulletin of new unsponsored programmes dated 9 March 2026. An unsponsored facility is established by a bank without the issuer's participation, so it is evidence about banks and not about Kioxia's intentions.
21 Sep · desk check
EDGAR re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4: still no Form F-1. The Japan Times and Yahoo Finance relays of the 14 September report remain the American surface. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5: still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia, and no IR item since the 15 September notice. A trap recorded for future searches: the F-1 that surfaces on these search terms is SK hynix Inc., CIK 2120882, filed 24 June, Nasdaq Global Select under SKHY, with BofA Securities, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan as global coordinators — a different issuer with a near-identical bank lineup to the three attributed to Kioxia. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The F-6EF above was found on this check and is filed in its own place in the trail; it is the highest-tier document on this entry after that notice, and it does not touch the claim as printed.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for two existing observations: Source 1 is Kioxia's September 15, 2026 media-response notice, supporting the recorded preparation and uncertainty. Source 2 is the February 11, 2026 F-6 filing, accession 0001019155-26-000048, supporting the depositary filing observation. Neither establishes the reported offering size, bank lineup, exchange or timing. The separate March depositary programme and remaining trail were not checked in this citation update. Status, historical dates, text and the supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 3
Previous first-seen label17 SEP
Previous source-record statusopen
Previous recorded claimAMD has told its partners that prices on its graphics processors, AI accelerators and chipsets will rise by roughly ten percent in the fourth quarter of 2026, because TSMC has told AMD the same about wafers, per Wccftech citing ChannelGate, a supply-chain channel on WeChat. Neither company has commented. Every English-language sighting traces to that one channel. The Whisper, No. 2.
Previous tape512.50 → 559.82, +47.32, +9.23%, the 16 September close before the first attributed sighting to the 18 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry both figures identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 47.32 ÷ 512.50. Intraday 21 September, one feed and unsworn: 606.68 at 1:24 p.m. on stockanalysis.com, +46.86, +8.37% on the session, range 582.27–615.99, volume 29.5m, which carries the move from the same base to +94.18, +18.38%. The same page put the market capitalisation at $990.39 billion. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28.17m against 28.46m on 17 September, 31.17m against 31.87m on 18 September. Amended 21 September with the corrected stamp: the report ran at 8:26 a.m. on 17 September, sixty-four minutes before the open, and AMD opened at 533.60 — both feeds, sworn — a gap of 4.12% on the prior close, 533.60 ÷ 512.50, closing the session up 6.36%. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish and does not guess; the earlier claim that the advance preceded the report is withdrawn. The advance has also run on through a broad semiconductor rally, so the desk still attributes nothing. Updated 22 September: Monday's close is sworn at 615.52 — stockanalysis.com and stockinvest.us, which wrote that AMD "ended at $615.52," with Yahoo Finance carrying the same as its previous close — which carries the move from the same base to +103.02, +20.10%, this desk's arithmetic, 103.02 ÷ 512.50. Today unsworn, both printed: 618.34 at 12:03 p.m. Eastern on stockanalysis.com, 614.92 at 10:46 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. A caution: Investing.com's AMD historical table was stale at 18 September when checked today, and its quote page showed a 15:39 intraday print of 615.71 that is not a close; it is not used for Monday.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a partner or OEM price list showing fourth-quarter increases in that range; AMD's third-quarter results and call on 3 November, where a ten percent rise reaches the gross-margin line; TSMC's October call on 2027 wafer pricing; an on-the-record statement. Kills it: AMD saying no such notice went to partners, or fourth-quarter price lists arriving unchanged.
Previous lag label1 trading day, corrected 21 September from running. First attributed sighting 17 September 8:26 a.m.; first mainstream US headline 18 September 5:22 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. The first independently authored American market story came on 21 September, two trading days out; the desk counts the earlier one.
21 Jul · tier 3 · Nikkei
The upstream claim, via Tom's Hardware: TSMC to raise advanced-node baseline prices five to ten percent from the start of 2027, with "another 10% to 15% premium on top of the standard increase" for incremental HPC capacity, citing people with knowledge of the matter. Named no customer.
17 Sep · tier 5 · channel
ChannelGate, a WeChat supply-chain account, relayed by a leak account on X. Counted, not named. Origin of the AMD-specific leg.
17 Sep 08:26 · tier 4 · Wccftech
First attributed sighting; stamp corrected 21 September from 12:26 p.m., which was the page metadata's UTC time, to 8:26 a.m. Eastern per the article's own byline. "TSMC has notified its customers about the price hikes, leading to AMD notifying its partners about the same. The price hike is roughly 10% and is planned to be implemented in the fourth quarter of 2026." Cited ChannelGate; did not stand alone; said a ten percent Ryzen increase "should be treated as a 'possibility' rather than a confirmed development." Wccftech gives ChannelGate no descriptor; Club386, the same day, identifies it as the WeChat arm of a Chinese leak site.
17–18 Sep · tier 4 · relays
Counted, not weighted: six English-language sites, among them ThinkComputers, Club386, Notebookcheck, PC Guide, XenoSpectrum and Technetbook. All downstream of the same item or the same channel.
18 Sep 05:22 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline. Amended 21 September: logged in The Whisper, No. 2, as a Stocktwits relay, it was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages as "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," naming both Wccftech and ChannelGate; AMD up 1.4 percent premarket, a third consecutive advance, the three-session gain above twelve percent. The lag closed here.
18 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
Carried in its own news file as AMD "preparing a 10% price hike for GPUs, AI chips, and chipsets in Q4 2026, attributed to rising manufacturing costs at TSMC." Downstream of the same origin; not counted as a second surface.
19 Sep · tier 2 · TSMC via Digital Citizen
The first named-company material in the trail, and the highest tier this claim has reached. A TSMC spokesperson, asked about the report: "Our pricing strategy is strategic, not opportunistic. We will continue to work closely with customers and sell our value to them." Neither a confirmation nor a denial. The same piece set the leak's Q4 2026 timing against TSMC's July guidance of 2027 and allowed that the two "may describe one negotiation at different stages or two separate cost actions."
21 Sep 09:37 · tier 4 · 24/7 Wall St.
First American market story written independently of the technology press, also carried on Yahoo Finance: "AMD Rises 5% as Report Flags 10% Chip Price Increase; NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor Tick Up." AMD 586.66, Nvidia 223.72, TSM 440.92. Calls the claim "unconfirmed," does not name ChannelGate, and adds that "a denial or narrower scope would remove the framing that's lifting AMD stock this morning."
21 Sep · tier 4 · PCWorld
Added 22 September. Quotes the origin channel directly, through a leak account on X: "AMD will increase chip price about 10% in Q4 / It is result from TSMC's price increase." No AMD comment. Not an independent surface; it is the same WeChat account, one relay closer to the source than Wccftech was.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting today, no AMD statement, no denial, and no partner or OEM price list. The claim is forking in the relay layer: one branch has Ryzen spared, the other has Ryzen following, and both cite the same channel. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. TweakTown has joined the relay layer, alongside Digital Trends, XenoSpectrum, ThinkComputers and Startup Fortune, and the Ryzen fork persists across them; every one is downstream of the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Digital Trends, Startup Fortune and Compsmag have joined the relay layer and the Ryzen fork persists across it; every branch still cites the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8, the sixth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Recorded beside this entry today: an unrelated and independently sourced claim, printed as entry 11, that the silicon wafers upstream of TSMC are themselves being repriced for 2027. The desk logs the two as separate claims and does not treat either as evidence for the other. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9, the seventh session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Recorded beside this entry today and not as evidence for it: DigiTimes reported on 24 September that TSMC will raise its own wafer foundry prices by 3 to 6 percent from January 2027 with order visibility to 2030, relayed the same morning at 9:02 Taipei by the Economic Daily News and carried in American markets coverage by Benzinga. One origin, several relays, no document and no second surface — it does not clear the floor and is counted in the issue’s “seen, not printed.” Its quantity and its date both differ from this claim’s. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 4
Previous first-seen label18 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimSolidigm, SK Hynix's US NAND subsidiary, is weighing its first American NAND plant, with upstate New York the leading candidate site, per Reuters' three people familiar with the matter. SK Hynix says it is reviewing options and that nothing is confirmed. The Whisper, No. 2.
Previous tapethe desk swore in no reading for this entry. Corrected 21 September — this line previously said there is no US-listed security. SK hynix trades on Nasdaq as SKHY, American depositary shares, since 10 July 2026; Benzinga's 18 September piece used that ticker and was right. No reading has been sworn in even so, and none is printed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a New York State incentive award or economic-development board document; a site or construction permit; an SK Hynix board resolution; a Solidigm announcement naming the site.
Previous lag label0 trading days; the wire report was itself the first mainstream US headline.
18 Sep 04:41 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Its own item, Taipei 16:41: Solidigm "is considering building its first NAND manufacturing plant in the US, with upstate New York emerging as a leading candidate." Paywalled beyond the lede; no sources shown.
18 Sep 05:08 · tier 3 · Reuters
First mainstream US headline, as carried by the Korea JoongAng Daily at 18:08 Seoul. Three people familiar with the matter; one said no agreement had been reached and key details remain under discussion. Solidigm did not respond outside business hours.
18 Sep 05:08 · tier 2 · SK Hynix
On the record, confirming neither: "subsidiary Solidigm is reviewing various options to strengthen its business competitiveness, but no specific plans have been confirmed."
18 Sep · tier 4 · SED, relays
Added 21 September. Seoul Economic Daily carried it the same day as "SK hynix Weighs First U.S. NAND Plant as AI Demand Surges"; Investing.com and MarketScreener relayed Reuters; Benzinga wrote up the Friday share move directly. All downstream of the Reuters report.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. No New York State incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution, and no change to SK Hynix's on-the-record line. The claim has spread across the market layer, not the document layer. Status unchanged.
18 Sep · tier 2 · Solidigm
Added 22 September. Solidigm itself, on the record in the Reuters syndication the register had only recorded as "did not respond": "No decision regarding any specific course of action has been made." A 20 September follow-up adds that no factory has been approved, no site selected and no construction timetable exists, with Solidigm declining to "comment on market rumors."
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No Empire State Development incentive award and no Green CHIPS document naming Solidigm; no announcement from the governor's office; no site or construction permit; no board resolution. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 5
Previous first-seen label15 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimSamsung Electronics has begun running wafers for Tesla's next-generation AI5 processor at its foundry in Taylor, Texas, ahead of a start scheduled for November, per Seoul Economic Daily's semiconductor industry sources. Neither company has said it, and no American wire has reported it. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapeTesla 358.97 → 366.20, +2.01%, 14 to 17 September closes, sworn — 358.97 on stockanalysis.com and Investing.com, 366.20 on stockanalysis.com and Google Finance, whose Friday quote of 362.60 less 3.60 implies it; Investing.com carries 366.69 for the 17th and is printed, not sworn. On the claim's own session, 15 September, Tesla fell 0.67% to 356.58 on 30,168,264 shares against Monday's 32,068,734. Thursday alone was 8.12 points of the 7.23-point move, in a session the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.69% the day after the Fed. Samsung Electronics: −4.05% Monday, −0.2% Tuesday to 248,500 won, "only modestly higher" Wednesday per Invezz; 261,000 won, +3.37%, at Friday's Seoul close, one feed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: Samsung's third-quarter results in late October; Tesla's results and 10-Q; a Samsung release or Taylor site announcement; a Yonhap report carrying a company confirmation. Kills it: a statement from either company that Taylor has not begun AI5 wafers, or a Samsung disclosure putting the start in November as scheduled.
Previous lag label9 trading days and running, at 28 September. No mainstream American headline exists; the count stays open until one does.
28 Jul 2025 · tier 1 · contract
A $16.5 billion multi-year supply agreement, about 22 trillion won, disclosed by Elon Musk after Tesla had asked that the counterparty stay unnamed; Bloomberg reported it.
22 Oct 2025 · tier 2 · Musk, CNBC
Musk on the record: AI5 to be made by Samsung in Texas and TSMC in Arizona. This, and not the start, is what the American press has.
5 Nov 2025 · tier 4 · TrendForce
Musk signals AI5 mass production slipping to 2027, "casting uncertainty over Samsung."
24 Apr · tier 1 · Samsung
Equipment-installation ceremony at the Taylor plant, as referenced by Seoul Economic Daily.
13 Jul · tier 4 · TrendForce / Yonhap
AI5 tape-out complete, production expected on Samsung's 2nm process in Texas; "the disclosure marks the first time Samsung Foundry's production timeline for the Tesla AI5 chip has been revealed in concrete terms." Taylor ramp put in 2027. Korea Times and Electrek the same day.
15 Sep 17:21 · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
First sighting. Samsung "has begun prototype production at its Taylor, Texas, foundry to supply artificial intelligence chips to Tesla"; it "plans to complete mass-production verification by the end of this year and begin full supply next year." Page stamp 17:21, updated 23:35, Seoul time, which puts it near 4:21 a.m. Eastern. The headline said mass production over a body that said prototype.
16 Sep 00:28 · tier 2 · KB Securities via ChosunBiz
Kim Dong-won, named, on Samsung's 2nm gate-all-around yield improving from below 50 percent, carried by Invezz under "Samsung stock is ignoring a $16.5 billion Tesla catalyst." About the plant's capability, not the start.
16 Sep 07:00 KST · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
The same reporting re-headlined "Samsung Starts Trial Production of Tesla AI Chips in Texas," ahead of the originally scheduled November startup.
17 Sep 11:51 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: trial production, 2nm wafer production and yield verification ahead of full-scale operations. Names no source and does not cite Seoul.
16–18 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named as sources: nine sites, among them one whose headline says the node is "silencing yield doubters," a claim in none of the underlying reporting.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no mainstream American headline and no company statement either way; the only movement is in the enthusiast layer, where Not a Tesla App and similar sites now carry the trial start as settled fact. The lag continues to run.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters, Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Yahoo Finance's Tesla AI5 items stop at the tape-out and dual-foundry stories, and the nearest American piece is Electrek's 13 July tape-out report, which is a different claim. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against the same American outlets. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim. The enthusiast layer has widened again — Drive Tesla Canada, Not a Tesla App, The Electric Viking, Basenor and BigGo all carry the trial start as settled fact, all downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes — and Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim. No company statement. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact, all of it downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes. No company statement. The lag runs on, now eight trading days.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now nine trading days — the longest open count on this register.
Prior record for entry 6
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTSMC's 2nm capacity is expected to rise from 90,000 wafers a month at end-2026 to 110,000 by mid-2027, its 3nm from more than 180,000 to 210,000, and CoWoS packaging from roughly 130,000 a month to 260,000 by end-2028, per TrendForce citing Taiwan's Economic Daily News. TSMC has not published these figures. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapethe claim concerns capacity two to eight quarters out and no single session's move is attributable to it; the readings below are printed as context and nothing is attributed. Added 28 September. TSM's 25 September close is sworn at 450.61 — stockanalysis.com's daily table and an independent market note carrying "TSMC stock at USD 450.61 on September 25, 2026". The 24 September close of 451.15, stockanalysis.com, reconciles against a second note describing a 0.12 percent loss into the following session: 451.15 − 450.61 = 0.54, and 0.54 ÷ 451.15 = 0.12 percent, this desk's arithmetic. The 11 September close of 433.24, the session before the first sighting, and the 14 September close of 418.01 are one feed only, printed and not sworn. From that unsworn base to Friday's sworn close the move is +17.37, +4.01%, 17.37 ÷ 433.24, across two weeks of a semiconductor tape that has run for everyone. Today unsworn, one feed: 447.14, −3.47, −0.77%, previous close 450.61, open 448.39, range 443.11–449.60, volume 3,084,181, Yahoo Finance at 11:41:27 a.m. Eastern — the stock opened lower on the morning after the American headline and traded there.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: TSMC's third-quarter call in October, its capex guidance, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month.
Previous lag label9 trading days, closed 28 September. First sighting Monday 14 September; first mainstream American headline Sunday 27 September at 11:07 p.m. Eastern, after Friday's close and before Monday's open. The trading days between are 15, 16, 17, 18, 21, 22, 23, 24 and 25 September. The headline that closed it carries a 2nm figure a third larger than the one first printed; the CoWoS leg of the claim has still not been carried by any mainstream American outlet.
14 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce / EDN
First sighting. The capacity numbers above, attributed to Economic Daily News; a 22 percent lift at 2nm, 17 percent at 3nm and a doubling of CoWoS on this desk's arithmetic from the published figures.
15 Sep 11:30 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: 3nm, 2nm and CoWoS all tight through the third quarter, Nvidia and Apple dominating advanced process and packaging, and Amazon's Annapurna unit expanding AI chip tape-outs and given more 3nm capacity. Supply-chain sources. Body paywalled.
21 Sep 07:37 · tier 1 · TSMC via Reuters
Added 21 September. Ground was broken on an advanced-packaging industrial park at Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, anchored by TSMC, reported by Reuters under a Taipei dateline of 21 September (some US syndications carry a 20 September date) and carried by Benzinga at 7:37 a.m. Eastern, with operations expected in the fourth quarter of 2029. Document-grade, and evidence about direction rather than about the claim's numbers: 2029 sits a year beyond the end of the claim's window, and no wafer or CoWoS figure in the claim is addressed.
21 Sep 09:59 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Weekly roundup, by its own stamp: semiconductor equipment makers facing lead times of up to forty months on certain Japanese components, and local component deliveries stretching about fifty percent. The physical constraint any such ramp meets. Not a second surface for the capacity figures.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting of the capacity figures and no TSMC statement on them; the company's only reference point remains the July call's 2026 capex guidance of $60–64 billion. The one TSMC item TrendForce carried today is adjacent and does not confirm the numbers. The date to mark: TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei, per the company's own financial calendar. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 23 September items run to DRAM spot prices, LPDDR6 validation, a glass-substrate roundup and a NAND patent ruling, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 24 September items run to Chinese memory capacity, a Meta device launch, a GDDR7 end-of-life report, an optical-transceiver listing and a Qualcomm node statement, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against TrendForce’s current news file, whose 25 September items run to twelve-inch wafer contract pricing and a rare-earths piece, neither of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
27 Sep 14:06 · tier 4 · Economic Daily News
Added 28 September, and the sighting this issue is built on: the origin outlet revising its own number. Page stamp 28 September 02:06 Taipei, byline Yin Hui-chung (尹慧中), read in the original by this desk. 大廠追加訂單 台積電2奈米擴產進度超前 年底月產能上看12萬片 — major customers have added orders, TSMC's 2nm expansion is ahead of schedule, year-end monthly capacity looking at 120,000 wafers. It states that the market had expected about 90,000 to 100,000 at year-end. Five customers named as raising 2nm-family orders by 10 to 20 percent: Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, MediaTek. 3nm put near 180,000 a month in the fourth quarter of 2026 and 200,000 to 210,000 in 2027, which is consistent with the 14 September figures. Sourcing language 業界傳出 and 消息人士透露 — the industry says, sources disclose. No firm named, no person named, no document.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
27 Sep 23:07 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, nine hours after the revision and nine trading days after the first sighting. Investing.com's report carried on Yahoo Finance's technology pages, byline Ayushman Ojha: "TSMC 2nm wafer capacity to exceed earlier estimates, EDN reports." Credits EDN by name; carries the 120,000 against prior forecasts of 90,000 to 100,000 and the 10-to-20-percent order increase; adds TSMC senior vice-president Hou Yung-ching on first-year 2nm output running 45 percent above 3nm's first year in 2023 and capacity compounding about 70 percent a year through 2028 — company remarks about growth rates, not about the 120,000. The lag closes here on the 2nm leg. The CoWoS leg still has no American headline. Tiered 4 by what the source is; the lag is marked by where the claim reached, which is a different field.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
28 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named: TipRanks, GuruFocus via TradingView, CoinCentral, Blockonomi, KuCoin, Parameter and EconoTimes carried the 120,000 by mid-morning; every one credits EDN and none adds a source. Invezz, 28 September 00:10 Eastern, is the exception worth reading — it reaches TechInsights vice-chair Dan Hutcheson on more than fifteen customers working on N2 and Stifel's Sahej Singh keeping a Buy and a $515 target on a margin argument — and its own headline reads that the stock slipped.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them; the company's own reference points remain the July call's capex guidance and the monthly revenue releases. No options print, no volume anomaly and no prediction-market contract on the claim was found. Status unchanged: a revision is a sighting, not a document. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei.
Prior record for entry 9
Previous first-seen label18 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimThe Munich I Regional Court has found Micron Technology to infringe two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies and granted injunctions covering sales of the infringing 3D NAND products in Germany, per ip fray, with Micron saying it disagrees, has appealed and is challenging the rights' validity, per TechNode citing IT Home. No judgment text is public and no mainstream American outlet has carried it. The Whisper, No. 6.
Previous tape1,015.80 → 1,096.16, +80.36, +7.91%, the 18 September close on the day of the first sighting to the 22 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry 977.50 (17 Sep), 1,015.80 (18 Sep), 1,043.96 (21 Sep) and 1,096.16 (22 Sep) identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 80.36 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, both printed: 1,074.68, −21.48, −1.96%, previous close 1,096.16, range 1,074.30–1,105.50, volume 6,619,617, Yahoo Finance at 10:20 a.m.; 1,067.01, open 1,100.07, high 1,105.50, low 1,069.76, volume 13,313,292, stockanalysis.com at a 1:13 p.m. page stamp. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28,078,850 against 28.17m on 21 September, 28,588,943 against 29.19m on 22 September. Nothing is attributed: Micron reports on 30 September and the memory complex has run for weeks. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 — Yahoo Finance’s quote page states it as the 24 September close, with open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,081.04 and volume 21,938,990 — and stockanalysis.com’s live change today implies the identical previous close of 1,080.51, reconciling within rounding. That carries the move from the 18 September base to +64.73, +6.37%, this desk’s arithmetic, 64.73 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,079.00, open 1,095.83, range 1,074.51–1,108.72, volume 10,532,468, stockanalysis.com at 11:58 a.m. Eastern.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: the Munich I judgment texts, which would fix the product scope; a Munich Higher Regional Court ruling on a stay; Micron's fiscal 2026 annual report and its legal-proceedings note, following the 30 September results; an 8-K if the company judges the effect material sooner; a filing by YMTC of the security German law requires before a first-instance injunction is enforced. Kills it: an appellate stay, or judgment texts showing the enjoined products are not ones Micron sells into Germany.
Previous lag label6 trading days and running, at 28 September. First sighting Friday 18 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — had carried it as of 12:20 p.m. Eastern today.
18 Sep · tier 4 · ip fray
First sighting, and the only account with the record in it: the 7th Civil Chamber, presiding judge Dr. Oliver Schoen; cases 7 O 12615/25 and 7 O 12614/25 decided, three more adjourned, among them 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25; utility models DE 20 2020 006 166 U1, "Staircase structure of a three-dimensional storage device," and DE 20 2021 004 551 U1, "Barrier layers for word line contacts in three-dimensional NAND memory." On what happens next: "Enforcement will likely begin soon unless the appeals court (the Munich Higher Regional Court) stays both injunctions." Stood alone.
18–23 Sep, undated · tier 4 · IAM
"YMTC strikes NAND patent blow against Micron with two German injunctions." Logged as a headline from the search index rather than as a read: iam-media.com returns a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened. Its date is not established.
23 Sep 05:07 · tier 4 · TechNode
09:07 UTC. Second origin rather than a relay: it cites the Chinese outlet IT Home, not ip fray. "Munich Regional Court I has ruled that Micron infringed two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies, and issued injunctions." Carries the company response the first report did not.
23 Sep · tier 2 · Micron via TechNode
The highest tier in the trail besides the ruling itself, and carried at second hand: Micron "said it disagreed with the decision, filed an appeal and was challenging the validity of the relevant rights." No verbatim company statement has been located.
23 Sep · tier 4 · DIGITIMES
"YMTC wins German injunctions against Micron in latest round of NAND patent battle," item a20260923PD226. Headline from the search index; digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk on four attempts and no page was read.
23 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "German Court Reportedly Finds Micron Infringed Two YMTC NAND Patents, Grants Injunctions" — reportedly, five days after a specialist outlet printed the chamber, the judge and the case numbers.
23 Sep 12:12 · tier 5 · aggregator
Counted, not weighted, and quoted because it states the limits most precisely: "The injunctions are first-instance rulings that cover sales of the infringing products in Germany only," and "No report we found says YMTC has started enforcing, that Micron has asked for a stay, or that one has been granted." Also: without the judgment texts nobody outside the case can say whether the enjoined products are consumer SSD components, embedded NAND, or both.
24 Sep · tier 4 · JUVE Patent
Added 24 September. A second origin, not a relay: it does not cite ip fray, and it carries material the first report did not. The patent EP 3 931 868 beside four German utility models — DE 20 2020 006 166.2, DE 20 2021 004 551, DE 20 2018 007 011 and DE 20 2022 003 278 — the pending cases 7 O 12609/25, 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25 alongside the two decided, and presiding judge Oliver Schön of the 7th Civil Chamber. It states that the court found two utility models "valid and infringed and granted YMTC injunctions," that Micron has appealed, and — new to this register — that Micron has brought its own infringement claims at the Munich Regional Court and at the Unified Patent Court on EP 3 706 127, EP 3 574 526 and EP 2 745 295.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
The claim reaches the American technology press, and not the American market press: "China's YMTC wins patent battle against Micron in ongoing 3-year legal war over memory patents — new injunctions could restrict Micron's supply into Germany." Downstream; not counted as an independent surface.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. No judgment text, no stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement. No mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now four trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Electronics Weekly has joined the trail, and a further specialist write-up records Micron’s appeal of both injunctions; both are downstream and neither is counted as an independent surface. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now five trading days.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Guru3D and a forum write-up of Micron’s appeal of both injunctions have joined the trail; both are downstream and neither is counted as an independent surface. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday 30 September are the first occasion on which someone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
Prior record for entry 10
Previous first-seen label23 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimMicron has marked its 2-gigabyte GDDR7 chips end of life — the 28Gbps D8FHL part, MT68A512M32DF-28:A, and its 32Gbps sibling — leaving 3-gigabyte modules as its only GDDR7 density and Samsung and SK hynix as the remaining sources of the 2-gigabyte parts used on much of Nvidia's RTX 50 range, per Hardware Busters, The FPS Review, VideoCardz, TechPowerUp and TrendForce, all reading the same page of Micron's own parts catalogue. Micron has published no notice and explained nothing; Nvidia has said nothing. The Whisper, No. 7.
Previous tape1,096.16 → 1,071.88, −24.28, −2.22%, the 22 September close before the first sighting to the 23 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com's daily table and Yahoo Finance's quote page carry 1,071.88 identically, Yahoo carries the change as −2.22 percent, and MarketBeat's 23 September alert headlines "Shares Down 2.2%." Desk arithmetic, inputs shown: 1,096.16 − 1,071.88 = 24.28; 24.28 ÷ 1,096.16 = 2.215 percent. Nothing is attributed. Wednesday's session already has a published explanation and it is not this one: Invezz, 23 September 15:02, gives Wells Fargo cutting its target to $1,400 from $1,525 while keeping Overweight, Citi's Atif Malik raising his to $1,300 from $1,150 on "stronger-than-expected DRAM pricing and continued undersupply across both DRAM and NAND markets," and Michael Burry adding to a short. No published account of the session mentions GDDR7. The 23 September close is carried on a third independent read, Yahoo Finance at 1:39 p.m. today, which returns 1,071.88 as the previous close. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,072.12, +0.24, +0.02%, open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,076.49, volume 14,114,423, Yahoo Finance, "As of 1:39:31 PM EDT. Market Open" — Micron opened twenty-two points below the prior close, traded to 1,044.00 and was bought back to roughly unchanged, and none of that is attributed either. A reading set aside and not logged: an 11:24 a.m. table appeared to carry a 24 September close outside its own printed high and low, but on re-reading at 1:37 p.m. that page was serving data stamped 4:51 a.m. pre-market and a Yahoo read a minute later returned a level near 958 against a previous close near 956 that reconciles with no session sworn in here and did not reproduce. The desk does not log an entry against a page it cannot re-read. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 on the two reads described in entry 9, which carries the move from the 22 September base to −15.63, −1.43%, this desk’s arithmetic, 15.63 ÷ 1,096.16. Nothing is attributed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a distributor's catalogue mirroring the EOL flag with a last-time-buy date; a product change notification to customers, the document this kind of decision normally travels on; board partner or distributor pricing showing 2-gigabyte parts withdrawn; Micron's fiscal fourth-quarter results and call on 30 September — four trading days from today, five from the first sighting — where a deliberate shift of graphics memory toward higher-density AI parts belongs in the commentary on mix. Kills it: Micron saying the parts remain in production, a catalogue reading showing them in Production status, or a 2-gigabyte part appearing on a new board.
Previous lag label3 trading days and running, at 28 September. First sighting Wednesday 23 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — had carried it as of 12:20 p.m. Eastern today; Tom's Hardware is the furthest it has travelled and that is the technology press.
23 Sep · tier 5 · leak account
First sighting, counted and not named: a hardware leak account on X, quoted verbatim by The FPS Review — "the micron gddr7 28gbps 2gb chip d8fhl (MT68A512M32DF-28:A) used on some rtx50 cards, has reached end of life." One sentence, one part number, no explanation, no company. Time not established.
23 Sep 05:05 · tier 4 · Hardware Busters
09:05:00 UTC by its own stamp, byline crmaris. Names both parts, MT68A512M32DF-28:A and MT68A512M32DF-32:A, and cites four things: Micron's GDDR7 part catalogue, the leak account, TweakTown and VideoCardz. Did not stand alone, and printed the sentence that matters most in the trail: "Micron has not published a notice or explained the decision."
23 Sep 08:14 · tier 4 · The FPS Review
12:14:15 UTC, Peter Brosdahl. Cites the leak account via VideoCardz and places the part across the RTX 50 range from the 5060 to the 5090. Explicitly downstream.
23 Sep · tier 4 · VideoCardz, TechPowerUp
"Micron reportedly ends production of 2GB GDDR7 used by GeForce RTX 50" and "Micron's 2 GB GDDR7 Memory Chips Reportedly Reach End of Life." Both logged as headlines from the search index rather than as reads: videocardz.com returned a 402 to this desk and techpowerup.com is disallowed to it by robots. Neither page was opened.
23–24 Sep · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: eTeknix, Wccftech, Kantan, GameGPU, Techtroduce, FPSHub and borecraft, every one a retelling of the same catalogue reading and none an independent surface.
24 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "Micron Reportedly Ends 2GB GDDR7, Narrowing Supply Options for NVIDIA's RTX 50 Series," citing TechPowerUp, Gazlog, the leak account, Tom's Hardware, VideoCardz and the catalogue, and stating the document claim in its cleanest form: "Micron's product catalog now lists its 28 Gbps D8FHL chip (MT68A512M32DF-28) as EOL, with the 32 Gbps version carrying the same designation." Adds the economics: 3GB modules at $60–$70 a chip against roughly $20 for the 2GB parts.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
Added 24 September, and the surface that supplies the reason this sits on the AI beat. Etiido Uko reports both the 28 and 32 Gbps variants discontinued and Micron "shifting its focus toward higher-density 3 GB (24 Gb) GDDR7 chips," which carry "higher profit margins" and go into Nvidia's professional RTX PRO Blackwell parts for AI work; the general case, in its words, is "memory suppliers prioritizing AI-facing technologies over their consumer and retail counterparts." It also carries the counterweight this desk prints rather than the squeeze: Samsung and SK hynix already dominate 2GB GDDR7 and Micron was not competitive there, so the exit creates little shortage risk. No Micron or Nvidia comment.
24 Sep 12:46 · tier 1 · the catalogue, unread
The desk went to the document and could not open it. micron.com's public GDDR7 part catalogue returns no results; its table carries the right columns — part number, density, parts status, depth, width, operating temperature, speed — and "parts status" is the field holding the EOL, Production and Preview values every report is quoting. The catalogue requires a Micron account. The document exists, it is Micron's own, and no reader outside can check the claim against it. The claim is not upgraded on a page this desk cannot read.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. The lag runs on, now two trading days. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall on Wednesday 30 September, two sessions from today. The lag runs on, now three trading days. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 11
Previous first-seen label23 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimNew 2027 long-term contract prices for twelve-inch semiconductor silicon wafers will rise fifteen to twenty-five percent for epitaxial wafers and more than forty percent for polished, with some second-tier customers above fifty percent, per the Commercial Times of Taipei, citing an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, and there is no document of any kind in the trail. The Whisper, No. 8.
Previous tapeno reading sworn in, and the desk prints why. The claim's subjects are listed in Taipei — GlobalWafers on the Taipei Exchange under 6488, with Taisil and Wafer Works beside it — and this desk has established no US-listed line for any of them. The two feeds it reads for Taipei disagree by roughly a third and both are stale: stockanalysis.com served 1,000.00 TWD, +29.00, +2.99%, previous close 971.00, volume 1,355,000, on a page stamped 23 September 9:20 a.m. Taipei; Investing.com served 1,480.00 TWD, −35.00, −2.31%, volume 10.79m, on a page labelled "Closed as of July 15, 2026." One is ten weeks stale and says so; the other is two days stale and does not. Both are printed, neither is sworn, and no level is published as current. No options print, no volume anomaly and no prediction-market contract was found either. The fifty-two-week range on both pages runs 333 to 1,600.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: GlobalWafers' third-quarter results and investor conference in late October, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month; SUMCO's and Shin-Etsu's late-October results and their guidance language on long-term agreements; any foundry or memory maker booking a materially higher wafer cost line in fourth-quarter guidance, which confirms it from the customer's side. Kills it: a wafer maker saying on the record that 2027 agreements are renewing at single-digit or low-double-digit increases; a customer's guidance showing flat wafer costs into 2027; or the October results season passing with none of the companies raising their own pricing outlook.
Previous lag label3 trading days and running, at 28 September. First sighting Wednesday 23 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — carried the 2027 contract numbers as of 12:20 p.m. Eastern today. The furthest the claim has travelled into American publishing is Wccftech and TrendForce, which are the technology and research trade, not the market press.
26 Jun · tier 4 · CTEE, BigGo
Upstream, and a different claim. The Commercial Times reported wafer prices rising about ten percent across six-, eight- and twelve-inch, the first increase in over three years. A Chinese-language analysis the same day, 12:26 UTC, citing CITIC Securities, SEMI, Bernstein and JW Insights, gave the mechanism: the long-term supply agreements "acted like shackles, making silicon wafer manufacturers the last beneficiaries in the AI industry chain." Ten percent across all sizes in June is not forty percent on polished twelve-inch in 2027.
15–17 Sep · tier 4 · CTEE
The supply side, twice: a 15 September item putting the supply gap at at least ten percent from next year, a 17 September item widening it to twenty-four percent by 2028. Neither carried contract prices.
18 Sep · tier 4 · UBS, as reported
Recorded because it is being conflated with the claim, not because it supports it. Wafer manufacturers "may need price increases of 40% to 50% just to justify building the capacity the AI industry says it needs" — a threshold required to unlock investment, not a forecast of contract prices. Two different forty-percents are now circulating in the same week.
23 Sep 03:00 · tier 4 · Commercial Times
First sighting, page stamp 03:00 Taipei, modified 08:01, byline Li Juan-ping (李娟萍). The sentence, in the original: 十二吋磊晶圓新長約價格估上漢15%~25%,拋光晶圓漲幅則可能達40%以上,部分二線客戶甚至超遒50% — new long-contract prices for twelve-inch epitaxial wafers estimated up fifteen to twenty-five percent, polished wafers possibly above forty, some second-tier customers above fifty. Three forces named: AI logic, memory capacity expansion, and the renegotiation of long-term contracts. Attributed to an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates; no firm and no person named. Stood alone; cites no earlier report.
23 Sep 14:10 · tier 4 · Wccftech
Ramish Zafar, byline stamp "Sep 23, 2026 at 02:10pm EDT," crediting Taiwan's CTEE. Carries the split correctly — "polished wafers are expected to see a higher price jump in the form of a 40% increase compared to 15% to 25% for the standard epitaxial wafers" — and the demand arithmetic beneath it: CoWoS capacity up 70.9 percent next year, GPU and custom AI ASIC demand up 44.9 percent, wafer prices from $92 in 2026 to $122 in 2027 and $166 in 2028, shipments from 11.9 million wafers a quarter to 16.1 million and then 21.7 million. Its headline takes the polished figure as the whole. Explicitly downstream.
25 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
"12-inch Wafer Price Hikes Loom for 2027 as AI Demand Tightens Supply, with LTAs Reportedly Up 15–40%+," citing the Commercial Times, Star Market Daily, Wccftech and BigGo. A synthesis of the origin and its relays that reaches past Wccftech to a second Chinese-language outlet, which is what carries this entry over the floor. The word in its own headline is reportedly, two days on, and that is the correct word.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. Recorded beside this entry and not as evidence for it: DigiTimes reported on 24 September that TSMC will raise its own foundry prices 3 to 6 percent from January 2027, relayed by the Economic Daily News and by Benzinga — one origin, no second surface, below the floor. Three to six percent from a foundry and above forty percent on the silicon it buys are two claims about one cost stack at very different magnitudes, and this desk prints neither as fact. The lag runs on, now three trading days. Status unchanged.
Previous source and date metadata
Previous supplied content as of2026-09-25
Previous source-reported countstracked: 11 · open: 9 · confirmed: 2 · denied: 0 · expired: 0 · medianLagDays: 0
Previous source and date notes
This is the owner-supplied register as of 25 September 2026, not a fresh verification of the claims or market observations. Publication does not independently establish that a rumor is true.
The supplied 24 September run note ends mid-sentence after “with the lags on 5, 6 and 9”. It is preserved as supplied; the missing remainder has not been reconstructed.
The source names outlets, documents and domains but supplies no direct citation URLs. Citation lists are therefore empty. No article, filing or document URL has been inferred from a name or an accession number.
The open tally includes both open and corroborated entries. The open status filter is narrower: it selects only entries whose status is open.
The supplied tally reports a median lag of 0 days. A first-sighting-to-mainstream-headline median cannot be derived reliably: entry 7 has an undated first sighting and its zero measures document-to-wire time instead. The derived median is therefore unavailable; the reported figure is retained separately.
Trail order and date labels are preserved as supplied, including the 24 September check before the 23 September check in entry 1. No missing observation time, date or year has been inferred.
Previous supplied correction history
When the desk gets a trail wrong — a sighting misdated, a tier misjudged, a status moved too early — the correction is recorded here, dated, and the entry is amended below with the change marked.
18 September. A note on a published number rather than a correction to one. The tally band's open tile counts every rumor that has not been settled by a document, which includes those at corroborated; it has read that way since this register was built and it is left reading that way.
19 September. Two issues were published for Friday. The desk's scheduled run posted No. 2 on Friday afternoon, adding entries 3 and 4. A second issue, reported on Friday afternoon while that run was still working and published on Saturday, is numbered No. 3 and adds entries 5, 6 and 7. Neither issue restates the other and no entry has been renumbered. With seven rumors tracked and one confirmed, open is six and the median lag of resolved rumors is zero.
21 September — entry 3 amended. The Whisper, No. 2, reported that no mainstream American outlet had carried the AMD price-increase claim as of 12:44 p.m. on Friday 18 September, and left entry 3's lag running. It had. The 5:22 a.m. Friday relay that No. 2 logged as a Stocktwits item was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages, under the headline "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," and Yahoo Finance is one of the outlets this desk uses to mark the end of a lag. The desk read the item and misfiled its publisher. That line is re-tiered and marked as the first mainstream US headline below, and entry 3's lag is corrected from running to one trading day. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 4.
21 September — entry 3's first sighting re-stamped. The Whisper, No. 2, stamped Wccftech's piece at 12:26 p.m. Eastern on 17 September. That is the UTC time carried in the page's metadata. The article's own byline reads "Sarfraz Khan · Sep 17, 2026 at 08:26am EDT," and the correct stamp is 8:26 a.m. Eastern, sixty-four minutes before that session's open. The trail below is amended. The lag is unaffected at one trading day, but No. 2's argument that AMD's advance "began in the premarket, hours before the report existed" rested on the wrong time and is withdrawn: AMD opened that morning at 533.60 against 512.50, a gap of 4.12 percent on two feeds. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish, and it no longer claims the move came first.
21 September — entries 4 and 7 corrected: SK hynix is US-listed. Both entries stated that no US-listed security exists for SK hynix, and the 21 September note that first appeared here treated the question as open. It is not. SK hynix Inc. American Depositary Shares have traded on Nasdaq as SKHY since 10 July 2026, on a Form F-1 filed 24 June and amended 30 June and 6 July (CIK 0002120882, file 333-296987); Nasdaq's own security page carries the line, and the older OTC line HXSCL is a separate security whose prices will not reconcile with it. Benzinga's ticker was right and this register was wrong. Both tape lines are amended. No figure published here depended on the error, because no reading was ever sworn in for either entry — which is how it survived three issues.
22 September — entry 2 amended: a company statement this register had missed. Entry 2's trail ran from Bloomberg's 14 September report to two desk checks that found no Form F-1, and recorded no company response. There was one. On 15 September, the day after the report, Kioxia published a "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports" stating that such reports "are not announcements made by the Company" and that "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided." That is a tier-1 document and it sat unlogged through Nos. 2, 3 and 4. It is added to the trail below. It does not move the status: it confirms that a listing preparation exists, which the company itself disclosed in May, and declines to adopt the size, the exchange, the timing or the banks — which is what the claim as printed was about. Recorded at full size in The Whisper, No. 5.
23 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 6, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's last observations are stamped between 1:13 and 1:19 p.m. rather than before the hour. Its figures and its lag counts are stamped to those minutes and are accurate to them. No entry below is amended by this issue; entry 9 is added and entries 1, 3, 5 and 6 have a 23 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5 and 6 advanced by one session each.
24 September — entry 2 corrected: a Form F-6 this register said did not exist, and a second facility besides. Entry 2's desk check of 22 September reported "still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia." The F-1 half holds; the F-6 half does not. A Form F-6EF sits on EDGAR under accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock and naming no exchange. Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, as Depositary, and Kioxia Holdings Corporation appears in it only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. Nor is it the facility that trades: the over-the-counter line KXIAY is a separate unsponsored programme with J.P. Morgan as depositary, announced 9 March 2026, ratio 10:1, CUSIP 49726J108. Two depositary banks have built receipts over Kioxia's shares and the company signed neither, which is why the status does not move: an unsponsored facility is a bank's decision and an F-6 registers receipts, not an offering. The claim tracked here — size, banks, an exchange — still needs an F-1 and an exchange application, and neither exists. The trail below is amended. The desk kept running the EDGAR search that returns SK hynix, the trap it had itself recorded on 22 September, and concluded from it that nothing was there. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 7.
24 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 7, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's observations are stamped between 11:11 a.m. and 1:41 p.m. rather than before the hour, and are accurate to those minutes. Entry 10 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 and 9 have a 24 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6 and 9
25 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 8, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot; its observations are stamped between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. and are accurate to those minutes. The desk’s principal asked mid-run that the sweep be widened beyond the AI supply chain to technology, biotechnology and financials; it was, and nothing outside the usual beat cleared the floor, which is recorded in the issue’s “seen, not printed” counts. Entry 11 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 and 10 have a 25 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6, 9 and 10 advanced by one session each.
· Entry 1, Entry 2, Entry 3, Entry 4, Entry 5, Entry 6, Entry 9, Entry 10, Entry 11, Entry 12, Entry 13, Entry 14, Entry 15, Entry 16
Add Whisper entries 14–16 and 1–2 October desk checks. Preserve earlier public corrections. Distinguish EDN’s Texas specifics from Reuters’ narrower report, Toshiba’s capacity statement from Nikkei’s unconfirmed figures, and Solaria’s Puertollano facility from any unconfirmed Alibaba data-center site.
Prior record for entry 1
Previous first-seen label15 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTen banks are lending $22 billion, with a $1 billion revolver beside it, to Crux AI, the Blackstone–Alphabet venture, to buy Google TPUs, secured by the chips and the customer contracts, per Bloomberg's people familiar with the matter. 9fin had it a day earlier at $23 billion. No party has confirmed it. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeon Fed day, not attributable. Blackstone 126.70 → 123.45, −2.57%; Alphabet 344.98 → 342.87, −0.61%, September 15 to 16 closes; levels stockanalysis.com, the two percentages also carried by Investing.com's report at 15:44. 22 + 1 = 23; 23 + 5 = 28, against May's "roughly 25." Updated 18 September: Alphabet closed 17 September at 347.33, +1.30%, volume 19,032,520, stockanalysis.com, in a market-wide rally the day after the Fed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a closing release from Blackstone, Crux or a lead bank; a rating on the facility or the refinancing bonds; the bonds' offering document; a named bank saying it is not in the group.
Previous lag label1 trading day from 9fin to Bloomberg; 2 from the unattributed sighting, which the desk does not count as a start.
18 May · tier 1 · Blackstone release
The venture announced: $5 billion of initial equity from Blackstone, 500 MW online in 2027, Google supplying TPUs, software and services. No debt mentioned.
May, per 22 May account · tier 3 · Bloomberg
"Roughly $25 billion with leverage," one person familiar; Blackstone majority owner; Benjamin Treynor Sloss chief executive.
14 Sep 09:05 · tier 5 · unattributed
Counted, not named: a crypto-news site wrote that Blackstone was "reportedly targeting investments in the tens of billions… across multiple gigawatts," citing no one.
15 Sep · tier 4 · 9fin
"Blackstone looks to raise $23bn debt for Google AI joint venture," sources told 9fin. First attributed sighting; no time shown.
16 Sep 15:44 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
First mainstream US headline: $22 billion loan plus $1 billion revolver, ten banks (Goldman, SMBC, Barclays, BNP, Scotiabank named), secured by chips and contracts, possible refinancing in investment-grade bonds. Did not cite 9fin. Time is the stamp on Investing.com's relay.
16 Sep 16:34 · tier 3 · Reuters
Relay citing Bloomberg; seven companies did not respond. A later headline reads "source says," unread by the desk, not counted as independent.
16–17 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Re-checked 18 September. No document appeared. What changed is the language: TipRanks and Gokhshtein published the loan as "secured"; Blockonomi, 17 Sep 12:10 UTC, wrote that Crux "has successfully arranged $22 billion in bank financing" and that the facility "is secured against both the physical TPU hardware and contractual agreements." Nobody has confirmed a dollar of it.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank confirming or denying membership of the group. The aggregator layer has thickened — Finimize, briefs.co, AI Weekly and FourWeekMBA now carry the loan in the past tense — and two Yahoo Finance relays, including a Benzinga piece putting GOOGL and BX "in focus," keep it in front of American readers. Nothing document-grade. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No closing release on Blackstone's press page, whose most recent items are 13, 10 and 9 September and none of them about Crux AI or the facility; no rating, and a KBRA note on AI-compute financing risk that does not evaluate Crux AI; no offering document; no bank on the record either way. A domain-restricted search of sec.gov returns no filing naming Crux AI. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Six sessions after Bloomberg's report — 17, 18, 21, 22, 23 and 24 September — there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind — FourWeekMBA, AI Weekly, Finimize, Dealroom and pulse2 all carry the facility, most of them in the past tense — and one relay again states the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. No closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer thickened again — Finimize, FourWeekMBA, Dealroom, KuCoin and HuggingNews all carry the facility in the past tense — and one relay, Runtimewire, puts the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Seven sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for the existing 18 May Blackstone observation: the linked May 18, 2026 issuer announcement supports the equity commitment, expected capacity and Google's contribution recorded above. It does not confirm the separate loan, revolver, lenders or closing. This is a citation update, not a new first sighting or rumor-status change; the historical observations and supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Eight sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. Ten trading sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 2
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimKioxia is weighing a US listing of American depositary shares to raise at least $10 billion, possibly next year, with Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, per Bloomberg's people familiar; the deliberations are "preliminary." The plan is the company's, stated in May; the size is single-sourced. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeTokyo readings one feed, unsworn; no US-listed security yet.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a public Form F-1 on EDGAR; an exchange application; a Kioxia release naming the exchange; the November results. Amended 24 September: the Form F-6EF of 11 February is on file, was filed by a depositary rather than by Kioxia, and does not settle it; neither does the unsponsored KXIAY programme.
Previous lag label0 trading days; the first sighting of the size was the mainstream headline.
May · tier 1 · Kioxia
The company said it was preparing to list ADRs to broaden its investor base, per Reuters' account of 14 September.
25 Jun 03:27 · tier 4 · TradingKey
Added 21 September, an earlier surface the desk had missed: Kioxia "intends to issue American Depositary Receipts and list on a U.S. stock exchange by spring 2027," subject to regulatory approval, with exchange, offering size and timeline unsettled. The plan and its approximate date were therefore in print three months before Bloomberg's report; what is single-sourced is the size, not the listing.
14 Sep 08:58 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
At least $10 billion, three banks named, size and lineup subject to change; Kioxia did not reply outside business hours. Reuters relayed it; The Star's copy stamped 08:58 Eastern. The sighting was the headline.
14–15 Sep · tier 4 · SED, Invezz
Seoul Economic Daily and Invezz relayed Bloomberg; Invezz read the Tokyo shares at ¥51,720 on the 14th and ¥51,350 by the 15th, against a June high of ¥112,750.
18 Sep · desk check
Re-checked against EDGAR's full-text index: no Form F-1 for Kioxia. No new sighting since 14 September and no denial. Status unchanged.
15 Sep · tier 1 · Kioxia
Added 22 September, and the highest tier this claim has reached. "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports," on the company's own site: "There have been media reports regarding the listing of the Company's American Depositary Shares on a U.S. stock exchange. These reports are not announcements made by the Company," and "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided," with the note that preparations may be discontinued. Neither confirms nor denies the size, the banks or the timing. The desk had missed this through three issues; see the audit block.
11 Feb · tier 1 · BNY Mellon / EDGAR
Added 24 September, and the document this register said did not exist. Form F-6EF, accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock. No exchange is named in it, and Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, 240 Greenwich Street, as depositary, with Kioxia Holdings Corporation named only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. It predates Bloomberg's report by seven months and says nothing about the size, the banks, the exchange or the timing the claim is about. See the audit block.
9 Mar · tier 1 · depositary bulletin
Added 24 September. The Kioxia line that actually trades over the counter, KXIAY, is a different programme under a different bank: an unsponsored depositary receipt facility with J.P. Morgan as depositary, ten ordinary shares to one receipt, CUSIP 49726J108, listed in BNY Mellon's bulletin of new unsponsored programmes dated 9 March 2026. An unsponsored facility is established by a bank without the issuer's participation, so it is evidence about banks and not about Kioxia's intentions.
21 Sep · desk check
EDGAR re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4: still no Form F-1. The Japan Times and Yahoo Finance relays of the 14 September report remain the American surface. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5: still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia, and no IR item since the 15 September notice. A trap recorded for future searches: the F-1 that surfaces on these search terms is SK hynix Inc., CIK 2120882, filed 24 June, Nasdaq Global Select under SKHY, with BofA Securities, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan as global coordinators — a different issuer with a near-identical bank lineup to the three attributed to Kioxia. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The F-6EF above was found on this check and is filed in its own place in the trail; it is the highest-tier document on this entry after that notice, and it does not touch the claim as printed.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for two existing observations: Source 1 is Kioxia's September 15, 2026 media-response notice, supporting the recorded preparation and uncertainty. Source 2 is the February 11, 2026 F-6 filing, accession 0001019155-26-000048, supporting the depositary filing observation. Neither establishes the reported offering size, bank lineup, exchange or timing. The separate March depositary programme and remaining trail were not checked in this citation update. Status, historical dates, text and the supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The F-1 that surfaces on these search terms remains SK hynix’s, CIK 2120882, the trap this register recorded on 22 September. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 3
Previous first-seen label17 SEP
Previous source-record statusopen
Previous recorded claimAMD has told its partners that prices on its graphics processors, AI accelerators and chipsets will rise by roughly ten percent in the fourth quarter of 2026, because TSMC has told AMD the same about wafers, per Wccftech citing ChannelGate, a supply-chain channel on WeChat. Neither company has commented. Every English-language sighting traces to that one channel. The Whisper, No. 2.
Previous tape512.50 → 559.82, +47.32, +9.23%, the 16 September close before the first attributed sighting to the 18 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry both figures identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 47.32 ÷ 512.50. Intraday 21 September, one feed and unsworn: 606.68 at 1:24 p.m. on stockanalysis.com, +46.86, +8.37% on the session, range 582.27–615.99, volume 29.5m, which carries the move from the same base to +94.18, +18.38%. The same page put the market capitalisation at $990.39 billion. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28.17m against 28.46m on 17 September, 31.17m against 31.87m on 18 September. Amended 21 September with the corrected stamp: the report ran at 8:26 a.m. on 17 September, sixty-four minutes before the open, and AMD opened at 533.60 — both feeds, sworn — a gap of 4.12% on the prior close, 533.60 ÷ 512.50, closing the session up 6.36%. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish and does not guess; the earlier claim that the advance preceded the report is withdrawn. The advance has also run on through a broad semiconductor rally, so the desk still attributes nothing. Updated 22 September: Monday's close is sworn at 615.52 — stockanalysis.com and stockinvest.us, which wrote that AMD "ended at $615.52," with Yahoo Finance carrying the same as its previous close — which carries the move from the same base to +103.02, +20.10%, this desk's arithmetic, 103.02 ÷ 512.50. Today unsworn, both printed: 618.34 at 12:03 p.m. Eastern on stockanalysis.com, 614.92 at 10:46 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. A caution: Investing.com's AMD historical table was stale at 18 September when checked today, and its quote page showed a 15:39 intraday print of 615.71 that is not a close; it is not used for Monday.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a partner or OEM price list showing fourth-quarter increases in that range; AMD's third-quarter results and call on 3 November, where a ten percent rise reaches the gross-margin line; TSMC's October call on 2027 wafer pricing; an on-the-record statement. Kills it: AMD saying no such notice went to partners, or fourth-quarter price lists arriving unchanged.
Previous lag label1 trading day, corrected 21 September from running. First attributed sighting 17 September 8:26 a.m.; first mainstream US headline 18 September 5:22 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. The first independently authored American market story came on 21 September, two trading days out; the desk counts the earlier one.
21 Jul · tier 3 · Nikkei
The upstream claim, via Tom's Hardware: TSMC to raise advanced-node baseline prices five to ten percent from the start of 2027, with "another 10% to 15% premium on top of the standard increase" for incremental HPC capacity, citing people with knowledge of the matter. Named no customer.
17 Sep · tier 5 · channel
ChannelGate, a WeChat supply-chain account, relayed by a leak account on X. Counted, not named. Origin of the AMD-specific leg.
17 Sep 08:26 · tier 4 · Wccftech
First attributed sighting; stamp corrected 21 September from 12:26 p.m., which was the page metadata's UTC time, to 8:26 a.m. Eastern per the article's own byline. "TSMC has notified its customers about the price hikes, leading to AMD notifying its partners about the same. The price hike is roughly 10% and is planned to be implemented in the fourth quarter of 2026." Cited ChannelGate; did not stand alone; said a ten percent Ryzen increase "should be treated as a 'possibility' rather than a confirmed development." Wccftech gives ChannelGate no descriptor; Club386, the same day, identifies it as the WeChat arm of a Chinese leak site.
17–18 Sep · tier 4 · relays
Counted, not weighted: six English-language sites, among them ThinkComputers, Club386, Notebookcheck, PC Guide, XenoSpectrum and Technetbook. All downstream of the same item or the same channel.
18 Sep 05:22 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline. Amended 21 September: logged in The Whisper, No. 2, as a Stocktwits relay, it was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages as "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," naming both Wccftech and ChannelGate; AMD up 1.4 percent premarket, a third consecutive advance, the three-session gain above twelve percent. The lag closed here.
18 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
Carried in its own news file as AMD "preparing a 10% price hike for GPUs, AI chips, and chipsets in Q4 2026, attributed to rising manufacturing costs at TSMC." Downstream of the same origin; not counted as a second surface.
19 Sep · tier 2 · TSMC via Digital Citizen
The first named-company material in the trail, and the highest tier this claim has reached. A TSMC spokesperson, asked about the report: "Our pricing strategy is strategic, not opportunistic. We will continue to work closely with customers and sell our value to them." Neither a confirmation nor a denial. The same piece set the leak's Q4 2026 timing against TSMC's July guidance of 2027 and allowed that the two "may describe one negotiation at different stages or two separate cost actions."
21 Sep 09:37 · tier 4 · 24/7 Wall St.
First American market story written independently of the technology press, also carried on Yahoo Finance: "AMD Rises 5% as Report Flags 10% Chip Price Increase; NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor Tick Up." AMD 586.66, Nvidia 223.72, TSM 440.92. Calls the claim "unconfirmed," does not name ChannelGate, and adds that "a denial or narrower scope would remove the framing that's lifting AMD stock this morning."
21 Sep · tier 4 · PCWorld
Added 22 September. Quotes the origin channel directly, through a leak account on X: "AMD will increase chip price about 10% in Q4 / It is result from TSMC's price increase." No AMD comment. Not an independent surface; it is the same WeChat account, one relay closer to the source than Wccftech was.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting today, no AMD statement, no denial, and no partner or OEM price list. The claim is forking in the relay layer: one branch has Ryzen spared, the other has Ryzen following, and both cite the same channel. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. TweakTown has joined the relay layer, alongside Digital Trends, XenoSpectrum, ThinkComputers and Startup Fortune, and the Ryzen fork persists across them; every one is downstream of the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Digital Trends, Startup Fortune and Compsmag have joined the relay layer and the Ryzen fork persists across it; every branch still cites the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8, the sixth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Recorded beside this entry today: an unrelated and independently sourced claim, printed as entry 11, that the silicon wafers upstream of TSMC are themselves being repriced for 2027. The desk logs the two as separate claims and does not treat either as evidence for the other. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9, the seventh session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Recorded beside this entry today and not as evidence for it: DigiTimes reported on 24 September that TSMC will raise its own wafer foundry prices by 3 to 6 percent from January 2027 with order visibility to 2030, relayed the same morning at 9:02 Taipei by the Economic Daily News and carried in American markets coverage by Benzinga. One origin, several relays, no document and no second surface — it does not clear the floor and is counted in the issue’s “seen, not printed.” Its quantity and its date both differ from this claim’s. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10, the eighth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. The relay layer is unchanged and the Ryzen fork persists across it. AMD’s third-quarter results on 3 November remain the first occasion on which a ten percent rise would reach a published margin. Status unchanged. Separate documented context, not evidence for this price claim: AMD announced a definitive all-stock agreement to acquire World Labs for approximately $8.2 billion on 28 September; completion remained subject to approvals.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11, the ninth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. AMD’s third-quarter results on 3 November remain the first occasion on which a ten percent rise would reach a published margin. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 4
Previous first-seen label18 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimSolidigm, SK Hynix's US NAND subsidiary, is weighing its first American NAND plant, with upstate New York the leading candidate site, per Reuters' three people familiar with the matter. SK Hynix says it is reviewing options and that nothing is confirmed. The Whisper, No. 2.
Previous tapethe desk swore in no reading for this entry. Corrected 21 September — this line previously said there is no US-listed security. SK hynix trades on Nasdaq as SKHY, American depositary shares, since 10 July 2026; Benzinga's 18 September piece used that ticker and was right. No reading has been sworn in even so, and none is printed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a New York State incentive award or economic-development board document; a site or construction permit; an SK Hynix board resolution; a Solidigm announcement naming the site.
Previous lag label0 trading days; the wire report was itself the first mainstream US headline.
18 Sep 04:41 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Its own item, Taipei 16:41: Solidigm "is considering building its first NAND manufacturing plant in the US, with upstate New York emerging as a leading candidate." Paywalled beyond the lede; no sources shown.
18 Sep 05:08 · tier 3 · Reuters
First mainstream US headline, as carried by the Korea JoongAng Daily at 18:08 Seoul. Three people familiar with the matter; one said no agreement had been reached and key details remain under discussion. Solidigm did not respond outside business hours.
18 Sep 05:08 · tier 2 · SK Hynix
On the record, confirming neither: "subsidiary Solidigm is reviewing various options to strengthen its business competitiveness, but no specific plans have been confirmed."
18 Sep · tier 4 · SED, relays
Added 21 September. Seoul Economic Daily carried it the same day as "SK hynix Weighs First U.S. NAND Plant as AI Demand Surges"; Investing.com and MarketScreener relayed Reuters; Benzinga wrote up the Friday share move directly. All downstream of the Reuters report.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. No New York State incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution, and no change to SK Hynix's on-the-record line. The claim has spread across the market layer, not the document layer. Status unchanged.
18 Sep · tier 2 · Solidigm
Added 22 September. Solidigm itself, on the record in the Reuters syndication the register had only recorded as "did not respond": "No decision regarding any specific course of action has been made." A 20 September follow-up adds that no factory has been approved, no site selected and no construction timetable exists, with Solidigm declining to "comment on market rumors."
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No Empire State Development incentive award and no Green CHIPS document naming Solidigm; no announcement from the governor's office; no site or construction permit; no board resolution. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 5
Previous first-seen label15 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimSamsung Electronics has begun running wafers for Tesla's next-generation AI5 processor at its foundry in Taylor, Texas, ahead of a start scheduled for November, per Seoul Economic Daily's semiconductor industry sources. Neither company has said it, and no American wire has reported it. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapeTesla 358.97 → 366.20, +2.01%, 14 to 17 September closes, sworn — 358.97 on stockanalysis.com and Investing.com, 366.20 on stockanalysis.com and Google Finance, whose Friday quote of 362.60 less 3.60 implies it; Investing.com carries 366.69 for the 17th and is printed, not sworn. On the claim's own session, 15 September, Tesla fell 0.67% to 356.58 on 30,168,264 shares against Monday's 32,068,734. Thursday alone was 8.12 points of the 7.23-point move, in a session the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.69% the day after the Fed. Samsung Electronics: −4.05% Monday, −0.2% Tuesday to 248,500 won, "only modestly higher" Wednesday per Invezz; 261,000 won, +3.37%, at Friday's Seoul close, one feed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: Samsung's third-quarter results in late October; Tesla's results and 10-Q; a Samsung release or Taylor site announcement; a Yonhap report carrying a company confirmation. Kills it: a statement from either company that Taylor has not begun AI5 wafers, or a Samsung disclosure putting the start in November as scheduled.
Previous lag label11 trading days and running, at 30 September. No mainstream American headline exists; the count stays open until one does.
28 Jul 2025 · tier 1 · contract
A $16.5 billion multi-year supply agreement, about 22 trillion won, disclosed by Elon Musk after Tesla had asked that the counterparty stay unnamed; Bloomberg reported it.
22 Oct 2025 · tier 2 · Musk, CNBC
Musk on the record: AI5 to be made by Samsung in Texas and TSMC in Arizona. This, and not the start, is what the American press has.
5 Nov 2025 · tier 4 · TrendForce
Musk signals AI5 mass production slipping to 2027, "casting uncertainty over Samsung."
24 Apr · tier 1 · Samsung
Equipment-installation ceremony at the Taylor plant, as referenced by Seoul Economic Daily.
13 Jul · tier 4 · TrendForce / Yonhap
AI5 tape-out complete, production expected on Samsung's 2nm process in Texas; "the disclosure marks the first time Samsung Foundry's production timeline for the Tesla AI5 chip has been revealed in concrete terms." Taylor ramp put in 2027. Korea Times and Electrek the same day.
15 Sep 17:21 · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
First sighting. Samsung "has begun prototype production at its Taylor, Texas, foundry to supply artificial intelligence chips to Tesla"; it "plans to complete mass-production verification by the end of this year and begin full supply next year." Page stamp 17:21, updated 23:35, Seoul time, which puts it near 4:21 a.m. Eastern. The headline said mass production over a body that said prototype.
16 Sep 00:28 · tier 2 · KB Securities via ChosunBiz
Kim Dong-won, named, on Samsung's 2nm gate-all-around yield improving from below 50 percent, carried by Invezz under "Samsung stock is ignoring a $16.5 billion Tesla catalyst." About the plant's capability, not the start.
16 Sep 07:00 KST · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
The same reporting re-headlined "Samsung Starts Trial Production of Tesla AI Chips in Texas," ahead of the originally scheduled November startup.
17 Sep 11:51 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: trial production, 2nm wafer production and yield verification ahead of full-scale operations. Names no source and does not cite Seoul.
16–18 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named as sources: nine sites, among them one whose headline says the node is "silencing yield doubters," a claim in none of the underlying reporting.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no mainstream American headline and no company statement either way; the only movement is in the enthusiast layer, where Not a Tesla App and similar sites now carry the trial start as settled fact. The lag continues to run.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters, Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Yahoo Finance's Tesla AI5 items stop at the tape-out and dual-foundry stories, and the nearest American piece is Electrek's 13 July tape-out report, which is a different claim. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against the same American outlets. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim. The enthusiast layer has widened again — Drive Tesla Canada, Not a Tesla App, The Electric Viking, Basenor and BigGo all carry the trial start as settled fact, all downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes — and Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim. No company statement. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact, all of it downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes. No company statement. The lag runs on, now eight trading days.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now nine trading days — the longest open count on this register.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now ten trading days — fourteen calendar days, and the longest open count on this register.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer — Drive Tesla Canada, Not a Tesla App, autoevolution, Basenor — continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now eleven trading days, and it is worth recording beside entry 13, printed today: both claims concern the same Taylor fab and the same Korean press, and this one the American market has never printed at all.
Prior record for entry 6
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTSMC's 2nm capacity is expected to rise from 90,000 wafers a month at end-2026 to 110,000 by mid-2027, its 3nm from more than 180,000 to 210,000, and CoWoS packaging from roughly 130,000 a month to 260,000 by end-2028, per TrendForce citing Taiwan's Economic Daily News. TSMC has not published these figures. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapethe claim concerns capacity two to eight quarters out and no single session's move is attributable to it; the readings below are printed as context and nothing is attributed. Added 28 September. TSM's 25 September close is sworn at 450.61 — stockanalysis.com's daily table and an independent market note carrying "TSMC stock at USD 450.61 on September 25, 2026". The 24 September close of 451.15, stockanalysis.com, reconciles against a second note describing a 0.12 percent loss into the following session: 451.15 − 450.61 = 0.54, and 0.54 ÷ 451.15 = 0.12 percent, this desk's arithmetic. The 11 September close of 433.24, the session before the first sighting, and the 14 September close of 418.01 are one feed only, printed and not sworn. From that unsworn base to Friday's sworn close the move is +17.37, +4.01%, 17.37 ÷ 433.24, across two weeks of a semiconductor tape that has run for everyone. Today unsworn, one feed: 447.14, −3.47, −0.77%, previous close 450.61, open 448.39, range 443.11–449.60, volume 3,084,181, Yahoo Finance at 11:41:27 a.m. Eastern — the stock opened lower on the morning after the American headline and traded there.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: TSMC's third-quarter call in October, its capex guidance, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month.
Previous lag label9 trading days, closed 28 September. First sighting Monday 14 September; first mainstream American headline Sunday 27 September at 11:07 p.m. Eastern, after Friday's close and before Monday's open. The trading days between are 15, 16, 17, 18, 21, 22, 23, 24 and 25 September. The headline that closed it carries a 2nm figure a third larger than the one first printed; the CoWoS leg of the claim has still not been carried by any mainstream American outlet.
14 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce / EDN
First sighting. The capacity numbers above, attributed to Economic Daily News; a 22 percent lift at 2nm, 17 percent at 3nm and a doubling of CoWoS on this desk's arithmetic from the published figures.
15 Sep 11:30 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: 3nm, 2nm and CoWoS all tight through the third quarter, Nvidia and Apple dominating advanced process and packaging, and Amazon's Annapurna unit expanding AI chip tape-outs and given more 3nm capacity. Supply-chain sources. Body paywalled.
21 Sep 07:37 · tier 1 · TSMC via Reuters
Added 21 September. Ground was broken on an advanced-packaging industrial park at Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, anchored by TSMC, reported by Reuters under a Taipei dateline of 21 September (some US syndications carry a 20 September date) and carried by Benzinga at 7:37 a.m. Eastern, with operations expected in the fourth quarter of 2029. Document-grade, and evidence about direction rather than about the claim's numbers: 2029 sits a year beyond the end of the claim's window, and no wafer or CoWoS figure in the claim is addressed.
21 Sep 09:59 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Weekly roundup, by its own stamp: semiconductor equipment makers facing lead times of up to forty months on certain Japanese components, and local component deliveries stretching about fifty percent. The physical constraint any such ramp meets. Not a second surface for the capacity figures.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting of the capacity figures and no TSMC statement on them; the company's only reference point remains the July call's 2026 capex guidance of $60–64 billion. The one TSMC item TrendForce carried today is adjacent and does not confirm the numbers. The date to mark: TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei, per the company's own financial calendar. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 23 September items run to DRAM spot prices, LPDDR6 validation, a glass-substrate roundup and a NAND patent ruling, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 24 September items run to Chinese memory capacity, a Meta device launch, a GDDR7 end-of-life report, an optical-transceiver listing and a Qualcomm node statement, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against TrendForce’s current news file, whose 25 September items run to twelve-inch wafer contract pricing and a rare-earths piece, neither of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
27 Sep 14:06 · tier 4 · Economic Daily News
Added 28 September, and the sighting this issue is built on: the origin outlet revising its own number. Page stamp 28 September 02:06 Taipei, byline Yin Hui-chung (尹慧中), read in the original by this desk. 大廠追加訂單 台積電2奈米擴產進度超前 年底月產能上看12萬片 — major customers have added orders, TSMC's 2nm expansion is ahead of schedule, year-end monthly capacity looking at 120,000 wafers. It states that the market had expected about 90,000 to 100,000 at year-end. Five customers named as raising 2nm-family orders by 10 to 20 percent: Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, MediaTek. 3nm put near 180,000 a month in the fourth quarter of 2026 and 200,000 to 210,000 in 2027, which is consistent with the 14 September figures. Sourcing language 業界傳出 and 消息人士透露 — the industry says, sources disclose. No firm named, no person named, no document.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
27 Sep 23:07 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, nine hours after the revision and nine trading days after the first sighting. Investing.com's report carried on Yahoo Finance's technology pages, byline Ayushman Ojha: "TSMC 2nm wafer capacity to exceed earlier estimates, EDN reports." Credits EDN by name; carries the 120,000 against prior forecasts of 90,000 to 100,000 and the 10-to-20-percent order increase; adds TSMC senior vice-president Hou Yung-ching on first-year 2nm output running 45 percent above 3nm's first year in 2023 and capacity compounding about 70 percent a year through 2028 — company remarks about growth rates, not about the 120,000. The lag closes here on the 2nm leg. The CoWoS leg still has no American headline. Tiered 4 by what the source is; the lag is marked by where the claim reached, which is a different field.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
28 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named: TipRanks, GuruFocus via TradingView, CoinCentral, Blockonomi, KuCoin, Parameter and EconoTimes carried the 120,000 by mid-morning; every one credits EDN and none adds a source. Invezz, 28 September 00:10 Eastern, is the exception worth reading — it reaches TechInsights vice-chair Dan Hutcheson on more than fifteen customers working on N2 and Stifel's Sahej Singh keeping a Buy and a $515 target on a margin argument — and its own headline reads that the stock slipped.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them; the company's own reference points remain the July call's capex guidance and the monthly revenue releases. No options print, no volume anomaly and no prediction-market contract on the claim was found. Status unchanged: a revision is a sighting, not a document. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them. The CoWoS leg of the claim still has no American headline. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them. The CoWoS leg of the claim still has no American headline. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 9
Previous first-seen label18 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimThe Munich I Regional Court has found Micron Technology to infringe two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies and granted injunctions covering sales of the infringing 3D NAND products in Germany, per ip fray, with Micron saying it disagrees, has appealed and is challenging the rights' validity, per TechNode citing IT Home. No judgment text is public and no mainstream American outlet has carried it. The Whisper, No. 6.
Previous tape1,015.80 → 1,096.16, +80.36, +7.91%, the 18 September close on the day of the first sighting to the 22 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry 977.50 (17 Sep), 1,015.80 (18 Sep), 1,043.96 (21 Sep) and 1,096.16 (22 Sep) identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 80.36 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, both printed: 1,074.68, −21.48, −1.96%, previous close 1,096.16, range 1,074.30–1,105.50, volume 6,619,617, Yahoo Finance at 10:20 a.m.; 1,067.01, open 1,100.07, high 1,105.50, low 1,069.76, volume 13,313,292, stockanalysis.com at a 1:13 p.m. page stamp. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28,078,850 against 28.17m on 21 September, 28,588,943 against 29.19m on 22 September. Nothing is attributed: Micron reports on 30 September and the memory complex has run for weeks. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 — Yahoo Finance’s quote page states it as the 24 September close, with open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,081.04 and volume 21,938,990 — and stockanalysis.com’s live change today implies the identical previous close of 1,080.51, reconciling within rounding. That carries the move from the 18 September base to +64.73, +6.37%, this desk’s arithmetic, 64.73 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,079.00, open 1,095.83, range 1,074.51–1,108.72, volume 10,532,468, stockanalysis.com at 11:58 a.m. Eastern.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: the Munich I judgment texts, which would fix the product scope; a Munich Higher Regional Court ruling on a stay; Micron's fiscal 2026 annual report and its legal-proceedings note, following the 30 September results; an 8-K if the company judges the effect material sooner; a filing by YMTC of the security German law requires before a first-instance injunction is enforced. Kills it: an appellate stay, or judgment texts showing the enjoined products are not ones Micron sells into Germany.
Previous lag label8 trading days and running, at 30 September. First sighting Friday 18 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — had carried it as of 12:20 p.m. Eastern on 30 September.
18 Sep · tier 4 · ip fray
First sighting, and the only account with the record in it: the 7th Civil Chamber, presiding judge Dr. Oliver Schoen; cases 7 O 12615/25 and 7 O 12614/25 decided, three more adjourned, among them 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25; utility models DE 20 2020 006 166 U1, "Staircase structure of a three-dimensional storage device," and DE 20 2021 004 551 U1, "Barrier layers for word line contacts in three-dimensional NAND memory." On what happens next: "Enforcement will likely begin soon unless the appeals court (the Munich Higher Regional Court) stays both injunctions." Stood alone.
18–23 Sep, undated · tier 4 · IAM
"YMTC strikes NAND patent blow against Micron with two German injunctions." Logged as a headline from the search index rather than as a read: iam-media.com returns a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened. Its date is not established.
23 Sep 05:07 · tier 4 · TechNode
09:07 UTC. Second origin rather than a relay: it cites the Chinese outlet IT Home, not ip fray. "Munich Regional Court I has ruled that Micron infringed two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies, and issued injunctions." Carries the company response the first report did not.
23 Sep · tier 2 · Micron via TechNode
The highest tier in the trail besides the ruling itself, and carried at second hand: Micron "said it disagreed with the decision, filed an appeal and was challenging the validity of the relevant rights." No verbatim company statement has been located.
23 Sep · tier 4 · DIGITIMES
"YMTC wins German injunctions against Micron in latest round of NAND patent battle," item a20260923PD226. Headline from the search index; digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk on four attempts and no page was read.
23 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "German Court Reportedly Finds Micron Infringed Two YMTC NAND Patents, Grants Injunctions" — reportedly, five days after a specialist outlet printed the chamber, the judge and the case numbers.
23 Sep 12:12 · tier 5 · aggregator
Counted, not weighted, and quoted because it states the limits most precisely: "The injunctions are first-instance rulings that cover sales of the infringing products in Germany only," and "No report we found says YMTC has started enforcing, that Micron has asked for a stay, or that one has been granted." Also: without the judgment texts nobody outside the case can say whether the enjoined products are consumer SSD components, embedded NAND, or both.
24 Sep · tier 4 · JUVE Patent
Added 24 September. A second origin, not a relay: it does not cite ip fray, and it carries material the first report did not. The patent EP 3 931 868 beside four German utility models — DE 20 2020 006 166.2, DE 20 2021 004 551, DE 20 2018 007 011 and DE 20 2022 003 278 — the pending cases 7 O 12609/25, 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25 alongside the two decided, and presiding judge Oliver Schön of the 7th Civil Chamber. It states that the court found two utility models "valid and infringed and granted YMTC injunctions," that Micron has appealed, and — new to this register — that Micron has brought its own infringement claims at the Munich Regional Court and at the Unified Patent Court on EP 3 706 127, EP 3 574 526 and EP 2 745 295.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
The claim reaches the American technology press, and not the American market press: "China's YMTC wins patent battle against Micron in ongoing 3-year legal war over memory patents — new injunctions could restrict Micron's supply into Germany." Downstream; not counted as an independent surface.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. No judgment text, no stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement. No mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now four trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Electronics Weekly has joined the trail, and a further specialist write-up records Micron’s appeal of both injunctions; both are downstream and neither is counted as an independent surface. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now five trading days.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Guru3D and a forum write-up of Micron’s appeal of both injunctions have joined the trail; both are downstream and neither is counted as an independent surface. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday 30 September are the first occasion on which someone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall tomorrow, Wednesday 30 September, and the legal-proceedings commentary is the first occasion on which anyone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall after this issue’s slot, tonight, and the legal-proceedings commentary is the first occasion on which anyone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now eight trading days.
Prior record for entry 10
Previous first-seen label23 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimMicron has marked its 2-gigabyte GDDR7 chips end of life — the 28Gbps D8FHL part, MT68A512M32DF-28:A, and its 32Gbps sibling — leaving 3-gigabyte modules as its only GDDR7 density and Samsung and SK hynix as the remaining sources of the 2-gigabyte parts used on much of Nvidia's RTX 50 range, per Hardware Busters, The FPS Review, VideoCardz, TechPowerUp and TrendForce, all reading the same page of Micron's own parts catalogue. Micron has published no notice and explained nothing; Nvidia has said nothing. The Whisper, No. 7.
Previous tape1,096.16 → 1,071.88, −24.28, −2.22%, the 22 September close before the first sighting to the 23 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com's daily table and Yahoo Finance's quote page carry 1,071.88 identically, Yahoo carries the change as −2.22 percent, and MarketBeat's 23 September alert headlines "Shares Down 2.2%." Desk arithmetic, inputs shown: 1,096.16 − 1,071.88 = 24.28; 24.28 ÷ 1,096.16 = 2.215 percent. Nothing is attributed. Wednesday's session already has a published explanation and it is not this one: Invezz, 23 September 15:02, gives Wells Fargo cutting its target to $1,400 from $1,525 while keeping Overweight, Citi's Atif Malik raising his to $1,300 from $1,150 on "stronger-than-expected DRAM pricing and continued undersupply across both DRAM and NAND markets," and Michael Burry adding to a short. No published account of the session mentions GDDR7. The 23 September close is carried on a third independent read, Yahoo Finance at 1:39 p.m. today, which returns 1,071.88 as the previous close. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,072.12, +0.24, +0.02%, open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,076.49, volume 14,114,423, Yahoo Finance, "As of 1:39:31 PM EDT. Market Open" — Micron opened twenty-two points below the prior close, traded to 1,044.00 and was bought back to roughly unchanged, and none of that is attributed either. A reading set aside and not logged: an 11:24 a.m. table appeared to carry a 24 September close outside its own printed high and low, but on re-reading at 1:37 p.m. that page was serving data stamped 4:51 a.m. pre-market and a Yahoo read a minute later returned a level near 958 against a previous close near 956 that reconciles with no session sworn in here and did not reproduce. The desk does not log an entry against a page it cannot re-read. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 on the two reads described in entry 9, which carries the move from the 22 September base to −15.63, −1.43%, this desk’s arithmetic, 15.63 ÷ 1,096.16. Nothing is attributed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a distributor's catalogue mirroring the EOL flag with a last-time-buy date; a product change notification to customers, the document this kind of decision normally travels on; board partner or distributor pricing showing 2-gigabyte parts withdrawn; Micron's fiscal fourth-quarter results and call on 30 September — four trading days from today, five from the first sighting — where a deliberate shift of graphics memory toward higher-density AI parts belongs in the commentary on mix. Kills it: Micron saying the parts remain in production, a catalogue reading showing them in Production status, or a 2-gigabyte part appearing on a new board.
Previous lag label5 trading days and running, at 30 September. First sighting Wednesday 23 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — had carried it as of 12:20 p.m. Eastern on 30 September; Tom's Hardware is the furthest it has travelled and that is the technology press.
23 Sep · tier 5 · leak account
First sighting, counted and not named: a hardware leak account on X, quoted verbatim by The FPS Review — "the micron gddr7 28gbps 2gb chip d8fhl (MT68A512M32DF-28:A) used on some rtx50 cards, has reached end of life." One sentence, one part number, no explanation, no company. Time not established.
23 Sep 05:05 · tier 4 · Hardware Busters
09:05:00 UTC by its own stamp, byline crmaris. Names both parts, MT68A512M32DF-28:A and MT68A512M32DF-32:A, and cites four things: Micron's GDDR7 part catalogue, the leak account, TweakTown and VideoCardz. Did not stand alone, and printed the sentence that matters most in the trail: "Micron has not published a notice or explained the decision."
23 Sep 08:14 · tier 4 · The FPS Review
12:14:15 UTC, Peter Brosdahl. Cites the leak account via VideoCardz and places the part across the RTX 50 range from the 5060 to the 5090. Explicitly downstream.
23 Sep · tier 4 · VideoCardz, TechPowerUp
"Micron reportedly ends production of 2GB GDDR7 used by GeForce RTX 50" and "Micron's 2 GB GDDR7 Memory Chips Reportedly Reach End of Life." Both logged as headlines from the search index rather than as reads: videocardz.com returned a 402 to this desk and techpowerup.com is disallowed to it by robots. Neither page was opened.
23–24 Sep · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: eTeknix, Wccftech, Kantan, GameGPU, Techtroduce, FPSHub and borecraft, every one a retelling of the same catalogue reading and none an independent surface.
24 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "Micron Reportedly Ends 2GB GDDR7, Narrowing Supply Options for NVIDIA's RTX 50 Series," citing TechPowerUp, Gazlog, the leak account, Tom's Hardware, VideoCardz and the catalogue, and stating the document claim in its cleanest form: "Micron's product catalog now lists its 28 Gbps D8FHL chip (MT68A512M32DF-28) as EOL, with the 32 Gbps version carrying the same designation." Adds the economics: 3GB modules at $60–$70 a chip against roughly $20 for the 2GB parts.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
Added 24 September, and the surface that supplies the reason this sits on the AI beat. Etiido Uko reports both the 28 and 32 Gbps variants discontinued and Micron "shifting its focus toward higher-density 3 GB (24 Gb) GDDR7 chips," which carry "higher profit margins" and go into Nvidia's professional RTX PRO Blackwell parts for AI work; the general case, in its words, is "memory suppliers prioritizing AI-facing technologies over their consumer and retail counterparts." It also carries the counterweight this desk prints rather than the squeeze: Samsung and SK hynix already dominate 2GB GDDR7 and Micron was not competitive there, so the exit creates little shortage risk. No Micron or Nvidia comment.
24 Sep 12:46 · tier 1 · the catalogue, unread
The desk went to the document and could not open it. micron.com's public GDDR7 part catalogue returns no results; its table carries the right columns — part number, density, parts status, depth, width, operating temperature, speed — and "parts status" is the field holding the EOL, Production and Preview values every report is quoting. The catalogue requires a Micron account. The document exists, it is Micron's own, and no reader outside can check the claim against it. The claim is not upgraded on a page this desk cannot read.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. The lag runs on, now two trading days. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall on Wednesday 30 September, two sessions from today. The lag runs on, now three trading days. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron reports tomorrow, Wednesday 30 September. The lag runs on, now four trading days. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron reports after the close tonight, and the commentary on graphics-memory mix is where a deliberate shift toward higher-density AI parts would appear. The lag runs on, now five trading days. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 11
Previous first-seen label23 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimNew 2027 long-term contract prices for twelve-inch semiconductor silicon wafers will rise fifteen to twenty-five percent for epitaxial wafers and more than forty percent for polished, with some second-tier customers above fifty percent, per the Commercial Times of Taipei, citing an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, and there is no document of any kind in the trail. The Whisper, No. 8.
Previous tapeno reading sworn in, and the desk prints why. The claim's subjects are listed in Taipei — GlobalWafers on the Taipei Exchange under 6488, with Taisil and Wafer Works beside it — and this desk has established no US-listed line for any of them. The two feeds it reads for Taipei disagree by roughly a third and both are stale: stockanalysis.com served 1,000.00 TWD, +29.00, +2.99%, previous close 971.00, volume 1,355,000, on a page stamped 23 September 9:20 a.m. Taipei; Investing.com served 1,480.00 TWD, −35.00, −2.31%, volume 10.79m, on a page labelled "Closed as of July 15, 2026." One is ten weeks stale and says so; the other is two days stale and does not. Both are printed, neither is sworn, and no level is published as current. No options print, no volume anomaly and no prediction-market contract was found either. The fifty-two-week range on both pages runs 333 to 1,600.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: GlobalWafers' third-quarter results and investor conference in late October, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month; SUMCO's and Shin-Etsu's late-October results and their guidance language on long-term agreements; any foundry or memory maker booking a materially higher wafer cost line in fourth-quarter guidance, which confirms it from the customer's side. Kills it: a wafer maker saying on the record that 2027 agreements are renewing at single-digit or low-double-digit increases; a customer's guidance showing flat wafer costs into 2027; or the October results season passing with none of the companies raising their own pricing outlook.
Previous lag label5 trading days and running, at 30 September. First sighting Wednesday 23 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — carried the 2027 contract numbers as of 12:20 p.m. Eastern on 30 September. The furthest the claim has travelled into American publishing is Wccftech and TrendForce, which are the technology and research trade, not the market press.
26 Jun · tier 4 · CTEE, BigGo
Upstream, and a different claim. The Commercial Times reported wafer prices rising about ten percent across six-, eight- and twelve-inch, the first increase in over three years. A Chinese-language analysis the same day, 12:26 UTC, citing CITIC Securities, SEMI, Bernstein and JW Insights, gave the mechanism: the long-term supply agreements "acted like shackles, making silicon wafer manufacturers the last beneficiaries in the AI industry chain." Ten percent across all sizes in June is not forty percent on polished twelve-inch in 2027.
15–17 Sep · tier 4 · CTEE
The supply side, twice: a 15 September item putting the supply gap at at least ten percent from next year, a 17 September item widening it to twenty-four percent by 2028. Neither carried contract prices.
18 Sep · tier 4 · UBS, as reported
Recorded because it is being conflated with the claim, not because it supports it. Wafer manufacturers "may need price increases of 40% to 50% just to justify building the capacity the AI industry says it needs" — a threshold required to unlock investment, not a forecast of contract prices. Two different forty-percents are now circulating in the same week.
23 Sep 03:00 · tier 4 · Commercial Times
First sighting, page stamp 03:00 Taipei, modified 08:01, byline Li Juan-ping (李娟萍). The sentence, in the original: 十二吋磊晶圓新長約價格估上漢15%~25%,拋光晶圓漲幅則可能達40%以上,部分二線客戶甚至超遒50% — new long-contract prices for twelve-inch epitaxial wafers estimated up fifteen to twenty-five percent, polished wafers possibly above forty, some second-tier customers above fifty. Three forces named: AI logic, memory capacity expansion, and the renegotiation of long-term contracts. Attributed to an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates; no firm and no person named. Stood alone; cites no earlier report.
23 Sep 14:10 · tier 4 · Wccftech
Ramish Zafar, byline stamp "Sep 23, 2026 at 02:10pm EDT," crediting Taiwan's CTEE. Carries the split correctly — "polished wafers are expected to see a higher price jump in the form of a 40% increase compared to 15% to 25% for the standard epitaxial wafers" — and the demand arithmetic beneath it: CoWoS capacity up 70.9 percent next year, GPU and custom AI ASIC demand up 44.9 percent, wafer prices from $92 in 2026 to $122 in 2027 and $166 in 2028, shipments from 11.9 million wafers a quarter to 16.1 million and then 21.7 million. Its headline takes the polished figure as the whole. Explicitly downstream.
25 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
"12-inch Wafer Price Hikes Loom for 2027 as AI Demand Tightens Supply, with LTAs Reportedly Up 15–40%+," citing the Commercial Times, Star Market Daily, Wccftech and BigGo. A synthesis of the origin and its relays that reaches past Wccftech to a second Chinese-language outlet, which is what carries this entry over the floor. The word in its own headline is reportedly, two days on, and that is the correct word.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. Recorded beside this entry and not as evidence for it: DigiTimes reported on 24 September that TSMC will raise its own foundry prices 3 to 6 percent from January 2027, relayed by the Economic Daily News and by Benzinga — one origin, no second surface, below the floor. Three to six percent from a foundry and above forty percent on the silicon it buys are two claims about one cost stack at very different magnitudes, and this desk prints neither as fact. The lag runs on, now three trading days. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now four trading days. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now five trading days. Status unchanged.
Prior record for entry 12
Previous first-seen label29 SEP
Previous source-record statusopen
Previous recorded claimNvidia has been in talks with insurers about structures that would reduce the financing risk carried by loans made against its own chips, including insurance on lending to smaller “neocloud” operators that would pay a lender if the borrower defaulted and the pledged chips could not be resold for enough to cover the debt, per the Financial Times citing people familiar with the matter. The FT states the discussions “remain at an early stage and may not result in agreements.” Howden Re, the broker named, declined to comment; no Nvidia statement has been located. The Whisper, No. 10.
Previous tape228.86, Nvidia’s 28 September close, sworn — Yahoo Finance’s quote page carries it as the 28 September close, up 3.79 on 225.07, 1.68 percent on 141.3 million shares, read at 11:44 a.m. Eastern today; stockanalysis.com’s live reading of 230.08 less a change of 1.22 implies the identical previous close, read at 11:47 a.m. Today unsworn, one feed: 230.08, +1.22, +0.53%, stockanalysis.com at 11:47 a.m., which is the move from the last close before the claim existed — this desk’s arithmetic, 1.22 ÷ 228.86. Premarket, one feed: 230.87, +0.88%, Benzinga at 6:32 a.m. Yahoo’s quote page was still serving Monday’s close on both reads this morning and is not used for today. Nothing is attributed: Monday’s larger move has the buyback behind it, no options print tied to the claim was found, no volume anomaly separable from the buyback, and no prediction-market contract on the question exists.
Previous settlement account or criterionSearched 29 September and recorded as a negative with a result rather than an assertion: EDGAR’s full-text index for “residual value insurance” across 1 June to 29 September returns Porsche, Volkswagen and Nissan auto-lease vehicles with Assured Guaranty, Bank of America and MassMutual, and no filer in artificial intelligence or compute. Polymarket carries fourteen live Nvidia contracts and none on the financing question. Settles it: a placement disclosed by a carrier or a broker; a neocloud borrower’s credit agreement or registration statement naming residual-value or default insurance over pledged Nvidia hardware; a syndicated risk transfer a rating agency has to describe; Nvidia’s next 10-Q and its guarantees and contingencies note, after third-quarter results on 17 November; an on-the-record statement from Howden Re or a carrier. Kills it: Nvidia saying no such structures are under discussion, or the FT’s own follow-up that the talks ended without an agreement.
Previous lag label0 trading days. First sighting 12:51 a.m. and first mainstream American headline 6:29 a.m. on the same session. Recorded separately, because they are the numbers the issue turns on: 109 completed trading sessions from Alpha Compute’s 22 April release through the 28 September close before the 29 September premarket wire, and 22 trading days from the insurance trade describing the market on Wednesday 26 August to a wire naming the chipmaker in it — 27 and 28 August, 31 August, 1 to 4 September, 8 to 11 September, 14 to 18 September, 21 to 25 September and 28 September, with Monday 7 September excluded as a US market holiday.
22 Apr · tier 1 · Alpha Compute / EDGAR
Added 29 September on an extended sweep, and the document that puts the exposure on the public record. Form 6-K filed 29 April, accession 0001171843-26-002823, CIK 1095435, carrying a press release dated 22 April: a $31.9 million non-recourse senior secured loan facility collateralised by Nvidia B300 graphics processors from an unnamed institutional lender, in which the collateral is “strictly limited to the underlying Nvidia GPU assets and the facility’s build-out” and the lender’s remedies on default are “exclusively restricted to the pledged hardware.” The same language returns in the company’s 424B3 of 22 May. It names no insurer and does not address the claim; it documents the GPU-collateral exposure but identifies no insurer and does not settle this claim. EDGAR’s full-text index returns these two filings for the phrase “GPUs as collateral” across 2026 and nothing else. The linked exhibit says the binding term sheet was executed while definitive loan documentation remained in process.
26 Aug · tier 4 · The Insurer
Upstream, and a different claim: “GPU residual value: Insurance paper used to tackle AI financing risk,” URL-dated 26 August and read through Slipcase’s syndication, where it is dated 27 August; theinsurer.com is disallowed to this desk by robots and the page was not opened. Sets out residual value insurance, warranty-backed guarantees and derivatives as the three approaches, and quotes American Compute’s founder Bernie Margulies: “If the data says it’s going to be 70%, don’t underwrite 70%, underwrite 30%.” Names no chipmaker. Logged as context, not as a surface.
Aug, undated · tier 1 · Nvidia
Company material, per Benzinga’s account of 29 September: a consortium with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to mobilise more than $500 billion for AI infrastructure, $36 billion of six-year cloud-service commitments, and guarantees of up to $105 billion on an Ohio data centre project. Jensen Huang in August: “We began by building chips; today, we are helping create a new class of productive, investable infrastructure: AI factories.” No mention of insurance.
28 Sep 11:34 · tier 1 · Nvidia
A $150 billion increase in the share repurchase authorisation, taking the total to $235 billion and described by the company as the largest such increase in history; Yahoo Finance, bylines Michael B. Kelley and Julie Hyman. A document, and the published explanation for Monday’s session. It does not touch the claim and is logged so that the tape is not misread.
29 Sep 00:51 · tier 3 · FT via Investing.com
First sighting the desk can stamp: “Nvidia turns to insurers to spread risk of AI build-out - FT.” Carries the substance — insurance on loans to smaller neocloud companies, protection for lenders where the collateral will not cover the debt; Huang’s argument that chips are “an ‘investable asset class’ similar to other expensive, long-lived technology assets”; Nvidia having explored syndicating the risk on to hedge funds and other alternative investors; Howden Re named and declining to comment.
29 Sep 01:24 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance UK
The same Investing.com copy, 5:24 UTC. A relay, not an independent surface.
29 Sep 06:29 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, on the technology file, byline Fiona Craig: “Nvidia Holds Talks With Insurers Over AI Infrastructure Financing Risk, FT Reports.” Adds one detail the earlier relay did not: Nvidia has given at least one insurer information on chip depreciation and on the value of computing capacity. Read on Yahoo and in the ADVFN syndication of the same copy. The lag closes here.
29 Sep 06:32 · tier 4 · Benzinga
Byline Shomik Sen Bhattacharjee. The first piece to set the claim beside the $500 billion consortium and the Ohio guarantees, and the first to print a level: NVDA at 230.87 in the premarket, up 0.88 percent, one feed and unsworn.
29 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not weighted: Dealroom, BigGo, Serrari, Startup Fortune, allweatherfinance, Memesita, finwire and a crypto-news site that bundled the insurance story into the buyback headline. Not one adds a source, and several state as settled what the FT hedged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No carrier or broker placement, no neocloud credit agreement naming residual-value or default cover over pledged Nvidia hardware, and no rating-agency description. Howden Re’s declination stands. The relay layer has thickened — TheNextWeb, GuruFocus, Dealroom, Fudzilla, Serrari and Startup Fortune among others, none adding a source. Status unchanged.
- Source 1: https://www.ft.com/content/d6a9f5df-08d0-4f80-ad2d-5d8a17e2cc82
- Source 2: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/nvidia-turns-to-insurers-to-spread-risk-of-ai-buildout--ft-4921570
- Source 3: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1095435/000117184326002823/exh_991.htm
- Source 4: https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/nvidia-holds-talks-insurers-over-102924736.html
Prior record for entry 13
Previous first-seen label10 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimThe Bell reported that pricing disagreements had stalled talks over a possible Samsung 2-nanometre manufacturing contract for Qualcomm application processors, with production under such an arrangement potentially moving to 2027. The report cited an unnamed person familiar with Samsung’s foundry business; neither company has confirmed the reported price disagreement. A later Qualcomm executive interview confirms process evaluation, not a production contract. The Whisper, No. 11.
Previous tape176.88 → 181.97, +5.09, +2.88%, the 10 September close before the first sighting to the 11 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com’s daily history and Yahoo Finance’s history page carry both identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk’s arithmetic, 5.09 ÷ 176.88. Carried on to Monday’s sworn close of 187.48, the move from the same base is +10.60, +5.99%. Recorded separately and attributed to nothing: the 25 September close is sworn at 201.97 and the 28 September close at 187.48, a fall of −14.49, −7.17%, 14.49 ÷ 201.97 — a session with published explanations that mention no foundry contract, among them a broad semiconductor decline, the ten-year at 5.218 percent and the chief executive’s pre-arranged share sales. The 29 September close of 184.10 is stockanalysis.com only, printed and not sworn; today, one feed and unsworn, 185.00, +0.49%, stockanalysis.com at 11:56 a.m. Eastern. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 15,597,657 against 15,597,700 on 10 September; 11,556,632 against 11,546,600 on 11 September; 16,680,120 against 16,614,256 on 28 September. A caution: Yahoo Finance’s QCOM quote page at 11:54 a.m. today was serving the 25 September close as its latest reading; it labels that date, so it is a stale page and not a decoy, and the history page was used instead.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: Qualcomm’s fiscal fourth-quarter results and call in early November, where a foundry second-source decision reaches the cost commentary; Samsung Electronics’ third-quarter results in late October and its foundry-segment disclosure; a Samsung Foundry customer announcement naming Qualcomm; a die or package teardown of a shipping Snapdragon part identifying the fab. Kills it: either company saying on the record that no contract was postponed, or a 2nm Snapdragon part appearing on a Samsung line this year.
Previous lag labelThe desk first stamped the English relay on 10 September at 9:47 p.m. Eastern, after the close; Yahoo Finance Canada carried syndicated copy on 11 September at 8:08 a.m. Eastern, before the open — one trading day to that Canadian mainstream relay. Under this register’s stated mainstream-US-headline rule, a qualifying US headline had not been established by the 30 September desk check, so that lag remains open. The Bell’s original carries a 9 September Korea-time publication stamp; the desk stamp is not the first publication.
Jul, per 11 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
Context, and the reason a foundry would hold its price: Samsung raised advanced-node prices in July by 10 to 15 percent on 4nm orders from Chinese and American customers, 5 to 10 percent in Taiwan, and 10 to 15 percent on 5nm, per TrendForce’s account. Names no customer and is not a surface for this claim.
10 Sep 21:47 · tier 4 · The Bell via Investing.com
First sighting the desk can stamp, updated 22:54, byline Roushni Nair. “Qualcomm is pushing for lower prices and Samsung is resisting”; manufacturing the processors within 2026 is “becoming difficult because chip production needs to line up with smartphone launch schedules”; talks may move to next-generation parts instead. Samsung is said to regard the volume under discussion as too small to justify a concession, having signed Tesla and Broadcom. Both companies were asked for comment and neither replied. The stamp falls after Thursday’s close and before Friday’s open. Chronology clarification: The Bell original shows 9 September 2026 at 15:10 Korea time and a public/free release on 11 September at 07:00 Korea time; this 10 September stamp is the desk’s first English relay sighting, not first publication.
11 Sep 08:08 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance (CA)
First mainstream headline, and the desk prints the qualification rather than burying it: the page read was Yahoo Finance’s Canadian edition, carrying GuruFocus copy, byline Nauman Khan, under “Qualcomm Chip Deal With Samsung Hits a Major Pricing Snag.” “Qualcomm is seeking more competitive manufacturing costs, while Samsung appears less willing to reduce pricing.” Puts the slip at 2027; states that neither company has issued a public statement; adds Samsung’s multi-year Broadcom AI-chip agreement valued at over $200 billion through 2030. The lag closes here.
11 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
The item that carries this claim over the floor, because it does not rest on The Bell alone: “Samsung-Qualcomm 2nm Deal May Slip to 2027; Foundry Resists Lower Pricing as Process Stabilizes,” naming Maeil Business Newspaper, Munhwa Ilbo and Money Today beside The Bell. It also names Reuters among its sources; the desk searched for a Reuters item carrying the stall, did not find one, and does not count one. Adds on its own account: Samsung 2nm gate-all-around yield “over 70%, up sharply from below 50% at the beginning of 2026”; foundry share 5.9 percent in the second quarter; the Taylor fab reported fully booked for 2nm before it opens.
14 Sep · tier 4 · DigiTimes
“Samsung, Qualcomm deepen 2nm talks as pricing and yield hurdles persist,” item a20260914VL208. Logged as a headline from the search index and not as a read: digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened. On its headline alone it is a second origin rather than a relay, and it introduces yield as the second variable the Korean reporting did not lead with.
25 Sep · market signal
MarketBeat’s instant alert: 140,153 Qualcomm call contracts purchased against an average daily volume of 108,956, about 29 percent above normal, with the stock at $204.11 intraday, up $9.85. Recorded as testimony, attributed to nothing.
27 Sep (interview 23 Sep) · tier 2 · Qualcomm via iNews24
Qualcomm senior vice-president Chris Patrick said the company was doing in-depth work evaluating Samsung Foundry’s 2nm process for possible future products, but had no specific product or application plan to announce. This does not confirm or deny The Bell’s reported price disagreement or a production contract.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
28 Sep · tier 5 · aggregator
Counted, not named, and not an independent surface — its two named sources, TrendForce and DigiTimes, are already in this trail. Restates the claim in a harder form on the day of a seven percent session: negotiations stalled on “pricing structure and yield issues,” a partnership unlikely before 2027, every announced 2nm product still contracted to TSMC. A 28 September options item headlined at 99,880 contracts and 963,020 open interest is logged as a headline from the search index; the page requires JavaScript and was not read.
30 Sep · tier 4 · technology press
The yield figure forks. A technology outlet puts Samsung Foundry 2nm yield at 60 percent, with a power-draw disadvantage against Snapdragon parts; TrendForce had “over 70%” on 11 September, and DigiTimes had 60 percent for the Exynos 2600 in November 2025. Three numbers, two directions, one process. Recorded as a difference rather than an error — different dates, possibly different products — and noted because a claim whose mechanism is that the buyer will not pay what the seller’s yield now justifies cannot be settled while the yield is reported three ways.
30 Sep · desk check
EDGAR full-text search for 8-K filings naming both “Samsung” and “2nm” across September 2026 returns zero filings; recorded as a negative with a result. The only documents near this story are Forms 4 for the chief executive’s 10b5-1 sales of 10,000 shares on 21 September and 10,000 on 25 September, which are about share sales and not about a wafer price. Highest tier reached: four.
- Source 1: https://www.thebell.co.kr/front/newsview.asp?key=202609091437016680105190
- Source 2: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/samsung-qualcomm-delay-2nm-chip-deal-as-price-talks-drag-the-bell-4897170
- Source 3: https://www.trendforce.com/news/2026/09/11/news-samsung-qualcomm-2nm-deal-may-slip-to-2027-foundry-resists-lower-pricing-as-process-stabilizes
- Source 4: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/qualcomm-chip-deal-samsung-hits-120833823.html
- Source 5: https://www.inews24.com/view/2009066
Previous source and date metadata
Previous supplied content as of2026-09-30
Previous source-reported countstracked: 13 · open: 11 · confirmed: 2 · denied: 0 · expired: 0 · medianLagDays: 0
Previous source and date notes
This is the owner-supplied register as of 25 September 2026, not a fresh verification of the claims or market observations. Publication does not independently establish that a rumor is true.
The supplied 24 September run note ends mid-sentence after “with the lags on 5, 6 and 9”. It is preserved as supplied; the missing remainder has not been reconstructed.
The source names outlets, documents and domains but supplies no direct citation URLs. Citation lists are therefore empty. No article, filing or document URL has been inferred from a name or an accession number.
The open tally includes both open and corroborated entries. The open status filter is narrower: it selects only entries whose status is open.
The supplied tally reports a median lag of 0 days. A first-sighting-to-mainstream-headline median cannot be derived reliably: entry 7 has an undated first sighting and its zero measures document-to-wire time instead. The derived median is therefore unavailable; the reported figure is retained separately.
Trail order and date labels are preserved as supplied, including the 24 September check before the 23 September check in entry 1. No missing observation time, date or year has been inferred.
These import notes describe the original September 25 owner-supplied package. Later dated editorial updates and selected direct source links have been added; the original statement that its citation lists were empty is historical, not a description of the current register. Unlinked historical desk checks remain attributed to the supplied artifact rather than independently verified by hosting.
Previous supplied correction history
When the desk gets a trail wrong — a sighting misdated, a tier misjudged, a status moved too early — the correction is recorded here, dated, and the entry is amended below with the change marked.
18 September. A note on a published number rather than a correction to one. The tally band's open tile counts every rumor that has not been settled by a document, which includes those at corroborated; it has read that way since this register was built and it is left reading that way.
19 September. Two issues were published for Friday. The desk's scheduled run posted No. 2 on Friday afternoon, adding entries 3 and 4. A second issue, reported on Friday afternoon while that run was still working and published on Saturday, is numbered No. 3 and adds entries 5, 6 and 7. Neither issue restates the other and no entry has been renumbered. With seven rumors tracked and one confirmed, open is six and the median lag of resolved rumors is zero.
21 September — entry 3 amended. The Whisper, No. 2, reported that no mainstream American outlet had carried the AMD price-increase claim as of 12:44 p.m. on Friday 18 September, and left entry 3's lag running. It had. The 5:22 a.m. Friday relay that No. 2 logged as a Stocktwits item was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages, under the headline "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," and Yahoo Finance is one of the outlets this desk uses to mark the end of a lag. The desk read the item and misfiled its publisher. That line is re-tiered and marked as the first mainstream US headline below, and entry 3's lag is corrected from running to one trading day. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 4.
21 September — entry 3's first sighting re-stamped. The Whisper, No. 2, stamped Wccftech's piece at 12:26 p.m. Eastern on 17 September. That is the UTC time carried in the page's metadata. The article's own byline reads "Sarfraz Khan · Sep 17, 2026 at 08:26am EDT," and the correct stamp is 8:26 a.m. Eastern, sixty-four minutes before that session's open. The trail below is amended. The lag is unaffected at one trading day, but No. 2's argument that AMD's advance "began in the premarket, hours before the report existed" rested on the wrong time and is withdrawn: AMD opened that morning at 533.60 against 512.50, a gap of 4.12 percent on two feeds. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish, and it no longer claims the move came first.
21 September — entries 4 and 7 corrected: SK hynix is US-listed. Both entries stated that no US-listed security exists for SK hynix, and the 21 September note that first appeared here treated the question as open. It is not. SK hynix Inc. American Depositary Shares have traded on Nasdaq as SKHY since 10 July 2026, on a Form F-1 filed 24 June and amended 30 June and 6 July (CIK 0002120882, file 333-296987); Nasdaq's own security page carries the line, and the older OTC line HXSCL is a separate security whose prices will not reconcile with it. Benzinga's ticker was right and this register was wrong. Both tape lines are amended. No figure published here depended on the error, because no reading was ever sworn in for either entry — which is how it survived three issues.
22 September — entry 2 amended: a company statement this register had missed. Entry 2's trail ran from Bloomberg's 14 September report to two desk checks that found no Form F-1, and recorded no company response. There was one. On 15 September, the day after the report, Kioxia published a "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports" stating that such reports "are not announcements made by the Company" and that "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided." That is a tier-1 document and it sat unlogged through Nos. 2, 3 and 4. It is added to the trail below. It does not move the status: it confirms that a listing preparation exists, which the company itself disclosed in May, and declines to adopt the size, the exchange, the timing or the banks — which is what the claim as printed was about. Recorded at full size in The Whisper, No. 5.
23 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 6, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's last observations are stamped between 1:13 and 1:19 p.m. rather than before the hour. Its figures and its lag counts are stamped to those minutes and are accurate to them. No entry below is amended by this issue; entry 9 is added and entries 1, 3, 5 and 6 have a 23 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5 and 6 advanced by one session each.
24 September — entry 2 corrected: a Form F-6 this register said did not exist, and a second facility besides. Entry 2's desk check of 22 September reported "still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia." The F-1 half holds; the F-6 half does not. A Form F-6EF sits on EDGAR under accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock and naming no exchange. Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, as Depositary, and Kioxia Holdings Corporation appears in it only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. Nor is it the facility that trades: the over-the-counter line KXIAY is a separate unsponsored programme with J.P. Morgan as depositary, announced 9 March 2026, ratio 10:1, CUSIP 49726J108. Two depositary banks have built receipts over Kioxia's shares and the company signed neither, which is why the status does not move: an unsponsored facility is a bank's decision and an F-6 registers receipts, not an offering. The claim tracked here — size, banks, an exchange — still needs an F-1 and an exchange application, and neither exists. The trail below is amended. The desk kept running the EDGAR search that returns SK hynix, the trap it had itself recorded on 22 September, and concluded from it that nothing was there. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 7.
24 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 7, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's observations are stamped between 11:11 a.m. and 1:41 p.m. rather than before the hour, and are accurate to those minutes. Entry 10 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 and 9 have a 24 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6 and 9
25 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 8, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot; its observations are stamped between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. and are accurate to those minutes. The desk’s principal asked mid-run that the sweep be widened beyond the AI supply chain to technology, biotechnology and financials; it was, and nothing outside the usual beat cleared the floor, which is recorded in the issue’s “seen, not printed” counts. Entry 11 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 and 10 have a 25 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6, 9 and 10 advanced by one session each.
28 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 9, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes. No new claim cleared the floor today and no entry is added: the register stays at eleven. Entry 6 is the issue’s feature and its lag is filled at nine trading days, closed by a Yahoo Finance headline published at 11:07 p.m. Eastern on Sunday 27 September — after Friday’s close and before Monday’s open — carrying a 2nm figure a third larger than the one this register has tracked since 14 September. The revision is a sighting and not a document, so the status does not move. Entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 9, 10 and 11 have a 28 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced by one session each. Reproduced here from the already-published 28 September update note.
29 September — The Whisper, No. 10, was built between 11:11 a.m. and 12:40 p.m. Eastern and delivered after its 12:30 slot. Entry 12 was added. The active artifact trails include 29 September desk checks for entries 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10 and 11; the lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced. Its run note also names entry 1, but no 29 September check appears in that active entry, so none has been reconstructed from the HTML comment.
29 September — a second pass, and a withdrawal. After No. 10 was first assembled, the desk’s principal asked whether the sweep had been thorough. It had not. The extended pass added EDGAR’s full-text index, Polymarket, Data Center Dynamics and the biotechnology trade press, and it produced the 22 April Alpha Compute filing now at the head of entry 12’s trail, together with two documented negatives. The issue was rebuilt around it and republished before it went to Substack. Withdrawn in the same pass: the first build’s “seen, not printed” count of twenty-two items in six categories, which was reconstructed rather than tallied and rested on no social sweep. It is replaced by a shorter section the desk can reproduce. Also recorded, because it should have been carried into entry 3’s check: AMD announced a definitive agreement to acquire World Labs in an approximately $8.2 billion all-stock transaction, subject to closing conditions on 28 September, which is a document and not a rumor and therefore does not enter this register. The AMD primary release is linked in entry 3’s 29 September context observation.
30 September — The Whisper, No. 11, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:55 p.m. Eastern and delivered after its 12:30 slot. Entry 13 was added; active trails add 30 September checks to entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11 and 12. The lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced. The Yahoo Finance Canada relay is distinguished from a qualifying mainstream-US headline in entry 13; its US-headline lag remains unclosed under this register’s stated rule. No decoy was logged in the supplied sweep.
30 September — editorial evidence check for entry 12. The supplied active artifact labels the early-stage Nvidia insurance talks corroborated. The linked material establishes an FT report and syndications, but no separate independent report, signed insurance agreement, or qualifying market signal. The hosted status is held open pending that evidence; this is a status-methodology correction, not a denial of the FT report.
· Entry 1, Entry 2, Entry 3, Entry 5, Entry 6, Entry 9, Entry 10, Entry 11, Entry 13, Entry 14, Entry 15, Entry 17, Entry 18, Entry 19
October 16 staged import, part 1: append new observations through The Whisper No. 23 and entries 17–19. Preserve all prior source trails and corrections. Entry 14 is confirmed only for Texas evaluation, with official transcript evidence; entry 3 remains open. Later stages will add 20–26 using the dedicated expiry control for 20. Counts describe this intermediate saved register, not the final source tally.
Prior record for entry 1
Previous first-seen label15 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTen banks are lending $22 billion, with a $1 billion revolver beside it, to Crux AI, the Blackstone–Alphabet venture, to buy Google TPUs, secured by the chips and the customer contracts, per Bloomberg's people familiar with the matter. 9fin had it a day earlier at $23 billion. No party has confirmed it. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeon Fed day, not attributable. Blackstone 126.70 → 123.45, −2.57%; Alphabet 344.98 → 342.87, −0.61%, September 15 to 16 closes; levels stockanalysis.com, the two percentages also carried by Investing.com's report at 15:44. 22 + 1 = 23; 23 + 5 = 28, against May's "roughly 25." Updated 18 September: Alphabet closed 17 September at 347.33, +1.30%, volume 19,032,520, stockanalysis.com, in a market-wide rally the day after the Fed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a closing release from Blackstone, Crux or a lead bank; a rating on the facility or the refinancing bonds; the bonds' offering document; a named bank saying it is not in the group.
Previous lag label1 trading day from 9fin to Bloomberg; 2 from the unattributed sighting, which the desk does not count as a start.
18 May · tier 1 · Blackstone release
The venture announced: $5 billion of initial equity from Blackstone, 500 MW online in 2027, Google supplying TPUs, software and services. No debt mentioned.
May, per 22 May account · tier 3 · Bloomberg
"Roughly $25 billion with leverage," one person familiar; Blackstone majority owner; Benjamin Treynor Sloss chief executive.
14 Sep 09:05 · tier 5 · unattributed
Counted, not named: a crypto-news site wrote that Blackstone was "reportedly targeting investments in the tens of billions… across multiple gigawatts," citing no one.
15 Sep · tier 4 · 9fin
"Blackstone looks to raise $23bn debt for Google AI joint venture," sources told 9fin. First attributed sighting; no time shown.
16 Sep 15:44 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
First mainstream US headline: $22 billion loan plus $1 billion revolver, ten banks (Goldman, SMBC, Barclays, BNP, Scotiabank named), secured by chips and contracts, possible refinancing in investment-grade bonds. Did not cite 9fin. Time is the stamp on Investing.com's relay.
16 Sep 16:34 · tier 3 · Reuters
Relay citing Bloomberg; seven companies did not respond. A later headline reads "source says," unread by the desk, not counted as independent.
16–17 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Re-checked 18 September. No document appeared. What changed is the language: TipRanks and Gokhshtein published the loan as "secured"; Blockonomi, 17 Sep 12:10 UTC, wrote that Crux "has successfully arranged $22 billion in bank financing" and that the facility "is secured against both the physical TPU hardware and contractual agreements." Nobody has confirmed a dollar of it.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank confirming or denying membership of the group. The aggregator layer has thickened — Finimize, briefs.co, AI Weekly and FourWeekMBA now carry the loan in the past tense — and two Yahoo Finance relays, including a Benzinga piece putting GOOGL and BX "in focus," keep it in front of American readers. Nothing document-grade. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No closing release on Blackstone's press page, whose most recent items are 13, 10 and 9 September and none of them about Crux AI or the facility; no rating, and a KBRA note on AI-compute financing risk that does not evaluate Crux AI; no offering document; no bank on the record either way. A domain-restricted search of sec.gov returns no filing naming Crux AI. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Six sessions after Bloomberg's report — 17, 18, 21, 22, 23 and 24 September — there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind — FourWeekMBA, AI Weekly, Finimize, Dealroom and pulse2 all carry the facility, most of them in the past tense — and one relay again states the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. No closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer thickened again — Finimize, FourWeekMBA, Dealroom, KuCoin and HuggingNews all carry the facility in the past tense — and one relay, Runtimewire, puts the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Seven sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for the existing 18 May Blackstone observation: the linked May 18, 2026 issuer announcement supports the equity commitment, expected capacity and Google's contribution recorded above. It does not confirm the separate loan, revolver, lenders or closing. This is a citation update, not a new first sighting or rumor-status change; the historical observations and supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Eight sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. Ten trading sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. Ten sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. Eleven sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind.
Prior record for entry 2
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimKioxia is weighing a US listing of American depositary shares to raise at least $10 billion, possibly next year, with Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, per Bloomberg's people familiar; the deliberations are "preliminary." The plan is the company's, stated in May; the size is single-sourced. The Whisper, No. 1.
Previous tapeTokyo readings one feed, unsworn; no US-listed security yet.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a public Form F-1 on EDGAR; an exchange application; a Kioxia release naming the exchange; the November results. Amended 24 September: the Form F-6EF of 11 February is on file, was filed by a depositary rather than by Kioxia, and does not settle it; neither does the unsponsored KXIAY programme.
Previous lag label0 trading days; the first sighting of the size was the mainstream headline.
May · tier 1 · Kioxia
The company said it was preparing to list ADRs to broaden its investor base, per Reuters' account of 14 September.
25 Jun 03:27 · tier 4 · TradingKey
Added 21 September, an earlier surface the desk had missed: Kioxia "intends to issue American Depositary Receipts and list on a U.S. stock exchange by spring 2027," subject to regulatory approval, with exchange, offering size and timeline unsettled. The plan and its approximate date were therefore in print three months before Bloomberg's report; what is single-sourced is the size, not the listing.
14 Sep 08:58 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
At least $10 billion, three banks named, size and lineup subject to change; Kioxia did not reply outside business hours. Reuters relayed it; The Star's copy stamped 08:58 Eastern. The sighting was the headline.
14–15 Sep · tier 4 · SED, Invezz
Seoul Economic Daily and Invezz relayed Bloomberg; Invezz read the Tokyo shares at ¥51,720 on the 14th and ¥51,350 by the 15th, against a June high of ¥112,750.
18 Sep · desk check
Re-checked against EDGAR's full-text index: no Form F-1 for Kioxia. No new sighting since 14 September and no denial. Status unchanged.
15 Sep · tier 1 · Kioxia
Added 22 September, and the highest tier this claim has reached. "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports," on the company's own site: "There have been media reports regarding the listing of the Company's American Depositary Shares on a U.S. stock exchange. These reports are not announcements made by the Company," and "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided," with the note that preparations may be discontinued. Neither confirms nor denies the size, the banks or the timing. The desk had missed this through three issues; see the audit block.
11 Feb · tier 1 · BNY Mellon / EDGAR
Added 24 September, and the document this register said did not exist. Form F-6EF, accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock. No exchange is named in it, and Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, 240 Greenwich Street, as depositary, with Kioxia Holdings Corporation named only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. It predates Bloomberg's report by seven months and says nothing about the size, the banks, the exchange or the timing the claim is about. See the audit block.
9 Mar · tier 1 · depositary bulletin
Added 24 September. The Kioxia line that actually trades over the counter, KXIAY, is a different programme under a different bank: an unsponsored depositary receipt facility with J.P. Morgan as depositary, ten ordinary shares to one receipt, CUSIP 49726J108, listed in BNY Mellon's bulletin of new unsponsored programmes dated 9 March 2026. An unsponsored facility is established by a bank without the issuer's participation, so it is evidence about banks and not about Kioxia's intentions.
21 Sep · desk check
EDGAR re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4: still no Form F-1. The Japan Times and Yahoo Finance relays of the 14 September report remain the American surface. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5: still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia, and no IR item since the 15 September notice. A trap recorded for future searches: the F-1 that surfaces on these search terms is SK hynix Inc., CIK 2120882, filed 24 June, Nasdaq Global Select under SKHY, with BofA Securities, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan as global coordinators — a different issuer with a near-identical bank lineup to the three attributed to Kioxia. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The F-6EF above was found on this check and is filed in its own place in the trail; it is the highest-tier document on this entry after that notice, and it does not touch the claim as printed.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for two existing observations: Source 1 is Kioxia's September 15, 2026 media-response notice, supporting the recorded preparation and uncertainty. Source 2 is the February 11, 2026 F-6 filing, accession 0001019155-26-000048, supporting the depositary filing observation. Neither establishes the reported offering size, bank lineup, exchange or timing. The separate March depositary programme and remaining trail were not checked in this citation update. Status, historical dates, text and the supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The F-1 that surfaces on these search terms remains SK hynix’s, CIK 2120882, the trap this register recorded on 22 September. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The search returns a leveraged Kioxia exchange-traded fund registration and a Western Digital annual report, neither of them an offering by Kioxia.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice.
Prior record for entry 3
Previous first-seen label17 SEP
Previous source-record statusopen
Previous recorded claimAMD has told its partners that prices on its graphics processors, AI accelerators and chipsets will rise by roughly ten percent in the fourth quarter of 2026, because TSMC has told AMD the same about wafers, per Wccftech citing ChannelGate, a supply-chain channel on WeChat. Neither company has commented. Every English-language sighting traces to that one channel. The Whisper, No. 2.
Previous tape512.50 → 559.82, +47.32, +9.23%, the 16 September close before the first attributed sighting to the 18 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry both figures identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 47.32 ÷ 512.50. Intraday 21 September, one feed and unsworn: 606.68 at 1:24 p.m. on stockanalysis.com, +46.86, +8.37% on the session, range 582.27–615.99, volume 29.5m, which carries the move from the same base to +94.18, +18.38%. The same page put the market capitalisation at $990.39 billion. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28.17m against 28.46m on 17 September, 31.17m against 31.87m on 18 September. Amended 21 September with the corrected stamp: the report ran at 8:26 a.m. on 17 September, sixty-four minutes before the open, and AMD opened at 533.60 — both feeds, sworn — a gap of 4.12% on the prior close, 533.60 ÷ 512.50, closing the session up 6.36%. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish and does not guess; the earlier claim that the advance preceded the report is withdrawn. The advance has also run on through a broad semiconductor rally, so the desk still attributes nothing. Updated 22 September: Monday's close is sworn at 615.52 — stockanalysis.com and stockinvest.us, which wrote that AMD "ended at $615.52," with Yahoo Finance carrying the same as its previous close — which carries the move from the same base to +103.02, +20.10%, this desk's arithmetic, 103.02 ÷ 512.50. Today unsworn, both printed: 618.34 at 12:03 p.m. Eastern on stockanalysis.com, 614.92 at 10:46 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. A caution: Investing.com's AMD historical table was stale at 18 September when checked today, and its quote page showed a 15:39 intraday print of 615.71 that is not a close; it is not used for Monday.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a partner or OEM price list showing fourth-quarter increases in that range; AMD's third-quarter results and call on 3 November, where a ten percent rise reaches the gross-margin line; TSMC's October call on 2027 wafer pricing; an on-the-record statement. Kills it: AMD saying no such notice went to partners, or fourth-quarter price lists arriving unchanged.
Previous lag label1 trading day, corrected 21 September from running. First attributed sighting 17 September 8:26 a.m.; first mainstream US headline 18 September 5:22 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. The first independently authored American market story came on 21 September, two trading days out; the desk counts the earlier one.
21 Jul · tier 3 · Nikkei
The upstream claim, via Tom's Hardware: TSMC to raise advanced-node baseline prices five to ten percent from the start of 2027, with "another 10% to 15% premium on top of the standard increase" for incremental HPC capacity, citing people with knowledge of the matter. Named no customer.
17 Sep · tier 5 · channel
ChannelGate, a WeChat supply-chain account, relayed by a leak account on X. Counted, not named. Origin of the AMD-specific leg.
17 Sep 08:26 · tier 4 · Wccftech
First attributed sighting; stamp corrected 21 September from 12:26 p.m., which was the page metadata's UTC time, to 8:26 a.m. Eastern per the article's own byline. "TSMC has notified its customers about the price hikes, leading to AMD notifying its partners about the same. The price hike is roughly 10% and is planned to be implemented in the fourth quarter of 2026." Cited ChannelGate; did not stand alone; said a ten percent Ryzen increase "should be treated as a 'possibility' rather than a confirmed development." Wccftech gives ChannelGate no descriptor; Club386, the same day, identifies it as the WeChat arm of a Chinese leak site.
17–18 Sep · tier 4 · relays
Counted, not weighted: six English-language sites, among them ThinkComputers, Club386, Notebookcheck, PC Guide, XenoSpectrum and Technetbook. All downstream of the same item or the same channel.
18 Sep 05:22 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline. Amended 21 September: logged in The Whisper, No. 2, as a Stocktwits relay, it was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages as "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," naming both Wccftech and ChannelGate; AMD up 1.4 percent premarket, a third consecutive advance, the three-session gain above twelve percent. The lag closed here.
18 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
Carried in its own news file as AMD "preparing a 10% price hike for GPUs, AI chips, and chipsets in Q4 2026, attributed to rising manufacturing costs at TSMC." Downstream of the same origin; not counted as a second surface.
19 Sep · tier 2 · TSMC via Digital Citizen
The first named-company material in the trail, and the highest tier this claim has reached. A TSMC spokesperson, asked about the report: "Our pricing strategy is strategic, not opportunistic. We will continue to work closely with customers and sell our value to them." Neither a confirmation nor a denial. The same piece set the leak's Q4 2026 timing against TSMC's July guidance of 2027 and allowed that the two "may describe one negotiation at different stages or two separate cost actions."
21 Sep 09:37 · tier 4 · 24/7 Wall St.
First American market story written independently of the technology press, also carried on Yahoo Finance: "AMD Rises 5% as Report Flags 10% Chip Price Increase; NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor Tick Up." AMD 586.66, Nvidia 223.72, TSM 440.92. Calls the claim "unconfirmed," does not name ChannelGate, and adds that "a denial or narrower scope would remove the framing that's lifting AMD stock this morning."
21 Sep · tier 4 · PCWorld
Added 22 September. Quotes the origin channel directly, through a leak account on X: "AMD will increase chip price about 10% in Q4 / It is result from TSMC's price increase." No AMD comment. Not an independent surface; it is the same WeChat account, one relay closer to the source than Wccftech was.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting today, no AMD statement, no denial, and no partner or OEM price list. The claim is forking in the relay layer: one branch has Ryzen spared, the other has Ryzen following, and both cite the same channel. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. TweakTown has joined the relay layer, alongside Digital Trends, XenoSpectrum, ThinkComputers and Startup Fortune, and the Ryzen fork persists across them; every one is downstream of the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Digital Trends, Startup Fortune and Compsmag have joined the relay layer and the Ryzen fork persists across it; every branch still cites the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8, the sixth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Recorded beside this entry today: an unrelated and independently sourced claim, printed as entry 11, that the silicon wafers upstream of TSMC are themselves being repriced for 2027. The desk logs the two as separate claims and does not treat either as evidence for the other. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9, the seventh session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Recorded beside this entry today and not as evidence for it: DigiTimes reported on 24 September that TSMC will raise its own wafer foundry prices by 3 to 6 percent from January 2027 with order visibility to 2030, relayed the same morning at 9:02 Taipei by the Economic Daily News and carried in American markets coverage by Benzinga. One origin, several relays, no document and no second surface — it does not clear the floor and is counted in the issue’s “seen, not printed.” Its quantity and its date both differ from this claim’s. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10, the eighth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. The relay layer is unchanged and the Ryzen fork persists across it. AMD’s third-quarter results on 3 November remain the first occasion on which a ten percent rise would reach a published margin. Status unchanged. Separate documented context, not evidence for this price claim: AMD announced a definitive all-stock agreement to acquire World Labs for approximately $8.2 billion on 28 September; completion remained subject to approvals.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11, the ninth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. AMD’s third-quarter results on 3 November remain the first occasion on which a ten percent rise would reach a published margin. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12, the tenth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list, and the claim has not acquired a second origin. The fourth quarter the claim is about began today. AMD’s third-quarter results on 3 November remain the first occasion on which a ten percent rise would reach a published margin.
Prior record for entry 5
Previous first-seen label15 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimSamsung Electronics has begun running wafers for Tesla's next-generation AI5 processor at its foundry in Taylor, Texas, ahead of a start scheduled for November, per Seoul Economic Daily's semiconductor industry sources. Neither company has said it, and no American wire has reported it. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapeTesla 358.97 → 366.20, +2.01%, 14 to 17 September closes, sworn — 358.97 on stockanalysis.com and Investing.com, 366.20 on stockanalysis.com and Google Finance, whose Friday quote of 362.60 less 3.60 implies it; Investing.com carries 366.69 for the 17th and is printed, not sworn. On the claim's own session, 15 September, Tesla fell 0.67% to 356.58 on 30,168,264 shares against Monday's 32,068,734. Thursday alone was 8.12 points of the 7.23-point move, in a session the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.69% the day after the Fed. Samsung Electronics: −4.05% Monday, −0.2% Tuesday to 248,500 won, "only modestly higher" Wednesday per Invezz; 261,000 won, +3.37%, at Friday's Seoul close, one feed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: Samsung's third-quarter results in late October; Tesla's results and 10-Q; a Samsung release or Taylor site announcement; a Yonhap report carrying a company confirmation. Kills it: a statement from either company that Taylor has not begun AI5 wafers, or a Samsung disclosure putting the start in November as scheduled.
Previous lag label13 trading days and running, at 2 October. No mainstream American headline exists; the count stays open until one does.
28 Jul 2025 · tier 1 · contract
A $16.5 billion multi-year supply agreement, about 22 trillion won, disclosed by Elon Musk after Tesla had asked that the counterparty stay unnamed; Bloomberg reported it.
22 Oct 2025 · tier 2 · Musk, CNBC
Musk on the record: AI5 to be made by Samsung in Texas and TSMC in Arizona. This, and not the start, is what the American press has.
5 Nov 2025 · tier 4 · TrendForce
Musk signals AI5 mass production slipping to 2027, "casting uncertainty over Samsung."
24 Apr · tier 1 · Samsung
Equipment-installation ceremony at the Taylor plant, as referenced by Seoul Economic Daily.
13 Jul · tier 4 · TrendForce / Yonhap
AI5 tape-out complete, production expected on Samsung's 2nm process in Texas; "the disclosure marks the first time Samsung Foundry's production timeline for the Tesla AI5 chip has been revealed in concrete terms." Taylor ramp put in 2027. Korea Times and Electrek the same day.
15 Sep 17:21 · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
First sighting. Samsung "has begun prototype production at its Taylor, Texas, foundry to supply artificial intelligence chips to Tesla"; it "plans to complete mass-production verification by the end of this year and begin full supply next year." Page stamp 17:21, updated 23:35, Seoul time, which puts it near 4:21 a.m. Eastern. The headline said mass production over a body that said prototype.
16 Sep 00:28 · tier 2 · KB Securities via ChosunBiz
Kim Dong-won, named, on Samsung's 2nm gate-all-around yield improving from below 50 percent, carried by Invezz under "Samsung stock is ignoring a $16.5 billion Tesla catalyst." About the plant's capability, not the start.
16 Sep 07:00 KST · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
The same reporting re-headlined "Samsung Starts Trial Production of Tesla AI Chips in Texas," ahead of the originally scheduled November startup.
17 Sep 11:51 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: trial production, 2nm wafer production and yield verification ahead of full-scale operations. Names no source and does not cite Seoul.
16–18 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named as sources: nine sites, among them one whose headline says the node is "silencing yield doubters," a claim in none of the underlying reporting.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no mainstream American headline and no company statement either way; the only movement is in the enthusiast layer, where Not a Tesla App and similar sites now carry the trial start as settled fact. The lag continues to run.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters, Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Yahoo Finance's Tesla AI5 items stop at the tape-out and dual-foundry stories, and the nearest American piece is Electrek's 13 July tape-out report, which is a different claim. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against the same American outlets. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim. The enthusiast layer has widened again — Drive Tesla Canada, Not a Tesla App, The Electric Viking, Basenor and BigGo all carry the trial start as settled fact, all downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes — and Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim. No company statement. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact, all of it downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes. No company statement. The lag runs on, now eight trading days.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now nine trading days — the longest open count on this register.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now ten trading days — fourteen calendar days, and the longest open count on this register.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer — Drive Tesla Canada, Not a Tesla App, autoevolution, Basenor — continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now eleven trading days, and it is worth recording beside entry 13, printed today: both claims concern the same Taylor fab and the same Korean press, and this one the American market has never printed at all.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim and no company has stated anything either way. The lag runs on, now twelve trading days, and it remains the longest open count on this register. Recorded beside entry 14, printed today: both claims concern a Texas fab, and the one the American market has never printed is this one.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim and no company has stated anything either way. The lag runs on, now thirteen trading days, and it remains the longest open count on this register.
Prior record for entry 6
Previous first-seen label14 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimTSMC's 2nm capacity is expected to rise from 90,000 wafers a month at end-2026 to 110,000 by mid-2027, its 3nm from more than 180,000 to 210,000, and CoWoS packaging from roughly 130,000 a month to 260,000 by end-2028, per TrendForce citing Taiwan's Economic Daily News. TSMC has not published these figures. The Whisper, No. 3.
Previous tapethe claim concerns capacity two to eight quarters out and no single session's move is attributable to it; the readings below are printed as context and nothing is attributed. Added 28 September. TSM's 25 September close is sworn at 450.61 — stockanalysis.com's daily table and an independent market note carrying "TSMC stock at USD 450.61 on September 25, 2026". The 24 September close of 451.15, stockanalysis.com, reconciles against a second note describing a 0.12 percent loss into the following session: 451.15 − 450.61 = 0.54, and 0.54 ÷ 451.15 = 0.12 percent, this desk's arithmetic. The 11 September close of 433.24, the session before the first sighting, and the 14 September close of 418.01 are one feed only, printed and not sworn. From that unsworn base to Friday's sworn close the move is +17.37, +4.01%, 17.37 ÷ 433.24, across two weeks of a semiconductor tape that has run for everyone. Today unsworn, one feed: 447.14, −3.47, −0.77%, previous close 450.61, open 448.39, range 443.11–449.60, volume 3,084,181, Yahoo Finance at 11:41:27 a.m. Eastern — the stock opened lower on the morning after the American headline and traded there.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: TSMC's third-quarter call in October, its capex guidance, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month.
Previous lag label9 trading days, closed 28 September. First sighting Monday 14 September; first mainstream American headline Sunday 27 September at 11:07 p.m. Eastern, after Friday's close and before Monday's open. The trading days between are 15, 16, 17, 18, 21, 22, 23, 24 and 25 September. The headline that closed it carries a 2nm figure a third larger than the one first printed; the CoWoS leg of the claim has still not been carried by any mainstream American outlet.
14 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce / EDN
First sighting. The capacity numbers above, attributed to Economic Daily News; a 22 percent lift at 2nm, 17 percent at 3nm and a doubling of CoWoS on this desk's arithmetic from the published figures.
15 Sep 11:30 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: 3nm, 2nm and CoWoS all tight through the third quarter, Nvidia and Apple dominating advanced process and packaging, and Amazon's Annapurna unit expanding AI chip tape-outs and given more 3nm capacity. Supply-chain sources. Body paywalled.
21 Sep 07:37 · tier 1 · TSMC via Reuters
Added 21 September. Ground was broken on an advanced-packaging industrial park at Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, anchored by TSMC, reported by Reuters under a Taipei dateline of 21 September (some US syndications carry a 20 September date) and carried by Benzinga at 7:37 a.m. Eastern, with operations expected in the fourth quarter of 2029. Document-grade, and evidence about direction rather than about the claim's numbers: 2029 sits a year beyond the end of the claim's window, and no wafer or CoWoS figure in the claim is addressed.
21 Sep 09:59 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Weekly roundup, by its own stamp: semiconductor equipment makers facing lead times of up to forty months on certain Japanese components, and local component deliveries stretching about fifty percent. The physical constraint any such ramp meets. Not a second surface for the capacity figures.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting of the capacity figures and no TSMC statement on them; the company's only reference point remains the July call's 2026 capex guidance of $60–64 billion. The one TSMC item TrendForce carried today is adjacent and does not confirm the numbers. The date to mark: TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei, per the company's own financial calendar. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 23 September items run to DRAM spot prices, LPDDR6 validation, a glass-substrate roundup and a NAND patent ruling, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 24 September items run to Chinese memory capacity, a Meta device launch, a GDDR7 end-of-life report, an optical-transceiver listing and a Qualcomm node statement, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against TrendForce’s current news file, whose 25 September items run to twelve-inch wafer contract pricing and a rare-earths piece, neither of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
27 Sep 14:06 · tier 4 · Economic Daily News
Added 28 September, and the sighting this issue is built on: the origin outlet revising its own number. Page stamp 28 September 02:06 Taipei, byline Yin Hui-chung (尹慧中), read in the original by this desk. 大廠追加訂單 台積電2奈米擴產進度超前 年底月產能上看12萬片 — major customers have added orders, TSMC's 2nm expansion is ahead of schedule, year-end monthly capacity looking at 120,000 wafers. It states that the market had expected about 90,000 to 100,000 at year-end. Five customers named as raising 2nm-family orders by 10 to 20 percent: Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, MediaTek. 3nm put near 180,000 a month in the fourth quarter of 2026 and 200,000 to 210,000 in 2027, which is consistent with the 14 September figures. Sourcing language 業界傳出 and 消息人士透露 — the industry says, sources disclose. No firm named, no person named, no document.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
27 Sep 23:07 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, nine hours after the revision and nine trading days after the first sighting. Investing.com's report carried on Yahoo Finance's technology pages, byline Ayushman Ojha: "TSMC 2nm wafer capacity to exceed earlier estimates, EDN reports." Credits EDN by name; carries the 120,000 against prior forecasts of 90,000 to 100,000 and the 10-to-20-percent order increase; adds TSMC senior vice-president Hou Yung-ching on first-year 2nm output running 45 percent above 3nm's first year in 2023 and capacity compounding about 70 percent a year through 2028 — company remarks about growth rates, not about the 120,000. The lag closes here on the 2nm leg. The CoWoS leg still has no American headline. Tiered 4 by what the source is; the lag is marked by where the claim reached, which is a different field.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
28 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named: TipRanks, GuruFocus via TradingView, CoinCentral, Blockonomi, KuCoin, Parameter and EconoTimes carried the 120,000 by mid-morning; every one credits EDN and none adds a source. Invezz, 28 September 00:10 Eastern, is the exception worth reading — it reaches TechInsights vice-chair Dan Hutcheson on more than fifteen customers working on N2 and Stifel's Sahej Singh keeping a Buy and a $515 target on a margin argument — and its own headline reads that the stock slipped.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them; the company's own reference points remain the July call's capex guidance and the monthly revenue releases. No options print, no volume anomaly and no prediction-market contract on the claim was found. Status unchanged: a revision is a sighting, not a document. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them. The CoWoS leg of the claim still has no American headline. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them. The CoWoS leg of the claim still has no American headline. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them. The CoWoS leg of the claim still has no American headline. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Recorded beside entry 14, printed today: the same Taipei daily is the origin of both claims, seventeen days apart.
Prior record for entry 9
Previous first-seen label18 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimThe Munich I Regional Court has found Micron Technology to infringe two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies and granted injunctions covering sales of the infringing 3D NAND products in Germany, per ip fray, with Micron saying it disagrees, has appealed and is challenging the rights' validity, per TechNode citing IT Home. No judgment text is public and no mainstream American outlet has carried it. The Whisper, No. 6.
Previous tape1,015.80 → 1,096.16, +80.36, +7.91%, the 18 September close on the day of the first sighting to the 22 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry 977.50 (17 Sep), 1,015.80 (18 Sep), 1,043.96 (21 Sep) and 1,096.16 (22 Sep) identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 80.36 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, both printed: 1,074.68, −21.48, −1.96%, previous close 1,096.16, range 1,074.30–1,105.50, volume 6,619,617, Yahoo Finance at 10:20 a.m.; 1,067.01, open 1,100.07, high 1,105.50, low 1,069.76, volume 13,313,292, stockanalysis.com at a 1:13 p.m. page stamp. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28,078,850 against 28.17m on 21 September, 28,588,943 against 29.19m on 22 September. Nothing is attributed: Micron reports on 30 September and the memory complex has run for weeks. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 — Yahoo Finance’s quote page states it as the 24 September close, with open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,081.04 and volume 21,938,990 — and stockanalysis.com’s live change today implies the identical previous close of 1,080.51, reconciling within rounding. That carries the move from the 18 September base to +64.73, +6.37%, this desk’s arithmetic, 64.73 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,079.00, open 1,095.83, range 1,074.51–1,108.72, volume 10,532,468, stockanalysis.com at 11:58 a.m. Eastern.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: the Munich I judgment texts, which would fix the product scope; a Munich Higher Regional Court ruling on a stay; Micron's fiscal 2026 annual report and its legal-proceedings note, following the 30 September results; an 8-K if the company judges the effect material sooner; a filing by YMTC of the security German law requires before a first-instance injunction is enforced. Kills it: an appellate stay, or judgment texts showing the enjoined products are not ones Micron sells into Germany.
Previous lag label10 trading days and running, at the 2 October desk check. First sighting Friday 18 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — had carried it in the supplied desk check.
18 Sep · tier 4 · ip fray
First sighting, and the only account with the record in it: the 7th Civil Chamber, presiding judge Dr. Oliver Schoen; cases 7 O 12615/25 and 7 O 12614/25 decided, three more adjourned, among them 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25; utility models DE 20 2020 006 166 U1, "Staircase structure of a three-dimensional storage device," and DE 20 2021 004 551 U1, "Barrier layers for word line contacts in three-dimensional NAND memory." On what happens next: "Enforcement will likely begin soon unless the appeals court (the Munich Higher Regional Court) stays both injunctions." Stood alone.
18–23 Sep, undated · tier 4 · IAM
"YMTC strikes NAND patent blow against Micron with two German injunctions." Logged as a headline from the search index rather than as a read: iam-media.com returns a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened. Its date is not established.
23 Sep 05:07 · tier 4 · TechNode
09:07 UTC. Second origin rather than a relay: it cites the Chinese outlet IT Home, not ip fray. "Munich Regional Court I has ruled that Micron infringed two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies, and issued injunctions." Carries the company response the first report did not.
23 Sep · tier 2 · Micron via TechNode
The highest tier in the trail besides the ruling itself, and carried at second hand: Micron "said it disagreed with the decision, filed an appeal and was challenging the validity of the relevant rights." No verbatim company statement has been located.
23 Sep · tier 4 · DIGITIMES
"YMTC wins German injunctions against Micron in latest round of NAND patent battle," item a20260923PD226. Headline from the search index; digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk on four attempts and no page was read.
23 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "German Court Reportedly Finds Micron Infringed Two YMTC NAND Patents, Grants Injunctions" — reportedly, five days after a specialist outlet printed the chamber, the judge and the case numbers.
23 Sep 12:12 · tier 5 · aggregator
Counted, not weighted, and quoted because it states the limits most precisely: "The injunctions are first-instance rulings that cover sales of the infringing products in Germany only," and "No report we found says YMTC has started enforcing, that Micron has asked for a stay, or that one has been granted." Also: without the judgment texts nobody outside the case can say whether the enjoined products are consumer SSD components, embedded NAND, or both.
24 Sep · tier 4 · JUVE Patent
Added 24 September. A second origin, not a relay: it does not cite ip fray, and it carries material the first report did not. The patent EP 3 931 868 beside four German utility models — DE 20 2020 006 166.2, DE 20 2021 004 551, DE 20 2018 007 011 and DE 20 2022 003 278 — the pending cases 7 O 12609/25, 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25 alongside the two decided, and presiding judge Oliver Schön of the 7th Civil Chamber. It states that the court found two utility models "valid and infringed and granted YMTC injunctions," that Micron has appealed, and — new to this register — that Micron has brought its own infringement claims at the Munich Regional Court and at the Unified Patent Court on EP 3 706 127, EP 3 574 526 and EP 2 745 295.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
The claim reaches the American technology press, and not the American market press: "China's YMTC wins patent battle against Micron in ongoing 3-year legal war over memory patents — new injunctions could restrict Micron's supply into Germany." Downstream; not counted as an independent surface.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. No judgment text, no stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement. No mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now four trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Electronics Weekly has joined the trail, and a further specialist write-up records Micron’s appeal of both injunctions; both are downstream and neither is counted as an independent surface. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now five trading days.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Guru3D and a forum write-up of Micron’s appeal of both injunctions have joined the trail; both are downstream and neither is counted as an independent surface. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday 30 September are the first occasion on which someone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall tomorrow, Wednesday 30 September, and the legal-proceedings commentary is the first occasion on which anyone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall after this issue’s slot, tonight, and the legal-proceedings commentary is the first occasion on which anyone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now eight trading days.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results were published after yesterday’s close and the desk has located no legal-proceedings commentary on the German injunctions in the coverage of them. The lag runs on, now nine trading days.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. The lag runs on, now ten trading days.
Prior record for entry 10
Previous first-seen label23 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimMicron has marked its 2-gigabyte GDDR7 chips end of life — the 28Gbps D8FHL part, MT68A512M32DF-28:A, and its 32Gbps sibling — leaving 3-gigabyte modules as its only GDDR7 density and Samsung and SK hynix as the remaining sources of the 2-gigabyte parts used on much of Nvidia's RTX 50 range, per Hardware Busters, The FPS Review, VideoCardz, TechPowerUp and TrendForce, all reading the same page of Micron's own parts catalogue. Micron has published no notice and explained nothing; Nvidia has said nothing. The Whisper, No. 7.
Previous tape1,096.16 → 1,071.88, −24.28, −2.22%, the 22 September close before the first sighting to the 23 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com's daily table and Yahoo Finance's quote page carry 1,071.88 identically, Yahoo carries the change as −2.22 percent, and MarketBeat's 23 September alert headlines "Shares Down 2.2%." Desk arithmetic, inputs shown: 1,096.16 − 1,071.88 = 24.28; 24.28 ÷ 1,096.16 = 2.215 percent. Nothing is attributed. Wednesday's session already has a published explanation and it is not this one: Invezz, 23 September 15:02, gives Wells Fargo cutting its target to $1,400 from $1,525 while keeping Overweight, Citi's Atif Malik raising his to $1,300 from $1,150 on "stronger-than-expected DRAM pricing and continued undersupply across both DRAM and NAND markets," and Michael Burry adding to a short. No published account of the session mentions GDDR7. The 23 September close is carried on a third independent read, Yahoo Finance at 1:39 p.m. today, which returns 1,071.88 as the previous close. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,072.12, +0.24, +0.02%, open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,076.49, volume 14,114,423, Yahoo Finance, "As of 1:39:31 PM EDT. Market Open" — Micron opened twenty-two points below the prior close, traded to 1,044.00 and was bought back to roughly unchanged, and none of that is attributed either. A reading set aside and not logged: an 11:24 a.m. table appeared to carry a 24 September close outside its own printed high and low, but on re-reading at 1:37 p.m. that page was serving data stamped 4:51 a.m. pre-market and a Yahoo read a minute later returned a level near 958 against a previous close near 956 that reconciles with no session sworn in here and did not reproduce. The desk does not log an entry against a page it cannot re-read. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 on the two reads described in entry 9, which carries the move from the 22 September base to −15.63, −1.43%, this desk’s arithmetic, 15.63 ÷ 1,096.16. Nothing is attributed.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: a distributor's catalogue mirroring the EOL flag with a last-time-buy date; a product change notification to customers, the document this kind of decision normally travels on; board partner or distributor pricing showing 2-gigabyte parts withdrawn; Micron's fiscal fourth-quarter results and call on 30 September — four trading days from today, five from the first sighting — where a deliberate shift of graphics memory toward higher-density AI parts belongs in the commentary on mix. Kills it: Micron saying the parts remain in production, a catalogue reading showing them in Production status, or a 2-gigabyte part appearing on a new board.
Previous lag label7 trading days and running, at 2 October. First sighting Wednesday 23 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — had carried it as of 1:15 p.m. Eastern on 2 October; Tom's Hardware is the furthest it has travelled and that is the technology press.
23 Sep · tier 5 · leak account
First sighting, counted and not named: a hardware leak account on X, quoted verbatim by The FPS Review — "the micron gddr7 28gbps 2gb chip d8fhl (MT68A512M32DF-28:A) used on some rtx50 cards, has reached end of life." One sentence, one part number, no explanation, no company. Time not established.
23 Sep 05:05 · tier 4 · Hardware Busters
09:05:00 UTC by its own stamp, byline crmaris. Names both parts, MT68A512M32DF-28:A and MT68A512M32DF-32:A, and cites four things: Micron's GDDR7 part catalogue, the leak account, TweakTown and VideoCardz. Did not stand alone, and printed the sentence that matters most in the trail: "Micron has not published a notice or explained the decision."
23 Sep 08:14 · tier 4 · The FPS Review
12:14:15 UTC, Peter Brosdahl. Cites the leak account via VideoCardz and places the part across the RTX 50 range from the 5060 to the 5090. Explicitly downstream.
23 Sep · tier 4 · VideoCardz, TechPowerUp
"Micron reportedly ends production of 2GB GDDR7 used by GeForce RTX 50" and "Micron's 2 GB GDDR7 Memory Chips Reportedly Reach End of Life." Both logged as headlines from the search index rather than as reads: videocardz.com returned a 402 to this desk and techpowerup.com is disallowed to it by robots. Neither page was opened.
23–24 Sep · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: eTeknix, Wccftech, Kantan, GameGPU, Techtroduce, FPSHub and borecraft, every one a retelling of the same catalogue reading and none an independent surface.
24 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "Micron Reportedly Ends 2GB GDDR7, Narrowing Supply Options for NVIDIA's RTX 50 Series," citing TechPowerUp, Gazlog, the leak account, Tom's Hardware, VideoCardz and the catalogue, and stating the document claim in its cleanest form: "Micron's product catalog now lists its 28 Gbps D8FHL chip (MT68A512M32DF-28) as EOL, with the 32 Gbps version carrying the same designation." Adds the economics: 3GB modules at $60–$70 a chip against roughly $20 for the 2GB parts.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
Added 24 September, and the surface that supplies the reason this sits on the AI beat. Etiido Uko reports both the 28 and 32 Gbps variants discontinued and Micron "shifting its focus toward higher-density 3 GB (24 Gb) GDDR7 chips," which carry "higher profit margins" and go into Nvidia's professional RTX PRO Blackwell parts for AI work; the general case, in its words, is "memory suppliers prioritizing AI-facing technologies over their consumer and retail counterparts." It also carries the counterweight this desk prints rather than the squeeze: Samsung and SK hynix already dominate 2GB GDDR7 and Micron was not competitive there, so the exit creates little shortage risk. No Micron or Nvidia comment.
24 Sep 12:46 · tier 1 · the catalogue, unread
The desk went to the document and could not open it. micron.com's public GDDR7 part catalogue returns no results; its table carries the right columns — part number, density, parts status, depth, width, operating temperature, speed — and "parts status" is the field holding the EOL, Production and Preview values every report is quoting. The catalogue requires a Micron account. The document exists, it is Micron's own, and no reader outside can check the claim against it. The claim is not upgraded on a page this desk cannot read.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. The lag runs on, now two trading days. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall on Wednesday 30 September, two sessions from today. The lag runs on, now three trading days. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron reports tomorrow, Wednesday 30 September. The lag runs on, now four trading days. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron reports after the close tonight, and the commentary on graphics-memory mix is where a deliberate shift toward higher-density AI parts would appear. The lag runs on, now five trading days. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron reported after yesterday’s close and the desk has found no graphics-memory mix commentary addressing the 2-gigabyte parts. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
Prior record for entry 11
Previous first-seen label23 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimNew 2027 long-term contract prices for twelve-inch semiconductor silicon wafers will rise fifteen to twenty-five percent for epitaxial wafers and more than forty percent for polished, with some second-tier customers above fifty percent, per the Commercial Times of Taipei, citing an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, and there is no document of any kind in the trail. The Whisper, No. 8.
Previous tapeno reading sworn in, and the desk prints why. The claim's subjects are listed in Taipei — GlobalWafers on the Taipei Exchange under 6488, with Taisil and Wafer Works beside it — and this desk has established no US-listed line for any of them. The two feeds it reads for Taipei disagree by roughly a third and both are stale: stockanalysis.com served 1,000.00 TWD, +29.00, +2.99%, previous close 971.00, volume 1,355,000, on a page stamped 23 September 9:20 a.m. Taipei; Investing.com served 1,480.00 TWD, −35.00, −2.31%, volume 10.79m, on a page labelled "Closed as of July 15, 2026." One is ten weeks stale and says so; the other is two days stale and does not. Both are printed, neither is sworn, and no level is published as current. No options print, no volume anomaly and no prediction-market contract was found either. The fifty-two-week range on both pages runs 333 to 1,600.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: GlobalWafers' third-quarter results and investor conference in late October, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month; SUMCO's and Shin-Etsu's late-October results and their guidance language on long-term agreements; any foundry or memory maker booking a materially higher wafer cost line in fourth-quarter guidance, which confirms it from the customer's side. Kills it: a wafer maker saying on the record that 2027 agreements are renewing at single-digit or low-double-digit increases; a customer's guidance showing flat wafer costs into 2027; or the October results season passing with none of the companies raising their own pricing outlook.
Previous lag label7 trading days and running, at 2 October. First sighting Wednesday 23 September; no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron's — carried the 2027 contract numbers as of 1:15 p.m. Eastern on 2 October. The furthest the claim has travelled into American publishing is Wccftech and TrendForce, which are the technology and research trade, not the market press.
26 Jun · tier 4 · CTEE, BigGo
Upstream, and a different claim. The Commercial Times reported wafer prices rising about ten percent across six-, eight- and twelve-inch, the first increase in over three years. A Chinese-language analysis the same day, 12:26 UTC, citing CITIC Securities, SEMI, Bernstein and JW Insights, gave the mechanism: the long-term supply agreements "acted like shackles, making silicon wafer manufacturers the last beneficiaries in the AI industry chain." Ten percent across all sizes in June is not forty percent on polished twelve-inch in 2027.
15–17 Sep · tier 4 · CTEE
The supply side, twice: a 15 September item putting the supply gap at at least ten percent from next year, a 17 September item widening it to twenty-four percent by 2028. Neither carried contract prices.
18 Sep · tier 4 · UBS, as reported
Recorded because it is being conflated with the claim, not because it supports it. Wafer manufacturers "may need price increases of 40% to 50% just to justify building the capacity the AI industry says it needs" — a threshold required to unlock investment, not a forecast of contract prices. Two different forty-percents are now circulating in the same week.
23 Sep 03:00 · tier 4 · Commercial Times
First sighting, page stamp 03:00 Taipei, modified 08:01, byline Li Juan-ping (李娟萍). The sentence, in the original: 十二吋磊晶圓新長約價格估上漢15%~25%,拋光晶圓漲幅則可能達40%以上,部分二線客戶甚至超遒50% — new long-contract prices for twelve-inch epitaxial wafers estimated up fifteen to twenty-five percent, polished wafers possibly above forty, some second-tier customers above fifty. Three forces named: AI logic, memory capacity expansion, and the renegotiation of long-term contracts. Attributed to an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates; no firm and no person named. Stood alone; cites no earlier report.
23 Sep 14:10 · tier 4 · Wccftech
Ramish Zafar, byline stamp "Sep 23, 2026 at 02:10pm EDT," crediting Taiwan's CTEE. Carries the split correctly — "polished wafers are expected to see a higher price jump in the form of a 40% increase compared to 15% to 25% for the standard epitaxial wafers" — and the demand arithmetic beneath it: CoWoS capacity up 70.9 percent next year, GPU and custom AI ASIC demand up 44.9 percent, wafer prices from $92 in 2026 to $122 in 2027 and $166 in 2028, shipments from 11.9 million wafers a quarter to 16.1 million and then 21.7 million. Its headline takes the polished figure as the whole. Explicitly downstream.
25 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
"12-inch Wafer Price Hikes Loom for 2027 as AI Demand Tightens Supply, with LTAs Reportedly Up 15–40%+," citing the Commercial Times, Star Market Daily, Wccftech and BigGo. A synthesis of the origin and its relays that reaches past Wccftech to a second Chinese-language outlet, which is what carries this entry over the floor. The word in its own headline is reportedly, two days on, and that is the correct word.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. Recorded beside this entry and not as evidence for it: DigiTimes reported on 24 September that TSMC will raise its own foundry prices 3 to 6 percent from January 2027, relayed by the Economic Daily News and by Benzinga — one origin, no second surface, below the floor. Three to six percent from a foundry and above forty percent on the silicon it buys are two claims about one cost stack at very different magnitudes, and this desk prints neither as fact. The lag runs on, now three trading days. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now four trading days. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now five trading days. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
Prior record for entry 13
Previous first-seen label10 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimThe Bell reported that pricing disagreements had stalled talks over a possible Samsung 2-nanometre manufacturing contract for Qualcomm application processors, with production under such an arrangement potentially moving to 2027. The report cited an unnamed person familiar with Samsung’s foundry business; neither company has confirmed the reported price disagreement. A later Qualcomm executive interview confirms process evaluation, not a production contract. The Whisper, No. 11.
Previous tape176.88 → 181.97, +5.09, +2.88%, the 10 September close before the first sighting to the 11 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com’s daily history and Yahoo Finance’s history page carry both identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk’s arithmetic, 5.09 ÷ 176.88. Carried on to Monday’s sworn close of 187.48, the move from the same base is +10.60, +5.99%. Recorded separately and attributed to nothing: the 25 September close is sworn at 201.97 and the 28 September close at 187.48, a fall of −14.49, −7.17%, 14.49 ÷ 201.97 — a session with published explanations that mention no foundry contract, among them a broad semiconductor decline, the ten-year at 5.218 percent and the chief executive’s pre-arranged share sales. The 29 September close of 184.10 is stockanalysis.com only, printed and not sworn; today, one feed and unsworn, 185.00, +0.49%, stockanalysis.com at 11:56 a.m. Eastern. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 15,597,657 against 15,597,700 on 10 September; 11,556,632 against 11,546,600 on 11 September; 16,680,120 against 16,614,256 on 28 September. A caution: Yahoo Finance’s QCOM quote page at 11:54 a.m. today was serving the 25 September close as its latest reading; it labels that date, so it is a stale page and not a decoy, and the history page was used instead.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: Qualcomm’s fiscal fourth-quarter results and call in early November, where a foundry second-source decision reaches the cost commentary; Samsung Electronics’ third-quarter results in late October and its foundry-segment disclosure; a Samsung Foundry customer announcement naming Qualcomm; a die or package teardown of a shipping Snapdragon part identifying the fab. Kills it: either company saying on the record that no contract was postponed, or a 2nm Snapdragon part appearing on a Samsung line this year.
Previous lag labelThe desk first stamped the English relay on 10 September at 9:47 p.m. Eastern, after the close; Yahoo Finance Canada carried syndicated copy on 11 September at 8:08 a.m. Eastern, before the open — one trading day to that Canadian mainstream relay. Under this register’s stated mainstream-US-headline rule, a qualifying US headline had not been established by the 30 September desk check, so that lag remains open. The Bell’s original carries a 9 September Korea-time publication stamp; the desk stamp is not the first publication.
Jul, per 11 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
Context, and the reason a foundry would hold its price: Samsung raised advanced-node prices in July by 10 to 15 percent on 4nm orders from Chinese and American customers, 5 to 10 percent in Taiwan, and 10 to 15 percent on 5nm, per TrendForce’s account. Names no customer and is not a surface for this claim.
10 Sep 21:47 · tier 4 · The Bell via Investing.com
First sighting the desk can stamp, updated 22:54, byline Roushni Nair. “Qualcomm is pushing for lower prices and Samsung is resisting”; manufacturing the processors within 2026 is “becoming difficult because chip production needs to line up with smartphone launch schedules”; talks may move to next-generation parts instead. Samsung is said to regard the volume under discussion as too small to justify a concession, having signed Tesla and Broadcom. Both companies were asked for comment and neither replied. The stamp falls after Thursday’s close and before Friday’s open. Chronology clarification: The Bell original shows 9 September 2026 at 15:10 Korea time and a public/free release on 11 September at 07:00 Korea time; this 10 September stamp is the desk’s first English relay sighting, not first publication.
11 Sep 08:08 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance (CA)
First mainstream headline, and the desk prints the qualification rather than burying it: the page read was Yahoo Finance’s Canadian edition, carrying GuruFocus copy, byline Nauman Khan, under “Qualcomm Chip Deal With Samsung Hits a Major Pricing Snag.” “Qualcomm is seeking more competitive manufacturing costs, while Samsung appears less willing to reduce pricing.” Puts the slip at 2027; states that neither company has issued a public statement; adds Samsung’s multi-year Broadcom AI-chip agreement valued at over $200 billion through 2030. The lag closes here.
11 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
The item that carries this claim over the floor, because it does not rest on The Bell alone: “Samsung-Qualcomm 2nm Deal May Slip to 2027; Foundry Resists Lower Pricing as Process Stabilizes,” naming Maeil Business Newspaper, Munhwa Ilbo and Money Today beside The Bell. It also names Reuters among its sources; the desk searched for a Reuters item carrying the stall, did not find one, and does not count one. Adds on its own account: Samsung 2nm gate-all-around yield “over 70%, up sharply from below 50% at the beginning of 2026”; foundry share 5.9 percent in the second quarter; the Taylor fab reported fully booked for 2nm before it opens.
14 Sep · tier 4 · DigiTimes
“Samsung, Qualcomm deepen 2nm talks as pricing and yield hurdles persist,” item a20260914VL208. Logged as a headline from the search index and not as a read: digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened. On its headline alone it is a second origin rather than a relay, and it introduces yield as the second variable the Korean reporting did not lead with.
25 Sep · market signal
MarketBeat’s instant alert: 140,153 Qualcomm call contracts purchased against an average daily volume of 108,956, about 29 percent above normal, with the stock at $204.11 intraday, up $9.85. Recorded as testimony, attributed to nothing.
27 Sep (interview 23 Sep) · tier 2 · Qualcomm via iNews24
Qualcomm senior vice-president Chris Patrick said the company was doing in-depth work evaluating Samsung Foundry’s 2nm process for possible future products, but had no specific product or application plan to announce. This does not confirm or deny The Bell’s reported price disagreement or a production contract.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
28 Sep · tier 5 · aggregator
Counted, not named, and not an independent surface — its two named sources, TrendForce and DigiTimes, are already in this trail. Restates the claim in a harder form on the day of a seven percent session: negotiations stalled on “pricing structure and yield issues,” a partnership unlikely before 2027, every announced 2nm product still contracted to TSMC. A 28 September options item headlined at 99,880 contracts and 963,020 open interest is logged as a headline from the search index; the page requires JavaScript and was not read.
30 Sep · tier 4 · technology press
The yield figure forks. A technology outlet puts Samsung Foundry 2nm yield at 60 percent, with a power-draw disadvantage against Snapdragon parts; TrendForce had “over 70%” on 11 September, and DigiTimes had 60 percent for the Exynos 2600 in November 2025. Three numbers, two directions, one process. Recorded as a difference rather than an error — different dates, possibly different products — and noted because a claim whose mechanism is that the buyer will not pay what the seller’s yield now justifies cannot be settled while the yield is reported three ways.
30 Sep · desk check
EDGAR full-text search for 8-K filings naming both “Samsung” and “2nm” across September 2026 returns zero filings; recorded as a negative with a result. The only documents near this story are Forms 4 for the chief executive’s 10b5-1 sales of 10,000 shares on 21 September and 10,000 on 25 September, which are about share sales and not about a wafer price. Highest tier reached: four.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. No company statement from either side, no filing, and no wire has carried the postponement in the twenty-one days since the first sighting. The yield fork recorded yesterday is unresolved and the three published figures stand as they were.
- Source 1: https://www.thebell.co.kr/front/newsview.asp?key=202609091437016680105190
- Source 2: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/samsung-qualcomm-delay-2nm-chip-deal-as-price-talks-drag-the-bell-4897170
- Source 3: https://www.trendforce.com/news/2026/09/11/news-samsung-qualcomm-2nm-deal-may-slip-to-2027-foundry-resists-lower-pricing-as-process-stabilizes
- Source 4: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/qualcomm-chip-deal-samsung-hits-120833823.html
- Source 5: https://www.inews24.com/view/2009066
Prior record for entry 14
Previous first-seen label28 SEP
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimReuters reported that TSMC is evaluating a potential Texas chipmaking investment; two people familiar with the matter said plans were not finalized, and TSMC declined comment. Taiwan’s Economic Daily News separately reported Dallas as a possible site, up to six advanced fabs, and potential Texas spending above the company’s $265 billion Arizona commitment. Reuters did not confirm those specifics. Suppliers cited in the earlier reporting said they had not been asked to prepare. The Whisper, No. 12.
Previous tapethe base is weak and the desk prints it that way. 452.97, TSM’s 28 September close and the last before the first sighting, MarketBeat’s price history, one feed only and not sworn. The 29 September close — the one session the claim had to itself — is not sworn either: MarketBeat has 457.28, Benzinga’s previous-close field has 456.74, 54 cents apart, and both are printed. The 30 September close is sworn at 456.19 on Benzinga and stockanalysis.com, with MarketBeat a cent higher at 456.20. From the unsworn base to the sworn close the move is +3.22, +0.711%, this desk’s arithmetic, 3.22 ÷ 452.97; against 456.20 it is +3.23 and 0.713 percent, and the desk prints both endpoints rather than averaging. Volume 7.87m on 28 September against 9.92m on 29 September per MarketBeat, a rise of 26.0 percent and still below the 11.94m average Benzinga carries; 8.98m on 30 September. Intraday 1 October, one feed and unsworn: 454.10, stockanalysis.com at 11:29 a.m. Eastern. Nothing is attributed: the window contains a quarter-end, no options print tied to the claim was found and no prediction-market contract on it exists.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: A TSMC filing or board resolution, a Texas government announcement, a recorded land or incentive agreement, or a company statement identifying a Texas project would establish the plan and its scope. A direct company denial would contradict it. No supplier preparation notice by itself does not disprove early evaluation. Dallas, six fabs, and investment size require their own documentary support.
Previous lag label1 trading day. The Economic Daily News report landed after the 28 September close; Tuesday 29 September was the one session it had to itself; Reuters carried it premarket on Wednesday 30 September.
28 Sep, evening 2026 · tier 4 · Economic Daily News
First sighting, read only through TrendForce’s account; the desk did not open the Chinese original and does not quote it directly. A second manufacturing hub that “could include as many as six advanced wafer fabs, with Dallas, Texas emerging as a potential location,” and a “total investment could exceed the US$265 billion committed to its Arizona complex.” Dated to the 28th Eastern, after that session’s close, from TrendForce’s note that TSMC had not responded “as of press time on September 28.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
29 Sep 2026 · tier 4 · TrendForce
Citing the Economic Daily News; did not stand alone. Carries the line the rest of the trail dropped: “rumors that the chipmaker could build a new fab in Texas have recently circulated within the semiconductor industry,” and multiple unnamed supply-chain companies saying “TSMC has not notified them or asked them to make any preparations.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
29 Sep 2026 · tier 4 · techsoda
A market letter, also citing the Economic Daily News: “TSMC is evaluating a second large US manufacturing campus, potentially in Dallas, Texas, with six advanced-node fabs,” which “remains under review and has not received formal company or board approval,” with a source cautioning that “it is difficult to say where things stand, especially before the midterm elections.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
29 Sep 2026 · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: MacTech, AppleWorld.today, Sammy Fans and Hoodline, all downstream of the same item.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
30 Sep 05:22 2026 · tier 3 · Reuters
Reuters independently reported that TSMC is evaluating a potential Texas investment, based on two unnamed people, with plans not finalized and no TSMC comment. It did not confirm Dallas, six fabs, or Texas spending above the $265 billion Arizona commitment. The supplied desk record places the first mainstream US headline before the 30 September market open; the exact time is from a relay with an unlabeled time zone.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
30 Sep 2026 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
“TSMC reportedly evaluates Texas fabs as US regional competition intensifies,” item a20260930PD215. Logged as a headline from the search index and not as a read: digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
30 Sep 10:25 2026 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance
GuruFocus copy on Yahoo Finance’s technology pages, byline Faizan Farooque: “TSMC’s $265 Billion U.S. Expansion May Be Getting Even Bigger.” Cites Reuters’ two sources and repeats that the plans remain under evaluation. Recorded because of how it reads rather than what it adds: the only named-source material in it is about Arizona — chief executive C.C. Wei on building “another four or more fabs” there and the chief financial officer on continuing to invest in the United States. Both are tier-2 remarks about a different state, and they are not corroboration of the Texas claim.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
30 Sep 2026 · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: US News, Stocktwits, a Michigan radio station’s wire feed, Blockonomi, Startup Fortune, Madshrimps, BigGo, CoinCentral, chaincatcher and a French trade site, all carrying the Reuters copy or a summary of it.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
No TSMC 6-K, no board resolution disclosed to the Taiwan Stock Exchange, no Texas state or Dallas County announcement, and no company statement beyond the declination. Highest tier reached on the Texas claim: three.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. No TSMC 6-K, no board resolution disclosed to the Taiwan Stock Exchange, no Texas state or Dallas County announcement, no ERCOT interconnection request located, and no company statement beyond the declination. The relay layer is unchanged in kind — TrendForce, eTeknix, Hoodline, GuruFocus, BigGo, CoinCentral and briefs.co all still carry the $265 billion figure and the six fabs as a report. Status unchanged.
2 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
Direct-source comparison added in this update: EDN reported the Dallas, six-fab and potential spending specifics; Reuters independently supports only evaluation of a Texas investment. The Arizona $265 billion commitment is not a Reuters estimate of Texas spending. These specifics remain reported, not established.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
- Source 1: https://money.udn.com/money/story/5612/9782098
- Source 2: https://www.trendforce.com/news/2026/09/29/news-tsmc-reportedly-eyes-texas-expansion-that-could-top-us265b-vis-nxp-mulls-second-singapore-fab/
- Source 3: https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/tsmc-evaluates-potential-texas-investment-sources-say-2026-09-30/
Prior record for entry 15
Previous first-seen label1 OCT
Previous source-record statuscorroborated
Previous recorded claimToshiba Information Equipment (Philippines) says its expanded Laguna Technopark line made a first shipment and it aims to nearly double annual HDD production capacity by FY2027 versus FY2025 on a storage-capacity basis. Separately, Nikkei reported about ¥60 billion of investment and a goal to raise capacity-based market share from just over 10% to 30% over the medium term; Toshiba’s 2 October release did not confirm those two figures. The Whisper, No. 13.
Previous tapethe base is sworn and the move is not, and the desk prints why. Thursday 1 October closes sworn at Seagate 945.57 and Western Digital 462.56 — stockanalysis.com read at 11:37 a.m. Friday as the prior close, and corroborated by arithmetic on an independent feed, Benzinga’s 9:15 a.m. premarket levels and percentages, which imply 945.53 and 462.58: this desk’s arithmetic, 839.44 ÷ 0.8878 and 425.80 ÷ 0.9205, four cents and two cents from the first feed and inside the rounding of a two-decimal percentage. No session has closed since the claim appeared, so there is no close-to-close move to swear in. Friday intraday, one feed, 11:37 a.m. Eastern, unsworn: Seagate 804.98, −140.59, −14.87 percent, volume 7,759,347; Western Digital 397.28, −65.28, −14.11 percent, volume 12,815,532. The shape of the morning, as printed by the pages that carried it: −10 and −7 at 8:52, −11.2 and −8.0 at 9:15, about −13 and about −10 on the Invezz stamp, −14.9 and −14.1 at 11:37 — heavier through the session on no new information, the last new fact in the chain eight hours old. Toshiba is not the subject of a sworn reading here. Seen and not logged: the same market-data page carried a day’s-range low of 397.52 above a last price of 397.28 at the same minute, read once, and the runbook already records that this feed’s range fields lag its quote fields.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: Toshiba’s own capital-expenditure disclosure naming the ¥60 billion; a medium-term plan or investor presentation carrying the thirty percent capacity-share target; a Philippine Economic Zone Authority or Board of Investments registration for the Laguna Technopark expansion; Toshiba’s fiscal second-quarter results. Kills it: a Toshiba statement that the ¥60 billion or the thirty percent figure is not the company’s plan, which would leave Nikkei’s two biggest numbers sourced to nobody the company acknowledges and leave “nearly double” as the only number Toshiba has put its name to. On the other side of the trade: Seagate’s and Western Digital’s next quarterly calls, which on both companies’ recent cadence fall in the second half of October, though this desk read no confirmed date from either before the issue closed.
Previous lag label0 trading days. The first sighting landed Thursday 1 October at 10:03 p.m., after that session’s close; the first mainstream American headline landed Friday 2 October at 8:18 a.m., before that session’s open. Not one session passed between them — ten hours and fifteen minutes end to end — and nobody on this trail had a tradeable head start. The first time the register has recorded that on a claim this size.
1 Oct 22:03 2026 · tier 3 · Investing.com
First sighting the desk can stamp, relaying Nikkei: “Toshiba to double hard disk output capacity amid AI data centre demand - Nikkei.” Every figure in the claim, all attributed to Nikkei, with “about 60 billion yen ($380 million)”, the ten-to-thirty percent share target, new lines supporting drives with “up to 40% higher per-unit capacity” and mass production of 65-terabyte-class drives by 2030 “eventually targeting 100-terabyte-class products.” The stamp falls six hours after Thursday’s close.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
2 Oct 02:00 2026 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance UK
The same Investing.com copy on Yahoo Finance’s United Kingdom pages, with one figure changed: the ¥60 billion is now “$400 million” where the Thursday evening original had $380 million. This desk’s Morning Brief logged the pair the same morning as a rounding and declined to log it as a decoy. A relay, not an independent surface.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
2 Oct 2026 (clock reconciliation) · difference
Two relays disagree and both are defensible: Investing.com’s copy says Nikkei reported “on Friday,” Benzinga’s says “Nikkei reported Thursday.” Nikkei publishes on Tokyo time, where Friday morning is Thursday night in New York. Recorded as a difference between clocks, not an error in either outlet; the trail is stamped in Eastern minutes the desk read directly.
2 Oct 08:18 2026 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, on its own markets pages: “Seagate and Western Digital shares fall on Toshiba HDD expansion.” Names Nikkei; Seagate down eleven percent, Western Digital seven, SanDisk about one; sets Toshiba’s current share, just over ten percent, against the thirty percent target and describes a market “dominated by three companies.” The lag closes here, before the opening bell.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
2 Oct 08:52 2026 · tier 4 · 24/7 Wall St.
“Seagate Tumbles 10%, Western Digital Drops 7% as Toshiba Moves to Double Hard Disk Output,” Seagate 849.79, Western Digital 429.45. Recorded because of what it leaves out: it names no source at all — not Nikkei, not a release, not people familiar with anything — and states the expansion in the indicative. The version of the claim that travelled with the least behind it.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
2 Oct 09:15 2026 · tier 4 · Benzinga
Attribution restored: “Nikkei reported Thursday.” Seagate down 11.22 percent at 839.44, Western Digital down 7.95 percent at 425.80. Carries the sentence that explains the selling: the expansion “could raise concerns about future pricing in a market that has benefited from tight HDD supply.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
2 Oct 2026 · tier 1 · Toshiba TIP / TDSC
Toshiba Information Equipment (Philippines) and Toshiba Electronic Devices & Storage announced the first shipment from the expanded Laguna Technopark nearline HDD line. They aim to nearly double annual production capacity by FY2027 versus FY2025 on a storage-capacity basis. The release does not state a ¥60 billion investment, a 30% market-share goal, or a terabyte roadmap. Its publication date is 2 October; the release does not provide a comparable Eastern-time stamp, so the order against Nikkei reporting is not established.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
2 Oct 2026 · tier 4 · DigiTimes, TrendForce
The trade press behind the wires rather than ahead of them, which on this beat is unusual. DigiTimes carried “Toshiba reportedly to double HDD production as AI drives storage demand,” item a20261002VL202, logged as a headline and date from the search index and not as a read: the page returned a 403. TrendForce in its news file as “Toshiba to Double AI Data Center HDD Capacity by FY2027 With $380M Expansion as AI Storage Demand Surges.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
2 Oct 18:25 2026 · tier 4 · Invezz
Stamped 6:25 p.m. on its own page with no time zone given, so it is not placed on the desk’s clock. Cites Nikkei Asia; Seagate about thirteen percent lower and Western Digital about ten. The only piece read today carrying a named person on either side of the trade, and neither was speaking about the Nikkei report: Evercore ISI’s Amit Daryanani on both names’ pricing power and technology leadership, and Western Digital’s chief executive Irving Tan on “continued confidence in the durability of demand” for fiscal 2027.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
2 Oct 2026 · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: at least twelve further English-language sites, among them Stocktwits’ news file, GuruFocus twice, CoinCentral, Parameter, Cryptonomist, CryptoBriefing, TheCryptoBasic, HuggingNews, BigGo Finance, Futunn, ad-hoc-news and Finwire. All downstream of the same wire report.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
- Source 1: https://asia.nikkei.com/business/electronics/toshiba-to-double-hard-disk-drive-supply-to-fill-ai-chip-memory-gap
- Source 2: https://za.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/toshiba-to-double-hard-disk-output-capacity-amid-ai-data-centre-demand--nikkei-4487521
- Source 3: https://toshiba.semicon-storage.com/ap-en/company/news/news-topics/2026/10/storage-20261002-1.html
Previous source and date metadata
Previous supplied content as of2026-10-02
Previous source-reported countstracked: 16 · open: 14 · confirmed: 2 · denied: 0 · expired: 0 · medianLagDays: 0
Previous source and date notes
This is the owner-supplied register as of 25 September 2026, not a fresh verification of the claims or market observations. Publication does not independently establish that a rumor is true.
The supplied 24 September run note ends mid-sentence after “with the lags on 5, 6 and 9”. It is preserved as supplied; the missing remainder has not been reconstructed.
The source names outlets, documents and domains but supplies no direct citation URLs. Citation lists are therefore empty. No article, filing or document URL has been inferred from a name or an accession number.
The open tally includes both open and corroborated entries. The open status filter is narrower: it selects only entries whose status is open.
The supplied tally reports a median lag of 0 days. A first-sighting-to-mainstream-headline median cannot be derived reliably: entry 7 has an undated first sighting and its zero measures document-to-wire time instead. The derived median is therefore unavailable; the reported figure is retained separately.
Trail order and date labels are preserved as supplied, including the 24 September check before the 23 September check in entry 1. No missing observation time, date or year has been inferred.
These import notes describe the original September 25 owner-supplied package. Later dated editorial updates and selected direct source links have been added; the original statement that its citation lists were empty is historical, not a description of the current register. Unlinked historical desk checks remain attributed to the supplied artifact rather than independently verified by hosting.
Previous supplied correction history
When the desk gets a trail wrong — a sighting misdated, a tier misjudged, a status moved too early — the correction is recorded here, dated, and the entry is amended below with the change marked.
18 September. A note on a published number rather than a correction to one. The tally band's open tile counts every rumor that has not been settled by a document, which includes those at corroborated; it has read that way since this register was built and it is left reading that way.
19 September. Two issues were published for Friday. The desk's scheduled run posted No. 2 on Friday afternoon, adding entries 3 and 4. A second issue, reported on Friday afternoon while that run was still working and published on Saturday, is numbered No. 3 and adds entries 5, 6 and 7. Neither issue restates the other and no entry has been renumbered. With seven rumors tracked and one confirmed, open is six and the median lag of resolved rumors is zero.
21 September — entry 3 amended. The Whisper, No. 2, reported that no mainstream American outlet had carried the AMD price-increase claim as of 12:44 p.m. on Friday 18 September, and left entry 3's lag running. It had. The 5:22 a.m. Friday relay that No. 2 logged as a Stocktwits item was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages, under the headline "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," and Yahoo Finance is one of the outlets this desk uses to mark the end of a lag. The desk read the item and misfiled its publisher. That line is re-tiered and marked as the first mainstream US headline below, and entry 3's lag is corrected from running to one trading day. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 4.
21 September — entry 3's first sighting re-stamped. The Whisper, No. 2, stamped Wccftech's piece at 12:26 p.m. Eastern on 17 September. That is the UTC time carried in the page's metadata. The article's own byline reads "Sarfraz Khan · Sep 17, 2026 at 08:26am EDT," and the correct stamp is 8:26 a.m. Eastern, sixty-four minutes before that session's open. The trail below is amended. The lag is unaffected at one trading day, but No. 2's argument that AMD's advance "began in the premarket, hours before the report existed" rested on the wrong time and is withdrawn: AMD opened that morning at 533.60 against 512.50, a gap of 4.12 percent on two feeds. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish, and it no longer claims the move came first.
21 September — entries 4 and 7 corrected: SK hynix is US-listed. Both entries stated that no US-listed security exists for SK hynix, and the 21 September note that first appeared here treated the question as open. It is not. SK hynix Inc. American Depositary Shares have traded on Nasdaq as SKHY since 10 July 2026, on a Form F-1 filed 24 June and amended 30 June and 6 July (CIK 0002120882, file 333-296987); Nasdaq's own security page carries the line, and the older OTC line HXSCL is a separate security whose prices will not reconcile with it. Benzinga's ticker was right and this register was wrong. Both tape lines are amended. No figure published here depended on the error, because no reading was ever sworn in for either entry — which is how it survived three issues.
22 September — entry 2 amended: a company statement this register had missed. Entry 2's trail ran from Bloomberg's 14 September report to two desk checks that found no Form F-1, and recorded no company response. There was one. On 15 September, the day after the report, Kioxia published a "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports" stating that such reports "are not announcements made by the Company" and that "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided." That is a tier-1 document and it sat unlogged through Nos. 2, 3 and 4. It is added to the trail below. It does not move the status: it confirms that a listing preparation exists, which the company itself disclosed in May, and declines to adopt the size, the exchange, the timing or the banks — which is what the claim as printed was about. Recorded at full size in The Whisper, No. 5.
23 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 6, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's last observations are stamped between 1:13 and 1:19 p.m. rather than before the hour. Its figures and its lag counts are stamped to those minutes and are accurate to them. No entry below is amended by this issue; entry 9 is added and entries 1, 3, 5 and 6 have a 23 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5 and 6 advanced by one session each.
24 September — entry 2 corrected: a Form F-6 this register said did not exist, and a second facility besides. Entry 2's desk check of 22 September reported "still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia." The F-1 half holds; the F-6 half does not. A Form F-6EF sits on EDGAR under accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock and naming no exchange. Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, as Depositary, and Kioxia Holdings Corporation appears in it only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. Nor is it the facility that trades: the over-the-counter line KXIAY is a separate unsponsored programme with J.P. Morgan as depositary, announced 9 March 2026, ratio 10:1, CUSIP 49726J108. Two depositary banks have built receipts over Kioxia's shares and the company signed neither, which is why the status does not move: an unsponsored facility is a bank's decision and an F-6 registers receipts, not an offering. The claim tracked here — size, banks, an exchange — still needs an F-1 and an exchange application, and neither exists. The trail below is amended. The desk kept running the EDGAR search that returns SK hynix, the trap it had itself recorded on 22 September, and concluded from it that nothing was there. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 7.
24 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 7, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's observations are stamped between 11:11 a.m. and 1:41 p.m. rather than before the hour, and are accurate to those minutes. Entry 10 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 and 9 have a 24 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6 and 9
25 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 8, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot; its observations are stamped between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. and are accurate to those minutes. The desk’s principal asked mid-run that the sweep be widened beyond the AI supply chain to technology, biotechnology and financials; it was, and nothing outside the usual beat cleared the floor, which is recorded in the issue’s “seen, not printed” counts. Entry 11 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 and 10 have a 25 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6, 9 and 10 advanced by one session each.
28 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 9, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes. No new claim cleared the floor today and no entry is added: the register stays at eleven. Entry 6 is the issue’s feature and its lag is filled at nine trading days, closed by a Yahoo Finance headline published at 11:07 p.m. Eastern on Sunday 27 September — after Friday’s close and before Monday’s open — carrying a 2nm figure a third larger than the one this register has tracked since 14 September. The revision is a sighting and not a document, so the status does not move. Entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 9, 10 and 11 have a 28 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced by one session each. Reproduced here from the already-published 28 September update note.
29 September — The Whisper, No. 10, was built between 11:11 a.m. and 12:40 p.m. Eastern and delivered after its 12:30 slot. Entry 12 was added. The active artifact trails include 29 September desk checks for entries 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10 and 11; the lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced. Its run note also names entry 1, but no 29 September check appears in that active entry, so none has been reconstructed from the HTML comment.
29 September — a second pass, and a withdrawal. After No. 10 was first assembled, the desk’s principal asked whether the sweep had been thorough. It had not. The extended pass added EDGAR’s full-text index, Polymarket, Data Center Dynamics and the biotechnology trade press, and it produced the 22 April Alpha Compute filing now at the head of entry 12’s trail, together with two documented negatives. The issue was rebuilt around it and republished before it went to Substack. Withdrawn in the same pass: the first build’s “seen, not printed” count of twenty-two items in six categories, which was reconstructed rather than tallied and rested on no social sweep. It is replaced by a shorter section the desk can reproduce. Also recorded, because it should have been carried into entry 3’s check: AMD announced a definitive agreement to acquire World Labs in an approximately $8.2 billion all-stock transaction, subject to closing conditions on 28 September, which is a document and not a rumor and therefore does not enter this register. The AMD primary release is linked in entry 3’s 29 September context observation.
30 September — The Whisper, No. 11, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:55 p.m. Eastern and delivered after its 12:30 slot. Entry 13 was added; active trails add 30 September checks to entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11 and 12. The lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced. The Yahoo Finance Canada relay is distinguished from a qualifying mainstream-US headline in entry 13; its US-headline lag remains unclosed under this register’s stated rule. No decoy was logged in the supplied sweep.
30 September — editorial evidence check for entry 12. The supplied active artifact labels the early-stage Nvidia insurance talks corroborated. The linked material establishes an FT report and syndications, but no separate independent report, signed insurance agreement, or qualifying market signal. The hosted status is held open pending that evidence; this is a status-methodology correction, not a denial of the FT report.
2 October 2026 — This editorial revision incorporates the owner-supplied desk checks from The Whisper, Nos. 12 and 13 and adds entries 14–16. It preserves prior public corrections. EDN supplied the Dallas, six-fab and potential Texas spending details while Reuters reported only evaluation of a Texas investment. Toshiba's own release supports the FY2027 capacity target, not Nikkei's investment or market-share figures. Bloomberg described preliminary Alibaba–Solaria talks; the Solaria facility is in Puertollano, but Alibaba's proposed data-center location is not established. Dated source observations are historical desk records, not earlier public register revisions.
· Entry 20
October 16 staged import, part 2: add permanent entry 20 through the expiry-review route, retaining its 9 October historical expiry. 197 inclusive sessions equals 196 elapsed sessions. Expiry is not a verdict on the claim. The remaining historical observations and entries 21–26 follow in the final batch.
· Entry 20, Entry 21, Entry 22, Entry 23, Entry 24, Entry 25, Entry 26
October 16 staged import complete: add entries 21–26 and the remaining historical observations for expired entry 20; append the supplied October 5–16 run history without removing prior notes. Final tally: 26 tracked, 21 unsettled, 4 confirmed, 1 expired. Prior hosted corrections remain; entry 24 stays open pending independent evidence. Entry 21 is confirmed only at the preliminary-guidance stage. Source-reported median 0.5 is not a derived statistic.
Prior record for entry 20
Previous first-seen label28 DEC 2025
Previous source-record statusexpired
Previous recorded claimTSMC will raise prices from January 2027 — mature nodes by roughly 3 to 10 percent, advanced nodes 5 to 10 and advanced packaging 10 to 15 — as part of an escalator its advanced-node customers were told would run four consecutive years, per Economic Daily News and, separately, Central News Agency, each reached through English accounts of them. TSMC has neither confirmed nor denied it on any page this desk read. The Whisper, No. 16.
Previous tapenot sworn. No reading was taken for this entry: the claim has been in print for more than nine months with no single session the desk can attribute a move to, and it prints no price rather than a selected one.
Previous settlement account or criterionSettles it: TSMC’s earnings call on 15 October, the first scheduled occasion on which the January increase can be put to the company; a customer disclosing a price-driven cost step in 2027 guidance; or TSMC’s own pricing commentary in a quarterly report.
Previous lag labelblank, and never closed. No mainstream American outlet carried the January figures at any point, searched again on 12 October. Final count: 197 sessions from 29 December 2025 to 9 October 2026 inclusive, US market holidays excluded — this desk’s count, and the longest this register has carried.
9 Oct · desk check · expiry
Status moved to expired for The Whisper, No. 18. This register expires a rumor after thirty trading days without a tier-one or tier-two event. No such event has ever appeared on this trail: three trade-press surfaces across nine and a half months, no company comment, no denial, no filing and no named executive. 197 sessions from 29 December 2025 to 9 October 2026 inclusive, US market holidays excluded. Expiry is a status and not a verdict: the claim may well be true, the entry keeps its trail, and TSMC’s third-quarter call on Thursday 15 October is the first scheduled occasion on which anyone can put the January increase to the company. Counting basis checked for publication: the source’s 197 is inclusive of both 29 December 2025 and 9 October 2026; the elapsed-session input is 196, excluding the first session. Weekends and full NYSE holidays are excluded; shortened sessions count as trading sessions. The first-sighting label remains 28 DEC 2025 (a Sunday). This historical expiry is being imported now, not backdated as a public save.
- Source 1: https://www.trendforce.com/news/2026/10/05/news-tsmc-earnings-preview-terafab-talks-price-hikes-and-a14-intel-race-lead-five-key-themes/
- Source 2: https://www.trendforce.com/news/2026/07/13/news-tsmc-reportedly-notifies-ic-designers-of-mature-node-price-hikes-starting-jan-2027-increase-seen-in-single-digits/
Previous source and date metadata
Previous supplied content as of2026-10-16
Previous source-reported countstracked: 19 · open: 16 · confirmed: 3 · denied: 0 · expired: 0 · medianLagDays: not available
Previous source and date notes
This is the owner-supplied register as of 25 September 2026, not a fresh verification of the claims or market observations. Publication does not independently establish that a rumor is true.
The supplied 24 September run note ends mid-sentence after “with the lags on 5, 6 and 9”. It is preserved as supplied; the missing remainder has not been reconstructed.
The source names outlets, documents and domains but supplies no direct citation URLs. Citation lists are therefore empty. No article, filing or document URL has been inferred from a name or an accession number.
The open tally includes both open and corroborated entries. The open status filter is narrower: it selects only entries whose status is open.
The supplied tally reports a median lag of 0 days. A first-sighting-to-mainstream-headline median cannot be derived reliably: entry 7 has an undated first sighting and its zero measures document-to-wire time instead. The derived median is therefore unavailable; the reported figure is retained separately.
Trail order and date labels are preserved as supplied, including the 24 September check before the 23 September check in entry 1. No missing observation time, date or year has been inferred.
These import notes describe the original September 25 owner-supplied package. Later dated editorial updates and selected direct source links have been added; the original statement that its citation lists were empty is historical, not a description of the current register. Unlinked historical desk checks remain attributed to the supplied artifact rather than independently verified by hosting.
Previous supplied correction history
When the desk gets a trail wrong — a sighting misdated, a tier misjudged, a status moved too early — the correction is recorded here, dated, and the entry is amended below with the change marked.
18 September. A note on a published number rather than a correction to one. The tally band's open tile counts every rumor that has not been settled by a document, which includes those at corroborated; it has read that way since this register was built and it is left reading that way.
19 September. Two issues were published for Friday. The desk's scheduled run posted No. 2 on Friday afternoon, adding entries 3 and 4. A second issue, reported on Friday afternoon while that run was still working and published on Saturday, is numbered No. 3 and adds entries 5, 6 and 7. Neither issue restates the other and no entry has been renumbered. With seven rumors tracked and one confirmed, open is six and the median lag of resolved rumors is zero.
21 September — entry 3 amended. The Whisper, No. 2, reported that no mainstream American outlet had carried the AMD price-increase claim as of 12:44 p.m. on Friday 18 September, and left entry 3's lag running. It had. The 5:22 a.m. Friday relay that No. 2 logged as a Stocktwits item was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages, under the headline "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," and Yahoo Finance is one of the outlets this desk uses to mark the end of a lag. The desk read the item and misfiled its publisher. That line is re-tiered and marked as the first mainstream US headline below, and entry 3's lag is corrected from running to one trading day. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 4.
21 September — entry 3's first sighting re-stamped. The Whisper, No. 2, stamped Wccftech's piece at 12:26 p.m. Eastern on 17 September. That is the UTC time carried in the page's metadata. The article's own byline reads "Sarfraz Khan · Sep 17, 2026 at 08:26am EDT," and the correct stamp is 8:26 a.m. Eastern, sixty-four minutes before that session's open. The trail below is amended. The lag is unaffected at one trading day, but No. 2's argument that AMD's advance "began in the premarket, hours before the report existed" rested on the wrong time and is withdrawn: AMD opened that morning at 533.60 against 512.50, a gap of 4.12 percent on two feeds. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish, and it no longer claims the move came first.
21 September — entries 4 and 7 corrected: SK hynix is US-listed. Both entries stated that no US-listed security exists for SK hynix, and the 21 September note that first appeared here treated the question as open. It is not. SK hynix Inc. American Depositary Shares have traded on Nasdaq as SKHY since 10 July 2026, on a Form F-1 filed 24 June and amended 30 June and 6 July (CIK 0002120882, file 333-296987); Nasdaq's own security page carries the line, and the older OTC line HXSCL is a separate security whose prices will not reconcile with it. Benzinga's ticker was right and this register was wrong. Both tape lines are amended. No figure published here depended on the error, because no reading was ever sworn in for either entry — which is how it survived three issues.
22 September — entry 2 amended: a company statement this register had missed. Entry 2's trail ran from Bloomberg's 14 September report to two desk checks that found no Form F-1, and recorded no company response. There was one. On 15 September, the day after the report, Kioxia published a "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports" stating that such reports "are not announcements made by the Company" and that "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided." That is a tier-1 document and it sat unlogged through Nos. 2, 3 and 4. It is added to the trail below. It does not move the status: it confirms that a listing preparation exists, which the company itself disclosed in May, and declines to adopt the size, the exchange, the timing or the banks — which is what the claim as printed was about. Recorded at full size in The Whisper, No. 5.
23 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 6, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's last observations are stamped between 1:13 and 1:19 p.m. rather than before the hour. Its figures and its lag counts are stamped to those minutes and are accurate to them. No entry below is amended by this issue; entry 9 is added and entries 1, 3, 5 and 6 have a 23 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5 and 6 advanced by one session each.
24 September — entry 2 corrected: a Form F-6 this register said did not exist, and a second facility besides. Entry 2's desk check of 22 September reported "still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia." The F-1 half holds; the F-6 half does not. A Form F-6EF sits on EDGAR under accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock and naming no exchange. Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, as Depositary, and Kioxia Holdings Corporation appears in it only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. Nor is it the facility that trades: the over-the-counter line KXIAY is a separate unsponsored programme with J.P. Morgan as depositary, announced 9 March 2026, ratio 10:1, CUSIP 49726J108. Two depositary banks have built receipts over Kioxia's shares and the company signed neither, which is why the status does not move: an unsponsored facility is a bank's decision and an F-6 registers receipts, not an offering. The claim tracked here — size, banks, an exchange — still needs an F-1 and an exchange application, and neither exists. The trail below is amended. The desk kept running the EDGAR search that returns SK hynix, the trap it had itself recorded on 22 September, and concluded from it that nothing was there. Corrected at full size at the top of The Whisper, No. 7.
24 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 7, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot: the sweep ran long and the issue's observations are stamped between 11:11 a.m. and 1:41 p.m. rather than before the hour, and are accurate to those minutes. Entry 10 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 and 9 have a 24 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6 and 9
25 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 8, was delivered after its 12:30 p.m. slot; its observations are stamped between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. and are accurate to those minutes. The desk’s principal asked mid-run that the sweep be widened beyond the AI supply chain to technology, biotechnology and financials; it was, and nothing outside the usual beat cleared the floor, which is recorded in the issue’s “seen, not printed” counts. Entry 11 is added and entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 and 10 have a 25 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 6, 9 and 10 advanced by one session each.
28 September — a note on the run, not a correction. The Whisper, No. 9, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:20 p.m. Eastern and its observations are stamped to those minutes. No new claim cleared the floor today and no entry is added: the register stays at eleven. Entry 6 is the issue’s feature and its lag is filled at nine trading days, closed by a Yahoo Finance headline published at 11:07 p.m. Eastern on Sunday 27 September — after Friday’s close and before Monday’s open — carrying a 2nm figure a third larger than the one this register has tracked since 14 September. The revision is a sighting and not a document, so the status does not move. Entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 9, 10 and 11 have a 28 September desk check appended, with the lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced by one session each. Reproduced here from the already-published 28 September update note.
29 September — The Whisper, No. 10, was built between 11:11 a.m. and 12:40 p.m. Eastern and delivered after its 12:30 slot. Entry 12 was added. The active artifact trails include 29 September desk checks for entries 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10 and 11; the lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced. Its run note also names entry 1, but no 29 September check appears in that active entry, so none has been reconstructed from the HTML comment.
29 September — a second pass, and a withdrawal. After No. 10 was first assembled, the desk’s principal asked whether the sweep had been thorough. It had not. The extended pass added EDGAR’s full-text index, Polymarket, Data Center Dynamics and the biotechnology trade press, and it produced the 22 April Alpha Compute filing now at the head of entry 12’s trail, together with two documented negatives. The issue was rebuilt around it and republished before it went to Substack. Withdrawn in the same pass: the first build’s “seen, not printed” count of twenty-two items in six categories, which was reconstructed rather than tallied and rested on no social sweep. It is replaced by a shorter section the desk can reproduce. Also recorded, because it should have been carried into entry 3’s check: AMD announced a definitive agreement to acquire World Labs in an approximately $8.2 billion all-stock transaction, subject to closing conditions on 28 September, which is a document and not a rumor and therefore does not enter this register. The AMD primary release is linked in entry 3’s 29 September context observation.
30 September — The Whisper, No. 11, was built between 11:10 a.m. and 12:55 p.m. Eastern and delivered after its 12:30 slot. Entry 13 was added; active trails add 30 September checks to entries 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11 and 12. The lags on 5, 9, 10 and 11 advanced. The Yahoo Finance Canada relay is distinguished from a qualifying mainstream-US headline in entry 13; its US-headline lag remains unclosed under this register’s stated rule. No decoy was logged in the supplied sweep.
30 September — editorial evidence check for entry 12. The supplied active artifact labels the early-stage Nvidia insurance talks corroborated. The linked material establishes an FT report and syndications, but no separate independent report, signed insurance agreement, or qualifying market signal. The hosted status is held open pending that evidence; this is a status-methodology correction, not a denial of the FT report.
2 October 2026 — This editorial revision incorporates the owner-supplied desk checks from The Whisper, Nos. 12 and 13 and adds entries 14–16. It preserves prior public corrections. EDN supplied the Dallas, six-fab and potential Texas spending details while Reuters reported only evaluation of a Texas investment. Toshiba's own release supports the FY2027 capacity target, not Nikkei's investment or market-share figures. Bloomberg described preliminary Alibaba–Solaria talks; the Solaria facility is in Puertollano, but Alibaba's proposed data-center location is not established. Dated source observations are historical desk records, not earlier public register revisions.
The register · newest entry numbers first
“Open only” selects the open status, not the broader open / unsettled tally above. Corroborated has its own filter. A linked entry stays visible even when its status differs from the selected filter.
Showing all 26 tracked entries.
-
26First seen · source label11 OCT
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimChangXin Memory Technologies has made “key progress” on a 4F-square DRAM cell, built on a vertical surrounding-gate transistor to hold down current leakage, and will put a DDR5 registered memory module for servers on that architecture into the market before the end of 2026 — per CXMT’s president Cao Kanyu at an industry event in Shanghai over the weekend of 10–11 October and a company statement issued alongside, as reported by the South China Morning Post and, for Cao’s remarks, Securities Daily. No shipment date, yield, volume or customer has been published and no verification independent of the company exists. No cited statement from Samsung Electronics, SK hynix or Micron verifies CXMT’s claimed product, yield or shipment. The Whisper, No. 20.
10–11 Oct · tier 2 · named
The origin. Cao Kanyu, CXMT’s president, at an industry event in Shanghai, with a company statement beside the remarks. No minute this desk could establish; the claim was issued, not leaked.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
undated · tier 4 · Securities Daily
Credited by a later account with carrying Cao’s remarks on the vertical surrounding-gate transistor and the DDR5 registered module. Minute not established; not counted as the start.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
11 Oct 20:30 · tier 3 · SCMP
First sighting a reader can reconstruct. “China’s CXMT unveils ‘key progress’ on chip structure pursued by Samsung, SK Hynix,” published 08:30 China Standard Time 12 October, updated 16:50 CST. Names Cao, the 4F-square design and the transistor; reports a server-memory product “by the end of 2026.” Quotes none of the three incumbents and does not say any declined to comment.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
12 Oct 01:12 · tier 4 · Asia Business Daily
Seoul’s English edition, 14:12 KST: “4F² Cell Structure Technology Advances … New DDR5 Memory to Be Unveiled This Year.” Twenty-two minutes before the American headline, which makes it the same hour and not the same chain. The page was disallowed to this desk’s reader; headline and date are from the search index.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
12 Oct 01:34 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, five hours and four minutes after the first sighting and before Monday’s open. Investing.com item carried on Yahoo Finance’s markets pages, Roushni Nair: Samsung and SK hynix “fell more than 3% on Monday,” Samsung at 252,500 won and SK hynix at 1,624,000, citing the South China Morning Post for the transistor.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
12 Oct 09:56 · tier 4 · IBTimes AU
00:56 AEDT 13 October. Credits Securities Daily; puts the 4F-square cell area about a third below the 6F-square layout in common production; Micron down about four percent in early American trading. States that shipment, yield and production volumes remain unconfirmed.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
12 Oct 20:47 · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
09:47:49 KST 13 October. Samsung 238,000 won, −4.99 percent, and SK hynix 1,509,000, −5.98, early in the session; the index opened 3.10 percent lower. Intraday, not sworn.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
12 Oct 21:44 · tier 4 · Korea JoongAng
10:44:02 KST 13 October, updated 10:47:37. KOSPI 5,996.16, down 388.08 points or 6.08 percent; foreigners net sellers of 1.81 trillion won on the main board against retail net buying of 1.05 trillion. Intraday, not sworn. The page’s sidebar carries an index level and a “199 trillion won” foreign-selling figure that do not reconcile with its own body; no figure is taken from it.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
13 Oct 05:13 · tier 4 · JoongAng / SBS
18:13 KST, News Team, byline Shin Hye-yeon, and SBS’s English market desk independently: Samsung closed at 232,000 won, −7.39 percent, and SK hynix at 1,443,000, −10.09. The two feeds carry the same levels and the same percentages and the closes are sworn on them. SBS was read from the search index and carries no minute.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
14 Oct · tier 2 · Samsung
The claim’s first company response, and it is from the wrong company. Song Jai-hyuk, Samsung Electronics’ president and chief technology officer, asked by reporters on the floor of the 28th semiconductor exhibition in Seoul whether Samsung is developing 4F-square, answered yes, and on progress said the company is "working hard at it." Carried by ZDNet Korea and relayed by Sammy Fans at 09:24:14 UTC, and carried by The Asia Business Daily, EDaily and the Seoul Economic Daily. A tier-2 event, and it does not move this entry: it is a statement about Samsung’s own development and the claim tracked here is about CXMT shipping a product. The same reporting notes Samsung showed a 16-gigabit 4F-square prototype at ISSCC.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
14 Oct · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
18:45:10 KST, updated 19:11:02. Dates CXMT’s announcement to 10 October and reports the planned module as 4F-square combined with hybrid bonding, and states what has not been disclosed: capacity, performance, a release date, a mass-production schedule. Named on the record: Kwon Seok-joon of Sungkyunkwan, who observes that the announcement contains neither "mass production" nor "samples" and expects meaningful volume no earlier than late 2027; Hwang Cheol-seong of Seoul National University; Kim Yong-seok of Gachon; Ahn Ki-hyun of the Korea Semiconductor Industry Association.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
14 Oct · tier 5 · analyst layer
Counted and not treated as a surface. Invezz at 9:07 a.m. Eastern, byline Vatsala Gaur, carrying Jordan Klein of Mizuho on the record that he "would not be selling or in a panic," Jing Jie Yu of Morningstar on longer-term oversupply risk, and CW Chung of Nomura via Nikkei Asia on stopgap measures under equipment restrictions; plus Counterpoint Research’s estimate of CXMT at ten percent of global DRAM in the second quarter against four a year earlier. An analyst’s view of a rumor is not an independent surface for the rumor.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
16 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
The linked SCMP report attributes the claim to CXMT’s president and a company statement; it is not independent verification of technical performance or production. The subsequent Samsung remarks concern Samsung’s own 4F work and do not confirm CXMT shipments, yield, volume or customers. Corroborated remains distinct from confirmed.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
TapeSamsung 262,000 → 232,000 won, −30,000, −11.45 percent, and SK hynix 1,681,000 → 1,443,000, −238,000, −14.16 percent, the Thursday 8 October closes — the last before the claim existed, 9 October being Hangul Day with the Korean exchange shut — to the Tuesday 13 October closes. The 8 October closes are sworn in The Whisper, No. 17, on DigitalToday’s 15:55:28 Seoul report and TradingKey’s table; the 13 October closes on the Korea JoongAng Daily and SBS. Both percentages are this desk’s arithmetic with the inputs printed. Not sworn, one feed: Samsung’s 12 October close of 250,500, −4.39 percent, on Investing.com’s table; and Micron at $934.10, −54.94, −5.55 percent, on stockanalysis.com’s quote page read at 11:47 a.m. Eastern on 13 October against a previous close of 989.04 — a page that stamped itself 1:52 p.m. Eastern at that moment, which this desk could not reconcile and leaves unresolved.
Settles it: a DDR5 registered module on the 4F-square architecture with a part number, a datasheet and a named server customer before 31 December 2026 — the claim carries its own deadline, set by the party making it. Short of the product: a qualification notice from a server maker, an independent teardown, or a published yield. Kills it: the year ending with no module, or a measured cell pitch that does not match the claim.
Lag · source label0 trading days. The first sighting landed Sunday 11 October at 8:30 p.m. Eastern and the first mainstream American headline at 1:34 a.m. on Monday 12 October, before that session’s open. No session separates them.
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25First seen · source label7 OCT
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimSamsung Electronics’ twelve-layer HBM4E has passed quality verification with Nvidia and several major hyperscale data-centre operators, the qualification completed in late September, per Hankyung — the Korea Economic Daily. Neither Samsung nor Nvidia has confirmed it, and no supply volume, contract scale or mass-production date has been disclosed. The Whisper, No. 20.
26 Jan · tier 3 · Bloomberg
An earlier chapter of the same story, recorded for context and not counted as this claim’s start: Samsung reported to be nearing Nvidia’s approval for HBM4. A different product and a different gate.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
7 Oct · tier 4 · Hankyung
First attributed sighting. The Korea Economic Daily reports the twelve-layer HBM4E through Nvidia’s quality verification and that of major hyperscale customers. Dated, not timed: this desk did not open Hankyung’s own page and takes the date from the accounts that credit it.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
7 Oct 04:29 · tier 5 · relay
Sammy Fans, stamped 08:29:47 UTC, crediting Hankyung: the chip is “reportedly clearing quality verification with NVIDIA and major hyperscale customers,” the qualification “completed late last month,” and “Samsung has not publicly confirmed the reported NVIDIA verification.” Earliest surface this desk could read to a minute.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
8 Oct · tier 4 · DigiTimes
“Samsung HBM4E wins NVIDIA nod for AI accelerator push.” The page refused this desk’s reader and is logged from the search index with no minute.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
8 Oct 08:15 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline. “Samsung Electronics Passes Nvidia Quality Tests for Next-Generation HBM4E Memory Chips,” Fiona Craig, crediting “a Wednesday report by South Korean news outlet Hankyung.com.” Before the open. No Samsung or Nvidia comment; no volumes disclosed.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
8 Oct 11:48 · tier 5 · relay
Shanghai Metals Market, 11:48 GMT+8, summarising the Korea Economic Daily at second hand: “what has been confirmed so far is only that the product has passed quality validation.” Per-client volumes, contract scale and mass-production timing all unconfirmed.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
16 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
The linked Hankyung, Sammy Fans and DigiTimes pages identify the reporting chain. The claim remains reported, not confirmed by Samsung or Nvidia. The exact Sammy Fans publication minute has not been independently reconciled here; the source’s minute is retained as its observation, not certified as a new timestamp. Product qualification does not establish a supply volume or mass-production start.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
Tape272,000 → 268,500 won, −3,500, −1.29 percent, the 6 October close before the first sighting to the 7 October close, sworn — Investing.com’s historical table and the Korea Times’ 4:20 p.m. KST market report, which notes the stock had been up more than two percent early in the session; the percentage is the Korea Times’. The KOSPI closed that session at 6,803.90, −1.98 percent, and SK hynix at 1.72 million won, −2.82, on the same report. Recorded and attributed to nothing: Samsung has not closed higher since, finishing at 232,000 on 13 October, −13.59 percent over four sessions — this desk’s arithmetic, 36,500 ÷ 268,500 — against a window containing the company’s own 8 October guidance and the CXMT claim at entry 26.
Settles it: Samsung’s full third-quarter statement and call later this month, where a memory-division commentary naming HBM4E qualification would carry it; an Nvidia supplier statement or a qualified-vendor list; or a mass-production announcement with a volume. Kills it: either company on the record that verification is not complete.
Lag · source label1 trading day. First attributed sighting Wednesday 7 October, in Seoul; first mainstream US headline Thursday 8 October at 8:15 a.m. Eastern, before the open. Wednesday is the one session the claim had.
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24First seen · source label10 OCT
open · source-record status
Recorded claimASML has told Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, through its South Korean subsidiary, that prices on all replacement parts supplied into South Korea — extreme-ultraviolet and deep-ultraviolet alike, covering optical lenses and mirrors, light sources and precision actuators — will rise by ten percent on deliveries from January 2027, the notification having been made in early September, and both companies have accepted. Per The Elec, as named by TrendForce, and per Global Economic of Seoul, which credits Wccftech. Neither ASML nor either customer has said anything on the record, and no document in the trail confirms that parts-price proposal. The Whisper, No. 19.
15 Jul · tier 3 · The Information
The claim’s ancestor, recorded because it is the same company’s pricing and not the same claim: ASML planning price increases on chipmaking equipment over TSMC’s resistance, carried the same day by Bloomberg — a headline and date from the search index, the page not opened — and on 16 July by TrendForce, which put mature deep-ultraviolet tools at a possible ten percent. 62 trading days before the Korean parts instalment.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
date unestablished · tier 4 · The Elec
Named by TrendForce as the original report and linked at thelec.net, idxno=14518. The page refused this desk’s reader twice, so its wording, its byline and its minute are unestablished and nothing from it is printed here as though it had been read. The head of this trail is dated only by the relays below.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
10 Oct 20:32 · tier 4 · Global Economic
First dated sighting the desk could read, published 11 October 09:32 Korean time, which is Saturday 10 October 8:32 p.m. Eastern; reporter Kim Ju-won. Headline, in translation: “Despite ASML’s 10% parts price hike, Samsung and SK hynix accept it… ripple effects across the chip supply chain.” Credits Wccftech’s 10 October report, not The Elec, and whether Wccftech read The Elec could not be established — so the two surfaces this entry rests on may be one report in two coats. Adds that the two buyers judged the increase would not materially hurt profitability, that ASML’s guidance of over thirty percent revenue growth this year excludes it, and, from an unnamed industry source, that other toolmakers are following.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
11 Oct 14:57 · tier 5 · relay
Digital Citizen, 18:57 UTC, naming no original outlet; adds that Chinese deep-ultraviolet customers face the same ten percent.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
11 Oct 22:35 · tier 5 · relay
BigGo Finance, 12 October 02:35:47 UTC, naming no original outlet; adds that the two buyers accepted “in full” after consulting their purchasing departments, that this is the first time ASML has repriced its entire parts portfolio at once, that Applied Materials is moving to adjust prices, and that CITIC Securities calls the industry’s present condition a “historically rare across-the-board price increase phase.” None of those additions is sourced on the page.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
12 Oct 07:58 · tier 5 · relay
Logged as a decoy. GuruFocus published the claim as a company announcement — headline “ASML Announces 10% Price Increase on Lithography Replacement Parts,” text “ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ: ASML) revealed a planned 10% price hike” — citing no release, no filing and no outlet, and saying the piece was generated with automated technology. No announcement exists. Referred to the evening’s Errata rather than counted on the chronicle by this issue.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
12 Oct 08:25 · tier 4 · Newsquawk
On the squawk feed at 12:25 UTC and published at 12:45, crediting TrendForce by link. The point at which the claim stopped being a trade-press item and became something dealing desks had seen before the bell.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
12 Oct, no time · tier 4 · TrendForce
Attributes the report to The Elec. Careful in a way its relays are not: the body says ASML notified Samsung and SK hynix, and the word “accepted” appears exactly once, hedged, in a closing sentence — the increases, “reportedly accepted by Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, could strengthen other suppliers’ bargaining positions.” Effective on deliveries from January 2027; notification placed in early September.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
12 Oct, no time · tier 4 · DigiTimes
“Samsung, SK Hynix accept ASML’s 10% price hike in parts, report says.” Page unfetchable by this desk’s reader; headline and date from the search index, no minute. Names no original outlet in what the desk could see.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
12 Oct, no time · tier 4 · Seeking Alpha
“ASML to raise prices of chipmaking parts for Samsung, SK Hynix by 10%: report.” Page disallowed to this desk’s reader; headline from the search index, no minute. Five further relays — KuCoin, Archyde, TradingKey, BlockTempo and Futu — were seen in search indexes, not opened, and are counted as relays rather than sightings.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
12 Oct 12:05 · desk check
No mainstream American outlet — not CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — has carried the claim, each searched against it this morning. The social sweep was run: search indexes of X, Reddit and StockTwits returned no independent surface, every item located restating one of the outlets above.
13 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 20. Second session, no mainstream American headline, lag running at two. One new surface seen and counted as a relay rather than an independent sighting: a TradingKey analysis page pairing the ten percent parts increase with SK hynix’s cost base. Status unchanged.
14 Oct 01:00 · tier 1 · ASML
The named settling document, arrived on schedule and silent on the claim. Third-quarter results, published 07:00 Central European Time, metadata stamp 05:00 UTC. Record net sales of €11,662 million against €9,326 million in the second quarter; net income €4,960 million; basic earnings €12.95; gross margin 57.5 percent, above guidance and a company record; 113 new systems and 8 used; fourth-quarter guidance €14.2 to €15.2 billion at about 57 percent and the full year €44 to €45 billion; no net bookings figure. Installed Base Management — net service and field option sales, the line a parts repricing would sit in — at €3,289 million against €2,800 million, €400 million above guidance, attributed by the company to demand for productivity upgrades, with no separate figure for parts or upgrades. Supply as planned "for both 2027 and 2028 will not fully meet the demand of our customers." The words spare parts, replacement parts, parts price increase and Korea do not appear in the release, which this desk read in full. A documented negative, not a settlement.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
14 Oct 09:00 · tier 1 · ASML call
The investor call, taken from Investing.com’s transcript page, which carries its own note that it was produced with machine assistance and reviewed by an editor; logged as a transcript relay and not as the transcript, and ASML’s own webcast was not listened to by this desk. Pricing appears once in a form that matters, and it is value-based pricing on systems: the chief financial officer said the company had "completed those conversations," that "that's been done with the key customers," and that the effect is not visible in 2026 and "will start partly in 2027." No percentage, no product category, no country, no month. Korea is not mentioned and SK hynix is not mentioned; Samsung is mentioned once, on High NA in high-volume manufacturing from 2028. Nobody put the parts question. The passage has the shape of the claim and settles nothing, and is recorded here so that it is not later rounded up into a confirmation.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
15 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 22 by the day’s general sweep — the Taiwanese and Korean business press, TrendForce, DigiTimes’ index, the American market outlets and a domain-restricted search of sec.gov — and not by an individual re-read of this trail, which is said rather than implied. Nothing in that sweep touched this claim: no new sighting, no document and no company comment. The lag is advanced one session. Status unchanged.
16 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 23. Re-checked after the named settling occasion was spent on 14 October. Nothing new: no parts invoice, no customs release and no American headline. The running lag advances to 5.
16 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
Held open on the hosted register. The source’s own 12 October history says the two apparent surfaces may trace to one report: Global Economic credits Wccftech, while TrendForce names The Elec. Independence has not been established, and the later earnings material does not confirm the parts-price claim. The supplied source’s corroborated label is therefore not adopted; this is an evidence-status qualification, not a denial.
Tapethe first sworn move on this entry. Friday 9 October’s close of $1,780.34 — the last settled price before the claim existed, sworn in No. 19 on stockanalysis.com’s history and an 11 October price note citing Twelve Data — to Tuesday 13 October’s close of $1,717.76, sworn today on stockanalysis.com’s quote page, which carries it as the previous close at 10:53 a.m., and on Investing.com’s transcript page, which carries it as the regular-session close at −1.86 percent. That is −$62.58, −3.52 percent, this desk’s arithmetic with both ends sworn — and not attributable to this claim, because the window from Friday to Tuesday contains the CXMT repricing at entry 26 that took 11.45 and 14.16 percent out of ASML’s two largest memory customers. Today, unsworn and on one feed each: after hours on the release, $1,679, −2.26 percent, −$38.76, Investing.com; then $1,717.83, up seven cents and unchanged on the day to two decimal places, volume 1,115,825, stockanalysis.com at 10:53 a.m. Eastern — the overnight discount handed back in full, plus 2.31 percent from 1,679 on this desk’s arithmetic. Amsterdam at €1,532.20, up 1.50 percent against a previous close of €1,509.60, Investing.com’s equity page at a stamp of 07:19:36 with no zone given. A record quarter, a supply warning through 2028, and a New York line that finished the morning where it started. Nothing in that speaks to Korean spare parts.
Settles it: no longer an earnings call. ASML does not break out parts revenue, the 14 October release and call did not touch the claim, and nobody asked. What remains is narrower and later: the January 2027 deliveries priced on an invoice; Korean customs unit values on lithography-parts imports from January, which are published and which no relay carrying this claim has looked at; Samsung’s and SK hynix’s own cost commentary at their third-quarter calls later this month. Kills it: ASML Korea, Samsung or SK hynix on the record that no across-the-board increase was proposed.
Lag · source labelblank, and running at 5 sessions, to 16 October. No mainstream American headline exists.
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23First seen · source label6 OCT
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimSpaceX is in talks to raise about $40 billion of debt — roughly $10 billion of bank loans and about $30 billion of investment-grade bonds — in a financing led by Apollo Global Management, to buy Nvidia chips for its data centres, with the transaction expected to close in 2027 and Pimco among a small group of lenders in the discussions, per the Financial Times citing people familiar with the matter and per Reuters citing two sources of its own. Apollo and Pimco declined to comment; SpaceX and Nvidia did not respond. No document names any of it. The Whisper, No. 18.
10 Aug · tier 1 · Nvidia
The structure, and the only document anywhere in this trail. “NVIDIA Partners with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to Establish AI Compute Infrastructure Financing Platforms to Mobilize Over $500 Billion of Third-Party Capital,” on Nvidia’s investor site and Apollo’s news page. Six firms, a target and a purpose; no borrower. This register carried it from 29 September as “August, undated” on entry 12; it is dated here to 10 August on the date in Bloomberg’s relay URL and the August dating on Apollo’s own page, and no minute could be retrieved for it.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
6 Oct, evening · tier 3 · Financial Times
First sighting, after that session’s close. Not opened by this desk — ft.com was not read — and the substance is taken from the accounts that were. About $40 billion, Apollo expected to lead and to help place the debt, Pimco among a small group of lenders in talks, the transaction expected to close in 2027. Stood alone and cited nobody earlier.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
6 Oct · tier 3 · Bloomberg
“SpaceX in Talks to Borrow $40 Billion to Buy Nvidia Chips,” a page whose own slug ends ft-says. Logged as a headline and a URL date from the search index and not as a read: bloomberg.com is disallowed to this desk’s reader. Credits the FT; not an independent surface.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
6 Oct 21:49 · tier 4 · Benzinga
Byline Radhika Anilkumar Nadig, page modified 7 October 12:59 a.m. Citing Reuters citing the FT — explicitly downstream. Carries the split every later telling uses, about $10 billion of bank loans against $30 billion of investment-grade debt, the 2027 close, Pimco declining to comment, and the observation that Apollo is one of the six firms in the August platform. It also printed a level with its sign inverted; see the audit block.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
7 Oct 06:09 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, before the opening bell, byline Fiona Craig: “SpaceX Seeks $40 Billion Financing for Nvidia Chips, FT Reports.” Credits the FT and nobody else; adds that Apollo would help place the debt with investors and that the shares fell 1.9 percent in premarket trading. The lag closes here.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
7 Oct 12:13 · tier 3 · Reuters
The second independent surface, and what carries this claim over the floor. Bylines Saeed Azhar and Rishabh Jaiswal, read in BNN Bloomberg’s republication. Two sources of its own, unnamed because the deal is not public; one of them confirmed the earlier FT story, and the $10 billion and $30 billion split comes from one of them. Apollo and Pimco declined to comment; SpaceX and Nvidia did not immediately respond.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
7 Oct 16:33 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance
Markets pages, byline Pras Subramanian: “SpaceX stock slips on report of its $40 billion in new debt for Nvidia chips.” Attributes the reporting to Bloomberg in its body and never mentions the FT, which survives only in the URL it links. Seen and not logged: its body carries −2.5 percent beside a quote widget reading 160.57 and −4.19 percent, which is a live widget on a two-day-old page — a difference, not an error.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
7 Oct 17:58 · tier 3 · Wall Street Journal
A third wire with its own reporting, read in MT Newswires’ summary on MarketScreener; the WSJ’s own page is paywalled and was not opened. Broadcom, Oracle and SpaceX “are in talks with lenders to arrange financing for purchases of artificial intelligence chips,” citing people familiar with the matter. No dollar figure for SpaceX was read in it. One claim, three wires, in thirty-six hours.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
8 Oct · tier 4 · IBTimes UK
An account of the WSJ story carrying all three borrowers and attributing only the Broadcom detail to the WSJ. The only named executive anywhere in this trail appears here and is not talking about the financing: Elon Musk, that xAI’s Colossus 2 data centre could roughly double its deployment of advanced Nvidia chips by the end of the year.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
21 Sep 13:30 · market signal · prior
Recorded as prior rather than testimony, because it is fifteen days older than the claim: Barchart’s piece on Yahoo Finance, byline Mark R. Hake, reporting more than 9,600 put contracts at a $115 strike expiring 30 October, described as over eighty-two times the prior volume, with the stock at $152.71. No options print tied to this claim was located, and the day’s prediction-market check was not run.
16 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
Reuters reports its own two sources on approximately $40 billion of talks and attributes Apollo’s lead role to the FT. The linked Reuters item was initially published 6 October and updated 7 October. These are financing discussions, not a completed deal. Nvidia’s platform announcement establishes a financing framework and does not prove this borrower, its terms, or a closing.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
- Source 1: https://www.ft.com/content/d3f5928d-f38c-4666-8f7a-8737f9c45f51
- Source 2: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/spacex-seeks-40-billion-to-buy-nvidia-chips-ft-reports-4935381
- Source 3: https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-partners-with-apollo-blackrock-blackstone-brookfield-goldman-sachs-and-kkr-to-establish-ai-compute-infrastructure-financing-platforms-to-mobilize-over-500-billion-of-third-party-capital
Tape171.92 → 160.57, −11.35, −6.60%, the 6 October close before the claim existed to the 8 October close. Two independent daily tables — Investing.com’s and stockscan.io’s, read four minutes apart — carry the 5 to 8 October percentage changes identically to the basis point: +7.63, +0.49, −2.51, −4.19. The 8 October close of 160.57 and its −4.19 percent are sworn on Investing.com and heygotrade; the 6 October level of 171.92 is Investing.com’s against stockscan’s identical percentage from an identical prior close. The percentage is this desk’s arithmetic, 11.35 ÷ 171.92 = 6.602. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 106,950,000 against 104,682,438 on 6 October, 77,470,000 against 77,091,729 on the 7th, 65,120,000 against 68,501,368 on the 8th — the stock fell on declining volume, against an average heygotrade puts at 97,956,099 on a page that states no averaging period. Unsworn and not used: stockscan.io served $163.12 as the “latest close as of October 09, 2026” with that session still open, +1.62 percent in its table against 1.81 in its header. Nothing is attributed: a borrower adding $40 billion of debt four months after an $86 billion listing is a story a market can price for several reasons at once.
Settles it: an 8-K, a prospectus supplement or a credit agreement filed as an exhibit by SpaceX, which is a reporting company; a Moody’s, S&P or Fitch action on a new investment-grade issue, without which $30 billion of bonds cannot be sold; an offering memorandum; a named bank confirming or declining membership of the group; an Apollo disclosure. Kills it: SpaceX saying no such raise is under way; the FT’s own follow-up that the talks ended without agreement; or a quarter passing with no rating, no facility and no filing.
Lag · source label0 trading days. The Financial Times ran it on Tuesday 6 October after that session’s close and Yahoo Finance carried it at 6:09 a.m. on Wednesday 7 October, before the open; not one session passed between them. Recorded separately, because it is the number the issue turns on: 40 trading days from Nvidia’s 10 August platform announcement to the first sighting of a borrower in it — fifteen sessions in August from the 11th, twenty-one in September with Labor Day excluded, and four in October to the 6th.
- Source 1: https://www.ft.com/content/d3f5928d-f38c-4666-8f7a-8737f9c45f51
- Source 2: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/spacex-seeks-40-billion-to-buy-nvidia-chips-ft-reports-4935381
- Source 3: https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-partners-with-apollo-blackrock-blackstone-brookfield-goldman-sachs-and-kkr-to-establish-ai-compute-infrastructure-financing-platforms-to-mobilize-over-500-billion-of-third-party-capital
-
22First seen · source label1 OCT
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimHigh-bandwidth memory contract prices will more than double in 2027 as the shortage persists, per TrendForce as carried by the Seoul Economic Daily, and per Kim Dong-won, head of research at KB Securities, on the record. No maker and no customer has confirmed a 2027 contract price, and there is no document of any kind in the trail. The Whisper, No. 17.
1 Oct · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
First sighting, published twice the same day: once as “HBM Prices to More Than Double Next Year as Shortage Persists” and once as “HBM Prices to More Than Double in 2027 on Supply Crunch, TrendForce Says,” the second crediting the researcher by name. One outlet and one underlying forecast; the desk counts it as one surface, not two. No minute established beyond the publication date.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
7 Oct 11:46 KST · tier 2 · KB Securities
The second surface and the highest tier this claim has reached, independent of the researcher: Kim Dong-won, named and on the record in the Seoul Economic Daily, that HBM selling prices will more than double next year, alongside his view that Samsung’s HBM4 contracts have “a strong chance” of being signed at the highest price among the three DRAM makers. An analyst on the record is not a contract.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
8 Oct · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
A third surface, tying the doubling to Samsung’s guidance of the same morning: “HBM Prices to Double as Memory Shortage Drives Samsung Profit Surge.” Downstream of the two above and not counted as independent.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
30 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
Logged as context and not as a surface for the HBM figure: the researcher’s own release projecting fourth-quarter commodity DRAM contract prices up 10 to 15 percent and NAND up 15 to 20 percent quarter on quarter. Commodity DRAM is a different product from HBM and a different number.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
9 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 18. No maker and no customer has confirmed a 2027 contract price, no document of any kind has appeared, and no mainstream American outlet carries the doubling. The lag stays blank; six sessions have now run since the first sighting. Status unchanged.
12 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 19. No maker and no customer has confirmed a 2027 contract price, and no document has entered the trail. Cutting the other way, and recorded rather than left out: the Seoul Economic Daily, 12 October at 10:00 a.m. Korean time, reports Samsung’s preliminary third-quarter operating profit at 107.4 trillion won while “talk that the memory cycle may have peaked” weighs on both Korean names, with foreign net selling of 22.13 trillion won, about seventy-two percent of it in SK hynix. A 2027 contract price and 2026 sentiment are different questions. Status unchanged; the running lag advances to seven sessions.
13 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 20 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. No maker and no customer has confirmed a 2027 contract price, and no mainstream American outlet has carried the doubling. Eight sessions. Status unchanged.
14 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 21 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. No maker and no customer has confirmed a 2027 contract price, and no mainstream American outlet has carried the doubling. Nine sessions. Status unchanged.
15 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 22 by the day’s general sweep — the Taiwanese and Korean business press, TrendForce, DigiTimes’ index, the American market outlets and a domain-restricted search of sec.gov — and not by an individual re-read of this trail, which is said rather than implied. Nothing in that sweep touched this claim: no new sighting, no document and no company comment. The lag is advanced one session. Status unchanged.
16 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 23. Covered by the day’s general sweep; still no document of any kind on the trail and no American outlet carrying the 2027 doubling. SK hynix’s call on 27 October is the next scheduled occasion. The running lag advances to 11.
Tapeno reading is sworn to this claim, and the desk prints why — the subjects are three makers, two of them listed in Seoul and Boise respectively, and no session in the window is attributable to a 2027 contract-price forecast. Recorded as context and attributed to nothing: SK hynix closed 8 October at 1,681,000 won, −2.44%, sworn on DigitalToday and TradingKey, in a KOSPI down 2.62 percent on the same two feeds.
Settles it: TrendForce’s fourth-quarter 2026 and first-quarter 2027 contract-price releases; an HBM4 supply agreement disclosed by a maker or a customer; SK hynix’s and Samsung’s third-quarter calls in late October, where each would characterise its own 2027 pricing. Kills it: a quarterly contract release showing flat or falling HBM pricing, or a maker saying on the record that 2027 agreements are renewing at anything short of a doubling.
Lag · source labelblank, and running at 11 sessions, to 16 October. No mainstream American outlet has carried the 2027 doubling.
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21First seen · source label26 SEP
confirmed · source-record status
Recorded claimConfirmed at the preliminary-guidance stage: Samsung Electronics’ 8 October third-quarter 2026 guidance forecasts approximately 107.40 trillion won in consolidated operating profit, above the 100 trillion threshold anticipated by the Korean business press. This is company guidance, not final reported or audited quarterly earnings. Divisional profits and margins, HBM pricing and the broader “first technology company” framing are not established by this release. The Whisper, No. 17.
26 Sep 22:04 · tier 4 · Korea Herald
First sighting, published 27 September 11:04:58 Seoul time, after Friday’s close and before Monday’s open. Samsung is “poised to post quarterly operating profit above 100 trillion won ($74 billion) for the first time.” Average third-quarter estimate 107.7 trillion won, up 20.3 percent on the second quarter’s 89.4 trillion, attributed to industry sources speaking Sunday and to estimates from DB Securities, Mirae Asset Securities and BNK Securities. Device Solutions margin put at 72 to 75 percent, DRAM above 80. Cited no earlier report; stood alone.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
29 Sep 01:08 · tier 4 · Aju Press
Second independent surface, and the sighting that cleared the floor: “more than 100 trillion won,” with analysts broadly expecting the mark to be cleared. Its numbers come from elsewhere — an FnGuide one-month consensus at about 106 trillion, a broader collection at 111.4 trillion, Citi at 104.1, Kiwoom at about 107. Did not cite the Herald.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
5 Oct 00:45 · tier 4 · Korea Herald
The same paper repeating its own framing, now with a date: 108.1 trillion won expected, about $80.2 billion, from brokerage estimates compiled by FnGuide as of Monday, with preliminary guidance due Thursday. Not counted as an independent surface.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
5 Oct 20:59 · tier 4 · Herald Business
Published 6 October 09:59:24 Seoul time, and the most useful item anybody published on this claim, because it ran against its own headline. More than 100 trillion overall and the memory division alone near 110 trillion — beside three houses cutting their forecasts into the print: Kiwoom Securities 122 trillion to 107, Hana 119 to 108, Samsung Securities 113 to 105, on a won that had been weaker than 1,500 to the dollar in the second quarter and was in the 1,300s by September. Almost no relay carried the cuts.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
6 Oct 22:46 · tier 2 · Seoul Economic Daily
Published 7 October 11:46:31 Seoul time. The first named source on the record anywhere on this trail: Kim Dong-won, head of research at KB Securities, that “there is a strong chance Samsung’s HBM4 contracts will be signed at the highest price level among the three DRAM makers,” and that HBM prices will more than double next year. Carries an analyst average of 105.41 trillion won on 200.26 trillion of revenue, and PC DRAM at $26 in September per DRAMeXchange, an all-time high. The page is marked machine-translated from a Korean original. Tier two on the source, tier four on the number.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
7 Oct 18:49 · tier 1 · Samsung Electronics
The document that settles it, published 8 October 07:49:06 Seoul time. “Earnings Guidance for Third Quarter 2026”: consolidated sales of “approximately 195 trillion Korean won” and consolidated operating profit of “approximately 107.40 trillion Korean won,” the release noting that Korean rules do not permit a range and that these are medians of 194 to 196 trillion and 107.3 to 107.5. Against the second quarter’s 171.5 and 89.49 trillion and the year-ago quarter’s 86.06 and 12.17. It confirms the threshold and nothing else: the memory division’s 110 trillion, the Device Solutions margin, the DRAM margin and the loss in phones are in none of it.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
7 Oct, no minute · tier 3 · Reuters / US News
“Samsung Flags $80 Billion Profit on AI Boom, Highest Quarterly for Any Tech Company,” dated 7 October on US News’s investing pages. The page refused this desk’s reader with a 403; the headline and date come from the search index and carry no minute, and that is a sighting rather than a reading.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
7 Oct 23:10 · tier 4 · InvestingLive
03:10:32 UTC. Puts the LSEG SmartEstimate consensus at about 106 trillion won, so the guidance beat it by roughly a trillion, and records that analysts had cut forecasts about eight percent since late August and that the shares fell 0.7 percent in the morning anyway.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
8 Oct · tier 3 · CNBC, Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, the session after the guidance: “Samsung forecasts record third-quarter profit of $80 billion as AI boom fuels chip demand,” carried on Yahoo Finance’s markets pages the same day. It carries the document, not the claim. The lag closes here, and it closes because the company published.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
16 Oct 2026 · tier 1 · Samsung guidance / scope qualification
Samsung’s official guidance supports approximately 195 trillion won of consolidated sales and 107.40 trillion won of operating profit. The confirmation is limited to the company’s preliminary forecast clearing 100 trillion won. It does not establish final audited earnings, divisional margins, contract prices, or a worldwide historical ranking.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
Tapethe 8 October close is sworn at 262,000 won, −2.42% — DigitalToday’s market report filed 15:55:28 Seoul time and TradingKey’s closing table, the same number and the same percentage on both. SK hynix 1,681,000 won, −2.44%, and the KOSPI 6,625.93, −177.97 points, −2.62%, on both feeds. The intraday path is the testimony: −0.37% at 09:12 per SBS, −0.2% at 10:30 per Aju Press, about −0.7% in the morning per InvestingLive, −2.42% at the close — the selling got worse through the session on a number that beat the cut consensus by about a trillion won. Desk arithmetic, inputs shown: 262,000 ÷ (1 − 0.0242) = 268,497.64, so Wednesday’s close was about 268,498; that is arithmetic and not a feed reading. One stale single-feed reading, printed as stale and sworn to nothing: stockanalysis.com’s delayed page for 005930, stamped 30 September 15:00 Seoul time, last 268,500 against a prior close of 272,500. Read together the shares went roughly nowhere across the nine sessions the claim travelled and then fell two and a half percent on the day it was confirmed.
Settled by Samsung Electronics’ 8 October preliminary guidance only as to the forecast consolidated operating-profit threshold. Final quarterly results and divisional disclosures remain separate evidence; this status does not assert that those results have already been published or audited.
Lag · source label8 trading days — 28, 29 and 30 September, then 1, 2, 5, 6 and 7 October, counted between the first sighting and the 8 October headline and excluding the headline’s own session. For all eight the claim lived entirely in the Korean business press.
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20First seen · source label28 DEC 2025
expired · source-record status
Recorded claimTSMC will raise prices from January 2027 — mature nodes by roughly 3 to 10 percent, advanced nodes 5 to 10 and advanced packaging 10 to 15 — as part of an escalator its advanced-node customers were told would run four consecutive years, per Economic Daily News and, separately, Central News Agency, each reached through English accounts of them. TSMC has neither confirmed nor denied it on any page this desk read. The Whisper, No. 16.
9 Oct · desk check · expiry
Status moved to expired for The Whisper, No. 18. This register expires a rumor after thirty trading days without a tier-one or tier-two event. No such event has ever appeared on this trail: three trade-press surfaces across nine and a half months, no company comment, no denial, no filing and no named executive. 197 sessions from 29 December 2025 to 9 October 2026 inclusive, US market holidays excluded. Expiry is a status and not a verdict: the claim may well be true, the entry keeps its trail, and TSMC’s third-quarter call on Thursday 15 October is the first scheduled occasion on which anyone can put the January increase to the company. Counting basis checked for publication: the source’s 197 is inclusive of both 29 December 2025 and 9 October 2026; the elapsed-session input is 196, excluding the first session. Weekends and full NYSE holidays are excluded; shortened sessions count as trading sessions. The first-sighting label remains 28 DEC 2025 (a Sunday). This historical expiry is being imported now, not backdated as a public save.
28 Dec 2025 16:05 · tier 4 · Wccftech / EDN
The oldest surface the desk could date, on the page’s own stamp, citing Economic Daily News: demand for 2nm wafers “has forced a supply choke” with capacity booked to the end of 2026, and customers of TSMC’s advanced processes “have been notified that they will have to bear price increases for four consecutive years, starting from 2026,” the 2026 step single-digit and dependent on order level and contract. The desk could not read Economic Daily News in the original.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
13 Jul · tier 4 · TrendForce / EDN
The mature-node leg, again sourced to Economic Daily News: “multiple IC design companies said they have recently received notices from TSMC indicating plans to raise prices for mature processes, with the adjustments expected to take effect in January 2027,” the increase “currently estimated to be in the single-digit percentage range.” No time on the page. TSMC not quoted.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
5 Oct · tier 4 · TrendForce / CNA
The second independent Taiwanese surface, and what puts the claim above the floor. An earnings preview relaying Economic Daily News that “TSMC will raise prices starting next January, with mature-node prices set to increase by roughly 3%–10%,” and Central News Agency, citing institutional investors, that “prices for the company’s advanced nodes could rise by 5%–10% next year, while advanced packaging prices could increase by 10%–15% and mature-node prices by 3%–5%.” The same page relays a JPMorgan note capping fourth-quarter growth with “tight 3nm capacity and no further price hikes this year.” No time on the page. No TSMC comment and no denial.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
12 Oct · tier 4 · TrendForce
First sighting since expiry, and it does not revive the entry. Citing Central News Agency, TrendForce carries analysts forecasting 2027 increases of 5 to 10 percent for advanced nodes, 10 to 15 for advanced packaging and 3 to 5 for mature — the same three bands this entry has tracked since December, now attributed to analysts rather than to the company’s customers. A forecast that matches a rumor does not confirm it, and expiry is a status that moves only forward. TSMC’s third-quarter call on Thursday 15 October remains the first scheduled occasion to put January to the company. Recorded for The Whisper, No. 19.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
15 Oct 03:18 / 03:22 · tier 1 · TSMC call
The occasion this entry named, arrived — and it did not address the claim. The Whisper, No. 18, expired this entry on 9 October and named TSMC’s third-quarter call as the first scheduled occasion on which the January 2027 increase could be put to the company. On the call, chief financial officer Wendell Huang said the company’s “pricing strategy is very strategic,” that it “depends on the market segment, depends on the location, and depends on the technology,” that American production will price “a little bit different from the one we produce in Taiwan,” and that TSMC will “try to get our value to be recognized.” Chief executive C.C. Wei added that there is “no ceiling for Taiwan Semiconductor’s profitability, but a dramatic increase will not happen overnight either.” No percentage, no month, no node, no mention of January. Recorded as a near-miss and not as corroboration, because it is the kind of passage that gets rounded up by the fourth relay; the same judgement this register made yesterday on ASML’s third-quarter release against entry 24. Status unchanged at expired: expiry moves only forward, and nothing on this call bears on the claim either way. Both quotations are logged as transcript relays, from Benzinga’s transcript stamped 3:22 a.m. Eastern and Investing.com’s stamped 03:18 a.m.; TSMC’s own webcast was not listened to by this desk. Recorded for The Whisper, No. 22.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
16 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
The official TSMC transcript is linked for the 15 October call. General pricing strategy and location-dependent pricing do not establish the January 2027 node-specific percentage increases. The historical expiry remains in force and the later call observation does not reopen the entry.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
Tapenot sworn. No reading was taken for this entry: the claim has been in print for more than nine months with no single session the desk can attribute a move to, and it prints no price rather than a selected one.
Settles it: TSMC’s earnings call on 15 October, the first scheduled occasion on which the January increase can be put to the company; a customer disclosing a price-driven cost step in 2027 guidance; or TSMC’s own pricing commentary in a quarterly report.
Lag · source labelblank, and never closed. No mainstream American outlet carried the January figures at any point, searched again on 12 October. Final count: 197 sessions from 29 December 2025 to 9 October 2026 inclusive, US market holidays excluded — this desk’s count, and the longest this register has carried.
- Source 1: https://www.trendforce.com/news/2026/10/05/news-tsmc-earnings-preview-terafab-talks-price-hikes-and-a14-intel-race-lead-five-key-themes/
- Source 2: https://www.trendforce.com/news/2026/07/13/news-tsmc-reportedly-notifies-ic-designers-of-mature-node-price-hikes-starting-jan-2027-increase-seen-in-single-digits/
- Source 3: https://investor.tsmc.com/english/encrypt/files/encrypt_file/reports/2026-10/eba4fac72873bf546b669bd2b5d973df5c93215d/TSMC%203Q26%20Transcript.pdf
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19First seen · source label20 AUG
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimBroadcom’s bank syndicate is gathering roughly $60 billion of fresh debt to finance AI chip purchases by Anthropic and other companies — a $42 billion Class A senior-secured tranche being prepared for syndication by banks, and an $18 billion Class B junior tranche led by Blackstone, which is committing $9 billion from its own funds — per Bloomberg’s people with knowledge of the matter. Broadcom declined to comment. The company announced the platform underneath it, at a smaller number, in June. The Whisper, No. 16.
9 Jun · tier 1 · Broadcom release
“Broadcom, Apollo, and Blackstone Establish Landmark Strategic Platform to Accelerate More Than 20 Gigawatts of Global AI Deployments.” The AI XPV Platform, with Apollo and Blackstone’s Credit & Insurance Business as initial anchor investors; a $35 billion initial funding package financing more than a gigawatt of Anthropic compute, against a target of more than twenty gigawatts through 2028, serving “leading frontier AI labs, including Anthropic and OpenAI.” No time on the page. The highest tier this claim has reached, and it adopts none of the figures below.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
20 Aug · tier 3 · Bloomberg
First mainstream US headline and first sighting of the claim as a claim. “Broadcom Seeks More Than $60 Billion in Latest AI Debt Deal,” people with knowledge of the matter, anonymous because the information is private. A junior tranche of roughly $30 billion beside a senior-secured tranche of about $60 billion to $70 billion, figures that could take the total as high as $100 billion, with Broadcom guaranteeing a portion of the senior piece — a different structure from October’s. Bloomberg’s page is disallowed to this desk’s reader; read through the search index, The Next Web’s account of 21 August and Reuters’ relay. Per The Next Web, “spokespeople for Broadcom, Anthropic, Apollo and Blackstone declined to comment.”
Recorded evidence tier: 3
20 Aug 16:39 · tier 3 · Reuters
Relay crediting Bloomberg; Broadcom, Apollo and Blackstone “did not immediately respond to Reuters’ requests for comment.” Not counted as independent.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
21 Aug · tier 3 · CNBC
The second independent surface, and what puts this claim above the floor. “Broadcom debt deal expected to reach upwards of $70 billion, sources say” — its own sources, not credited to Bloomberg, ten billion dollars higher, with a companion video describing a “Broadcom-backed SPV tapping debt market for $70 billion to support AI buildout.” The page returned 403 and was read through the search index; no time could be established.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
1 Oct 06:07 · tier 3 · Reuters
A different forty-two billion, and not part of this claim’s arithmetic. “Exclusive-Broadcom to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to lease its chips, filing says”: a convertible lending commitment from Broadcom to Anthropic, disclosed in an IPO prospectus Reuters saw, proceeds restricted to chip-lease obligations, covering roughly a third of a $125.2 billion five-year commitment for computing capacity. The prospectus, per Reuters, discloses “potential conflicts of interest” arising from Broadcom’s dual “role as hardware supplier and financing partner.” Broadcom did not comment; Anthropic declined. Read through Investing.com’s syndication, which carries the stamp. Whether this money and the Class A tranche are the same money, no document available to this desk establishes.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
2 Oct 00:12 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
“Broadcom Starts Amassing $60 Billion to Fund Chips for Anthropic,” Preeti Singh and Dina Bass. Verbatim through an authorised mirror: Broadcom’s “Wall Street syndicate are starting to gather $60 billion of fresh AI chip financing to benefit Anthropic PBC and other companies, according to people with knowledge of the matter.” $42 billion Class A, $18 billion Class B led by Blackstone with $9 billion of its own. “A representative for Broadcom declined to comment.” Relayed inside nine hours, all crediting Bloomberg: Quartz 7:30 a.m., Stocktwits 8:04, Benzinga 8:44.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
2 Oct 14:35 · tier 5 · aggregation
Counted, not relied on: a Yahoo Finance piece headed “Broadcom Bets $102 Billion on Anthropic Chips,” which is 60 plus 42 — the package added to the convertible. Recorded as unresolved rather than wrong, and no decoy logged on the point.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
7 Oct 17:58 · tier 3 · Wall Street Journal
Added 9 October, and a second wire telling the same syndication differently. Read in MT Newswires’ summary on MarketScreener, stamped 5:58 p.m. Eastern; the WSJ’s own page is paywalled and was not opened. Broadcom in talks with Apollo and Blackstone over more than $50 billion of financing for custom AI chips it is developing with OpenAI, the talks “in preliminary stages” and the final size subject to change; the same report places Oracle and SpaceX in financing talks of their own. A lower figure and a different named customer than Bloomberg’s $60 billion for Anthropic, five sessions earlier. Whether the two accounts describe one syndication or two, no document available to this desk establishes.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
7 Oct · desk check
No Broadcom filing on or after 1 October: the submissions index at CIK 0001730168 ends on 18 September. No October item on Broadcom’s financial-news-releases page, whose most recent are 29 September and 2 September. No statement from Blackstone or Anthropic since 2 October. And no public Anthropic registration statement exists at all — the draft S-1 was confidentially submitted on 1 June 2026, and a full-text search returns Anthropic only inside other companies’ filings.
9 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 18. The 7 October Wall Street Journal sighting above was found on this check and is filed in its own place in the trail. Still no closing or launch release, no rating on the Class A tranche, no offering memorandum and no bank on the record either way; Broadcom’s submissions index is unchanged and no statement has come from Blackstone, Apollo or Anthropic since 2 October. No new reading is sworn: the desk’s second feed for the 7 and 8 October closes was refused, so the 6 October close of 375.81 stands as the last sworn level. Status unchanged.
16 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
The June company release establishes the AI XPV platform and an initial $35 billion package. It does not confirm Bloomberg’s later $60 billion proposed financing, its tranche amounts, or a completed closing. The October account and later reports remain attributed reports; they must not be added together as one proven transaction.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
- Source 1: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-02/broadcom-starts-amassing-60-billion-to-fund-chips-for-anthropic
- Source 2: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/broadcom-said-amassing-us-60-224000905.html
- Source 3: https://investors.broadcom.com/news-releases/news-release-details/broadcom-apollo-and-blackstone-establish-landmark-strategic
TapeBroadcom 343.64 → 355.14, +3.35%, 1 to 2 October closes, identical on stockanalysis.com and Investing.com read at 11:52 a.m. and 12:02 p.m. on 7 October — sworn; Friday’s open 349.86, high 357.35, low 347.42 on both. The 6 October close 375.81, +3.67% on stockanalysis.com, Yahoo Finance’s previous-close field and Benzinga’s quote page — sworn on three. August, unsworn and one feed: 362.48 on 19 August to 364.03 on 20 August, +0.43%, stockanalysis.com’s history page; Investing.com served only 3 September forward and Yahoo Finance’s history page refused with a rate limit. Context: the S&P 500 rose 0.73% and the Nasdaq composite 1.19% on 2 October. Volume 24,474,664 against a three-month average of 22,575,003, which is 1.08 times. Desk arithmetic: 355.14/343.64 = +3.347%; 364.03/362.48 = +0.428%; 42 + 18 = 60; 42/125.2 = 33.5%.
Settles it: a closing or launch release from Broadcom, Apollo or Blackstone; a rating on the Class A tranche or an offering memorandum for it; a named bank confirming or declining membership of the syndicate; Broadcom’s next quarterly report, carrying a drawn balance on the AI XPV Platform; or Anthropic’s public S-1. Kills it: a Broadcom statement that the syndication has been pulled or resized, or a Blackstone disclosure inconsistent with a $9 billion commitment.
Lag · source label0 trading days — the first sighting was Bloomberg, which is one of the outlets that ends a lag; one session to CNBC’s independently sourced version. Recorded separately, because it is the number the issue turns on: 82 trading days from Broadcom’s own announcement of the structure on 9 June to the session the market paid 3.35 percent for an anonymous account of it on 2 October, Labor Day excluded; 52 of them ran before the first anonymous report and 30 between that report and Friday’s, across which the headline number did not change.
- Source 1: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-02/broadcom-starts-amassing-60-billion-to-fund-chips-for-anthropic
- Source 2: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/broadcom-said-amassing-us-60-224000905.html
- Source 3: https://investors.broadcom.com/news-releases/news-release-details/broadcom-apollo-and-blackstone-establish-landmark-strategic
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18First seen · source label4 AUG
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimAll of the DRAM and high-bandwidth memory scheduled for manufacture in 2027 by Samsung, SK hynix and Micron has already been sold, with no additional supply planned, and 2027 will be the worst year on record for memory supply, with consumer DRAM “significantly reduced” against 2026, per DigiTimes. No company has commented. The Whisper, No. 15.
4 Aug · tier 4 · DigiTimes
First sighting, in Chinese, unread in the original by this desk and reached only through the relay below, which links it. The claim as relayed: “Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron have sold all DRAM and HBM capacity for 2027”; “no additional supply planned”; “2027 is set to be the worst year on record for memory supply.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
5 Aug 00:26 · tier 5 · TweakTown
Kosta Andreadis, stamped 11:26 p.m. Central on 4 August, 12:26 a.m. Eastern on the 5th. Cites DigiTimes and quotes it; adds no source of its own. This is the desk’s first attributed sighting.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
7 Aug · tier 5 · ProPakistani
“2027 RAM Supply Is Reportedly Already Sold Out.” Cited the chain above; added nothing.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
Aug–Sep, undated · tier 5 · relays
TechPowerUp, “Memory Makers Seal 2027 Deals: No Room for New Buyers,” whose publication minute this desk could not retrieve — the page is disallowed to the desk’s fetcher and was read through the search index; plus vgtimes, Guru3D and a string of aggregators through September. Each cited the one before. None reached a company.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
30 Sep · tier 1 · Micron
The highest tier this claim has reached, and the first document on its trail. Fiscal Q4 2026 prepared remarks, on the company’s investor site: revenue $54.2 billion, first-quarter guidance $61.5 billion plus or minus $1.5 billion; conditions expected “much tighter in fiscal 2027 and 2028”; agreements completed “for the vast majority of our calendar 2027 HBM bit supply”; twenty-six strategic customer agreements carrying $32 billion of customer financial commitments and estimated at over 35 percent of revenue through 2030.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
30 Sep · tier 2 · Mehrotra
On the earnings call, on the record: “More than 75% of our output is already committed for 2027, and the majority of discussions with our customers today are already around 2028.” Supports the direction of the August claim and contradicts its magnitude: more than three-quarters of one maker’s output, not all of three makers’. Quoted by Benzinga, 1 October, 3:36 a.m. by the page’s own stamp, which does not state a time zone.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
1 Oct 01:31 · tier 2 · The Korea Herald
Added 7 October for The Whisper, No. 16; the page stamps itself 14:31:07 at UTC+09:00. Micron’s chief executive on the record that conditions will be “much tighter” in fiscal 2027 and 2028, with more than 75 percent of fiscal 2027 output committed, 26 strategic customer agreements against 16 in June, some running to 2031, and $32 billion of customer financial commitments. Not from Micron, and carried by the same piece: Samsung has signed five major data-centre customers targeting 60 to 70 percent coverage of medium- and long-term capacity, and SK hynix has finished negotiating roughly ten contracts of about five years.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
1 Oct 11:25 · tier 4 · Benzinga
Added 7 October. A note round-up carrying J.P. Morgan’s rendering, “more than 75% of fiscal 2027 output is already committed across customers,” and D.A. Davidson’s that management “signaled that memory markets could be even tighter in 2028 than today.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
7 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 16. The on-record half of this claim has grown and the gap has not closed: the trade report said all of 2027 was sold across three makers, and the documents say three-quarters of one maker’s, with the other two described by a fourth party. Status unchanged at corroborated.
8 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 17. Today’s document sits adjacent to this claim and does not settle it: Samsung Electronics’ third-quarter earnings guidance of 8 October is a revenue and profit statement, not an allocation statement, and says nothing about how much of 2027 is committed. Logged as context and not as a surface: TrendForce’s release of 30 September projecting fourth-quarter commodity DRAM contract prices up 10 to 15 percent and NAND up 15 to 20 percent quarter on quarter, which is a price forecast and not a book of orders. The gap between the trade report’s all of three makers and the documents’ three-quarters of one is unchanged. Status unchanged at corroborated.
9 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 18. No new sighting, no company statement and no mainstream American outlet — not CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s. The gap is unchanged: all of three makers’ 2027 output in the trade report against more than seventy-five percent of Micron’s in the documents. Micron’s Form 10-K for fiscal 2026 remains the document that would put purchase commitments and uncommitted capacity in writing. Status unchanged.
13 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 20, and the reason this entry is the issue’s argument. No new sighting, no company statement and no mainstream American headline in forty-nine sessions. What changed is on the other side of the claim: a competitor’s stated intention to put server DRAM on a denser cell design before year-end took Samsung down 7.39 percent and SK hynix down 10.09 on Tuesday, and Micron was quoted at $934.10, minus 5.55 percent, at 11:47 a.m. Eastern on one feed. None of that touches the claim as written, which concerns 2027 output already sold. Status unchanged.
14 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 21. Fiftieth session, no new sighting, no company statement and no mainstream American headline. This is now the longest open lag on the register. Status unchanged.
15 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 22 by the day’s general sweep — the Taiwanese and Korean business press, TrendForce, DigiTimes’ index, the American market outlets and a domain-restricted search of sec.gov — and not by an individual re-read of this trail, which is said rather than implied. Nothing in that sweep touched this claim: no new sighting, no document and no company comment. The lag is advanced one session. Status unchanged.
14 Oct · tier 4 · Dealsite
Added 16 October, and the first sighting since 4 August that bears on the claim’s second leg, no additional supply planned. The Korean financial outlet Dealsite reported that SK hynix had pushed a portion of its HBM4 back-end equipment orders — tools expected in the second half of 2026 — into 2027, with capacity at the Yongin Y1 cleanroom prioritised instead for general-purpose DRAM on the 1c process. ChainCatcher carried it at 2:06 a.m. Eastern crediting DealSite and adding an anonymous source of its own; 24TopNews published at 6:13 a.m. UTC citing its own equipment-industry sources; DigiTimes carried a version the same day, its page refused to this desk’s reader; Wccftech wrote it up at 10:55 a.m., reporting an analyst calling the quality concerns exaggerated and a company official saying back-end investment was proceeding as originally planned. Yahoo Finance’s markets pages carried it at 8:45 a.m. on 14 October in copy from 24/7 Wall St, attributing it to “a Korean outlet” without naming it. Every surface traces to Dealsite, which is tier 4, so the deferral does not clear this register’s floor as a rumor of its own and is logged here as a sighting on this claim rather than printed as a new entry.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
16 Oct · tier 1 · Micron / EDGAR
Added 16 October: the document this entry named to settle it. Micron’s Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended 3 September 2026, accession 0000723125-26-000023, document mu-20260903.htm. The desk read characters 0 to 121,241 — the business and risk-factor sections — and did not reach the notes, where a purchase-obligations table and a contract-liabilities figure would sit. Within what was read there is no figure for the share of calendar 2027 output under agreement and no sentence that 2027 is sold out. What there is: strategic customer agreements “structured as take-or-pay agreements, with binding commitments for specific contractually enforceable volumes,” against which “our customers have provided financial security in the form of cash deposits and letters of credit”; on HBM4E, “we expect to ramp volume in calendar 2027”; and, of its own suppliers, “many of these contracts do not provide for long-term capacity or pricing commitments.” The instrument is confirmed; the magnitude is not. A near-miss, and the third session running in which a document this register named arrived and declined to address the claim. Status unchanged at corroborated.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
16 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 23. Still no mainstream American headline in fifty-two sessions. The lag advances to 52.
16 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
The EDGAR filing index identifies accession 0000723125-26-000023 as filed 9 October 2026, accepted at 08:21:12. The 3 September date is the reporting-period end, not the filing date. Take-or-pay agreements establish a contractual instrument, not that all 2027 DRAM and HBM output at three companies is sold. The supplied 16 October observation states the limited portion reviewed; no claim of a complete review of the financial-statement notes is made.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
TapeMicron 892.67 → 1,063.96, +19.19%, 4 August close to 5 October close; 171.29 divided by 892.67. The 5 October close is sworn on two feeds — stockanalysis.com’s history and Gotrade, “as of October 5, 2026” — and the 4 August close is stockanalysis.com alone and is not sworn. Also sworn, on stockanalysis.com and Benzinga: the 30 September close at 1,065.11. Unsworn, one feed each: 1 October 1,097.39 on volume 45,735,434, the heaviest of the five sessions swept and a 3.03 percent gain on the sworn prior close; 2 October 1,074.89; and the extended-trade 1,069, up 0.37 percent, after the “more than 75%” remark.
Settles it: company disclosures stating the share of 2027 capacity committed or uncommitted for each of Samsung, SK hynix and Micron. Micron’s fiscal 2026 Form 10-K was filed on 9 October and is now on this trail; the inspected business/risk sections establish take-or-pay commitments, not that every maker’s 2027 capacity is sold. Its notes and the Korean companies’ results remain relevant. A disclosure of uncommitted 2027 capacity or additional 2027 supply would contradict the absolute claim.
Lag · source labelblank, and running at 52 sessions, to 16 October. No mainstream American outlet — not CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — has carried this claim. Counted Wednesday 5 August to Friday 16 October inclusive, weekends and Labor Day excluded; this desk’s own count.
- Source 1: https://www.digitimes.com.tw/tech/dt/n/shwnws.asp?CnlID=1&id=0000763847_DVY7YHX65GMLYZ6UQEEMP
- Source 2: https://www.tweaktown.com/news/113004/memory-capacity-for-all-of-2027-has-reportedly-been-booked-and-sold-with-no-more-dram-or-hbm-available/index.html
- Source 3: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/723125/000072312526000023/mu-20260903.htm
- Source 4: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/723125/000072312526000023/0000723125-26-000023-index.htm
-
17First seen · source label30 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimTencent has signed its largest overseas lease deal, with Oracle, for access to about 100,000 advanced AI chips not available to it in China — a five-year lease across multiple Oracle data centres in south-east Asia, agreed earlier this year, worth about $7 billion, with roughly thirty percent paid upfront, per the Financial Times citing people familiar with the matter. Neither company has confirmed or denied any part of it, and no filing by either names the other. The Whisper, No. 14.
10 Sep · tier 1 · Oracle
The aggregate, and the reason this entry exists. Oracle’s first-quarter fiscal 2027 release: “Oracle booked more than $30 billion of additional AI cloud contracts in Q1 increasing its RPO to $664 billion,” with cloud infrastructure revenue of $7.4 billion, up 121 percent. No customer is named anywhere in it — the release says “Oracle’s enterprise customers” and “AI Cloud customers” and stops. If the lease was agreed this year, as the FT reports, a commitment of this size sat inside a published aggregate fourteen trading days before anybody could attach a name to it. This desk does not assert that the $7 billion is inside the $664 billion: no document says so, the release does not break the figure down, and a contract signed late in September could fall outside the quarter entirely.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
30 Sep · tier 3 · Financial Times
First sighting. Not opened by this desk — ft.com was not read — and the substance is taken from the Reuters text that carried it in full. Every figure in the claim, attributed to people familiar with the matter; Sharecast’s account of the same report puts the number of sources at two.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
30 Sep 22:12 · tier 3 · Reuters
Relay, and explicit about being one: “Tencent signed its largest overseas lease deal with US cloud provider Oracle to access about 100,000 advanced AI chips that were not available in China, the Financial Times reported on Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter. The Chinese technology giant this year agreed to a five-year lease across multiple Oracle data centers in south-east Asia… The deal is estimated to be worth about $7 billion, with an upfront payment of about 30%.” Then: “Reuters could not immediately verify the report. Oracle and Tencent did not immediately respond to Reuters’ requests for comment.” The stamp is the one carried on the syndicating station’s page, which shows no time zone; said here rather than smoothed over.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
1 Oct 00:17 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, Stocktwits copy on Yahoo Finance’s markets pages, byline Yuvraj Malik: “Why Is ORCL Stock Jumping Over 2.5% In Overnight Trading?” Answers with the FT report; calls it Tencent’s largest overseas cloud deal; notes the stock down 8 percent over the prior month and nearly 30 percent year to date. The lag closes here, two hours and five minutes after the wire.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
1 Oct 07:10 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
Quartz copy on the same pages, byline Cris Tolomia, crediting MarketWatch, Reuters and the FT. “Oracle and Tencent did not respond to requests for comment, according to Reuters.”
Recorded evidence tier: 3
1 Oct 07:41 · tier 4 · Benzinga
Byline Namrata Sen. Attributes every figure to the FT and prints the first level in the trail: Oracle up 1.86 percent at $139.85 in the premarket. Neither company responded to Benzinga either.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
1 Oct 08:38 · tier 4 · Sharecast
13:38 British time on its own page. Byline Benjamin Chiou, and the only outlet the desk read that counted the FT’s sources: the report “cited two people familiar with the matter.” Premarket at $139.75, up nearly two percent.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
1 Oct · tier 4 · TrendForce
Citing Reuters citing the FT; did not stand alone. Carries the regulatory sentence that explains why the arrangement is a lease and not a purchase: “U.S. rules do not currently prohibit them from leasing computing capacity overseas, giving them access to advanced NVIDIA chips that are generally unavailable in China.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
1–2 Oct · tier 4 · Tom’s Hardware
Per-hour economics, the implied rate put at roughly forty-three percent below standard H100 rental rates. Logged as a headline from the search index and not as a read.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
1–2 Oct · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not weighted, not named: at least fourteen English-language sites, several of them crypto-news pages, restating the claim with no source added and a few of them in the indicative where the FT hedged.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
5 Oct · desk check
Recorded as a negative with a result. EDGAR’s full-text index, searched for “Tencent” across Forms 10-Q and 8-K filed between 1 September and 5 October 2026, returns two filings and no Oracle filing of any kind: Aerkomm Inc.’s 10-Q of 18 September, accession 0001213900-26-101291, and MongoDB’s of 1 September, 0001628280-26-059830. No options print tied to the claim was located and no prediction-market contract on it exists.
6 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 15. No 8-K, no confirmation and no denial from either company on a sweep of EDGAR, the wires and the trade press. Status unchanged.
16 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
The linked Reuters relay attributes the lease figures to the Financial Times and says Reuters could not immediately verify the report. The FT and that relay are not two independent confirmations. The corroborated label follows the supplied register’s wire-plus-market-signal rule; the lease remains unconfirmed by either company. The source’s 22:12 relay time has no stated zone; another relay displays 23:12 EDT, so the exact minute is unresolved and has not been silently harmonized.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
Tapethe base does not swear in and the desk prints it that way. Oracle’s 30 September close — the last before the claim existed — is 137.30 on stockanalysis.com and 137.60 on MarketBeat, thirty cents apart, a difference between feeds and not an error inside either; both printed, neither sworn. The 1 October close is sworn at 138.07 on stockanalysis.com’s daily table and Yahoo Finance’s previous-close field, with MarketBeat at 138.09 and printed; that is +0.77, +0.56% from the unsworn base, this desk’s arithmetic, 0.77 ÷ 137.30, on a session that opened at 139.60 and traded down to 135.33. The 2 October close is sworn at 142.30, stockanalysis.com and Yahoo Finance carrying the close, the 142.09 open and the 140.26–144.86 range identically, MarketBeat a third feed at 142.58 and up 3.25 percent; that session alone is +4.23, +3.06%, 4.23 ÷ 138.07, which Yahoo prints as the same figure. From the unsworn base to the sworn close: +5.00, +3.64% on one pairing and +4.98, +3.62% on the other, both endpoints printed. Volume 22.95m on 1 October against 21.71m on 30 September and an average Yahoo puts at 32.64m — no volume anomaly in the session the claim appeared in; 30.19m to 33.21m by feed on 2 October. Today, one feed and unsworn: 143.21, +0.91, +0.64%, open 142.53, range 142.43–146.66, volume 9,115,721, stockanalysis.com at 12:13 p.m. Eastern. Nothing is attributed: the overnight gain faded within the session and the move came the next day on no new information, in a stock down roughly thirty percent on the year.
Settles it: Oracle’s second-quarter results and 10-Q in December, where the remaining-performance-obligation disclosure and any customer-concentration note would have to account for the contract; an 8-K, if Oracle judges a single commitment of this size material on its own; Tencent’s third-quarter results in November and its capital-commitments note, or a Hong Kong Stock Exchange filing; an on-the-record statement from either company. Kills it: either company saying no such lease exists, or an Oracle disclosure showing the south-east Asian capacity committed elsewhere.
Lag · source label0 trading days. The Financial Times ran it on Wednesday 30 September after that session’s close, Reuters relayed it at 10:12 p.m., and an American market page carried it at 12:17 a.m. on Thursday 1 October, before the open. Recorded separately, because it is the figure the issue turns on: 14 trading days from Oracle’s 10 September release to the first sighting — 11, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 28, 29 and 30 September — across which the aggregate was public and the counterparty was not.
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16First seen · source label2 OCT
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimBloomberg reported that Alibaba held preliminary talks with Solaria about renewable power for a data center in Spain, citing unnamed people. The Solaria facility under consideration is in Puertollano; the report does not establish that Alibaba’s data center will be there. Neither company commented. The Whisper, No. 13.
2 Oct 2026 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
Bloomberg reported preliminary Alibaba–Solaria talks, citing unnamed people; both companies declined comment. A Bloomberg-authored syndication places the Solaria facility being considered in Puertollano but does not establish that Alibaba’s data center will be there. The original Bloomberg page was not directly opened by the supplied desk.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
- Source 1: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-02/alibaba-solaria-in-talks-for-spanish-data-center-power-supply
- Source 2: https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/news/%E9%98%BF%E9%87%8C%E5%B7%B4%E5%B7%B4%E8%88%87solaria%E6%93%9A%E6%82%89%E6%B4%BD%E8%AB%87%E8%A5%BF%E7%8F%AD%E7%89%99%E6%95%B8%E6%93%9A%E4%B8%AD%E5%BF%83%E4%BE%9B%E9%9B%BB%E4%BA%8B%E5%AE%9C-121802548.html
2 Oct 2026 · tier 3 · Investing.com
Read in full. Carries the Puertollano plant and the “earlier stage” language, that Alibaba has spoken with other potential power suppliers, and that it is expanding its data-centre footprint across Germany and France. No capacity figure is given in the report. Neither Alibaba nor Solaria provided a statement; the sourcing is unnamed people familiar with the matter.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
2 Oct 2026 · market signal
Europa Press reported Solaria shares up 6.8% shortly after 13:30 Madrid time and up 3.69% minutes later on 2 October. These are intraday snapshots, not a verified closing move or independent confirmation that a supply agreement exists. The supplied register’s 4.39% figure came from a changing quote widget and is omitted as a fixed reading.
2 Oct 2026 · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: Qz in English and Spanish, TheNextWeb, Finimize and Newsquawk’s headline feed, all downstream of the same report.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
TapeEuropa Press reported Solaria up 6.8% shortly after 13:30 Madrid time on 2 October and up 3.69% minutes later. These time-varying intraday readings are not a sworn close, and the move is not proof that the preliminary talks will produce an agreement. No Alibaba share move is attributed to this report.
Settles it: An Alibaba or Solaria on-record agreement naming the counterparty and power terms, a CNMV disclosure of a signed power-purchase agreement, or filings tying the Solaria facility to the proposed supply would establish the arrangement. An on-record statement that the reported talks never occurred would contradict the report; later talks ending without an agreement would not.
Lag · source label0 trading days; the first sighting was itself the mainstream headline.
- Source 1: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-02/alibaba-solaria-in-talks-for-spanish-data-center-power-supply
- Source 2: https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/news/%E9%98%BF%E9%87%8C%E5%B7%B4%E5%B7%B4%E8%88%87solaria%E6%93%9A%E6%82%89%E6%B4%BD%E8%AB%87%E8%A5%BF%E7%8F%AD%E7%89%99%E6%95%B8%E6%93%9A%E4%B8%AD%E5%BF%83%E4%BE%9B%E9%9B%BB%E4%BA%8B%E5%AE%9C-121802548.html
- Source 3: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/alibaba-in-talks-with-spains-solaria-to-power-data-center--report-93CH-4929511
- Source 4: https://www.europapress.es/economia/bolsa-00348/noticia-solaria-dispara-posible-negociacion-alibaba-abastecer-centro-datos-20261002135916.html
-
15First seen · source label1 OCT
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimToshiba Information Equipment (Philippines) says its expanded Laguna Technopark line made a first shipment and it aims to nearly double annual HDD production capacity by FY2027 versus FY2025 on a storage-capacity basis. Separately, Nikkei reported about ¥60 billion of investment and a goal to raise capacity-based market share from just over 10% to 30% over the medium term; Toshiba’s 2 October release did not confirm those two figures. The Whisper, No. 13.
1 Oct 22:03 2026 · tier 3 · Investing.com
First sighting the desk can stamp, relaying Nikkei: “Toshiba to double hard disk output capacity amid AI data centre demand - Nikkei.” Every figure in the claim, all attributed to Nikkei, with “about 60 billion yen ($380 million)”, the ten-to-thirty percent share target, new lines supporting drives with “up to 40% higher per-unit capacity” and mass production of 65-terabyte-class drives by 2030 “eventually targeting 100-terabyte-class products.” The stamp falls six hours after Thursday’s close.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
2 Oct 02:00 2026 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance UK
The same Investing.com copy on Yahoo Finance’s United Kingdom pages, with one figure changed: the ¥60 billion is now “$400 million” where the Thursday evening original had $380 million. This desk’s Morning Brief logged the pair the same morning as a rounding and declined to log it as a decoy. A relay, not an independent surface.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
2 Oct 2026 (clock reconciliation) · difference
Two relays disagree and both are defensible: Investing.com’s copy says Nikkei reported “on Friday,” Benzinga’s says “Nikkei reported Thursday.” Nikkei publishes on Tokyo time, where Friday morning is Thursday night in New York. Recorded as a difference between clocks, not an error in either outlet; the trail is stamped in Eastern minutes the desk read directly.
2 Oct 08:18 2026 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, on its own markets pages: “Seagate and Western Digital shares fall on Toshiba HDD expansion.” Names Nikkei; Seagate down eleven percent, Western Digital seven, SanDisk about one; sets Toshiba’s current share, just over ten percent, against the thirty percent target and describes a market “dominated by three companies.” The lag closes here, before the opening bell.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
2 Oct 08:52 2026 · tier 4 · 24/7 Wall St.
“Seagate Tumbles 10%, Western Digital Drops 7% as Toshiba Moves to Double Hard Disk Output,” Seagate 849.79, Western Digital 429.45. Recorded because of what it leaves out: it names no source at all — not Nikkei, not a release, not people familiar with anything — and states the expansion in the indicative. The version of the claim that travelled with the least behind it.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
2 Oct 09:15 2026 · tier 4 · Benzinga
Attribution restored: “Nikkei reported Thursday.” Seagate down 11.22 percent at 839.44, Western Digital down 7.95 percent at 425.80. Carries the sentence that explains the selling: the expansion “could raise concerns about future pricing in a market that has benefited from tight HDD supply.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
2 Oct 2026 · tier 1 · Toshiba TIP / TDSC
Toshiba Information Equipment (Philippines) and Toshiba Electronic Devices & Storage announced the first shipment from the expanded Laguna Technopark nearline HDD line. They aim to nearly double annual production capacity by FY2027 versus FY2025 on a storage-capacity basis. The release does not state a ¥60 billion investment, a 30% market-share goal, or a terabyte roadmap. Its publication date is 2 October; the release does not provide a comparable Eastern-time stamp, so the order against Nikkei reporting is not established.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
2 Oct 2026 · tier 4 · DigiTimes, TrendForce
The trade press behind the wires rather than ahead of them, which on this beat is unusual. DigiTimes carried “Toshiba reportedly to double HDD production as AI drives storage demand,” item a20261002VL202, logged as a headline and date from the search index and not as a read: the page returned a 403. TrendForce in its news file as “Toshiba to Double AI Data Center HDD Capacity by FY2027 With $380M Expansion as AI Storage Demand Surges.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
2 Oct 18:25 2026 · tier 4 · Invezz
Stamped 6:25 p.m. on its own page with no time zone given, so it is not placed on the desk’s clock. Cites Nikkei Asia; Seagate about thirteen percent lower and Western Digital about ten. The only piece read today carrying a named person on either side of the trade, and neither was speaking about the Nikkei report: Evercore ISI’s Amit Daryanani on both names’ pricing power and technology leadership, and Western Digital’s chief executive Irving Tan on “continued confidence in the durability of demand” for fiscal 2027.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
2 Oct 2026 · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: at least twelve further English-language sites, among them Stocktwits’ news file, GuruFocus twice, CoinCentral, Parameter, Cryptonomist, CryptoBriefing, TheCryptoBasic, HuggingNews, BigGo Finance, Futunn, ad-hoc-news and Finwire. All downstream of the same wire report.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
2 Oct · tier 4 · Evercore, via Investing.com
Added 7 October for The Whisper, No. 16. Stamped 17:52 on a page that names no zone. Beneath the capacity story, a claim about who already holds the supply: Seagate “has allocated the majority of its nearline exabytes into calendar year 2028, while Western Digital is negotiating long-term agreements extending to calendar year 2031.” Neither company is quoted and neither has commented. Status unchanged.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
Tapethe base is sworn and the move is not, and the desk prints why. Thursday 1 October closes sworn at Seagate 945.57 and Western Digital 462.56 — stockanalysis.com read at 11:37 a.m. Friday as the prior close, and corroborated by arithmetic on an independent feed, Benzinga’s 9:15 a.m. premarket levels and percentages, which imply 945.53 and 462.58: this desk’s arithmetic, 839.44 ÷ 0.8878 and 425.80 ÷ 0.9205, four cents and two cents from the first feed and inside the rounding of a two-decimal percentage. No session has closed since the claim appeared, so there is no close-to-close move to swear in. Friday intraday, one feed, 11:37 a.m. Eastern, unsworn: Seagate 804.98, −140.59, −14.87 percent, volume 7,759,347; Western Digital 397.28, −65.28, −14.11 percent, volume 12,815,532. The shape of the morning, as printed by the pages that carried it: −10 and −7 at 8:52, −11.2 and −8.0 at 9:15, about −13 and about −10 on the Invezz stamp, −14.9 and −14.1 at 11:37 — heavier through the session on no new information, the last new fact in the chain eight hours old. Toshiba is not the subject of a sworn reading here. Seen and not logged: the same market-data page carried a day’s-range low of 397.52 above a last price of 397.28 at the same minute, read once, and the runbook already records that this feed’s range fields lag its quote fields.
Settles it: Toshiba’s own capital-expenditure disclosure naming the ¥60 billion; a medium-term plan or investor presentation carrying the thirty percent capacity-share target; a Philippine Economic Zone Authority or Board of Investments registration for the Laguna Technopark expansion; Toshiba’s fiscal second-quarter results. Kills it: a Toshiba statement that the ¥60 billion or the thirty percent figure is not the company’s plan, which would leave Nikkei’s two biggest numbers sourced to nobody the company acknowledges and leave “nearly double” as the only number Toshiba has put its name to. On the other side of the trade: Seagate’s and Western Digital’s next quarterly calls, which on both companies’ recent cadence fall in the second half of October, though this desk read no confirmed date from either before the issue closed.
Lag · source label0 trading days. The first sighting landed Thursday 1 October at 10:03 p.m., after that session’s close; the first mainstream American headline landed Friday 2 October at 8:18 a.m., before that session’s open. Not one session passed between them — ten hours and fifteen minutes end to end — and nobody on this trail had a tradeable head start. The first time the register has recorded that on a claim this size.
- Source 1: https://asia.nikkei.com/business/electronics/toshiba-to-double-hard-disk-drive-supply-to-fill-ai-chip-memory-gap
- Source 2: https://za.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/toshiba-to-double-hard-disk-output-capacity-amid-ai-data-centre-demand--nikkei-4487521
- Source 3: https://toshiba.semicon-storage.com/ap-en/company/news/news-topics/2026/10/storage-20261002-1.html
-
14First seen · source label28 SEP
confirmed · source-record status
Recorded claimConfirmed in part: TSMC has sent teams to evaluate Texas as one possible location beyond Arizona. This is not a final investment decision. Reuters reported that TSMC is evaluating a potential Texas chipmaking investment; two people familiar with the matter said plans were not finalized, and TSMC declined comment. Taiwan’s Economic Daily News separately reported Dallas as a possible site, up to six advanced fabs, and potential Texas spending above the company’s $265 billion Arizona commitment. Reuters did not confirm those specifics. Suppliers cited in the earlier reporting said they had not been asked to prepare. The Whisper, No. 12.
28 Sep, evening 2026 · tier 4 · Economic Daily News
First sighting, read only through TrendForce’s account; the desk did not open the Chinese original and does not quote it directly. A second manufacturing hub that “could include as many as six advanced wafer fabs, with Dallas, Texas emerging as a potential location,” and a “total investment could exceed the US$265 billion committed to its Arizona complex.” Dated to the 28th Eastern, after that session’s close, from TrendForce’s note that TSMC had not responded “as of press time on September 28.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
29 Sep 2026 · tier 4 · TrendForce
Citing the Economic Daily News; did not stand alone. Carries the line the rest of the trail dropped: “rumors that the chipmaker could build a new fab in Texas have recently circulated within the semiconductor industry,” and multiple unnamed supply-chain companies saying “TSMC has not notified them or asked them to make any preparations.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
29 Sep 2026 · tier 4 · techsoda
A market letter, also citing the Economic Daily News: “TSMC is evaluating a second large US manufacturing campus, potentially in Dallas, Texas, with six advanced-node fabs,” which “remains under review and has not received formal company or board approval,” with a source cautioning that “it is difficult to say where things stand, especially before the midterm elections.”
Recorded evidence tier: 4
29 Sep 2026 · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: MacTech, AppleWorld.today, Sammy Fans and Hoodline, all downstream of the same item.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
30 Sep 05:22 2026 · tier 3 · Reuters
Reuters independently reported that TSMC is evaluating a potential Texas investment, based on two unnamed people, with plans not finalized and no TSMC comment. It did not confirm Dallas, six fabs, or Texas spending above the $265 billion Arizona commitment. The supplied desk record places the first mainstream US headline before the 30 September market open; the exact time is from a relay with an unlabeled time zone.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
30 Sep 2026 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
“TSMC reportedly evaluates Texas fabs as US regional competition intensifies,” item a20260930PD215. Logged as a headline from the search index and not as a read: digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
30 Sep 10:25 2026 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance
GuruFocus copy on Yahoo Finance’s technology pages, byline Faizan Farooque: “TSMC’s $265 Billion U.S. Expansion May Be Getting Even Bigger.” Cites Reuters’ two sources and repeats that the plans remain under evaluation. Recorded because of how it reads rather than what it adds: the only named-source material in it is about Arizona — chief executive C.C. Wei on building “another four or more fabs” there and the chief financial officer on continuing to invest in the United States. Both are tier-2 remarks about a different state, and they are not corroboration of the Texas claim.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
30 Sep 2026 · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: US News, Stocktwits, a Michigan radio station’s wire feed, Blockonomi, Startup Fortune, Madshrimps, BigGo, CoinCentral, chaincatcher and a French trade site, all carrying the Reuters copy or a summary of it.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
No TSMC 6-K, no board resolution disclosed to the Taiwan Stock Exchange, no Texas state or Dallas County announcement, and no company statement beyond the declination. Highest tier reached on the Texas claim: three.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. No TSMC 6-K, no board resolution disclosed to the Taiwan Stock Exchange, no Texas state or Dallas County announcement, no ERCOT interconnection request located, and no company statement beyond the declination. The relay layer is unchanged in kind — TrendForce, eTeknix, Hoodline, GuruFocus, BigGo, CoinCentral and briefs.co all still carry the $265 billion figure and the six fabs as a report. Status unchanged.
2 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
Direct-source comparison added in this update: EDN reported the Dallas, six-fab and potential spending specifics; Reuters independently supports only evaluation of a Texas investment. The Arizona $265 billion commitment is not a Reuters estimate of Texas spending. These specifics remain reported, not established.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
6 Oct 07:11 · tier 2 · Musk on X
Added 15 October, and recorded as an adjacent claim rather than as a sighting of this one. Elon Musk, asked about his proposed Terafab complex in Texas: “Just discussions, but something may come of it.” TSMC’s response the same day was that it had “no comment on market rumors.” Read through parameter.io’s account, stamped 11:11 UTC, which also carries a move of as much as 2.75 percent to an all-time high that session and a premarket level of $480.62. Terafab is a customer’s plant TSMC might operate; this entry is TSMC’s own hub. The desk logs it because it sits inside this entry’s tape window and because every reader who collapses the two will misread what came next.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
15 Oct 03:18 / 03:22 · tier 1 · TSMC call
The company, on the record, and the event that settles the location. On the third-quarter earnings call chief executive C.C. Wei confirmed that TSMC has evaluated a Texas site beyond Arizona. The two transcripts this desk could read do not agree on the sentence. Benzinga, stamped 3:22 a.m. Eastern: “So we sent teams to Texas to do all the evaluation. And Texas is the one.” Investing.com, stamped 03:18 a.m. and carrying its own note that it “was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor”: “Texas is one. We send the teams to Texas to do all the evaluation.” One is a decision; the other is an item on a list. Neither transcript is the transcript: TSMC’s webcast was not listened to by this desk and its earnings-release PDF was not opened, so both quotations are logged as transcript relays. Separately on the call, and separate from this claim, Wei on Terafab: TSMC is talking to “one of our customer who try to build a fab, Terafab,” is “still in discussion,” and “the fab has got to be run by Taiwan Semiconductor.”
Recorded evidence tier: 1
15 Oct 05:16 · tier 3 · Associated Press
Byline Chan Ho-Him, published 5:16 a.m. and updated 5:50 a.m., read on a Houston station’s syndication. Quotes only the first half — “We sent the teams to Texas to do all the evaluation” — adds that the plan is still under deliberation, describes Texas as one option under consideration beyond Arizona, and says Wei was “confirming earlier media reports.” The AP’s reading supports the weaker transcript, and this register adopts the weaker reading. The piece carries the $265 billion Arizona figure and Musk’s own line on Terafab, “we will build and run the fab,” which does not fit with Wei’s. It names neither Dallas nor six fabs.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
15 Oct 05:31 HKT · tier 3 · SCMP
Howard Liu, writing from Beijing, for “has got to be run by TSMC” and for TSMC having sent teams to Texas to assess expansion beyond Arizona, paraphrased rather than quoted. No Dallas, no six fabs, no $265 billion.
Recorded evidence tier: 3
15 Oct · desk check · confirmation
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 22, the issue this entry features in. Status moves from corroborated to confirmed, on the location leg only. TSMC’s own third-quarter results page, read at 11:41 a.m., carries no mention of Texas, no second site, no pricing commentary and no 2nm figure; the Texas remarks exist only on the call. Confirmed: teams sent, a site evaluated beyond Arizona, a named executive on the record. Not confirmed, and still standing exactly where the Economic Daily News left them on 28 September: Dallas, which nobody on the call named; six fabs, a number nobody on the call used; and an investment above $265 billion, which the call did not touch. Still absent: a Form 6-K, a board resolution to the Taiwan Stock Exchange, a Texas state or Dallas County announcement and an ERCOT interconnection request. Thirteen trading sessions from the first sighting to the company’s own words — a count separate from the lag, and the one the trade press earned.
16 Oct 2026 · tier 1 · official TSMC transcript / partial confirmation
TSMC’s own third-quarter 2026 transcript states that Texas is one location under consideration and that teams were sent there for evaluation. This primary source supports evaluation, not a chosen final site or approved project. It does not confirm Dallas, six fabs, or investment above the Arizona commitment. The confirmed label applies only to the evaluation component, as stated in the claim and settlement field.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
Tapethe base is weak and the desk prints it that way. 452.97, TSM’s 28 September close and the last before the first sighting, MarketBeat’s price history, one feed only and not sworn. The 29 September close — the one session the claim had to itself — is not sworn either: MarketBeat has 457.28, Benzinga’s previous-close field has 456.74, 54 cents apart, and both are printed. The 30 September close is sworn at 456.19 on Benzinga and stockanalysis.com, with MarketBeat a cent higher at 456.20. From the unsworn base to the sworn close the move is +3.22, +0.711%, this desk’s arithmetic, 3.22 ÷ 452.97; against 456.20 it is +3.23 and 0.713 percent, and the desk prints both endpoints rather than averaging. Volume 7.87m on 28 September against 9.92m on 29 September per MarketBeat, a rise of 26.0 percent and still below the 11.94m average Benzinga carries; 8.98m on 30 September. Intraday 1 October, one feed and unsworn: 454.10, stockanalysis.com at 11:29 a.m. Eastern. Nothing is attributed: the window contains a quarter-end, no options print tied to the claim was found and no prediction-market contract on it exists. Updated 15 October, the day of the confirmation. TSM’s 14 October close is sworn at 430.00 on stockanalysis.com and on Investing.com’s report of that session. Today, one feed each and at different stated minutes, so not sworn to one another: 417.59, −12.41, −2.89 percent, stockanalysis.com, page stamp “Oct 15, 2026, 11:10 AM EDT — Market open”; 410.73, −4.48 percent, MarketBeat, page-stated 10:15 a.m. Where the feeds overlap they agree: session low 407.13 on both. Volume 12,152,457 by 11:10 against a 12.99 million average per MarketBeat — a full day’s trade in the first hundred minutes, which on an earnings morning says only that the earnings were read. From the unsworn 28 September base of 452.97 to 417.59 the move is −35.38, −7.81 percent, this desk’s arithmetic, 35.38 ÷ 452.97. Nothing is attributed. The stock fell on the morning its chief executive confirmed the evaluation, inside a semiconductor tape already falling — the Seoul market down a seventh consecutive session and Samsung and SK hynix both about six percent lower in the American premarket. No options print tied to the claim was found and no prediction-market contract on a TSMC Texas site exists on either venue checked.
Settled by the 15 October TSMC third-quarter call only as to teams evaluating Texas. Dallas, six fabs, an investment above $265 billion and a final commitment remain unconfirmed and require their own company filing, board resolution, land/incentive agreement or explicit company statement.
Lag · source label1 trading day. The Economic Daily News report landed after the 28 September close; Tuesday 29 September was the one session it had to itself; Reuters carried it premarket on Wednesday 30 September. Final, and unchanged by the confirmation. Recorded separately, because it is the number this entry is now about: thirteen trading sessions from the first sighting to the company’s own words, 29 and 30 September and 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, 13, 14 and 15 October, US market holidays excluded, this desk’s count.
- Source 1: https://money.udn.com/money/story/5612/9782098
- Source 2: https://www.trendforce.com/news/2026/09/29/news-tsmc-reportedly-eyes-texas-expansion-that-could-top-us265b-vis-nxp-mulls-second-singapore-fab/
- Source 3: https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/tsmc-evaluates-potential-texas-investment-sources-say-2026-09-30/
- Source 4: https://investor.tsmc.com/english/encrypt/files/encrypt_file/reports/2026-10/eba4fac72873bf546b669bd2b5d973df5c93215d/TSMC%203Q26%20Transcript.pdf
-
13First seen · source label10 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimThe Bell reported that pricing disagreements had stalled talks over a possible Samsung 2-nanometre manufacturing contract for Qualcomm application processors, with production under such an arrangement potentially moving to 2027. The report cited an unnamed person familiar with Samsung’s foundry business; neither company has confirmed the reported price disagreement. A later Qualcomm executive interview confirms process evaluation, not a production contract. The Whisper, No. 11.
Jul, per 11 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
Context, and the reason a foundry would hold its price: Samsung raised advanced-node prices in July by 10 to 15 percent on 4nm orders from Chinese and American customers, 5 to 10 percent in Taiwan, and 10 to 15 percent on 5nm, per TrendForce’s account. Names no customer and is not a surface for this claim.
10 Sep 21:47 · tier 4 · The Bell via Investing.com
First sighting the desk can stamp, updated 22:54, byline Roushni Nair. “Qualcomm is pushing for lower prices and Samsung is resisting”; manufacturing the processors within 2026 is “becoming difficult because chip production needs to line up with smartphone launch schedules”; talks may move to next-generation parts instead. Samsung is said to regard the volume under discussion as too small to justify a concession, having signed Tesla and Broadcom. Both companies were asked for comment and neither replied. The stamp falls after Thursday’s close and before Friday’s open. Chronology clarification: The Bell original shows 9 September 2026 at 15:10 Korea time and a public/free release on 11 September at 07:00 Korea time; this 10 September stamp is the desk’s first English relay sighting, not first publication.
11 Sep 08:08 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance (CA)
First mainstream headline, and the desk prints the qualification rather than burying it: the page read was Yahoo Finance’s Canadian edition, carrying GuruFocus copy, byline Nauman Khan, under “Qualcomm Chip Deal With Samsung Hits a Major Pricing Snag.” “Qualcomm is seeking more competitive manufacturing costs, while Samsung appears less willing to reduce pricing.” Puts the slip at 2027; states that neither company has issued a public statement; adds Samsung’s multi-year Broadcom AI-chip agreement valued at over $200 billion through 2030. The lag closes here.
11 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
The item that carries this claim over the floor, because it does not rest on The Bell alone: “Samsung-Qualcomm 2nm Deal May Slip to 2027; Foundry Resists Lower Pricing as Process Stabilizes,” naming Maeil Business Newspaper, Munhwa Ilbo and Money Today beside The Bell. It also names Reuters among its sources; the desk searched for a Reuters item carrying the stall, did not find one, and does not count one. Adds on its own account: Samsung 2nm gate-all-around yield “over 70%, up sharply from below 50% at the beginning of 2026”; foundry share 5.9 percent in the second quarter; the Taylor fab reported fully booked for 2nm before it opens.
14 Sep · tier 4 · DigiTimes
“Samsung, Qualcomm deepen 2nm talks as pricing and yield hurdles persist,” item a20260914VL208. Logged as a headline from the search index and not as a read: digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened. On its headline alone it is a second origin rather than a relay, and it introduces yield as the second variable the Korean reporting did not lead with.
25 Sep · market signal
MarketBeat’s instant alert: 140,153 Qualcomm call contracts purchased against an average daily volume of 108,956, about 29 percent above normal, with the stock at $204.11 intraday, up $9.85. Recorded as testimony, attributed to nothing.
27 Sep (interview 23 Sep) · tier 2 · Qualcomm via iNews24
Qualcomm senior vice-president Chris Patrick said the company was doing in-depth work evaluating Samsung Foundry’s 2nm process for possible future products, but had no specific product or application plan to announce. This does not confirm or deny The Bell’s reported price disagreement or a production contract.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
28 Sep · tier 5 · aggregator
Counted, not named, and not an independent surface — its two named sources, TrendForce and DigiTimes, are already in this trail. Restates the claim in a harder form on the day of a seven percent session: negotiations stalled on “pricing structure and yield issues,” a partnership unlikely before 2027, every announced 2nm product still contracted to TSMC. A 28 September options item headlined at 99,880 contracts and 963,020 open interest is logged as a headline from the search index; the page requires JavaScript and was not read.
30 Sep · tier 4 · technology press
The yield figure forks. A technology outlet puts Samsung Foundry 2nm yield at 60 percent, with a power-draw disadvantage against Snapdragon parts; TrendForce had “over 70%” on 11 September, and DigiTimes had 60 percent for the Exynos 2600 in November 2025. Three numbers, two directions, one process. Recorded as a difference rather than an error — different dates, possibly different products — and noted because a claim whose mechanism is that the buyer will not pay what the seller’s yield now justifies cannot be settled while the yield is reported three ways.
30 Sep · desk check
EDGAR full-text search for 8-K filings naming both “Samsung” and “2nm” across September 2026 returns zero filings; recorded as a negative with a result. The only documents near this story are Forms 4 for the chief executive’s 10b5-1 sales of 10,000 shares on 21 September and 10,000 on 25 September, which are about share sales and not about a wafer price. Highest tier reached: four.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. No company statement from either side, no filing, and no wire has carried the postponement in the twenty-one days since the first sighting. The yield fork recorded yesterday is unresolved and the three published figures stand as they were.
6 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 15. No new sighting and no comment from either company. Logged as context and not as a surface: TrendForce published on 6 October that Qualcomm, Apple and MediaTek are contending for TSMC’s 2-nanometre capacity for their flagship parts — a different outlet writing about where the work is going, not a second surface for the claim that Samsung lost it. Status unchanged.
Tape176.88 → 181.97, +5.09, +2.88%, the 10 September close before the first sighting to the 11 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com’s daily history and Yahoo Finance’s history page carry both identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk’s arithmetic, 5.09 ÷ 176.88. Carried on to Monday’s sworn close of 187.48, the move from the same base is +10.60, +5.99%. Recorded separately and attributed to nothing: the 25 September close is sworn at 201.97 and the 28 September close at 187.48, a fall of −14.49, −7.17%, 14.49 ÷ 201.97 — a session with published explanations that mention no foundry contract, among them a broad semiconductor decline, the ten-year at 5.218 percent and the chief executive’s pre-arranged share sales. The 29 September close of 184.10 is stockanalysis.com only, printed and not sworn; today, one feed and unsworn, 185.00, +0.49%, stockanalysis.com at 11:56 a.m. Eastern. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 15,597,657 against 15,597,700 on 10 September; 11,556,632 against 11,546,600 on 11 September; 16,680,120 against 16,614,256 on 28 September. A caution: Yahoo Finance’s QCOM quote page at 11:54 a.m. today was serving the 25 September close as its latest reading; it labels that date, so it is a stale page and not a decoy, and the history page was used instead.
Settles it: Qualcomm’s fiscal fourth-quarter results and call in early November, where a foundry second-source decision reaches the cost commentary; Samsung Electronics’ third-quarter results in late October and its foundry-segment disclosure; a Samsung Foundry customer announcement naming Qualcomm; a die or package teardown of a shipping Snapdragon part identifying the fab. Kills it: either company saying on the record that no contract was postponed, or a 2nm Snapdragon part appearing on a Samsung line this year.
Lag · source labelThe desk first stamped the English relay on 10 September at 9:47 p.m. Eastern, after the close; Yahoo Finance Canada carried syndicated copy on 11 September at 8:08 a.m. Eastern, before the open — one trading day to that Canadian mainstream relay. Under this register’s stated mainstream-US-headline rule, a qualifying US headline had not been established by the 30 September desk check, so that lag remains open. The Bell’s original carries a 9 September Korea-time publication stamp; the desk stamp is not the first publication.
- Source 1: https://www.thebell.co.kr/front/newsview.asp?key=202609091437016680105190
- Source 2: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/samsung-qualcomm-delay-2nm-chip-deal-as-price-talks-drag-the-bell-4897170
- Source 3: https://www.trendforce.com/news/2026/09/11/news-samsung-qualcomm-2nm-deal-may-slip-to-2027-foundry-resists-lower-pricing-as-process-stabilizes
- Source 4: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/qualcomm-chip-deal-samsung-hits-120833823.html
- Source 5: https://www.inews24.com/view/2009066
-
12First seen · source label29 SEP
open · source-record status
Recorded claimNvidia has been in talks with insurers about structures that would reduce the financing risk carried by loans made against its own chips, including insurance on lending to smaller “neocloud” operators that would pay a lender if the borrower defaulted and the pledged chips could not be resold for enough to cover the debt, per the Financial Times citing people familiar with the matter. The FT states the discussions “remain at an early stage and may not result in agreements.” Howden Re, the broker named, declined to comment; no Nvidia statement has been located. The Whisper, No. 10.
22 Apr · tier 1 · Alpha Compute / EDGAR
Added 29 September on an extended sweep, and the document that puts the exposure on the public record. Form 6-K filed 29 April, accession 0001171843-26-002823, CIK 1095435, carrying a press release dated 22 April: a $31.9 million non-recourse senior secured loan facility collateralised by Nvidia B300 graphics processors from an unnamed institutional lender, in which the collateral is “strictly limited to the underlying Nvidia GPU assets and the facility’s build-out” and the lender’s remedies on default are “exclusively restricted to the pledged hardware.” The same language returns in the company’s 424B3 of 22 May. It names no insurer and does not address the claim; it documents the GPU-collateral exposure but identifies no insurer and does not settle this claim. EDGAR’s full-text index returns these two filings for the phrase “GPUs as collateral” across 2026 and nothing else. The linked exhibit says the binding term sheet was executed while definitive loan documentation remained in process.
26 Aug · tier 4 · The Insurer
Upstream, and a different claim: “GPU residual value: Insurance paper used to tackle AI financing risk,” URL-dated 26 August and read through Slipcase’s syndication, where it is dated 27 August; theinsurer.com is disallowed to this desk by robots and the page was not opened. Sets out residual value insurance, warranty-backed guarantees and derivatives as the three approaches, and quotes American Compute’s founder Bernie Margulies: “If the data says it’s going to be 70%, don’t underwrite 70%, underwrite 30%.” Names no chipmaker. Logged as context, not as a surface.
Aug, undated · tier 1 · Nvidia
Company material, per Benzinga’s account of 29 September: a consortium with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to mobilise more than $500 billion for AI infrastructure, $36 billion of six-year cloud-service commitments, and guarantees of up to $105 billion on an Ohio data centre project. Jensen Huang in August: “We began by building chips; today, we are helping create a new class of productive, investable infrastructure: AI factories.” No mention of insurance.
28 Sep 11:34 · tier 1 · Nvidia
A $150 billion increase in the share repurchase authorisation, taking the total to $235 billion and described by the company as the largest such increase in history; Yahoo Finance, bylines Michael B. Kelley and Julie Hyman. A document, and the published explanation for Monday’s session. It does not touch the claim and is logged so that the tape is not misread.
29 Sep 00:51 · tier 3 · FT via Investing.com
First sighting the desk can stamp: “Nvidia turns to insurers to spread risk of AI build-out - FT.” Carries the substance — insurance on loans to smaller neocloud companies, protection for lenders where the collateral will not cover the debt; Huang’s argument that chips are “an ‘investable asset class’ similar to other expensive, long-lived technology assets”; Nvidia having explored syndicating the risk on to hedge funds and other alternative investors; Howden Re named and declining to comment.
29 Sep 01:24 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance UK
The same Investing.com copy, 5:24 UTC. A relay, not an independent surface.
29 Sep 06:29 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, on the technology file, byline Fiona Craig: “Nvidia Holds Talks With Insurers Over AI Infrastructure Financing Risk, FT Reports.” Adds one detail the earlier relay did not: Nvidia has given at least one insurer information on chip depreciation and on the value of computing capacity. Read on Yahoo and in the ADVFN syndication of the same copy. The lag closes here.
29 Sep 06:32 · tier 4 · Benzinga
Byline Shomik Sen Bhattacharjee. The first piece to set the claim beside the $500 billion consortium and the Ohio guarantees, and the first to print a level: NVDA at 230.87 in the premarket, up 0.88 percent, one feed and unsworn.
29 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not weighted: Dealroom, BigGo, Serrari, Startup Fortune, allweatherfinance, Memesita, finwire and a crypto-news site that bundled the insurance story into the buyback headline. Not one adds a source, and several state as settled what the FT hedged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No carrier or broker placement, no neocloud credit agreement naming residual-value or default cover over pledged Nvidia hardware, and no rating-agency description. Howden Re’s declination stands. The relay layer has thickened — TheNextWeb, GuruFocus, Dealroom, Fudzilla, Serrari and Startup Fortune among others, none adding a source. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. No carrier or broker placement, no neocloud credit agreement naming residual-value or default cover over pledged Nvidia hardware, and no rating-agency description. Howden Re’s declination stands and no Nvidia statement has been located. The published register remains open pending independent corroboration.
Tape228.86, Nvidia’s 28 September close, sworn — Yahoo Finance’s quote page carries it as the 28 September close, up 3.79 on 225.07, 1.68 percent on 141.3 million shares, read at 11:44 a.m. Eastern today; stockanalysis.com’s live reading of 230.08 less a change of 1.22 implies the identical previous close, read at 11:47 a.m. Today unsworn, one feed: 230.08, +1.22, +0.53%, stockanalysis.com at 11:47 a.m., which is the move from the last close before the claim existed — this desk’s arithmetic, 1.22 ÷ 228.86. Premarket, one feed: 230.87, +0.88%, Benzinga at 6:32 a.m. Yahoo’s quote page was still serving Monday’s close on both reads this morning and is not used for today. Nothing is attributed: Monday’s larger move has the buyback behind it, no options print tied to the claim was found, no volume anomaly separable from the buyback, and no prediction-market contract on the question exists.
Searched 29 September and recorded as a negative with a result rather than an assertion: EDGAR’s full-text index for “residual value insurance” across 1 June to 29 September returns Porsche, Volkswagen and Nissan auto-lease vehicles with Assured Guaranty, Bank of America and MassMutual, and no filer in artificial intelligence or compute. Polymarket carries fourteen live Nvidia contracts and none on the financing question. Settles it: a placement disclosed by a carrier or a broker; a neocloud borrower’s credit agreement or registration statement naming residual-value or default insurance over pledged Nvidia hardware; a syndicated risk transfer a rating agency has to describe; Nvidia’s next 10-Q and its guarantees and contingencies note, after third-quarter results on 17 November; an on-the-record statement from Howden Re or a carrier. Kills it: Nvidia saying no such structures are under discussion, or the FT’s own follow-up that the talks ended without an agreement.
Lag · source label0 trading days. First sighting 12:51 a.m. and first mainstream American headline 6:29 a.m. on the same session. Recorded separately, because they are the numbers the issue turns on: 109 completed trading sessions from Alpha Compute’s 22 April release through the 28 September close before the 29 September premarket wire, and 22 trading days from the insurance trade describing the market on Wednesday 26 August to a wire naming the chipmaker in it — 27 and 28 August, 31 August, 1 to 4 September, 8 to 11 September, 14 to 18 September, 21 to 25 September and 28 September, with Monday 7 September excluded as a US market holiday.
- Source 1: https://www.ft.com/content/d6a9f5df-08d0-4f80-ad2d-5d8a17e2cc82
- Source 2: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/nvidia-turns-to-insurers-to-spread-risk-of-ai-buildout--ft-4921570
- Source 3: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1095435/000117184326002823/exh_991.htm
- Source 4: https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/nvidia-holds-talks-insurers-over-102924736.html
-
11First seen · source label23 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimNew 2027 long-term contract prices for twelve-inch semiconductor silicon wafers will rise fifteen to twenty-five percent for epitaxial wafers and more than forty percent for polished, with some second-tier customers above fifty percent, per the Commercial Times of Taipei, citing an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, and there is no document of any kind in the trail. The Whisper, No. 8.
26 Jun · tier 4 · CTEE, BigGo
Upstream, and a different claim. The Commercial Times reported wafer prices rising about ten percent across six-, eight- and twelve-inch, the first increase in over three years. A Chinese-language analysis the same day, 12:26 UTC, citing CITIC Securities, SEMI, Bernstein and JW Insights, gave the mechanism: the long-term supply agreements "acted like shackles, making silicon wafer manufacturers the last beneficiaries in the AI industry chain." Ten percent across all sizes in June is not forty percent on polished twelve-inch in 2027.
15–17 Sep · tier 4 · CTEE
The supply side, twice: a 15 September item putting the supply gap at at least ten percent from next year, a 17 September item widening it to twenty-four percent by 2028. Neither carried contract prices.
18 Sep · tier 4 · UBS, as reported
Recorded because it is being conflated with the claim, not because it supports it. Wafer manufacturers "may need price increases of 40% to 50% just to justify building the capacity the AI industry says it needs" — a threshold required to unlock investment, not a forecast of contract prices. Two different forty-percents are now circulating in the same week.
23 Sep 03:00 · tier 4 · Commercial Times
First sighting, page stamp 03:00 Taipei, modified 08:01, byline Li Juan-ping (李娟萍). The sentence, in the original: 十二吋磊晶圓新長約價格估上漢15%~25%,拋光晶圓漲幅則可能達40%以上,部分二線客戶甚至超遒50% — new long-contract prices for twelve-inch epitaxial wafers estimated up fifteen to twenty-five percent, polished wafers possibly above forty, some second-tier customers above fifty. Three forces named: AI logic, memory capacity expansion, and the renegotiation of long-term contracts. Attributed to an industry survey and institutional analyst estimates; no firm and no person named. Stood alone; cites no earlier report.
23 Sep 14:10 · tier 4 · Wccftech
Ramish Zafar, byline stamp "Sep 23, 2026 at 02:10pm EDT," crediting Taiwan's CTEE. Carries the split correctly — "polished wafers are expected to see a higher price jump in the form of a 40% increase compared to 15% to 25% for the standard epitaxial wafers" — and the demand arithmetic beneath it: CoWoS capacity up 70.9 percent next year, GPU and custom AI ASIC demand up 44.9 percent, wafer prices from $92 in 2026 to $122 in 2027 and $166 in 2028, shipments from 11.9 million wafers a quarter to 16.1 million and then 21.7 million. Its headline takes the polished figure as the whole. Explicitly downstream.
25 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
"12-inch Wafer Price Hikes Loom for 2027 as AI Demand Tightens Supply, with LTAs Reportedly Up 15–40%+," citing the Commercial Times, Star Market Daily, Wccftech and BigGo. A synthesis of the origin and its relays that reaches past Wccftech to a second Chinese-language outlet, which is what carries this entry over the floor. The word in its own headline is reportedly, two days on, and that is the correct word.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. Recorded beside this entry and not as evidence for it: DigiTimes reported on 24 September that TSMC will raise its own foundry prices 3 to 6 percent from January 2027, relayed by the Economic Daily News and by Benzinga — one origin, no second surface, below the floor. Three to six percent from a foundry and above forty percent on the silicon it buys are two claims about one cost stack at very different magnitudes, and this desk prints neither as fact. The lag runs on, now three trading days. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now four trading days. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now five trading days. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
6 Aug 07:40 · tier 2 · GlobalWafers via The Elec
Added 5 October, an earlier surface the desk had missed and the only company-level material anywhere in this trail. Byline Selye Moon, Korean time. GlobalWafers, institutionally rather than through a named executive: “The supply-demand imbalance in the wafer industry is already underway. Our 12-inch (300mm), 8-inch (200mm) and 6-inch (150mm) production lines are effectively operating at full utilization, and supply constraints have already appeared for certain advanced 12-inch products.” And the mechanism the claim depends on: “Existing LTAs will maintain their contracted prices, but future agreements will incorporate pricing mechanisms that reflect market conditions, product mix changes and industry developments.” It names a ten-year agreement with Micron and contract durations stretching from three years to five and eight. It carries no 2027 price figure of any kind, so it does not corroborate the fifteen-to-twenty-five and forty-plus percent numbers; it establishes only that the company intended future contracts to reprice, seven weeks before the Commercial Times put numbers to it.
Recorded evidence tier: 2
5 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 14. No wafer maker and no customer has confirmed a figure, no document has appeared, and the claim has travelled no further into American publishing than Wccftech and TrendForce. The August surface above was found on this check and is filed in its own place in the trail. GlobalWafers’ third-quarter results and investor conference in late October remain the next occasion. The lag runs on, now eight trading days. Status unchanged.
12 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 19. Nothing new on the 2027 wafer bands, and no wafer maker or customer has confirmed a figure. Recorded beside it, because it is the same phenomenon one step down the chain: today’s feature is a ten percent increase on lithography replacement parts into South Korea, and a trade account of it reports an industry source saying other toolmakers are following. Status unchanged; the running lag advances three sessions from its 7 October stamp to thirteen.
13 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 20 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. Nothing new on the 2027 wafer bands and no wafer maker or customer on the record. Status unchanged.
14 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 21 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. Nothing new on the 2027 wafer bands and no wafer maker or customer on the record. Status unchanged.
15 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 22 by the day’s general sweep — the Taiwanese and Korean business press, TrendForce, DigiTimes’ index, the American market outlets and a domain-restricted search of sec.gov — and not by an individual re-read of this trail, which is said rather than implied. Nothing in that sweep touched this claim: no new sighting, no document and no company comment. The lag is advanced one session. Status unchanged.
16 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 23. Covered by the day’s general sweep; no wafer maker or customer has confirmed a 2027 figure. The running lag advances to 17.
Tapeno reading sworn in, and the desk prints why. The claim's subjects are listed in Taipei — GlobalWafers on the Taipei Exchange under 6488, with Taisil and Wafer Works beside it — and this desk has established no US-listed line for any of them. The two feeds it reads for Taipei disagree by roughly a third and both are stale: stockanalysis.com served 1,000.00 TWD, +29.00, +2.99%, previous close 971.00, volume 1,355,000, on a page stamped 23 September 9:20 a.m. Taipei; Investing.com served 1,480.00 TWD, −35.00, −2.31%, volume 10.79m, on a page labelled "Closed as of July 15, 2026." One is ten weeks stale and says so; the other is two days stale and does not. Both are printed, neither is sworn, and no level is published as current. No options print, no volume anomaly and no prediction-market contract was found either. The fifty-two-week range on both pages runs 333 to 1,600.
Settles it: GlobalWafers' third-quarter results and investor conference in late October, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month; SUMCO's and Shin-Etsu's late-October results and their guidance language on long-term agreements; any foundry or memory maker booking a materially higher wafer cost line in fourth-quarter guidance, which confirms it from the customer's side. Kills it: a wafer maker saying on the record that 2027 agreements are renewing at single-digit or low-double-digit increases; a customer's guidance showing flat wafer costs into 2027; or the October results season passing with none of the companies raising their own pricing outlook.
Lag · source label17 trading days and running, at 16 October. No mainstream American outlet has carried the 2027 contract numbers.
Direct source links not supplied for this entry.
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10First seen · source label23 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimMicron has marked its 2-gigabyte GDDR7 chips end of life — the 28Gbps D8FHL part, MT68A512M32DF-28:A, and its 32Gbps sibling — leaving 3-gigabyte modules as its only GDDR7 density and Samsung and SK hynix as the remaining sources of the 2-gigabyte parts used on much of Nvidia's RTX 50 range, per Hardware Busters, The FPS Review, VideoCardz, TechPowerUp and TrendForce, all reading the same page of Micron's own parts catalogue. Micron has published no notice and explained nothing; Nvidia has said nothing. The Whisper, No. 7.
23 Sep · tier 5 · leak account
First sighting, counted and not named: a hardware leak account on X, quoted verbatim by The FPS Review — "the micron gddr7 28gbps 2gb chip d8fhl (MT68A512M32DF-28:A) used on some rtx50 cards, has reached end of life." One sentence, one part number, no explanation, no company. Time not established.
23 Sep 05:05 · tier 4 · Hardware Busters
09:05:00 UTC by its own stamp, byline crmaris. Names both parts, MT68A512M32DF-28:A and MT68A512M32DF-32:A, and cites four things: Micron's GDDR7 part catalogue, the leak account, TweakTown and VideoCardz. Did not stand alone, and printed the sentence that matters most in the trail: "Micron has not published a notice or explained the decision."
23 Sep 08:14 · tier 4 · The FPS Review
12:14:15 UTC, Peter Brosdahl. Cites the leak account via VideoCardz and places the part across the RTX 50 range from the 5060 to the 5090. Explicitly downstream.
23 Sep · tier 4 · VideoCardz, TechPowerUp
"Micron reportedly ends production of 2GB GDDR7 used by GeForce RTX 50" and "Micron's 2 GB GDDR7 Memory Chips Reportedly Reach End of Life." Both logged as headlines from the search index rather than as reads: videocardz.com returned a 402 to this desk and techpowerup.com is disallowed to it by robots. Neither page was opened.
23–24 Sep · tier 5 · relays
Counted, not weighted: eTeknix, Wccftech, Kantan, GameGPU, Techtroduce, FPSHub and borecraft, every one a retelling of the same catalogue reading and none an independent surface.
24 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "Micron Reportedly Ends 2GB GDDR7, Narrowing Supply Options for NVIDIA's RTX 50 Series," citing TechPowerUp, Gazlog, the leak account, Tom's Hardware, VideoCardz and the catalogue, and stating the document claim in its cleanest form: "Micron's product catalog now lists its 28 Gbps D8FHL chip (MT68A512M32DF-28) as EOL, with the 32 Gbps version carrying the same designation." Adds the economics: 3GB modules at $60–$70 a chip against roughly $20 for the 2GB parts.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
Added 24 September, and the surface that supplies the reason this sits on the AI beat. Etiido Uko reports both the 28 and 32 Gbps variants discontinued and Micron "shifting its focus toward higher-density 3 GB (24 Gb) GDDR7 chips," which carry "higher profit margins" and go into Nvidia's professional RTX PRO Blackwell parts for AI work; the general case, in its words, is "memory suppliers prioritizing AI-facing technologies over their consumer and retail counterparts." It also carries the counterweight this desk prints rather than the squeeze: Samsung and SK hynix already dominate 2GB GDDR7 and Micron was not competitive there, so the exit creates little shortage risk. No Micron or Nvidia comment.
24 Sep 12:46 · tier 1 · the catalogue, unread
The desk went to the document and could not open it. micron.com's public GDDR7 part catalogue returns no results; its table carries the right columns — part number, density, parts status, depth, width, operating temperature, speed — and "parts status" is the field holding the EOL, Production and Preview values every report is quoting. The catalogue requires a Micron account. The document exists, it is Micron's own, and no reader outside can check the claim against it. The claim is not upgraded on a page this desk cannot read.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. The lag runs on, now two trading days. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall on Wednesday 30 September, two sessions from today. The lag runs on, now three trading days. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron reports tomorrow, Wednesday 30 September. The lag runs on, now four trading days. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron reports after the close tonight, and the commentary on graphics-memory mix is where a deliberate shift toward higher-density AI parts would appear. The lag runs on, now five trading days. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. Micron reported after yesterday’s close and the desk has found no graphics-memory mix commentary addressing the 2-gigabyte parts. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account and is still unreadable to this desk and to any other reader outside Micron. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
5 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 14. No Micron notice, no product change notification, no distributor catalogue mirroring the end-of-life flag with a last-time-buy date, and no Nvidia comment. The parts catalogue still requires an account. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results of 30 September came and went without any graphics-memory mix commentary the desk could locate addressing the 2-gigabyte parts, which was the occasion this entry had been waiting on. The lag runs on, now eight trading days. Status unchanged.
12 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 19 in the day’s general sweep. No Micron statement and no mainstream American headline. Status unchanged; the running lag advances three sessions from its 7 October stamp to thirteen.
13 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 20 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. No Micron statement and no mainstream American outlet on the GDDR7 end-of-life notice. Status unchanged.
14 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 21 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. No Micron statement and no mainstream American outlet on the GDDR7 end-of-life notice. Status unchanged.
15 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 22 by the day’s general sweep — the Taiwanese and Korean business press, TrendForce, DigiTimes’ index, the American market outlets and a domain-restricted search of sec.gov — and not by an individual re-read of this trail, which is said rather than implied. Nothing in that sweep touched this claim: no new sighting, no document and no company comment. The lag is advanced one session. Status unchanged.
16 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 23. Covered by the day’s general sweep; no distributor catalogue, no product change notification and no American outlet. The running lag advances to 17.
Tape1,096.16 → 1,071.88, −24.28, −2.22%, the 22 September close before the first sighting to the 23 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com's daily table and Yahoo Finance's quote page carry 1,071.88 identically, Yahoo carries the change as −2.22 percent, and MarketBeat's 23 September alert headlines "Shares Down 2.2%." Desk arithmetic, inputs shown: 1,096.16 − 1,071.88 = 24.28; 24.28 ÷ 1,096.16 = 2.215 percent. Nothing is attributed. Wednesday's session already has a published explanation and it is not this one: Invezz, 23 September 15:02, gives Wells Fargo cutting its target to $1,400 from $1,525 while keeping Overweight, Citi's Atif Malik raising his to $1,300 from $1,150 on "stronger-than-expected DRAM pricing and continued undersupply across both DRAM and NAND markets," and Michael Burry adding to a short. No published account of the session mentions GDDR7. The 23 September close is carried on a third independent read, Yahoo Finance at 1:39 p.m. today, which returns 1,071.88 as the previous close. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,072.12, +0.24, +0.02%, open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,076.49, volume 14,114,423, Yahoo Finance, "As of 1:39:31 PM EDT. Market Open" — Micron opened twenty-two points below the prior close, traded to 1,044.00 and was bought back to roughly unchanged, and none of that is attributed either. A reading set aside and not logged: an 11:24 a.m. table appeared to carry a 24 September close outside its own printed high and low, but on re-reading at 1:37 p.m. that page was serving data stamped 4:51 a.m. pre-market and a Yahoo read a minute later returned a level near 958 against a previous close near 956 that reconciles with no session sworn in here and did not reproduce. The desk does not log an entry against a page it cannot re-read. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 on the two reads described in entry 9, which carries the move from the 22 September base to −15.63, −1.43%, this desk’s arithmetic, 15.63 ÷ 1,096.16. Nothing is attributed.
Settles it: a distributor's catalogue mirroring the EOL flag with a last-time-buy date; a product change notification to customers, the document this kind of decision normally travels on; board partner or distributor pricing showing 2-gigabyte parts withdrawn; Micron's fiscal fourth-quarter results and call on 30 September — four trading days from today, five from the first sighting — where a deliberate shift of graphics memory toward higher-density AI parts belongs in the commentary on mix. Kills it: Micron saying the parts remain in production, a catalogue reading showing them in Production status, or a 2-gigabyte part appearing on a new board.
Lag · source label17 trading days and running, at 16 October. Tom’s Hardware remains the furthest it has travelled, and that is the technology press.
Direct source links not supplied for this entry.
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9First seen · source label18 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimThe Munich I Regional Court has found Micron Technology to infringe two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies and granted injunctions covering sales of the infringing 3D NAND products in Germany, per ip fray, with Micron saying it disagrees, has appealed and is challenging the rights' validity, per TechNode citing IT Home. No judgment text is public and no mainstream American outlet has carried it. The Whisper, No. 6.
18 Sep · tier 4 · ip fray
First sighting, and the only account with the record in it: the 7th Civil Chamber, presiding judge Dr. Oliver Schoen; cases 7 O 12615/25 and 7 O 12614/25 decided, three more adjourned, among them 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25; utility models DE 20 2020 006 166 U1, "Staircase structure of a three-dimensional storage device," and DE 20 2021 004 551 U1, "Barrier layers for word line contacts in three-dimensional NAND memory." On what happens next: "Enforcement will likely begin soon unless the appeals court (the Munich Higher Regional Court) stays both injunctions." Stood alone.
18–23 Sep, undated · tier 4 · IAM
"YMTC strikes NAND patent blow against Micron with two German injunctions." Logged as a headline from the search index rather than as a read: iam-media.com returns a 403 to this desk and the page was not opened. Its date is not established.
23 Sep 05:07 · tier 4 · TechNode
09:07 UTC. Second origin rather than a relay: it cites the Chinese outlet IT Home, not ip fray. "Munich Regional Court I has ruled that Micron infringed two German utility models held by Yangtze Memory Technologies, and issued injunctions." Carries the company response the first report did not.
23 Sep · tier 2 · Micron via TechNode
The highest tier in the trail besides the ruling itself, and carried at second hand: Micron "said it disagreed with the decision, filed an appeal and was challenging the validity of the relevant rights." No verbatim company statement has been located.
23 Sep · tier 4 · DIGITIMES
"YMTC wins German injunctions against Micron in latest round of NAND patent battle," item a20260923PD226. Headline from the search index; digitimes.com returned a 403 to this desk on four attempts and no page was read.
23 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
In its news file as "German Court Reportedly Finds Micron Infringed Two YMTC NAND Patents, Grants Injunctions" — reportedly, five days after a specialist outlet printed the chamber, the judge and the case numbers.
23 Sep 12:12 · tier 5 · aggregator
Counted, not weighted, and quoted because it states the limits most precisely: "The injunctions are first-instance rulings that cover sales of the infringing products in Germany only," and "No report we found says YMTC has started enforcing, that Micron has asked for a stay, or that one has been granted." Also: without the judgment texts nobody outside the case can say whether the enjoined products are consumer SSD components, embedded NAND, or both.
24 Sep · tier 4 · JUVE Patent
Added 24 September. A second origin, not a relay: it does not cite ip fray, and it carries material the first report did not. The patent EP 3 931 868 beside four German utility models — DE 20 2020 006 166.2, DE 20 2021 004 551, DE 20 2018 007 011 and DE 20 2022 003 278 — the pending cases 7 O 12609/25, 7 O 12616/25 and 7 O 12593/25 alongside the two decided, and presiding judge Oliver Schön of the 7th Civil Chamber. It states that the court found two utility models "valid and infringed and granted YMTC injunctions," that Micron has appealed, and — new to this register — that Micron has brought its own infringement claims at the Munich Regional Court and at the Unified Patent Court on EP 3 706 127, EP 3 574 526 and EP 2 745 295.
24 Sep · tier 4 · Tom's Hardware
The claim reaches the American technology press, and not the American market press: "China's YMTC wins patent battle against Micron in ongoing 3-year legal war over memory patents — new injunctions could restrict Micron's supply into Germany." Downstream; not counted as an independent surface.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. No judgment text, no stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement. No mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now four trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Electronics Weekly has joined the trail, and a further specialist write-up records Micron’s appeal of both injunctions; both are downstream and neither is counted as an independent surface. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet carries it. The lag runs on, now five trading days.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Guru3D and a forum write-up of Micron’s appeal of both injunctions have joined the trail; both are downstream and neither is counted as an independent surface. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday 30 September are the first occasion on which someone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall tomorrow, Wednesday 30 September, and the legal-proceedings commentary is the first occasion on which anyone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results fall after this issue’s slot, tonight, and the legal-proceedings commentary is the first occasion on which anyone will be in a position to ask. The lag runs on, now eight trading days.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. Micron’s fiscal fourth-quarter results were published after yesterday’s close and the desk has located no legal-proceedings commentary on the German injunctions in the coverage of them. The lag runs on, now nine trading days.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet — not Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch or Barron’s — carries it. The lag runs on, now ten trading days.
5 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 14. Still no judgment text, no ruling on a stay, no Micron 8-K and no verbatim company statement, and no mainstream American outlet carries it. Guru3D and Pandaily have joined the specialist layer alongside JUVE Patent and are downstream of the same two origins; no second origin has appeared since TechNode. The lag runs on, now eleven trading days.
12 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 19 in the day’s general sweep. No judgment text, no American wire and nothing from the Munich court. Status unchanged; the running lag advances three sessions from its 7 October stamp — 8, 9 and 12 October — to sixteen.
13 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 20 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. No judgment text, no appellate docket entry and no mainstream American outlet on the Munich injunctions. Status unchanged.
14 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 21 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. No judgment text, no appellate docket entry, no mainstream American outlet. Status unchanged.
15 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 22 by the day’s general sweep — the Taiwanese and Korean business press, TrendForce, DigiTimes’ index, the American market outlets and a domain-restricted search of sec.gov — and not by an individual re-read of this trail, which is said rather than implied. Nothing in that sweep touched this claim: no new sighting, no document and no company comment. The lag is advanced one session. Status unchanged.
16 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 23. Covered by the day’s general sweep; no new sighting, no judgment text and no American outlet. The running lag advances to 20.
Tape1,015.80 → 1,096.16, +80.36, +7.91%, the 18 September close on the day of the first sighting to the 22 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry 977.50 (17 Sep), 1,015.80 (18 Sep), 1,043.96 (21 Sep) and 1,096.16 (22 Sep) identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 80.36 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, both printed: 1,074.68, −21.48, −1.96%, previous close 1,096.16, range 1,074.30–1,105.50, volume 6,619,617, Yahoo Finance at 10:20 a.m.; 1,067.01, open 1,100.07, high 1,105.50, low 1,069.76, volume 13,313,292, stockanalysis.com at a 1:13 p.m. page stamp. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28,078,850 against 28.17m on 21 September, 28,588,943 against 29.19m on 22 September. Nothing is attributed: Micron reports on 30 September and the memory complex has run for weeks. Updated 25 September: Thursday’s close is sworn at 1,080.53 — Yahoo Finance’s quote page states it as the 24 September close, with open 1,049.75, range 1,044.00–1,081.04 and volume 21,938,990 — and stockanalysis.com’s live change today implies the identical previous close of 1,080.51, reconciling within rounding. That carries the move from the 18 September base to +64.73, +6.37%, this desk’s arithmetic, 64.73 ÷ 1,015.80. Today unsworn, one feed: 1,079.00, open 1,095.83, range 1,074.51–1,108.72, volume 10,532,468, stockanalysis.com at 11:58 a.m. Eastern.
Settles it: the Munich I judgment texts, which would fix the product scope; a Munich Higher Regional Court ruling on a stay; Micron's fiscal 2026 annual report and its legal-proceedings note, following the 30 September results; an 8-K if the company judges the effect material sooner; a filing by YMTC of the security German law requires before a first-instance injunction is enforced. Kills it: an appellate stay, or judgment texts showing the enjoined products are not ones Micron sells into Germany.
Lag · source label20 trading days and running, at 16 October. No mainstream American outlet has carried it.
Direct source links not supplied for this entry.
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8First seen · source label26 AUG
confirmed · source-record status
Recorded claimAnthropic is the undisclosed customer behind the roughly $45 billion AI compute contract Nscale signed for its Monarch site, per Bloomberg, CNBC and TechCrunch on the afternoon Aker ASA announced the contract without naming a counterparty, and per Reuters citing a person familiar on the 460MW scope and the Nvidia Vera Rubin systems. Neither company commented for sixteen trading days. Nscale's own registration statement settled it. The Whisper, No. 5.
26 Aug 12:46 · tier 1 · Aker ASA
First sighting, and a document with the name cut out of it. Regulatory announcement in Oslo, stamped 18:46 CEST: Nscale "has signed a major contract with an undisclosed customer to provide AI compute capacity at its Monarch site in the United States. The contract represents a total contract value of around USD 45 billion." No customer, no capacity figure, no mention of Nvidia. Carried by TradingView's Modular Finance relay and by Inderes.
26 Aug · tier 3 · Bloomberg
First mainstream US headline, the same session: "Anthropic to Pay Nscale $45 Billion for AI Computing Power." People familiar with the matter. The lag closed here, about four hours after the announcement that withheld the name.
26 Aug · tier 3 · CNBC, TechCrunch
The same day and the same tier. CNBC's headline carries its own sourcing: "Anthropic and Nscale strike $45 billion cloud deal, sources say." Neither Nscale nor Anthropic confirmed.
27 Aug 07:34 · tier 4 · Data Centre Review
11:34 GMT. States the gap exactly: "While we know that Nscale has definitely secured a $45 billion compute contract, thanks to a regulatory announcement from Aker… we don't know who the customer is for sure." Relays Reuters, citing a person familiar with the matter: "The agreement is understood to cover around 460MW and involve Nvidia's forthcoming Vera Rubin systems."
15 Sep · tier 1 · Nvidia, per filing
$3.1 billion received by Nscale in unsecured convertible loan notes, disclosed later in the registration statement.
18 Sep · tier 1 · Nscale
The document that settles it. "Nscale Files Registration Statement for Proposed Initial Public Offering," New York Stock Exchange, symbol NSCL, no share count and no price range; the standard line that the statement "has not yet become effective." CNBC the same day.
21 Sep 06:25 · tier 1 · the filing, read
Fortune reads the numbers out: first-half 2026 revenue $140.6 million against cost of revenue $189.6 million, net loss about $1 billion, remaining performance obligations $56.4 billion over seven years, a $35 billion valuation sought, and a going-concern paragraph — "Management identified that the Company's forecast funding requirements included reliance on uncommitted debt and equity financing, which initially raised substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern."
21 Sep · tier 3 · Bloomberg
"Anthropic and Microsoft Dominate Nscale's $103 Billion in Contracts." Quartz's relay puts the pair at 85 percent of the book, or $87.7 billion; a second relay of the same reporting breaks them out at roughly $44.6 billion for Anthropic and $43.8 billion for Microsoft, with about $2.6 billion active as of late August. The two published breakdowns differ by $0.7 billion — a difference, not an error, and both are printed.
22 Sep · tier 1 · the S-1, read
The desk read the filing itself rather than accounts of it: Nscale Ltd, Form S-1, 18 September, EDGAR accession 0001193125-26-395475. It confirms the claim in the company's own words and adds a qualifier no relay carried: "The Anthropic Services Agreements provide for aggregate payments to us of up to approximately $44.6 billion," at the Monarch Compute Campus. Up to — a ceiling on aggregate payments, not a committed sum, and the split between floor and headroom is not disclosed. The filing also defines its headline number: "'TCV' or 'total contract value' means the aggregate revenue contracted across the full committed term of signed customer agreements, measured at date the contract is signed and excluding any optional extensions, renewals, unexercised capacity, or any significant financing components relating to upfront payments." And it carries the listing line: "We intend to apply to list our ordinary shares on the New York Stock Exchange ('NYSE') under the symbol 'NSCL'." No Microsoft payments sentence was found in it; the Microsoft material the desk reached describes deployments — over 12,600 Nvidia Grace Blackwell Ultra GPUs at the first building of the SINES Data Campus, over 66,000 Nvidia Vera Rubin NVL72 GPUs starting in late 2027. The $43.8 billion therefore remains relay-sourced and unsworn.
Tapeno reading sworn in, and the desk prints why. Nscale is private until NSCL trades and Anthropic is private. The only listed security that moved on the announcement is Aker ASA in Oslo, and two feeds characterise the 26 August session differently — Investing.com's UK relay, stamped 27 August 12:34, headlines a seven percent jump; Stockopedia headlines the same session as eight percent. Under the two-feed rule both are printed and neither is sworn, so no level appears. Nvidia is the only US-listed counterparty in the trail and this desk attributes nothing on its tape to a contract it does not sit on either side of. Desk arithmetic, inputs shown: $44.6bn + $43.8bn = $88.4bn, which is 85.8% of $103bn; $87.7bn is 85.1%.
Settled by Nscale's registration statement of 18 September, read by the desk on 22 September, which names the counterparty and the sum. Note that the sum is stated as a ceiling — "up to approximately $44.6 billion" — and the committed portion is not disclosed. Still to come: the amended statement and the pricing terms, which will carry the exact split and the revenue recognition on the $2.6 billion active, and will show whether the going-concern language survives.
Lag · source label0 trading days; the first sighting and the first mainstream US headline are the same afternoon. Separately recorded, because it is the number that matters here: 16 trading days from the wire to the document, 26 August to 18 September, Monday 7 September excluded as a US market holiday.
Direct source links not supplied for this entry.
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7First seen · source labelSEP, undated
confirmed · source-record status
Recorded claimSamsung Electronics and SK hynix rejected a proposal from Korea Electric Power that they prepay roughly 25 trillion won for grid infrastructure, being "unsure if such large upfront payments were necessary, citing uncertainty over the long-term durability of semiconductor demand." Arrived with the document already public. The Whisper, No. 3.
Sep, undated · tier 4 · Chosun Ilbo
The story originated here earlier in September, on a date the desk could not establish; the lag is therefore not computed from it.
14 Sep 08:05 · tier 1 · Reuters
First mainstream headline, and the document with it: a submission to the lawmaker Lee Chul-gyu, whose office shared it with Reuters. Reported as $18.7 billion, 25 trillion won.
14–15 Sep · tier 3 · Bloomberg, KJD
Bloomberg and the Korea JoongAng Daily the same week. The one won figure is published as $18.6 billion, $18.7 billion and $19 billion across outlets — three exchange rates, not three numbers.
Tapenot priced by this desk, and no reading sworn in. Corrected 21 September — this line previously said neither company is US-listed. Samsung Electronics is not; SK hynix trades on Nasdaq as SKHY since 10 July 2026.
Settled by the document itself. The Korean National Assembly's autumn audit will put it to the companies on the record.
Lag · source label0 trading days from the document to the wire that carried it; not computed from the undated Chosun Ilbo report.
Direct source links not supplied for this entry.
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6First seen · source label14 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimTSMC's 2nm capacity is expected to rise from 90,000 wafers a month at end-2026 to 110,000 by mid-2027, its 3nm from more than 180,000 to 210,000, and CoWoS packaging from roughly 130,000 a month to 260,000 by end-2028, per TrendForce citing Taiwan's Economic Daily News. TSMC has not published these figures. The Whisper, No. 3.
14 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce / EDN
First sighting. The capacity numbers above, attributed to Economic Daily News; a 22 percent lift at 2nm, 17 percent at 3nm and a doubling of CoWoS on this desk's arithmetic from the published figures.
15 Sep 11:30 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: 3nm, 2nm and CoWoS all tight through the third quarter, Nvidia and Apple dominating advanced process and packaging, and Amazon's Annapurna unit expanding AI chip tape-outs and given more 3nm capacity. Supply-chain sources. Body paywalled.
21 Sep 07:37 · tier 1 · TSMC via Reuters
Added 21 September. Ground was broken on an advanced-packaging industrial park at Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, anchored by TSMC, reported by Reuters under a Taipei dateline of 21 September (some US syndications carry a 20 September date) and carried by Benzinga at 7:37 a.m. Eastern, with operations expected in the fourth quarter of 2029. Document-grade, and evidence about direction rather than about the claim's numbers: 2029 sits a year beyond the end of the claim's window, and no wafer or CoWoS figure in the claim is addressed.
21 Sep 09:59 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Weekly roundup, by its own stamp: semiconductor equipment makers facing lead times of up to forty months on certain Japanese components, and local component deliveries stretching about fifty percent. The physical constraint any such ramp meets. Not a second surface for the capacity figures.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting of the capacity figures and no TSMC statement on them; the company's only reference point remains the July call's 2026 capex guidance of $60–64 billion. The one TSMC item TrendForce carried today is adjacent and does not confirm the numbers. The date to mark: TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei, per the company's own financial calendar. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 23 September items run to DRAM spot prices, LPDDR6 validation, a glass-substrate roundup and a NAND patent ruling, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against TrendForce's current news file, whose 24 September items run to Chinese memory capacity, a Meta device launch, a GDDR7 end-of-life report, an optical-transceiver listing and a Qualcomm node statement, none of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains TSMC's September monthly revenue release, Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against TrendForce’s current news file, whose 25 September items run to twelve-inch wafer contract pricing and a rare-earths piece, neither of which touches the capacity figures. No new sighting and no TSMC statement on them. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
27 Sep 14:06 · tier 4 · Economic Daily News
Added 28 September, and the sighting this issue is built on: the origin outlet revising its own number. Page stamp 28 September 02:06 Taipei, byline Yin Hui-chung (尹慧中), read in the original by this desk. 大廠追加訂單 台積電2奈米擴產進度超前 年底月產能上看12萬片 — major customers have added orders, TSMC's 2nm expansion is ahead of schedule, year-end monthly capacity looking at 120,000 wafers. It states that the market had expected about 90,000 to 100,000 at year-end. Five customers named as raising 2nm-family orders by 10 to 20 percent: Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, MediaTek. 3nm put near 180,000 a month in the fourth quarter of 2026 and 200,000 to 210,000 in 2027, which is consistent with the 14 September figures. Sourcing language 業界傳出 and 消息人士透露 — the industry says, sources disclose. No firm named, no person named, no document.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
27 Sep 23:07 · tier 4 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline, nine hours after the revision and nine trading days after the first sighting. Investing.com's report carried on Yahoo Finance's technology pages, byline Ayushman Ojha: "TSMC 2nm wafer capacity to exceed earlier estimates, EDN reports." Credits EDN by name; carries the 120,000 against prior forecasts of 90,000 to 100,000 and the 10-to-20-percent order increase; adds TSMC senior vice-president Hou Yung-ching on first-year 2nm output running 45 percent above 3nm's first year in 2023 and capacity compounding about 70 percent a year through 2028 — company remarks about growth rates, not about the 120,000. The lag closes here on the 2nm leg. The CoWoS leg still has no American headline. Tiered 4 by what the source is; the lag is marked by where the claim reached, which is a different field.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
28 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named: TipRanks, GuruFocus via TradingView, CoinCentral, Blockonomi, KuCoin, Parameter and EconoTimes carried the 120,000 by mid-morning; every one credits EDN and none adds a source. Invezz, 28 September 00:10 Eastern, is the exception worth reading — it reaches TechInsights vice-chair Dan Hutcheson on more than fifteen customers working on N2 and Stifel's Sahej Singh keeping a Buy and a $515 target on a margin argument — and its own headline reads that the stock slipped.
Recorded evidence tier: 5
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them; the company's own reference points remain the July call's capex guidance and the monthly revenue releases. No options print, no volume anomaly and no prediction-market contract on the claim was found. Status unchanged: a revision is a sighting, not a document. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them. The CoWoS leg of the claim still has no American headline. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them. The CoWoS leg of the claim still has no American headline. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. TSMC has published none of these figures and has made no statement on them. The CoWoS leg of the claim still has no American headline. The date to mark remains Thursday 8 October, 13:30 Taipei. Recorded beside entry 14, printed today: the same Taipei daily is the origin of both claims, seventeen days apart.
15 Oct 03:18 / 03:22 · tier 1 · TSMC call
Added 15 October for The Whisper, No. 22, and not corroboration of the figures this entry tracks. On the third-quarter call chief executive C.C. Wei said TSMC expects “our N2 family technologies annual capacity to more than double in 2027,” and that N2 is “ramping successfully in multiple phases” at Hsinchu and Kaohsiung; chief financial officer Wendell Huang put N2 at 8 percent of third-quarter wafer revenue. The claim on this trail is monthly — 90,000 wafers a month at end-2026 rising to 110,000 by mid-2027, revised by the origin outlet on 27 September to 120,000 at year-end — and the company’s statement is annual, at a magnitude well above anything here, and cannot be reconciled to the monthly figures without a base TSMC did not give. Nothing was said about CoWoS capacity: Wei said only that CoWoS “is still the number one choice for our customers” and that there is “a little bit of shortage on the back end.” The 2026 capital budget was reiterated at $60–64 billion. A discrepancy worth logging: the two machine-assisted transcripts disagree on when N2 entered high-volume manufacturing, Benzinga’s reading “the first half of 2025” and Investing.com’s “the fourth quarter of 2025”; the desk prints both and resolves neither. Status unchanged at corroborated.
Recorded evidence tier: 1
Tapethe claim concerns capacity two to eight quarters out and no single session's move is attributable to it; the readings below are printed as context and nothing is attributed. Added 28 September. TSM's 25 September close is sworn at 450.61 — stockanalysis.com's daily table and an independent market note carrying "TSMC stock at USD 450.61 on September 25, 2026". The 24 September close of 451.15, stockanalysis.com, reconciles against a second note describing a 0.12 percent loss into the following session: 451.15 − 450.61 = 0.54, and 0.54 ÷ 451.15 = 0.12 percent, this desk's arithmetic. The 11 September close of 433.24, the session before the first sighting, and the 14 September close of 418.01 are one feed only, printed and not sworn. From that unsworn base to Friday's sworn close the move is +17.37, +4.01%, 17.37 ÷ 433.24, across two weeks of a semiconductor tape that has run for everyone. Today unsworn, one feed: 447.14, −3.47, −0.77%, previous close 450.61, open 448.39, range 443.11–449.60, volume 3,084,181, Yahoo Finance at 11:41:27 a.m. Eastern — the stock opened lower on the morning after the American headline and traded there.
Settles it: TSMC's third-quarter call in October, its capex guidance, and its monthly revenue releases on the tenth of each month.
Lag · source label9 trading days, closed 28 September. First sighting Monday 14 September; first mainstream American headline Sunday 27 September at 11:07 p.m. Eastern, after Friday's close and before Monday's open. The trading days between are 15, 16, 17, 18, 21, 22, 23, 24 and 25 September. The headline that closed it carries a 2nm figure a third larger than the one first printed; the CoWoS leg of the claim has still not been carried by any mainstream American outlet.
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5First seen · source label15 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimSamsung Electronics has begun running wafers for Tesla's next-generation AI5 processor at its foundry in Taylor, Texas, ahead of a start scheduled for November, per Seoul Economic Daily's semiconductor industry sources. Neither company has said it, and no American wire has reported it. The Whisper, No. 3.
28 Jul 2025 · tier 1 · contract
A $16.5 billion multi-year supply agreement, about 22 trillion won, disclosed by Elon Musk after Tesla had asked that the counterparty stay unnamed; Bloomberg reported it.
22 Oct 2025 · tier 2 · Musk, CNBC
Musk on the record: AI5 to be made by Samsung in Texas and TSMC in Arizona. This, and not the start, is what the American press has.
5 Nov 2025 · tier 4 · TrendForce
Musk signals AI5 mass production slipping to 2027, "casting uncertainty over Samsung."
24 Apr · tier 1 · Samsung
Equipment-installation ceremony at the Taylor plant, as referenced by Seoul Economic Daily.
13 Jul · tier 4 · TrendForce / Yonhap
AI5 tape-out complete, production expected on Samsung's 2nm process in Texas; "the disclosure marks the first time Samsung Foundry's production timeline for the Tesla AI5 chip has been revealed in concrete terms." Taylor ramp put in 2027. Korea Times and Electrek the same day.
15 Sep 17:21 · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
First sighting. Samsung "has begun prototype production at its Taylor, Texas, foundry to supply artificial intelligence chips to Tesla"; it "plans to complete mass-production verification by the end of this year and begin full supply next year." Page stamp 17:21, updated 23:35, Seoul time, which puts it near 4:21 a.m. Eastern. The headline said mass production over a body that said prototype.
16 Sep 00:28 · tier 2 · KB Securities via ChosunBiz
Kim Dong-won, named, on Samsung's 2nm gate-all-around yield improving from below 50 percent, carried by Invezz under "Samsung stock is ignoring a $16.5 billion Tesla catalyst." About the plant's capability, not the start.
16 Sep 07:00 KST · tier 4 · Seoul Economic Daily
The same reporting re-headlined "Samsung Starts Trial Production of Tesla AI Chips in Texas," ahead of the originally scheduled November startup.
17 Sep 11:51 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Second independent surface, by its own Taipei stamp: trial production, 2nm wafer production and yield verification ahead of full-scale operations. Names no source and does not cite Seoul.
16–18 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Counted, not named as sources: nine sites, among them one whose headline says the node is "silencing yield doubters," a claim in none of the underlying reporting.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no mainstream American headline and no company statement either way; the only movement is in the enthusiast layer, where Not a Tesla App and similar sites now carry the trial start as settled fact. The lag continues to run.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters, Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Yahoo Finance's Tesla AI5 items stop at the tape-out and dual-foundry stories, and the nearest American piece is Electrek's 13 July tape-out report, which is a different claim. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6 against the same American outlets. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No Samsung or Tesla statement. The lag runs on, now six trading days.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron's, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim. The enthusiast layer has widened again — Drive Tesla Canada, Not a Tesla App, The Electric Viking, Basenor and BigGo all carry the trial start as settled fact, all downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes — and Electrek's 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim. No company statement. The lag runs on, now seven trading days.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact, all of it downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes. No company statement. The lag runs on, now eight trading days.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now nine trading days — the longest open count on this register.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now ten trading days — fourteen calendar days, and the longest open count on this register.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim; Electrek’s 13 July tape-out piece remains the nearest American surface and is a different claim, and the enthusiast layer — Drive Tesla Canada, Not a Tesla App, autoevolution, Basenor — continues to carry the trial start as settled fact. No company statement. The lag runs on, now eleven trading days, and it is worth recording beside entry 13, printed today: both claims concern the same Taylor fab and the same Korean press, and this one the American market has never printed at all.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim and no company has stated anything either way. The lag runs on, now twelve trading days, and it remains the longest open count on this register. Recorded beside entry 14, printed today: both claims concern a Texas fab, and the one the American market has never printed is this one.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim and no company has stated anything either way. The lag runs on, now thirteen trading days, and it remains the longest open count on this register.
5 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 14 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim and no company has stated anything either way; the enthusiast layer is unchanged in kind. The lag runs on, now fourteen trading days, and it remains the longest open count on this register. Samsung Electronics’ third-quarter results in late October are the next occasion on which a Taylor wafer start would reach a disclosure.
9 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 18 against CNBC, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Barron’s, Reuters and Bloomberg. None carries the September wafer-start claim and no company has stated anything either way; the sweep returns only the enthusiast layer, unchanged in kind and downstream of Seoul Economic Daily and DigiTimes. The lag runs on, now eighteen trading days, and it remains the longest open count on this register. Samsung Electronics’ audited third-quarter report and call, late this month, are the next occasion on which a Taylor wafer start would reach a disclosure.
12 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 19 in the day’s general sweep. No American wire, no company statement and no filing naming the Taylor start. Status unchanged; the running lag advances one session to nineteen.
13 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 20 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. No American wire, no Samsung or Tesla statement, and nothing new on the Taylor line. The Korean press was entirely given over to the CXMT selloff. Status unchanged.
14 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 21 in the day’s general sweep of the Korean, Chinese and Taiwanese business press, the trade press and the American market pages. No American wire, no Samsung or Tesla statement, nothing new on the Taylor line. Status unchanged.
15 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 22 by the day’s general sweep — the Taiwanese and Korean business press, TrendForce, DigiTimes’ index, the American market outlets and a domain-restricted search of sec.gov — and not by an individual re-read of this trail, which is said rather than implied. Nothing in that sweep touched this claim: no new sighting, no document and no company comment. The lag is advanced one session. Status unchanged.
16 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 23. Covered by the day’s general sweep rather than an individual re-read of the trail; nothing in it touched this entry. No American wire has carried the claim. The running lag advances to 23.
TapeTesla 358.97 → 366.20, +2.01%, 14 to 17 September closes, sworn — 358.97 on stockanalysis.com and Investing.com, 366.20 on stockanalysis.com and Google Finance, whose Friday quote of 362.60 less 3.60 implies it; Investing.com carries 366.69 for the 17th and is printed, not sworn. On the claim's own session, 15 September, Tesla fell 0.67% to 356.58 on 30,168,264 shares against Monday's 32,068,734. Thursday alone was 8.12 points of the 7.23-point move, in a session the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.69% the day after the Fed. Samsung Electronics: −4.05% Monday, −0.2% Tuesday to 248,500 won, "only modestly higher" Wednesday per Invezz; 261,000 won, +3.37%, at Friday's Seoul close, one feed.
Settles it: Samsung's third-quarter results in late October; Tesla's results and 10-Q; a Samsung release or Taylor site announcement; a Yonhap report carrying a company confirmation. Kills it: a statement from either company that Taylor has not begun AI5 wafers, or a Samsung disclosure putting the start in November as scheduled.
Lag · source label23 trading days and running, at 16 October. No mainstream American headline exists; the count stays open until one does.
Direct source links not supplied for this entry.
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4First seen · source label18 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimSolidigm, SK Hynix's US NAND subsidiary, is weighing its first American NAND plant, with upstate New York the leading candidate site, per Reuters' three people familiar with the matter. SK Hynix says it is reviewing options and that nothing is confirmed. The Whisper, No. 2.
18 Sep 04:41 · tier 4 · DigiTimes
Its own item, Taipei 16:41: Solidigm "is considering building its first NAND manufacturing plant in the US, with upstate New York emerging as a leading candidate." Paywalled beyond the lede; no sources shown.
18 Sep 05:08 · tier 3 · Reuters
First mainstream US headline, as carried by the Korea JoongAng Daily at 18:08 Seoul. Three people familiar with the matter; one said no agreement had been reached and key details remain under discussion. Solidigm did not respond outside business hours.
18 Sep 05:08 · tier 2 · SK Hynix
On the record, confirming neither: "subsidiary Solidigm is reviewing various options to strengthen its business competitiveness, but no specific plans have been confirmed."
18 Sep · tier 4 · SED, relays
Added 21 September. Seoul Economic Daily carried it the same day as "SK hynix Weighs First U.S. NAND Plant as AI Demand Surges"; Investing.com and MarketScreener relayed Reuters; Benzinga wrote up the Friday share move directly. All downstream of the Reuters report.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. No New York State incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution, and no change to SK Hynix's on-the-record line. The claim has spread across the market layer, not the document layer. Status unchanged.
18 Sep · tier 2 · Solidigm
Added 22 September. Solidigm itself, on the record in the Reuters syndication the register had only recorded as "did not respond": "No decision regarding any specific course of action has been made." A 20 September follow-up adds that no factory has been approved, no site selected and no construction timetable exists, with Solidigm declining to "comment on market rumors."
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No Empire State Development incentive award and no Green CHIPS document naming Solidigm; no announcement from the governor's office; no site or construction permit; no board resolution. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. No Empire State Development incentive award, no site or construction permit, no board resolution and no change to either company’s on-the-record line.
Tapethe desk swore in no reading for this entry. Corrected 21 September — this line previously said there is no US-listed security. SK hynix trades on Nasdaq as SKHY, American depositary shares, since 10 July 2026; Benzinga's 18 September piece used that ticker and was right. No reading has been sworn in even so, and none is printed.
Settles it: a New York State incentive award or economic-development board document; a site or construction permit; an SK Hynix board resolution; a Solidigm announcement naming the site.
Lag · source label0 trading days; the wire report was itself the first mainstream US headline.
Direct source links not supplied for this entry.
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3First seen · source label17 SEP
open · source-record status
Recorded claimAMD has told its partners that prices on its graphics processors, AI accelerators and chipsets will rise by roughly ten percent in the fourth quarter of 2026, because TSMC has told AMD the same about wafers, per Wccftech citing ChannelGate, a supply-chain channel on WeChat. Neither company has commented. Every English-language sighting traces to that one channel. The Whisper, No. 2.
21 Jul · tier 3 · Nikkei
The upstream claim, via Tom's Hardware: TSMC to raise advanced-node baseline prices five to ten percent from the start of 2027, with "another 10% to 15% premium on top of the standard increase" for incremental HPC capacity, citing people with knowledge of the matter. Named no customer.
17 Sep · tier 5 · channel
ChannelGate, a WeChat supply-chain account, relayed by a leak account on X. Counted, not named. Origin of the AMD-specific leg.
17 Sep 08:26 · tier 4 · Wccftech
First attributed sighting; stamp corrected 21 September from 12:26 p.m., which was the page metadata's UTC time, to 8:26 a.m. Eastern per the article's own byline. "TSMC has notified its customers about the price hikes, leading to AMD notifying its partners about the same. The price hike is roughly 10% and is planned to be implemented in the fourth quarter of 2026." Cited ChannelGate; did not stand alone; said a ten percent Ryzen increase "should be treated as a 'possibility' rather than a confirmed development." Wccftech gives ChannelGate no descriptor; Club386, the same day, identifies it as the WeChat arm of a Chinese leak site.
17–18 Sep · tier 4 · relays
Counted, not weighted: six English-language sites, among them ThinkComputers, Club386, Notebookcheck, PC Guide, XenoSpectrum and Technetbook. All downstream of the same item or the same channel.
18 Sep 05:22 · tier 3 · Yahoo Finance
First mainstream US headline. Amended 21 September: logged in The Whisper, No. 2, as a Stocktwits relay, it was published on Yahoo Finance's markets pages as "AMD Stock Rises Premarket: Report Flags Chip Price Hike Linked To TSMC Costs," naming both Wccftech and ChannelGate; AMD up 1.4 percent premarket, a third consecutive advance, the three-session gain above twelve percent. The lag closed here.
18 Sep · tier 4 · TrendForce
Carried in its own news file as AMD "preparing a 10% price hike for GPUs, AI chips, and chipsets in Q4 2026, attributed to rising manufacturing costs at TSMC." Downstream of the same origin; not counted as a second surface.
19 Sep · tier 2 · TSMC via Digital Citizen
The first named-company material in the trail, and the highest tier this claim has reached. A TSMC spokesperson, asked about the report: "Our pricing strategy is strategic, not opportunistic. We will continue to work closely with customers and sell our value to them." Neither a confirmation nor a denial. The same piece set the leak's Q4 2026 timing against TSMC's July guidance of 2027 and allowed that the two "may describe one negotiation at different stages or two separate cost actions."
21 Sep 09:37 · tier 4 · 24/7 Wall St.
First American market story written independently of the technology press, also carried on Yahoo Finance: "AMD Rises 5% as Report Flags 10% Chip Price Increase; NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor Tick Up." AMD 586.66, Nvidia 223.72, TSM 440.92. Calls the claim "unconfirmed," does not name ChannelGate, and adds that "a denial or narrower scope would remove the framing that's lifting AMD stock this morning."
21 Sep · tier 4 · PCWorld
Added 22 September. Quotes the origin channel directly, through a leak account on X: "AMD will increase chip price about 10% in Q4 / It is result from TSMC's price increase." No AMD comment. Not an independent surface; it is the same WeChat account, one relay closer to the source than Wccftech was.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No new sighting today, no AMD statement, no denial, and no partner or OEM price list. The claim is forking in the relay layer: one branch has Ryzen spared, the other has Ryzen following, and both cite the same channel. Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. TweakTown has joined the relay layer, alongside Digital Trends, XenoSpectrum, ThinkComputers and Startup Fortune, and the Ryzen fork persists across them; every one is downstream of the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Digital Trends, Startup Fortune and Compsmag have joined the relay layer and the Ryzen fork persists across it; every branch still cites the same WeChat channel. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8, the sixth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Recorded beside this entry today: an unrelated and independently sourced claim, printed as entry 11, that the silicon wafers upstream of TSMC are themselves being repriced for 2027. The desk logs the two as separate claims and does not treat either as evidence for the other. Status unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9, the seventh session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. Recorded beside this entry today and not as evidence for it: DigiTimes reported on 24 September that TSMC will raise its own wafer foundry prices by 3 to 6 percent from January 2027 with order visibility to 2030, relayed the same morning at 9:02 Taipei by the Economic Daily News and carried in American markets coverage by Benzinga. One origin, several relays, no document and no second surface — it does not clear the floor and is counted in the issue’s “seen, not printed.” Its quantity and its date both differ from this claim’s. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10, the eighth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. The relay layer is unchanged and the Ryzen fork persists across it. AMD’s third-quarter results on 3 November remain the first occasion on which a ten percent rise would reach a published margin. Status unchanged. Separate documented context, not evidence for this price claim: AMD announced a definitive all-stock agreement to acquire World Labs for approximately $8.2 billion on 28 September; completion remained subject to approvals.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11, the ninth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list. AMD’s third-quarter results on 3 November remain the first occasion on which a ten percent rise would reach a published margin. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12, the tenth session since the first attributed sighting. No AMD statement, no denial and no partner or OEM price list, and the claim has not acquired a second origin. The fourth quarter the claim is about began today. AMD’s third-quarter results on 3 November remain the first occasion on which a ten percent rise would reach a published margin.
12 Oct · tier 4 · TrendForce
Second surface, and the first independent of the WeChat channel. Citing the Commercial Times of Taipei, TrendForce reports AMD “preparing price adjustments for certain CPUs,” with size, scope and timing unconfirmed, and reports separately that Qualcomm raised PC processor platform prices by approximately ten percent starting in October; it cites Central News Agency for analysts’ 2027 foundry bands. Sixteen sessions after the first sighting. Status moves from open to corroborated. Recorded for The Whisper, No. 19.
Recorded evidence tier: 4
16 Oct 2026 · editorial source-scope check
The 12 October source observation describes a separate report about possible CPU pricing adjustments, with size and timing unconfirmed. That does not independently corroborate the original roughly 10% increase across graphics processors, AI accelerators and chipsets. The hosted status therefore remains open; the source observation above records the supplied artifact’s assessment, not a reversal of the hosted methodology correction.
Tape512.50 → 559.82, +47.32, +9.23%, the 16 September close before the first attributed sighting to the 18 September close, sworn — stockanalysis.com and Investing.com carry both figures identically to the cent; the percentage is this desk's arithmetic, 47.32 ÷ 512.50. Intraday 21 September, one feed and unsworn: 606.68 at 1:24 p.m. on stockanalysis.com, +46.86, +8.37% on the session, range 582.27–615.99, volume 29.5m, which carries the move from the same base to +94.18, +18.38%. The same page put the market capitalisation at $990.39 billion. Volumes where the feeds disagree, both printed: 28.17m against 28.46m on 17 September, 31.17m against 31.87m on 18 September. Amended 21 September with the corrected stamp: the report ran at 8:26 a.m. on 17 September, sixty-four minutes before the open, and AMD opened at 533.60 — both feeds, sworn — a gap of 4.12% on the prior close, 533.60 ÷ 512.50, closing the session up 6.36%. Where the stock traded before 8:26 the desk cannot establish and does not guess; the earlier claim that the advance preceded the report is withdrawn. The advance has also run on through a broad semiconductor rally, so the desk still attributes nothing. Updated 22 September: Monday's close is sworn at 615.52 — stockanalysis.com and stockinvest.us, which wrote that AMD "ended at $615.52," with Yahoo Finance carrying the same as its previous close — which carries the move from the same base to +103.02, +20.10%, this desk's arithmetic, 103.02 ÷ 512.50. Today unsworn, both printed: 618.34 at 12:03 p.m. Eastern on stockanalysis.com, 614.92 at 10:46 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. A caution: Investing.com's AMD historical table was stale at 18 September when checked today, and its quote page showed a 15:39 intraday print of 615.71 that is not a close; it is not used for Monday.
Settles it: a partner or OEM price list showing fourth-quarter increases in that range; AMD's third-quarter results and call on 3 November, where a ten percent rise reaches the gross-margin line; TSMC's October call on 2027 wafer pricing; an on-the-record statement. Kills it: AMD saying no such notice went to partners, or fourth-quarter price lists arriving unchanged.
Lag · source label1 trading day, corrected 21 September from running. First attributed sighting 17 September 8:26 a.m.; first mainstream US headline 18 September 5:22 a.m. on Yahoo Finance. The first independently authored American market story came on 21 September, two trading days out; the desk counts the earlier one.
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2First seen · source label14 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimKioxia is weighing a US listing of American depositary shares to raise at least $10 billion, possibly next year, with Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, per Bloomberg's people familiar; the deliberations are "preliminary." The plan is the company's, stated in May; the size is single-sourced. The Whisper, No. 1.
May · tier 1 · Kioxia
The company said it was preparing to list ADRs to broaden its investor base, per Reuters' account of 14 September.
25 Jun 03:27 · tier 4 · TradingKey
Added 21 September, an earlier surface the desk had missed: Kioxia "intends to issue American Depositary Receipts and list on a U.S. stock exchange by spring 2027," subject to regulatory approval, with exchange, offering size and timeline unsettled. The plan and its approximate date were therefore in print three months before Bloomberg's report; what is single-sourced is the size, not the listing.
14 Sep 08:58 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
At least $10 billion, three banks named, size and lineup subject to change; Kioxia did not reply outside business hours. Reuters relayed it; The Star's copy stamped 08:58 Eastern. The sighting was the headline.
14–15 Sep · tier 4 · SED, Invezz
Seoul Economic Daily and Invezz relayed Bloomberg; Invezz read the Tokyo shares at ¥51,720 on the 14th and ¥51,350 by the 15th, against a June high of ¥112,750.
18 Sep · desk check
Re-checked against EDGAR's full-text index: no Form F-1 for Kioxia. No new sighting since 14 September and no denial. Status unchanged.
15 Sep · tier 1 · Kioxia
Added 22 September, and the highest tier this claim has reached. "Notice Regarding Certain Media Reports," on the company's own site: "There have been media reports regarding the listing of the Company's American Depositary Shares on a U.S. stock exchange. These reports are not announcements made by the Company," and "details of the listing such as the schedule, listing market, and listing method have not yet been decided," with the note that preparations may be discontinued. Neither confirms nor denies the size, the banks or the timing. The desk had missed this through three issues; see the audit block.
11 Feb · tier 1 · BNY Mellon / EDGAR
Added 24 September, and the document this register said did not exist. Form F-6EF, accession 0001019155-26-000048, filed 11 February 2026, registering 50,000,000 American depositary shares over Kioxia common stock. No exchange is named in it, and Kioxia did not file it: it is signed by The Bank of New York Mellon, 240 Greenwich Street, as depositary, with Kioxia Holdings Corporation named only as "the issuer of deposited securities," neither registrant nor signatory. It predates Bloomberg's report by seven months and says nothing about the size, the banks, the exchange or the timing the claim is about. See the audit block.
9 Mar · tier 1 · depositary bulletin
Added 24 September. The Kioxia line that actually trades over the counter, KXIAY, is a different programme under a different bank: an unsponsored depositary receipt facility with J.P. Morgan as depositary, ten ordinary shares to one receipt, CUSIP 49726J108, listed in BNY Mellon's bulletin of new unsponsored programmes dated 9 March 2026. An unsponsored facility is established by a bank without the issuer's participation, so it is evidence about banks and not about Kioxia's intentions.
21 Sep · desk check
EDGAR re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4: still no Form F-1. The Japan Times and Yahoo Finance relays of the 14 September report remain the American surface. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5: still no Form F-1 or F-6 for Kioxia, and no IR item since the 15 September notice. A trap recorded for future searches: the F-1 that surfaces on these search terms is SK hynix Inc., CIK 2120882, filed 24 June, Nasdaq Global Select under SKHY, with BofA Securities, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan as global coordinators — a different issuer with a near-identical bank lineup to the three attributed to Kioxia. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The F-6EF above was found on this check and is filed in its own place in the trail; it is the highest-tier document on this entry after that notice, and it does not touch the claim as printed.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for two existing observations: Source 1 is Kioxia's September 15, 2026 media-response notice, supporting the recorded preparation and uncertainty. Source 2 is the February 11, 2026 F-6 filing, accession 0001019155-26-000048, supporting the depositary filing observation. Neither establishes the reported offering size, bank lineup, exchange or timing. The separate March depositary programme and remaining trail were not checked in this citation update. Status, historical dates, text and the supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
29 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 10. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The F-1 that surfaces on these search terms remains SK hynix’s, CIK 2120882, the trap this register recorded on 22 September. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. The search returns a leveraged Kioxia exchange-traded fund registration and a Western Digital annual report, neither of them an offering by Kioxia.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice.
6 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 15. Still no Form F-1, no exchange application and no company item since the 15 September notice. Status unchanged.
TapeTokyo readings one feed, unsworn; no US-listed security yet.
Settles it: a public Form F-1 on EDGAR; an exchange application; a Kioxia release naming the exchange; the November results. Amended 24 September: the Form F-6EF of 11 February is on file, was filed by a depositary rather than by Kioxia, and does not settle it; neither does the unsponsored KXIAY programme.
Lag · source label0 trading days; the first sighting of the size was the mainstream headline.
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1First seen · source label15 SEP
corroborated · source-record status
Recorded claimTen banks are lending $22 billion, with a $1 billion revolver beside it, to Crux AI, the Blackstone–Alphabet venture, to buy Google TPUs, secured by the chips and the customer contracts, per Bloomberg's people familiar with the matter. 9fin had it a day earlier at $23 billion. No party has confirmed it. The Whisper, No. 1.
18 May · tier 1 · Blackstone release
The venture announced: $5 billion of initial equity from Blackstone, 500 MW online in 2027, Google supplying TPUs, software and services. No debt mentioned.
May, per 22 May account · tier 3 · Bloomberg
"Roughly $25 billion with leverage," one person familiar; Blackstone majority owner; Benjamin Treynor Sloss chief executive.
14 Sep 09:05 · tier 5 · unattributed
Counted, not named: a crypto-news site wrote that Blackstone was "reportedly targeting investments in the tens of billions… across multiple gigawatts," citing no one.
15 Sep · tier 4 · 9fin
"Blackstone looks to raise $23bn debt for Google AI joint venture," sources told 9fin. First attributed sighting; no time shown.
16 Sep 15:44 · tier 3 · Bloomberg
First mainstream US headline: $22 billion loan plus $1 billion revolver, ten banks (Goldman, SMBC, Barclays, BNP, Scotiabank named), secured by chips and contracts, possible refinancing in investment-grade bonds. Did not cite 9fin. Time is the stamp on Investing.com's relay.
16 Sep 16:34 · tier 3 · Reuters
Relay citing Bloomberg; seven companies did not respond. A later headline reads "source says," unread by the desk, not counted as independent.
16–17 Sep · tier 5 · aggregators
Re-checked 18 September. No document appeared. What changed is the language: TipRanks and Gokhshtein published the loan as "secured"; Blockonomi, 17 Sep 12:10 UTC, wrote that Crux "has successfully arranged $22 billion in bank financing" and that the facility "is secured against both the physical TPU hardware and contractual agreements." Nobody has confirmed a dollar of it.
21 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 4. Still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank confirming or denying membership of the group. The aggregator layer has thickened — Finimize, briefs.co, AI Weekly and FourWeekMBA now carry the loan in the past tense — and two Yahoo Finance relays, including a Benzinga piece putting GOOGL and BX "in focus," keep it in front of American readers. Nothing document-grade. Status unchanged.
22 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 5. No closing release on Blackstone's press page, whose most recent items are 13, 10 and 9 September and none of them about Crux AI or the facility; no rating, and a KBRA note on AI-compute financing risk that does not evaluate Crux AI; no offering document; no bank on the record either way. A domain-restricted search of sec.gov returns no filing naming Crux AI. Status unchanged.
24 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 7. Six sessions after Bloomberg's report — 17, 18, 21, 22, 23 and 24 September — there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind — FourWeekMBA, AI Weekly, Finimize, Dealroom and pulse2 all carry the facility, most of them in the past tense — and one relay again states the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
23 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 6. No closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way. The aggregator layer thickened again — Finimize, FourWeekMBA, Dealroom, KuCoin and HuggingNews all carry the facility in the past tense — and one relay, Runtimewire, puts the accurate position in its own headline: the loan is "reported" and its "status still unclear." Status unchanged.
25 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 8. Seven sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. Status unchanged.
28 Sep 2026 14:40 UTC — source-link verification · desk check · primary-source link verification
Source-link check for the existing 18 May Blackstone observation: the linked May 18, 2026 issuer announcement supports the equity commitment, expected capacity and Google's contribution recorded above. It does not confirm the separate loan, revolver, lenders or closing. This is a citation update, not a new first sighting or rumor-status change; the historical observations and supplied September 25 cutoff remain unchanged.
28 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 9. Eight sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind. Status unchanged.
30 Sep · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 11. Ten trading sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind. Status unchanged.
1 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 12. Ten sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind.
2 Oct 2026 · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 13. Eleven sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind.
8 Oct · desk check
Re-checked for The Whisper, No. 17. Fourteen sessions after Bloomberg’s report there is still no closing release, no rating, no offering document and no named bank either way, and no filing naming Crux AI on a domain-restricted search of sec.gov. The aggregator layer is unchanged in kind. Status unchanged.
Tapeon Fed day, not attributable. Blackstone 126.70 → 123.45, −2.57%; Alphabet 344.98 → 342.87, −0.61%, September 15 to 16 closes; levels stockanalysis.com, the two percentages also carried by Investing.com's report at 15:44. 22 + 1 = 23; 23 + 5 = 28, against May's "roughly 25." Updated 18 September: Alphabet closed 17 September at 347.33, +1.30%, volume 19,032,520, stockanalysis.com, in a market-wide rally the day after the Fed.
Settles it: a closing release from Blackstone, Crux or a lead bank; a rating on the facility or the refinancing bonds; the bonds' offering document; a named bank saying it is not in the group.
Lag · source label1 trading day from 9fin to Bloomberg; 2 from the unattributed sighting, which the desk does not count as a start.